• Title/Summary/Keyword: risky choice

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Determination of Risk Level Using Fuzzy Multi-Criteria Decision Method (퍼지 다기준 의사결정기법을 이용한 위험수준평가)

  • Jung, Sang-Yun;Cho, Sung-Ku
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.627-638
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    • 1998
  • For any hazardous operation or risky project to be carried out safely and economically, it is of the utmost importance to formulate proper risk management policies based on the rational assessment of the risk levels of various potential hazards. In this paper, a Fuzzy Multi-Criteria Decision Making(FMCDM) method for risk assessment is proposed. The method evaluates, on the basis of fuzzy set theory, the risk level of a risky situation by aggregating the assessed levels of risk factors and their subjective weights. The method also allows some flexibility for the future users in the sense that, first, the relative importance weights for the three risk factors can be adjusted according to the nature of projects or systems and, second, the users have the choice between the two types of risk assessment results, that is, the assessed risk levels or the ranks of the risk situations. A numerical example for the proposed FMCDM method is provided to illustrate the computational procedure. To see how the suggested FMCDM method describes well people's perceived risk level, we compared the risk values derived from the suggested method with the subjective risk evaluations for ten risky situations.

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When Do the Unemployed Jump in the Workforce?

  • Lee, Hyun-Tak;Jang, Bong-Gyu;Park, Seyoung
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.43-47
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    • 2013
  • This paper studies an optimal consumption and portfolio choice problem for unemployed people who have an option to work. Our problem is to find optimal consumption, risky investment, and workforce re-entry strategies for the unemployed. We find a closed form of the critical wealth level to re-enter the workforce. We show that the unemployed with a higher disutility of labor or a larger relative risk aversion are more reluctant to re-enter the workforce.

Muscling My Way to My Positive Future: Physical Exertion of Strength and Preference for Risk

  • Cho, Eunice Kim;Ahn, Hee-Kyung
    • Asia Marketing Journal
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.27-39
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    • 2020
  • Building on the growing literature on how physical bodily expressions influence psychological processes, the authors propose that exerting physical strength decreases risk perceptions and increases preference for risky options by increasing perceptions of control or agency. The present research is based on the belief of "no pain, no gain", that when an individual exerts physical strength and effort, he believes he can be the agent in bringing about the desired outcome. Because of this automatic association between exerting physical strength and the sense of being in control of the outcome, the authors hypothesize that even in situations where the outcome is determined by chance and luck, individuals exerting effort feel they have more control and thus choose riskier, but more desirable, options. Furthermore, this research clarifies the distinction between physical exertion of strength, high- and low-power poses, and psychological power.

PORTFOLIO CHOICE UNDER INFLATION RISK: MARTINGALE APPROACH

  • Lim, Byung Hwa
    • Journal of the Chungcheong Mathematical Society
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.343-349
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    • 2013
  • The optimal portfolio selection problem under inflation risk is considered in this paper. There are three assets the economic agent can invest, which are a risk free bond, an index bond and a risky asset. By applying the martingale method, the optimal consumption rate and the optimal portfolios for each asset are obtained explicitly.

The effect of the decision to use innovative services on the choice of consumers with a risk-averse tendency (혁신 서비스 이용 결정이 위험회피 성향 소비자의 선택에 미치는 영향)

  • Park, Kikyoung
    • Journal of Service Research and Studies
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.146-160
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    • 2023
  • The spread of non-face-to-face services due to the COVID-19 pandemic has brought many changes in consumers' purchasing behavior and attracted much attention to new services. Could trying new services caused by this sudden environmental change alter consumers's choice patterns? This study proposes the research question of whether these new service experiences can change consumers' existing choice behavior, especially for risk-averse consumers who maintain their existing choice behavior or prefer safe alternatives. In this study, we examined whether trying out an unmanned payment services, one of innovative services that emerged after the pandemic crisis, can change the existing choice behavior of risk-averse consumers, i.e., make them more likely to prefer risky alternatives to safe alternatives. To accomplish these research goals, this research conducted one pilot survey and one study. The results of pilot survey showed that the stronger the prevention-focus tendency, the lower the self-efficacy to use the innovative service, with a negative relationship between them. Based on these findings, the study used an experimental method to examine the interaction effects between the use of innovation services and consumers' regulatory focus in a choice behavior and to explore the psychological mechanisms behind them. According to the results, it is found that prevention-focused consumers were more likely to choose risky alternatives and dissimilar extended brands following a trial of an unmanned payment service compared to not using that service. In contrast, promotion-focused consumers did not show different choice patterns regardless of following a trial of an innovative service. Furthermore, these results for prevention-focused consumers confirm the role of self-efficacy as a psychological mechanism. These findings shed light on the role of self-efficacy which has discussed in positive psychology into marketing area. Moreover, practical and academic implications are suggested by the finding that behavioral change occurs in risk-averse consumers, who are known to be hesitant to try new behaviors, indicating market expansion related to potential consumers for the use of the innovation services.

