• 제목/요약/키워드: risk process

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정량적 위험성 평가에 의한 안전관리 투자의 비용-편익분석 (Cost-Benefit Analysis for Safety Management Cost using Quantitative Risk Analysis)

  • 장서일;조지훈;김태옥
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제4권4호
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    • pp.15-26
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    • 2002
  • The quantitative evaluation method of the safety management cost was suggested to prevent a gas accident as a major industrial accident. In a gas governor station, process risk assessments such as the fault tree analysis(FTA) and the consequence analysis were performed. Based on process risk assessments, potential accident costs were estimated and the cost-benefit analysis(CBA) was performed. From the cost-benefit analysis for five classification items of safety management cost, the order of the cost/benefit ratio was estimated.

SIMPLIFIED APPROACH TO VALUATION OF VULNERABLE EXCHANGE OPTION UNDER A REDUCED-FORM MODEL

  • Huh, Jeonggyu;Jeon, Jaegi;Kim, Geonwoo
    • East Asian mathematical journal
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    • 제37권1호
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    • pp.79-85
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    • 2021
  • In this paper, we investigate the valuation of vulnerable exchange option that has credit risk of option issuer. The reduced-form model is used to model credit risk. We assume that credit event is determined by the jump of the counting process with stochastic intensity, which follows the mean reverting process. We propose a simple approach to derive the closed-form pricing formula of vulnerable exchange option under the reduced-form model and provide the pricing formula as the standard normal cumulative function.

공급사슬 위험평가 및 위험관리전략이 공급사슬 운영성과에 미치는 영향 (The Risk Assessment Effects of SCM and the Strategy of Risk Management on Supply Chain Performance)

  • 김동정;이영재
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.173-186
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    • 2014
  • This study outlines possible risk factors in the SCM of a company and correlates risk assessment, the strategy of risk management, and the supply chain performance. The data is surveyed from an international Korean company and is analyzed by the structure equation model of actual proof. The research model verifies the correlation between the risk assessment, the strategy of risk management, and the supply chain performance as dependent variables after the risk factors of the SCM are defined as independent variables. The research shows that there are consecutive links among the risk factors of the SCM, the risk assessment, and the strategy of risk management. The strategy of risk management was conclusively determined to have an effect on supply chain performance. Therefore, improving the supply chain performance of a company requires the constructive process for risk management based on a correlation between risk assessment and the strategy of risk management.

K-PSR 기법을 활용한 회분식 폴리에스터 축합반응에서의 공정 위험성 평가 연구 (Process Risk Assessment for a Batch Condensation Reaction of Polyester Resin using K-PSR Technique)

  • 박경민;이동규;이학일;이준만;안원술
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.35-42
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    • 2019
  • 회분식 축합반응에 의하여 폴리에스터 수지를 제조하는 중 소규모 화학 공장에 대하여 공정안전관리제도 (PSM)의 시행에 활용되는 위험성평가 방법들 중의 하나인 K-PSR 기법을 이용하여 위험성 평가 및 분석을 진행하였다. K-PSR 기법은 중 소규모 화학공장에 대한 위험성 재평가 시에 나타나는 인프라 부족에 의한 어려운 점을 보완하기 위하여 KOSHA에서 개발한 위험성 평가 기법이다. K-PSR 기법을 적용하기 위하여 선택된 화학 공장의 전체 공정을 축합반응공정과 희석/여과 공정의 2 개의 검토구간을 설정하고, 이에 대한 4가지 가이드워드(누출, 화재 폭발, 공정 트러블, 및 상해)를 기초로 하여 공정상의 잠재위험을 찾아내어 분류하였다. 연구의 결과로서, 위험도 등급을 고려한 안전조치로는 첫째, 누출 및 화재 폭발의 잠재 위험성을 예방하기 위한 구체적인 조치로서는 노후설비에 대한 비파괴 검사 및 전기설비의 LOTO 절차서의 마련이 반드시 필요한 것으로 확인되었다. 둘째, 열매체 공급 배관에는 압력계 및 온도계를 설치하여 공정 트러블을 최소화하고, 마지막으로 국소배기장치를 설치하여 잠재적인 상해를 예방해야 함을 알 수 있었다.

