• Title/Summary/Keyword: scenario planning

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The Strategic Transformation from Innovation Cluster to Digital Innovation Cluster during and after COVID-19

  • Yim, Deok Soon;Kim, Wangdong;Nam, Young-ho
    • Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.164-186
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    • 2020
  • It is generally known that a Science and Technology Park - as a representative example of an Innovation Cluster - produces network synergy among industry, university, research institutes, and other innovation actors in a specific area, so that it has a competitive edge over other regions in technological innovation. However, as the novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic unfolds, it has become necessary to reduce face-to-face contacts and this could lead to lesser network synergy being produced in an Innovation Cluster. With this background, this research was designed and conducted to evaluate how COVID-19 has changed the activities in Innovation Clusters and explore future development scenarios. In order to find out the changes occurring in an Innovation Cluster, a survey was conducted among the people in Science and Technology Parks. The survey result shows that people are experiencing difficulties in technological innovation and support activities, and face-to-face contacts have been reduced in the Innovation Cluster. A scenario planning sought to explore the future development of the Innovation Cluster. It suggests that the transformation into a Digital Innovation Cluster, which is less affected by physical distance, but can still maintain the effectiveness of the networks, can be the key strategy for the future Innovation Cluster.

Elicitation of Potential Information Technologies for Construction Process and Tasks - Using Cross-Impact Analysis (교차영향분석을 활용한 건설 업무기능 및 공종 별 주요 IT기술 도출)

  • Park, Sung-Hoon;Kwon, Soon-Wook;Kim, Young-Suk
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.160-169
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    • 2012
  • Domestic construction industry, which has recently had difficulty in market saturation and slowing growth, is trying to resolve this situation by incorporation with IT technology. However, there was less choice and has simply used IT technology as required in construction field. In other word, IT technology has applied to not all processes but some parts. Therefore, in this paper, we find out suitable and promising IT technology to each step of construction process, analyzing IT convergence technology related to whole process comprehensively in order to suggest fundamental directions for effective construction IT convergence in the field.

A Simplified Horizontal Maneuvering Model of a RIB-Type Target Ship (RIB형 표적정의 수평면 조종운동 간략모델)

  • Yoon, Hyeon-Kyu;Yeo, Dong-Jin;Fang, Tae-Hyun;Yoon, Kun-Hang;Lee, Chang-Min
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.44 no.6
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    • pp.572-578
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    • 2007
  • A Rigid Inflatable Boat (RIB) is now widely used for commercial and military purpose. In this paper, it is supposed that seven-meter-class RIB be used as an unmanned target ship for naval training. In order to develop many tactical maneuvering patterns of a target ship, a simple horizontal maneuvering model of a RIB is needed. Therefore, models of speed and yaw rate are constructed as the first-order differential equations based on Lewandowski#s empirical formula for steady turning circle diameter of a conventional planning hull. Some parameters in the models are determined using the results of sea trial tests. Finally, proposed models are validated through the comparison of the simulation result with the sea trial result for a specific scenario. Even though a simple model does not represent the horizontal motion of a RIB precisely, however, it can be used enough to develop tactical trajectory patterns.

Estimation of the Optimum Number of Rail Cars to Increase the Benefit (철도편익 증대를 위한 소요차량수 산정 방안)

  • Kim, Kyoung-Tae;Lee, Jin-Sun;Park, Bum-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.333-338
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    • 2010
  • Investment in railroad, it is very important to find a way to increase a benefit to make the economic efficiency more positive, but is also considering that the cost will be higher. In this paper, we suggest a optimized model for increasing the benefit of railroad business considering of stopping patterns. According to existing analytical method, the operation hour is calculated based on that scenario regarding that it stops at all major stations but it does not fit the actual operation conditions. Considering various stopping patterns can be reasonably calculated the cost for required rail cars in the planning stages, and can also affect economic efficiency in a positive way.

Spatial Changes in Work Capacity for Occupations Vulnerable to Heat Stress: Potential Regional Impacts From Global Climate Change

  • Kim, Donghyun;Lee, Junbeom
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2020
  • Background: As the impact of climate change intensifies, exposure to heat stress will grow, leading to a loss of work capacity for vulnerable occupations and affecting individual labor decisions. This study estimates the future work capacity under the Representative Concentration Pathways 8.5 scenario and discusses its regional impacts on the occupational structure in the Republic of Korea. Methods: The data utilized for this study constitute the local wet bulb globe temperature from the Korea Meteorological Administration and information from the Korean Working Condition Survey from the Occupational Safety and Health Research Institute of Korea. Using these data, we classify the occupations vulnerable to heat stress and estimate future changes in work capacity at the local scale, considering the occupational structure. We then identify the spatial cluster of diminishing work capacity using exploratory spatial data analysis. Results: Our findings indicate that 52 occupations are at risk of heat stress, including machine operators and elementary laborers working in the construction, welding, metal, and mining industries. Moreover, spatial clusters with diminished work capacity appear in southwest Korea. Conclusion: Although previous studies investigated the work capacity associated with heat stress in terms of climatic impact, this study quantifies the local impacts due to the global risk of climate change. The results suggest the need for mainstreaming an adaptation policy related to work capacity in regional development strategies.

