• Title/Summary/Keyword: risk process

Search Result 2,871, Processing Time 0.027 seconds

The Effect of Project Risk and Risk Management on Software Development Project Performance (프로젝트 위험과 위험관리가 소프트웨어 개발 프로젝트 성과에 미치는 영향)

  • Suh, Chang-Kyo;Jeong, Eun-Hee
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
    • /
    • v.13 no.2
    • /
    • pp.199-217
    • /
    • 2003
  • Based on the IS literature on software project risk management, we developed an integrated model to investigate the risk factors and risk management factors in project development. We also analyzed the interrelation between project risk and project risk management. The questionaries are collected from 83 project leaders. We tested reliability and validity of the measure and analyzed the obtained data. The results support our risk-based hypothesis that shows the importance of risk management in reducing project risks and improving performance of project and process.

Determination of Risk-Adjusted Discount Rate for the Valuation of Technology of Technology Firm (기술기업의 기술가치평가시 위험조정 할인율의 결정)

  • 성웅현
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
    • /
    • v.5 no.1
    • /
    • pp.59-71
    • /
    • 2002
  • Risk, or exposure to uncertainty, is an inherent of risk-adjusted discount rate. It is therefore important part factor in the determination of risk-adjusted discount rate. This paper suggests the method to quantify risk and explains the process how to transfer quantified risk into incremental discount rate. The estimates of underlying risks will help determine the size of appropriate risk-adjusted discount rate with logical and scientific way when the technology valuation is made.

  • PDF

The role of risk perception for the definition of acceptable risk (위험 인식이 위험성 수용 기준 설정에 미치는 역할)

  • 노삼규
    • Fire Science and Engineering
    • /
    • v.9 no.2
    • /
    • pp.3-9
    • /
    • 1995
  • Acceptable risk problem are decision problems they requires a choice among different estimations of technological risks. The alternative option includes a threat to life among its consequences. However, the definition used to ignore the public's perceived risk which should be identified as acceptable risk. The study examine the role of perception of risk as acceptable risk between different situations of estimated consequence and probability of risk. The cost benefit principle for the reduction of risk applied to find the possible solutions with in decision making process.

  • PDF

Construction of an Exposure Matrix Using a Risk Assessment of Industries and Processes Involving Dichloromethane (작업환경측정 자료를 활용한 Dichloromethane 노출 매트릭스 구축에 대한 연구)

  • Lee, Jae-Hwan;Park, Dong-Uk;Hong, Sung-Chul;Ha, Kwon-Chul
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
    • /
    • v.36 no.5
    • /
    • pp.391-401
    • /
    • 2010
  • A reduction in risk of occupational exposure to chemical hazards within the workplace has been the focus of attention both through industry initiatives and legislation. The aims of this study were to develop an exposure matrix by industry and process, and to apply this matrix to control the risk of occupational exposure to Dichloromethane (DCM). The exposure matrix is a tool to convert information on industry and process into information on occupational risk. The exposure matrix comprised industries and processes involving DCM, based on an exposure database provided by KOSHA (the Korean Occupational Safety and Health Agency), which was gathered from a workplace hazards evaluation program in Korea. The risk assessment of the exposure matrix was performed using Hallmark risk assessment tool. The results of the risk assessment were indicated by a Danger Value (DV) calculated from the combination of hazard rating (HR), duration of use rating (DUR), and risk probability rating (RPR) of exposure to the chemical, and were divided into four control bands which were related to control measures. The applicability of the risk assessment of the exposure matrix was evaluated by a field study, and survey of the employees of the exposure matrix groups. Among 45 industries examined, this study found that greater attention should be paid to two industries: the manufacture of other optical instruments and photographic equipment, and the manufacture of printing ink, and to one process among 47 examined, the packing process in the manufacture of printing ink, because these were regarded as carrying the highest risk. This tool of a risk assessment for the exposure matrix can be applied as a general exposure information system for hazard control, risk quantification, setting the occupational exposure limit, and hazard surveillance. The exposure matrix includes workforce data, and it provides information on the numbers of exposed workers in Korea by agent, occupation, and level of exposure and risk.

Risk Value Calculation Method for Moderate Risk Concentration Type at Qualitative Risk Analysis Phase (정성적 위험분석 단계에서 중간위험 집중형 위험도 산정 방법)

  • Kim, Seon-Gyoo
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
    • /
    • v.16 no.2
    • /
    • pp.38-45
    • /
    • 2015
  • The risk analysis phase of construction risk management process is subdivided into the qualitative risk analysis that plays a major role, and the quantitative risk analysis acting as a supportive role. The traditional calculation method for quantifying a risk value that has been applied so far is an equation to multiply a probability by an impact simply, but its result shows the low risk value biased distribution. Although another equation that shows the high risk biased distribution as an alternative of traditional method was proposed, both of the low or high risk biased equations do not match with the statistical general knowledge that most natural phenomenons are close to the normal distribution. This study proposes a new risk value calculation method that is concentrated to the moderate risk value. Because the risk value distribution by a new method shows a normal shape similar to natural phenomenon, it helps to choose a middle level not biased to the low or high levels when choosing the level of risk response. Furthermore, it could contribute to improve the flexibility and rationality of risk analysis method by providing additional options for the risk value calculation.