AHP 기법을 이용한 부유식 해상 풍력 단지 내 근해자망어업 위험 요인 분석 (Analysis of the risk factors for offshore gillnet fisheries in the floating offshore wind farms based on AHP technique)

  • 안종갑;박유진;정유진;안영수
    • 수산해양기술연구
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    • 제59권4호
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    • pp.354-361
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    • 2023
  • In this study, the AHP (analytic hierarchy process) technique was used to analyze the risk of expected risk factors and fishing possibilities during gillnet fishing within the floating offshore wind farms (floating OWF). For this purpose, the risks that may occur during gillnet fishing within the floating offshore wind farms were defined as collisions, entanglements, and snags. In addition, the risk factors that cause these risks were classified into three upper risk factors and ten sub risk factors, and the three alternatives to gillnet fishing available within the floating OWF were classified and a hierarchy was established. Lastly, a survey was conducted targeting fisheries and marine experts and the response results were analyzed. As a result of the analysis, among the top risk factors, the risk was the greatest when laying fishing gear. The risk of the sub factors for each upper risk was found to be the highest at the berthing (mooring), the final hauling of fishing net, and the laying of the bottom layer net. Based on the alternatives, the average of the integrated risk rankings showed that allowing full navigation/fisheries had the highest risk. As a result of the final ranking analysis of the integrated risk, the overall ranking of allowing navigation/fisheries in areas where bottom layer nets were laid was ranked the first when moving vessels within the floating OWF was analyzed as the lowest integrated risk ranking of the 30th at the ban on navigation/fisheries. Through this, navigation was analyzed to be possible while it was analyzed that the possibility of gillnet fishing within the floating OWF was not high.

정량적 위험성평가 기반 수소충전소 위험요소 분석 연구 (A Study on the Analysis of Risk Factors for Hydrogen Fuel Stations Based on Quantitative Risk Assessment)

  • 이재용;이지은;송형운
    • 한국가스학회지
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    • 제24권6호
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    • pp.70-76
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    • 2020
  • 본 논문에서는 충주시 설치 예정인 수소충전소를 대상으로 하여 공정별 위험요소를 분석하여 위험도를 낮출 수 있는 방향을 제시하였다. 위험요소를 분석하기 위해 수소 가스의 정량적 위험성 평가 도구 중 하나인 HyRAM을 이용하였다. 공정별로 사고 빈도와 사고 영향을 평가하여 가장 위험한 공정과 사고 요소를 제시하였으며, 이를 종합한 위험 감쇄 요인을 도출하였다. 수소충전소는 현재 세계적으로 인프라 확충 시기이기 때문에 사고 데이터가 부족해 이러한 위험성 평가가 대안이 될 수 있으며 향후 늘어나게 될 수소충전소 건립에 참고자료로 쓰일 수 있을 것으로 예상된다.

양식어업 어장관리선에 승선하는 어선원의 안전사고 위험요인 분석 (Analysis of risk factors for safety accidents for fisher onboard aquaculture fisheries management vessel)

  • 이승현;김수형;류경진;이유원
    • 수산해양기술연구
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    • 제60권2호
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    • pp.170-178
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    • 2024
  • This study aimed to quantitatively analyze the risk using data from 329 safety accidents that occurred in aquaculture fisheries management vessels over the recent five years (2018-2022). For quantitative risk analysis, the Bayesian network proposed by the International Maritime Organization (IMO) was used to analyze the risk level according to the fishing process and cause of safety accidents. Among the work processes, the fishing process was analyzed to have the highest risk, being 12.5 times that of the navigation, 2.7 times that of the maintenance, and 8.8 times that of the loading and unloading. Among the causes of accidents, the hull and working environment showed the highest risk, being 1.7 times that of fishing gear and equipment, 4.7 times that of machinery and equipment, and 9.4 times that of external environment. By quantitatively analyzing the safety accident risks for 64 combinations of these four work processes and four accident causes, this study provided fundamental data to reduce safety accidents occurring in aquaculture fisheries management vessels.

