• Title/Summary/Keyword: ruin model

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Ruin probabilities in a risk process perturbed by diffusion with two types of claims (두 가지 유형의 보험청구가 있는 확산과정 리스크 모형의 파산확률)

  • Won, Ho Jeong;Choi, Seung Kyoung;Lee, Eui Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, we introduce a continuous-time risk model where the surplus follows a diffusion process with positive drift while being subject to two types of claims. We assume that the sizes of both types of claims are exponentially distributed and that type I claims occur more frequently, however, their sizes are smaller than type II claims. We obtain the ruin probability that the level of the surplus becomes negative, by establishing an integro-differential equation for the ruin probability. We also obtain the ruin probabilities caused by each type of claim and the probability that the level of the surplus becomes negative naturally due to the diffusion process. Finally, we illustrate a numerical example to compare the impacts of two types of claim on the ruin probability of the surplus with that of the diffusion process in the risk model.

A Compound Poisson Risk Model with a Two-Step Premium Rule

  • Song, Mi Jung;Lee, Jiyeon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.377-385
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    • 2013
  • We consider a compound Poisson risk model in which the premium rate changes when the surplus exceeds a threshold. The explicit form of the ruin probability for the risk model is obtained by deriving and using the overflow probability of the workload process in the corresponding M/G/1 queueing model.

The Ruin Probability in a Risk Model with Injections (재충전이 있는 연속시간 리스크 모형에서 파산확률 연구)

  • Go, Han-Na;Choi, Seung-Kyoung;Lee, Eui-Yong
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.81-87
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    • 2012
  • A continuous time risk model is considered, where the premium rate is constant and the claims form a compound Poisson process. We assume that an injection is made, which is an immediate increase of the surplus up to level u > 0 (initial level), when the level of the surplus goes below ${\tau}$(0 < ${\tau}$ < u). We derive the formula of the ruin probability of the surplus by establishing an integro-differential equation and show that an explicit formula for the ruin probability can be obtained when the amounts of claims independently follow an exponential distribution.

ASYMPTOTIC DISTRIBUTION OF THE DISCOUNTED PROPER DEFICIT IN THE DISCRETE TIME DELAYED RENEWAL MODEL

  • Bao, Zhen-Hua;Wang, Jing
    • Bulletin of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.48 no.2
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    • pp.325-334
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    • 2011
  • In this paper we consider the discrete time delayed renewal risk model. We investigate what will happen when the distribution function of the discounted proper deficit is asymptotic in the initial surplus. In doing this we establish several lemmas regarding some related ruin quantities in the discrete time delayed renewal risk model, which are of significance on their own right.

An Improvement of the Approximation of the Ruin Probability in a Risk Process (보험 상품 파산 확률 근사 방법의 개선 연구)

  • Lee, Hye-Sun;Choi, Seung-Kyoung;Lee, Eui-Yong
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.937-942
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, a continuous-time risk process in an insurance business is considered, where the premium rate is constant and the claim process forms a compound Poisson process. We say that a ruin occurs if the surplus of the risk process becomes negative. It is practically impossible to calculate analytically the ruin probability because the theoretical formula of the ruin probability contains the recursive convolutions and infinite sum. Hence, many authors have suggested approximation formulas of the ruin probability. We introduce a new approximation formula of the ruin probability which extends the well-known De Vylder's and exponential approximation formulas. We compare our approximation formula with the existing ones and show numerically that our approximation formula gives closer values to the true ruin probability in most cases.

THE ULTIMATE RUIN PROBABILITY OF A DEPENDENT DELAYED-CLAIM RISK MODEL PERTURBED BY DIFFUSION WITH CONSTANT FORCE OF INTEREST

  • Gao, Qingwu;Zhang, Erli;Jin, Na
    • Bulletin of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.52 no.3
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    • pp.895-906
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    • 2015
  • Recently, Li [12] gave an asymptotic formula for the ultimate ruin probability in a delayed-claim risk model with constant force of interest and pairwise quasi-asymptotically independent and extended-regularly-varying-tailed claims. This paper extends Li's result to the case in which the risk model is perturbed by diffusion, the claims are consistently-varying-tailed and the main-claim interarrival times are widely lower orthant dependent.

Analysis of a Ruin Model with Surplus Following a Brownian Motion (브라운 운동을 이용한 보험 상품의 파산 모형 연구)

  • Han, Soo-Hee;Lee, Eui-Yong
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.579-585
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    • 2006
  • We consider a ruin model where the surplus process is formed by a Brownian motion. If the level of surplus exceeds V, then we assume that a insurer invests an amount of S to other place. In this paper, we apply martingale methods to the surplus process and obtain the expectation of period T, time from origin to the point where the level of surplus reaches either V or 0. As a consequence, we finally derive the total and average amount of surplus during T.

A MARTINGALE APPROACH TO A RUIN MODEL WITH SURPLUS FOLLOWING A COMPOUND POISSON PROCESS

  • Oh, Soo-Mi;Jeong, Mi-Ock;Lee, Eui-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.229-235
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    • 2007
  • We consider a ruin model whose surplus process is formed by a compound Poisson process. If the level of surplus reaches V > 0, it is assumed that a certain amount of surplus is invested. In this paper, we apply the optional sampling theorem to the surplus process and obtain the expectation of period T, time from origin to the point where the level of surplus reaches either 0 or V. We also derive the total and average amount of surplus during T by establishing a backward differential equation.

ON THE PROBABILITY OF RUIN IN A CONTINUOUS RISK MODEL WITH DELAYED CLAIMS

  • Zou, Wei;Xie, Jie-Hua
    • Journal of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.50 no.1
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    • pp.111-125
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, we consider a continuous time risk model involving two types of dependent claims, namely main claims and by-claims. The by-claim is induced by the main claim and the occurrence of by-claim may be delayed depending on associated main claim amount. Using Rouch$\acute{e}$'s theorem, we first derive the closed-form solution for the Laplace transform of the survival probability in the dependent risk model from an integro-differential equations system. Then, using the Laplace transform, we derive a defective renewal equation satisfied by the survival probability. For the exponential claim sizes, we present the explicit formula for the survival probability. We also illustrate the influence of the model parameters in the dependent risk model on the survival probability by numerical examples.