Eversion Carotid Endarterectomy : A Short Review

  • Davidovic, Lazar B.;Tomic, Ivan Z.
    • Journal of Korean Neurosurgical Society
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    • v.63 no.3
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    • pp.373-379
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    • 2020
  • Carotid endarterectomy (CEA) is the main procedure in carotid surgery, as well as the most frequent vascular procedure. Two techniques of CEA are available : eversion and conventional plus patch angioplasty. Eversion CEA is anatomic procedure that reduces ischemic and total operative time. Simultaneous correction of the joined carotid kinking and coiling is possible, easy and safe, while the usage of patch is excluded. Thanks to oblique shape of anastomosis, eversion CEA is associated with low risk of long-term restenosis. The false anastomotic aneurysms occurrence is very rare, almost impossible after eversion CEA. However, the usage of carotid shunt during eversion CEA is not always simple, while proximal or distal extension of the carotid plaque can make eversion CEA more difficult and risky. Eversion CEA should be the first choice in carotid surgery. Conventional CEA is indicated in cases when carotid plaque is extended more than usual, as well as, if the usage of carotid shunt is necessary.

A Study on the Analysis of Regional Disparity and Competitiveness on Youth Employment (청년층 고용의 지역격차 및 경쟁력 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Hong-Chul;Lee, Joo-Hyung
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.14 no.7
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    • pp.3253-3262
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    • 2013
  • This study aims to analyse the regional disparity of the youth employment and to regional current states and characteristics via evaluation criteria for employment competitiveness. Summaries of the major results in this study are as following. Firstly, it has revealed that the regional disparity of youth employment is deepening. Secondly, after the analysis of employment competitiveness, the strongest regional employment competitiveness was found to be Seoul(0.622), followed by Chungnam(0.592), Ulsan(0.528), Gyeongbuk(0.514), Gyeonggi(0.507) and the region of employment risky is Jeonbuk. Lastly, the most influencing factors on the competitiveness of youth employment are supply factors and demand factors. Therefore, we must create new jobs of good quality, in order to reduce regional disparity and strengthen the competitiveness of youth employment. Also region of employment risky should require continuous monitoring. And the government should determine priorities of employment policies that suitable for regional characteristics. That is to say, the government should contribute to establishing the strategy of choice and focus.

Does Gender Influence Investment Choice? A Psychosomatic Study of GCC Entrepreneurs

  • KHAN, Mohammed Abdul Imran;JAMIL, Syed Ahsan;KHAN, Shahebaz Sarfaraz;ALI, Meer Mazhar
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.299-306
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    • 2022
  • Entrepreneurs with behavioral finance biases are more likely to make irrational or financially detrimental decisions. Understanding financial behavior biases can assist in making sound financial decisions. Behavioral finance is a new topic that can assist researchers in better understanding investor behavior and preferences while purchasing and selling stocks. Using measures such as independent t-tests and average Likert five-point scale scores, this study seeks to determine how entrepreneurs make investment decisions and whether gender makes a difference. The study is empirical, and data from 1000 entrepreneurs were collected through convenience sampling. The study's main findings show that there are numerous factors to consider while investing in stocks, including family planning, children's education, investment security, and recurring income. Both men and women attempt to invest in many asset classes, but certain investments are extremely risky, while others are low risk. As a result, investors should assess risk based on their age and experience rather than their gender; this indicates that an investment in venture capital has nothing to do with gender but everything to do with the investor's age.

Successful Removal of a Difficult Common Bile Duct Stone by Percutaneous Transcholecystic Cholangioscopy

  • Hyunsuk Lee;Sang Hyub Lee;Gunn Huh;Yeji Kim;Saebeom Hur;Moonhaeng Hur;Minwoo Lee;Byeongyun Ahn
    • Clinical Endoscopy
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    • v.55 no.2
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    • pp.297-301
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    • 2022
  • Common bile duct (CBD) stones are prevalent in 11% to 21% of patients with gallstones and can cause various clinical manifestations, from biliary colic to biliary sepsis. The treatment of choice is endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography, but approximately 5% to 10% of CBD stones are difficult to remove using these conventional endoscopic methods. Although percutaneous transhepatic cholangioscopy and lithotripsy can be used as an alternative, it can be technically demanding and risky if the intrahepatic duct is not dilated. We report a case of a large CBD stone that was successfully removed using percutaneous transcholecystic cholangioscopy.

Deep vein thrombosis caused by malignant afferent loop obstruction

  • Kang, Eun Gyu;Kim, Chan;Lee, Jeungeun;Cha, Min-uk;Kim, Joo Hoon;Park, Seo-Hwa;Kim, Man Deuk;Lee, Do Yun;Rha, Sun Young
    • Journal of Yeungnam Medical Science
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.166-169
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    • 2016
  • Afferent loop obstruction following gastrectomy is a rare but fatal complication. Clinical features of afferent loop obstruction are mainly gastrointestinal symptoms. A 56-year-old female underwent radical total gastrectomy with Roux-en-Y esophagojejunostomy for treatment of advanced gastric cancer. After fourteen months postoperatively, she showed gradual development of edema of both legs. Computed tomography (CT) scan showed disease progression at the jejunojejunostomy site and consequent dilated afferent loop, which resulted in inferior vena cava (IVC) compression. A drainage catheter was placed percutaneously into the afferent loop through the intrahepatic duct and an IVC filter was placed at the suprarenal IVC, and self-expanding metal stents were inserted into bilateral common iliac veins. With these procedures, sympotms related with afferent loop obstruction and deep vein thrombosis were improved dramatically. The follow-up abdominal CT scan was taken 3 weeks later and revealed the completely decompressed afferent loop and improved IVC patency. Surgical treatment should be considered as the first choice for afferent loop obstruction; however, because it is more immediate and less invasive, non-surgical modalities, such as percutaneous catheter drainage or stent placement, can be effective alternatives for inoperable cases or risky patients who have severe medical comorbidities.