전자기록의 장기보존 전략을 위한 의사결정 프로세스 구현 (Implementation of Decision Making Process for Long-Term Preservation Strategy of Electronic Records)

  • 차현철
    • 한국멀티미디어학회논문지
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    • 제23권9호
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    • pp.1201-1209
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    • 2020
  • Based on the risk factor evaluation for the file format, this paper defines the procedures for presenting the long-term preservation plan for that format and the technical information registry necessary for building the system. This is a procedure to perform a risk assessment for the format, evaluate the risk, and select a long-term preservation strategy based on the information registered in the registry and information on the external signature and internal signature of the electronic record. We also reviewed the criteria for selecting appropriate long-term preservation strategies in the process and provided the criteria for adopting each detailed strategy of migration and emulation, which are long-term preservation strategies. And we implemented this process as a long-term preservation decision support system. This system can be used to provide guidelines for the maintenance, management, service and long-term preservation of information resources of electronic records in public institutions such as National Archives of Korea and Libraries.

하천재해예방사업의 성과에 미치는 리스크 영향요인 (Risk Influencing Factors in Performance of River Disaster Prevention Project)

  • 조진호;김병수
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제40권4호
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    • pp.417-428
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    • 2020
  • 건설프로젝트 특성은 기획단계에서부터 목적물이 완공될 때까지 다양한 이해관계자의 참여가 수반되며, 이러한 특성은 불확실성을 높이는 원인이 된다. 건설프로젝트 성공을 위해서는 리스크에 대한 분석과 적절한 대응이 필요하다. 따라서 본 연구는 건설프로젝트 중 하천재해예방사업의 성공을 위한 리스크 관리요인의 영향력과 시공과정에서 관련된 이해관계자 간의 커뮤니케이션 조절효과를 확인하고자 하였다. 시공과정의 리스크 관리요인의 도출은 델파이기법과 설문조사는 스노우볼 샘플링 방법을 그리고 분석은 SPSS Statistic 20과 SmartPLS 2.0을 이용하였다. 연구결과, 프로젝트 성과에 대한 리스크 관리 요소의 영향력은 공기리스크, 품질리스크, 원가리스크, 안전리스크, 건설환경리스크 순으로 나타났다. 또한, 커뮤니케이션 조절효과의 영향력은 원가리스크, 품질리스크, 건설환경리스크, 공기리스크, 안전리스크 순으로 나타났다. 본 연구에서 하천재해예방사업 관련 이해관계자 간의 커뮤니케이션은 프로젝트성과에 미치는 영향력의 순위를 바꿀 만큼 조절효과가 있다는 것을 확인할 수 있었다. 이는 하천재해예방사업 시공과정에서 커뮤니케이션의 중요성을 보여주는 결과이다. 본 연구는 하천재해예방사업의 리스크 관리요인과 커뮤니케이션의 중요성을 규명했다는 점에서 중요한 의의를 가진다.

동적 모델링을 통한 업무 재설계 (Process Redesign Through Dynamic Modeling)

  • 김희웅;김영걸
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.175-190
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    • 1997
  • Organizational change projects such as Business Process Redisign (BPR) have been perceived to incur high risk due to their high management complexity, enterprise-wide impace, and steep project cost. This research intends to reduce such risk by developing a systematic process redesign methods, called Dynamic Process Modeling (DPM) method. DPM integrates the customer-oriented business process modeling technique with computerized visual simulation technique to promote better understanding of the target process and enable performance simulation of the proposed redesign alternatives prior to actual BPR implementations. For the cusstomer-oriented process modeling, we propose Dynamic-Event Process Chain (Dynamic-EPC) extending from the conceptual customer process model, Event-Process Chain (EPC). We compare DPM with four other implementation-level process modeling methods over eight criteria and demonstrate its effectiveness by applying it to the real-world hospital BPR case.

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