• 제목/요약/키워드: risk assessment factor

검색결과 606건 처리시간 0.027초

Reliability and risk assessment for rainfall-induced slope failure in spatially variable soils

  • Zhao, Liuyuan;Huang, Yu;Xiong, Min;Ye, Guanbao
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.207-217
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    • 2020
  • Slope reliability analysis and risk assessment for spatially variable soils under rainfall infiltration are important subjects but they have not been well addressed. This lack of study may in part be due to the multiple and diverse evaluation indexes and the low computational efficiency of Monte-Carlo simulations. To remedy this, this paper proposes a highly efficient computational method for investigating random field problems for slopes. First, the probability density evolution method (PDEM) is introduced. This method has high computational efficiency and does not need the tens of thousands of numerical simulation samples required by other methods. Second, the influence of rainfall on slope reliability is investigated, where the reliability is calculated from based on the safety factor curves during the rainfall. Finally, the uncertainty of the sliding mass for the slope random field problem is analyzed. Slope failure consequences are considered to be directly correlated with the sliding mass. Calculations showed that the mass that slides is smaller than the potential sliding mass (shallow surface sliding in rainfall). Sliding mass-based risk assessment is both needed and feasible for engineered slope design. The efficient PDEM is recommended for problems requiring lengthy calculations such as random field problems coupled with rainfall infiltration.

RUSLE 기법을 이용한 경주지역의 토양침식 위험도 평가 (Risk Assessment of Soil Erosion in Gyeongju Using RUSLE Method)

  • 오정학;유주한;김경태;이우성
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.313-324
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study is to present the raw data for establishing the plan of top soil conservation in soil environment and preventing the soil loss by establishing the potential amount of soil loss using RUSLE. The results are as follows. To apply the RUSLE model, we calculated the potential amount of soil loss by using 5 factors; rainfall erosion factor(R), topographical factor(LS), soil erosion factor(K), land cover factor(C) and erosion control factor(P). The assessment map of soil loss was drawn up by classifying 5 grades. According to the soil loss estimation by the RUSLE, it showed that approximately 83.9% of the study area had relatively lower possibility of soil loss which was the 1 ton/ha in annual soil loss. Whereas, the 7.0% of the study area was defined as high risk area which was the 10 ton/ha in annual. Therefore, this area was needed that there was environment-friendly construction of farm land, improvement of cultivation environment and so forth. In future, if we will analyze the amount of soil loss of Gyeongju national park and Hyeongsan river watershed, we will offer the help to establishing the conservation plan of soil environment in Gyeongsangbuk-do.

건설현장의 위험성평가 효율적 활용을 위한 운영 시스템 구축사례 분석 - H 건설사 사례중심으로 (Analysis of Operation System Establishment Cases for Efficient use of Risk Assessment at Construction Sites - H Focusing on Construction Company Cases)

  • 이재붕
    • 한국재난정보학회 논문집
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    • 제18권4호
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    • pp.828-838
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    • 2022
  • 연구목적: 위험성평가의 전산시스템 구축을 통해 건설현장에서 위험성평가 대상 공종 근로자가 쉽게 작성할 수 있고 효율적 위험성평가 활동으로 재해 저감을 기대할 수 있는지의 사례 분석을 목적으로 한다. 연구방법: 작업공종 분류만으로 해당작업의 위험요인과 안전대책을 제공받아 위험추정과 대책수립을 할 수 있으며, 해당작업의 재해사례 제시로 실질적 재해예방 활동이 가능하도록 시스템을 구축하였다. 연구결과: H건설사의 ERP내 위험성평가 전산시스템 구축 이후 현장적용에 따른 년간 환산재해율 변화분석을 통해 국내 건설업의 환산재해율이 증가하는 반면 H건설사의 환산재해율은 감소하였음을 확인하였다. 결론: 위험성평가 전산시스템화를 통해 현장작업 대상 근로자가 위험성평가에 쉽게 접근할 수 있고 해당공정의 위험요인 평가 및 위험예방 대책의 수립이 가능하게 되어, 평가 기간 동안 실제 재해율 감소에 영향이 있는 것으로 분석되었다.

An Analysis on the Relative Importance of the Risk Factors for the Marine Traffic Environment using Analytic Hierarchy Process

  • Lee, Hong-Hoon;Kim, Chol-Seong
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.257-263
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    • 2013
  • The classification of risk factors and the identification of risk acceptance criteria are core works to assess risk levels with high enough confidential level in the field of marine traffic environment. In the previous study work, the twenty kinds of risk factors and its assessment criteria for the domestic marine traffic environment were proposed. In this paper, with these previous studying results, the relative importance of the risk factors were analyzed by questionnaire survey of marine traffic experts using the analytic hierarchy process. The analysis results showed that the relative importance of the visibility restriction is the highest among the twenty kinds of risk factors, and the relative importance of the traffic condition is the highest among the five kinds of risk categories. As results from analysis, it is expected that the approaching method on the relative importance is to be one of basic techniques for the development of risk assessment models in the domestic marine traffic environment.