Measuring the Confidence of Human Disaster Risk Case based on Text Mining (텍스트마이닝 기반의 인적재난사고사례 신뢰도 측정연구)

  • Lee, Young-Jai;Lee, Sung-Soo
    • The Journal of Information Systems
    • /
    • v.20 no.3
    • /
    • pp.63-79
    • /
    • 2011
  • Deducting the risk level of infrastructure and buildings based on past human disaster risk cases and implementing prevention measures are important activities for disaster prevention. The object of this study is to measure the confidence to proceed quantitative analysis of various disaster risk cases through text mining methodology. Indeed, by examining confidence calculation process and method, this study suggests also a basic quantitative framework. The framework to measure the confidence is composed into four stages. First step describes correlation by categorizing basic elements based on human disaster ontology. Secondly, terms and cases of Term-Document Matrix will be created and the frequency of certain cases and terms will be quantified, the correlation value will be added to the missing values. In the third stage, association rules will be created according to the basic elements of human disaster risk cases. Lastly, the confidence value of disaster risk cases will be measured through association rules. This kind of confidence value will become a key element when deciding a risk level of a new disaster risk, followed up by preventive measures. Through collection of human disaster risk cases related to road infrastructure, this study will demonstrate a case where the four steps of the quantitative framework and process had been actually used for verification.

Risk management applicable to shield TBM tunnel: II. Risk analysis methodology (쉴드 TBM 터널에 적용 가능한 리스크 관리: II. 리스크 분석 방법)

  • Hyun, Ki-Chang;Min, Sang-Yoon;Moon, Joon-Bai;Jeong, Gyeong-Hwan;Lee, In-Mo
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
    • /
    • v.14 no.6
    • /
    • pp.683-697
    • /
    • 2012
  • In this paper, a risk analysis methodology applicable to shield TBM tunnels was studied. Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) was utilized to identify all risk items and to calculate the probability of failure of each item and Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) was used to obtain the impact of each risk item. Finally, a risk level of each risk item can be assessed. Developed methodology is applied to a Seoul subway site in which EPB shield tunnel method was utilized and it was found that risk analysis results matched reasonably well with field data.

A Study on the Relationship between Perceived Risks and Return Behavior on Internet Clothing Shopping (인터넷 의류구매 시 소비자의 위험지각과 반품과의 관계)

  • Ji, Hye-Kyung
    • Fashion & Textile Research Journal
    • /
    • v.10 no.6
    • /
    • pp.917-925
    • /
    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study was to find out the relationship between consumer's perceived risks and return behavior on internet clothing shopping. Questionnaires were distributed to the consumers, total 517, males and females, aged from 20 to 39, who had experience of clothing purchasing through internet shopping malls. The results showed that consumer's return factors related to the perceived risks on internet shopping process. The results were as follows. First, factors of perceived risks in internet clothing shopping were categorized into product performance, account-related, delivery, economic, and social psychological risk. 5 consumer types of perceived risk were segmented by low-perceived risk group, product performance/delivery-perceived risk group, account related-perceived risk group, harmony with oneself/account related-perceived risk group, and harmony with others/economic-perceived risk group. Second, the consumer's perceived risks on internet shopping process affected one's return behavior. The factors of return was differentiated on the types of consumer's perceived risk. The relation between consumer's perceived risks and return behavior on internet clothing shopping was significant. Therefore company had better draw various strategies to manage consumer's perceived risk, in order to reduce the returns and improve consumer's satisfaction.

Potential Explosion Risk Comparison between SMR and DMR Liquefaction Processes at Conceptual Design Stage of FLNG (FLNG개념설계 단계에서 SMR 및 DMR 액화공정의 잠재적 폭발위험도 비교)

  • You, Wonwo;Chae, Minho;Park, Jaeuk;Lim, Youngsub
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • v.32 no.2
    • /
    • pp.95-105
    • /
    • 2018
  • An FLNG (floating liquefied natural gas) or LNG FPSO (floating production, storage and offloading) unit is a notable offshore unit with the increasing demand for LNG. The liquefaction process on an FLNG unit is the most important process because it determines the economic feasibility, but would be a hazard source because of the large quantity of hydrocarbons. While a high efficiency process such as C3MR has been preferred for onshore liquefaction processes, a relatively simple process such as the SMR (single mixed refrigerant) or DMR (dual mixed refrigerant) liquefaction process has been selected for offshore units because they require a more compact size, lighter weight, and higher safety due to their space limitation for facilities and long distance from shore. It is known that an SMR has the advantages of a simple configuration, small footprint, and lower risk. However, with an increased production rate, the inherent safety of SMR needs to be evaluated because of its small train capacity. In this study, the potential explosion risks of the SMR and DMR liquefaction processes were evaluated at the conceptual design stage. The results showed that an SMR has a lower overpressure than a DMR at the same frequency, only with a small production capacity of 0.9 MTPA. With increased capacity, the overpressure of the SMR was higher than that of the DMR. The increased number of trains increased the frequency in spite of the small amount of equipment per train. This showed that the inherent risk of an SMR is not always lower than that of a DMR, and an additional risk management strategy is recommended when an SMR is selected as the concept for an FLNG liquefaction process compared to the DMR liquefaction process.

Stationary distribution of the surplus process in a risk model with a continuous type investment

  • Cho, Yang Hyeon;Choi, Seung Kyoung;Lee, Eui Yong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.23 no.5
    • /
    • pp.423-432
    • /
    • 2016
  • In this paper, we stochastically analyze the continuous time surplus process in a risk model which involves a continuous type investment. It is assumed that the investment of the surplus to other business is continuously made at a constant rate, while the surplus process stays over a given sufficient level. We obtain the stationary distribution of the surplus level and/or its moment generating function by forming martingales from the surplus process and applying the optional sampling theorem to the martingales and/or by establishing and solving an integro-differential equation for the distribution function of the surplus level.