• Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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• 제25권1호
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• pp.67-85
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• 2018

We propose a noise reduced risk aversion index for measuring risk aversion through a laboratory experiment to overcome disadvantages of the multiple pricing list format developed by Holt and Laury (2002). We use randomized multiple list choices with coarser classification and reward weighting, supplement the rank of risk aversion with extra individual characteristics of risk attitude, and construct an index of risk aversion by standardizing the risk aversion ranking with quantile normalization. Our method reduces multiple switching problems that noisy decision makers mistakenly commit in experimental approaches, so that it is free of the framing effect which severely occurred in the HL. Furthermore, the index doesn't utilize any specific utility function or probability weighting, which allows researcher to hold the independence axiom. Since our noise reduced index of risk aversion has many good traits, it is widely used and applied to reveal fundamental characteristics of risk-related behaviors in economics and finance regardless of experimental environment.

• 대한인간공학회지
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• 제31권1호
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• pp.143-149
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• 2012

Objective: The aim of this study is to gain an overview of the risk assessment and management system in the shipbuilding industry. Background: The use of risk assessment techniques has grown significantly in recent years. Method: Various references have been reviewed to evaluate risk assessment and management policy. Results: Adapting the risk assessment system has become an important approach not only to prevent industrial accidents but also to enhance the efficiency of works for shipbuilding workers. Conclusion: Risk assessment is an approved technology for operators to address larger hazards, and to ensure risks have been reduced to appropriate levels cost effectively. Application: These results can be used to provide baseline information for risk assessment and management policy.

• Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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• 제20권2호
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• pp.109-121
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• 2005

A chemical ranking and scoring (CRS-Korea) system was developed and proposed to use as the first step to prioritize the toxic chemicals for the purpose of monitoring and detailed risk assessment that might follow as necessary. The CRS-Korea system takes a basic concept of risk assessment (both human health risk and ecological risk) in that risk score is determined by the product of toxicity score and exposure score. Included in the toxicity category are acute toxicity, chronic/sub -chronic toxicity, carcinogenicity, and other toxicity. The exposure category consists of quantity released to the environment, bioconcentration, and persistence. A consistent scheme and a comprehensive chemical data base are offered in the CRS-Korea system to calculate a score for the each component in the two categories by using specific physicochemical, fate, and toxic properties and the quantity of the chemical used. The toxicity score is obtained by adding up all the individual scores for the components in the toxicity category. The exposure score is determined by multiplication of the score of the quantity released with the sum of persistent score and bioconcentration score. Equal weight is given to the toxicity score and the exposure score. As the CRS-Korea system was applied to identify 50 national priority chemicals, it was found that significant data gap exists on toxicity and fate properties and that the uncertainty associated with estimating the quantify released to the environment is notably high. The proposed CRS system is only a screening tool in the first step toward the priority setting and should be used with expert judgement and other considerations necessary.

• Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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• 제58권3호
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• pp.438-449
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• 2020

본 연구는 화학 및 석유화학 플랜트 등의 장치산업에서 사업장 외부로 유해화학물질이 누출·확산되어 발생할 수 있는 배상책임 위험도에 대한 산정 방식을 개선하고자 하였다. 이를 위해 환경부 사고대비 물질(14종)에 대해 누출·확산 시뮬레이션, 화학물질 누출사고 사례 분석, 식물피해 영향 자료 분석 등을 통하여 화학물질 누출사고 배상책임 위험도와의 상관관계인자를 도출하였고, 도출된 결과를 바탕으로 화학물질 배상 책임 위험도 산정 방법을 수정·보완하였다. 14종의 화학물질의 Probit 값과 EURAM 배상책임 위험도의 상관계수는 -0.526로 나타났고, 수정된 화학물질 누출사고 배상책임 위험도와의 상관계수는 0.319로 상관성이 있는 것으로 분석되었다. 수정된 산정 방법론으로 97종에 대한 배상책임 위험도와 ERPG-2 값의 상관계수는 -0.494로 분석되었고, 이는 기존 배상책임 위험도와의 상관관계보다 약 19배 높은 상관관계를 보였고, 부식위험도 값과의 상관계수는 0.91로 분석되었다. 위험도의 증가와 감소에 영향을 미친 상관관계 인자의 표준화 회귀계수(β) 값은 Corrosion Index (0.713), ERPG-2 (0.400), NFPA_Health Index (0.068) 크기 순서로 도출되었다. 이러한 연구결과는 기존과 신규 화학물질의 합리적인 배상책임 위험도 산정이 가능하게 하고, 사업장에서 정량적인 배상책임 위험관리 지표로 활용하는데 도움이 되리라 판단된다.

• Safe Food
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• 제6권4호
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• pp.3-12
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• 2011

• 한국원자력학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국원자력학회 1998년도 춘계학술발표회논문집(1)
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• pp.838-843
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• 1998

Risk importance measures are widely wed to rank risk contributors in risk-based applications. Typically, Fussell-Vesely (F-V) importance and risk achievement worth (RAW) are used in the component importance raking for the reliability centered maintenance (RCM) analysis of safety system in nuclear power plants (NPPs). This study was performed as part of feasibility study on RCM for domestic NPPs, which is focused on the component importance ranking approach the maintenance recommendation. The approach of modulizing faulting tree basic events was applied in the simplification process of the PSA model and the validity of the approach was evaluated As a result of the case study, this paper included the importance and the maintenance recommendations for the safety-related equipments associated with safety injection and containment spray in large loss of coolant accident sequences.