Design and Prototype Implementation of the Curved Plates Flow Tracking and Monitoring System using RFID (RFID 기술을 이용한 곡가공 부재 추적 및 모니터링 시스템 설계 및 프로토타입의 구현)

  • Noh, Jac-Kyou;Shin, Jong-Gye
    • Korean Journal of Computational Design and Engineering
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.424-433
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    • 2009
  • In order to improve productivity and efficiency of ship production process, production technology converged with Information Technology can be considered. Mid-term scheduling based on long-term schedule of ship building and execution planning based on short-term production schedule have an important role in ship production processes and techniques. However, data used in the scheduling are from the experiences of the past, cognitive, and often inaccurate, moreover the updates of the data by formatted documents are not being performed efficiently. This paper designs the tracking and monitoring system for the curved plates forming process with shop level. At first step to it, we redefine and analyze the curved plates forming process by using SysML. From the definition and analysis of the curved plates forming process, we design the system with respect to operational view considering operational environment and interactions between systems included and scenario about operation, and with respect to system view considering functionalities and interfaces of the system. In order to study the feasibility of the system designed, a prototype of the system has been implemented with 13.56 MHz RHD hardware and application software.

Measure of Effectiveness Analysis for Tracking in SONAR System (소나시스템에서의 추적효과도 분석)

  • Cho, Jung-Hong;Kim, Hyoung Rok;Kim, Seongil;Kim, Jea Soo
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.5-26
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    • 2013
  • Since the optimized use of sonar systems for target tracking is a practical problem for naval operations, the measure of mission achievability is needed for preparing efficient sonar-maneuver tactic. In order to quantify the mission achievability or Measure Of Effectiveness(MOE) for given sonar-maneuver tactics, we developed and tested a simulation algorithm. The proposed algorithm for tracking is based on Measure Of Performance(MOP) for localization and tracking system of sonar against target. Probability of Detection(PD) using steering beam patterns referenced to the aspect angle of sonar is presented to consider the tracking-performance of sonar. Also, the integrated software package, named as Optimal Acoustic Search Path Planning(OASPP) is used for generating sonar-maneuver patterns and vulnerability analysis for a given scenario. Through simulation of a simple case for which the intuitive solution is known, the proposed algorithm is verified.

The Greenhouse-Gas Mitigation Potential analysis by Distribution of Solar Thermal System in Housing Sector (태양열난방시스템 도입에 따른 주거부문에서의 온실가스 감축 잠재량 분석)

  • Jeong, Young-Sun;Mun, Sun-Hye;Yu, Ki-Hyung
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.32-39
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    • 2012
  • New and renewable energy systems(solar thermal system, photovoltaic system, geothermal system, wind power system) are environmentally friendly technologies and these in South Korea are very important measures to reduce greenhouse-gas(GHG) and to push ahead with Green Growth. The purpose of this paper is to analyze GHG mitigation potential by distribution of solar thermal system in housing sector with bottom-up model called 'Long-range Energy Alternative Planning system'. Business as usual(BAU) was based on energy consumption characteristic with the trend of social-economic prospects and the volume of housing. The total amount of GHG emission of BAU was expected to continuous increase from 66.0 million-ton $CO_{2e}$ in 2007 to 73.1 million-ton $CO_{2e}$ in 2030 because of the increase of energy consumption in housing. The alternative scenario, distribution of solar thermal system in housing sector had GHG mitigation potential 1.54 million-ton $CO_{2e}$ in 2030. The results of this study showed that new and renewable energy systems made a contribution of reducing the use of fossil fuel and the emission of greenhouse-gas in building.

FREES : Fuzzy Risk Evaluation Expert System (Fuzzy 이론을 활용한 건설프로젝트 리스크 분석 및 평가 시스템)

  • Cho Ick-Rae;Park Chan-Sik
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.1 no.1 s.1
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    • pp.53-62
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    • 2000
  • This study proposes FREES(Fuzzy Risk Evaluation Expert System) for analyzing and evaluating risks occurring during the construction process. The feasibility of this system model was tested by virtual scenario. For the development of the model, at first, risk breakdown structure was established based on risks identified in the existing researches, that is quantitative and qualitative. FREES can reflect human cognition process in the risk analysis and evaluation by adopting artificial intelligence fuzzy theory, differentiating the existing quantitative analysis model. The FREES can be applied to all the project phases from planning to operation & maintenance stage.

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Projection of Paddy Rice Consumptive Use in the Major Plains of the Korean Peninsula under the RCP Scenarios (대표농도경로 시나리오에 의한 한반도 주요 평야지역 논벼 소비수량 추정)

  • Chung, Sang-Ok
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.54 no.5
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    • pp.35-41
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    • 2012
  • The paddy rice consumptive use in the six plains of the Korean peninsula was projected with changing climate under the representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenarios. High resolution climate data for the baseline (1961-1990) was obtained from the International water management institute (IWMI) and future high resolution climate projection was obtained from the Korea Meteorological Administration. Reference evapotranspiration (ET) was calculated by using Hargreaves equation. The results of this study showed that the average annual mean temperature would increase persistently in the future. Temperatures were projected to increase more in RCP8.5 than those in RCP4.5 scenario. The rice consumptive use during the growing period was projected to increase slightly in the 2020s and then more significantly in the 2050s and 2080s. It showed higher values for RCP8.5 than for RCP4.5. The rice consumptive use after transplanting in the study areas would increase by 2.2 %, 5.1 % and 7.2 % for RCP4.5 and 3.0 %, 7.6 %, and 13.3 % for RCP8.5, in the 2020s, 2050s, and 2080s, respectively, from the baseline value of 534 mm. The results demonstrated the effects of climate change on rice consumptive use quite well, and can be used in the future agricultural water planning in the Korean peninsula.