• 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국방재학회 2008년도 정기총회 및 학술발표대회
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• pp.115-118
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• 2008

In this study, PROMETHEE(Preference Ranking Organization METHod for Enrichment Evaluations) which is one of the multi criteria decision making methods is applied to estimate the relative inundation risk of the urban subcatchment. For this purpose, five factors which have an effect on the inundation risk are selected and used to perform PROMETHEE. Those are elevation average, slope average, density of conduit, population and sediment yields per unit area of each subcatchment. Based on them, PROMETHEE is performed and the relative inundation risk for each subcatchment is estimated. Sensitivity anlysis is conducted to evaluate each factor's effect on subcatchment and it is found that suggested method can be used to establish a practical guide to mitigate the inundation.

• 한국식품위생안전성학회지
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• 제27권4호
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• pp.349-355
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• 2012

통합노출을 고려한 식품, 건강기능식품, 생약/한약제제, 화장품에서의 유해물질 관리의 우선순위를 선정하기 위해 기존 CRS에서 활용한 위해크기 뿐만 아니라 사회적 인식도를 조사한 후 전문가 평가를 통해 합의된 결과를 점수화하는 우선순위 선정 시스템을 구성하였다. 본 연구에서는 카드뮴, 납, 수은 및 비소 등 25종의 유해물질을 선별하고 선정된 25개 물질에 대해 기존의 우선순위 선정 시스템을 토대로 대상물질별 1) 위해의 크기 (노출 또는 위해수준), 2) 노출원을 고려한 가중치, 3) 관심도의 3가지면에 대해 점수를 산출하였다. 그 결과 25개 물질 중 최종점수는 카드뮴이 178.5점으로 가장 높았으며, 비스페놀 A가 56.8점으로 가장 낮았다. 최종점수가 100점 이상인 물질은 카드뮴, 납, 수은, 비소, 타르, 아크릴아마이드, 벤조피렌, 알루미늄, 벤젠 및 PAHs의 10종이었으며, 아플라톡신, 망간, 프탈레이트, 크롬, 아질산염, 에틸카바메이트, 포름알데히드 및 구리의 8종 물질은 70점 이상이었다. 그 외 이산화황, 오크라톡신 등 7종의 물질이 50점 이상으로 평가되었다. 평가된 최종점수의 타당성 평가를 위해 변수 간의 관련성과 지표간의 상관성분석을 분석한 결과, 노출원에 가중치를 고려한 위해크기가 가중치를 고려하지 않은 위해크기에 비해 최종점수와 관심도 모두 상관성이 높게 나타났으며, 통계적으로 매우 유의한 것으로 나타났다. 이처럼 통합노출을 고려한 유해물질 관리의 우선순위 연구는 위해평가 및 위해관리 측면에서 활용 가능 할 것으로 판단되어 진다.

• Safety and Health at Work
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• 제6권4호
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• pp.345-352
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• 2015

Background: Goal-oriented communication of risk of hazards is necessary in order to reduce risk of workers' exposure to chemicals. Adequate training of workers and enterprise priority setting are essential elements. Cleaning enterprises have many challenges and the existing paradigms influence the risk levels of these enterprises. Methods: Information on organization and enterprises' prioritization in training programs was gathered from cleaning enterprises. A measure of enterprises' conceptual level of importance of chemical health hazards and a model for working out the risk index (RI) indicating enterprises' conceptual risk level was established and used to categorize the enterprises. Results: In 72.3% of cases, training takes place concurrently with task performances and in 67.4% experienced workers conduct the trainings. There is disparity between employers' opinion on competence level of the workers and reality. Lower conceptual level of importance was observed for cleaning enterprises of different sizes compared with regional safety delegates and occupational hygienists. Risk index values show no difference in risk level between small and large enterprises. Conclusion: Training of cleaning workers lacks the prerequisite for suitability and effectiveness to counter risks of chemical health hazards. There is dereliction of duty by management in the sector resulting in a lack of competence among the cleaning workers. Instituting acceptable easily attainable safety competence level for cleaners will conduce to risk reduction, and enforcement of attainment of the competence level would be a positive step.

• Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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• 제14권1호
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• pp.117-135
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• 2007

Globalization changes in market structures and consumer needs, as well as technology innovations force organizations to adopt new structures and collaborative networks to cope with rapidly changing environments. These Collaborative Networks are based on the Idea of virtual enterprise. A virtual enterprise(VE) is a temporary alliance of globally distributed independent enterprises that share core competencies and computer networks. This paper presents a proposal for a methodology to measure a key factor of success and risk First of all, we chose thirty experts' defines on virtual enterprise, fifteen are academic specialist and other fifteen are from industry. For this study we define twenty two factors determining VE's success and seventeen factors determining VE's risk using by Delphi method. And we built the influence model on virtual enterprise. A research model was established according to preceeding research and consensus on experts then the revised model of key factors on virtual enterprise. This survey was based on the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP). AHP is an approach to decision making that involves structuring multiple choice criteria into a hierarchy, the assessing the relative important of these criteria, comparing alternative for each criteria, and determining an overall ranking of the alternatives. A model was constructed as 3 level hierarchy. The hierarches are organizational, strategic, technical criteria. for success model on VE has 22 factors and 17 factors for risk model. They are selected by all 30 experts. 14 copies among 30 copies distributed to carry out on the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP). Consistency ratio confirm high validity and reliability of instrument and support theoretical model. The results of this study are summarized as follows. (1) This study presented success on VE influenced strategic criteria, and essential factor is Creating a value. Risk on VE influenced strategic criteria, and essential factor is Outcome/Distribution. (2) Its enable that ranking the criteria influence on VE. These are supported VE management and using guideline of VE.