MNA (Mini Nutritional Assessment)를 이용한 건강증진센터 내원 노인의 영양상태 판정 (Nutrition Assessment of Older Subjects in a Health Care Center by MNA (Mini Nutritional Assessment))

  • 이혜옥;이정숙;신지원;이금주
    • 대한영양사협회학술지
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.122-132
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    • 2010
  • Elderly people comprise an increasing proportion of the population, and nutritional impairments may contribute to health problems among this group. This study was conducted to evaluate the nutritional status by Mini-Nutritional Assessment (MNA) and to identify relationships among anthropometric measurements, biochemical indicators, bone Mineral Density (BMD) and MNA results among older adults (${\geq}$65 yrs, n=98, 66.7${\pm}$2.5 yrs; M=52, F=46, BMI 24.5${\pm}$2.8 $kg/m^2$) at a Health Care Center. A dietitian administered MNA and collected anthropometric measurements (weight, height, waist circumference), biochemical indicators (albumin, hemoglobin, hematocrit, TLC, glucose, lipids) and the BMD (spine, femur, F=46). Subjects were grouped into a normal nutrition group (0~2 risk factors of malnutrition) and a high risk of malnutrition group (>=3 risk factors of malnutrition) based on their risk factor status for malnutrition. The risk factors for malnutrition include age ${\geq}$65 years, PIBW <90%, albumin <3.5 g/dl, TLC <1,500%, Hgb <14 g/dl (men), Hgb <10 g/dl (women), loss of appetite and weight loss 1~3 kg/last 3 months. In addition, subjects were grouped into a normal, osteopenia and osteoporosis group by BMD. We found that 12% of the subjects were at risk of malnutrition (MNA score, 21.4${\pm}$2.1) and that 88% were well nourished (27.3${\pm}$1.5) according to the MNA. Full-MNA scores were positively and significantly (p<0.05) associated with BMI, mid-arm circumference (MAC), calf circumference (CC), albumin and hemoglobin, respectively. The full-MNA score of the high risk of malnutrition group (23.0${\pm}$3.8) was lower than that of the normal nutrition group (27.0${\pm}$2.1) (p<0.05). In addition, the Full-MNA score was negatively associated with the risk factor of malnutrition (r=-0.35, p=0.0004). We found that 39.1% of the subjects had osteoporosis, 45.7% had osteopenia and 15.2% were normal according to their BMD. The MNA score of osteoporosis group (24.58${\pm}$3.3) was lower than that of the normal (27.4${\pm}$1.1) and osteopenia group (26.9${\pm}$1.5) (p<0.05). These results suggested that MNA can be useful as a nutritional screening tool of older adults in Health Care Centers.

춘천시의 지하 저장 탱크의 예비적 위해성 평가를 위한 설치 현황 분석 및 지리정보시스템의 적용 (Analysis of Installation Status and Application of GIS for Preliminary Risk Assessment of Underground Storage Tanks in Chuncheon City)

  • 김준현;한영한;이종춘;권영성;이광연
    • 산업기술연구
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    • 제22권A호
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    • pp.127-135
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    • 2002
  • In this study, the preliminary risk assessment for the underground storage tanks(UST) in Chunchon city was implemented using the geographical information system(GIS). The estimation variables, such as the installation year, storage capacity, the distances from streams, and from groundwater pumping wells, were selected to estimate the relative risk levels. The weighting factors were given to all the estimation variables. Cumulative scores were induced by the combination of all the scores of the corresponding variables using the buffering technique and the overlay analysis in ArcView. Using the these process, the relative risk level of each UST was estimated. Some sites in this study are simplified and reduced because the number of useable data are limited or too enormous. Thus the selection of the comprehensive estimation variables and the proper weighting values are required for the future study. The methodology in this study could be served not only for the preliminary risk assessment of UST but also for the selection of the proper location of new and old UST. And, it can be used for the effective management system of UST.

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식품가열에 따른 Benzo[a]pyrene 생성 및 한국인의 발암 위해성 평가 (Pyrolytic Formation of Benzo[a]pyrene in Foods During Heating and Cancer Risk Assessment in Koreans)

  • 최옥경;이병무
    • 한국식품위생안전성학회지
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.133-139
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    • 1994
  • The pyrolytic formation of benzo[a]pyrene during the cooking procedure was analysed in beef, pork, pacific saury, rice, and soybean by HPLC. In raw foods, benzo[a]pyrene (B[a]P) was not detected or negligible, but it was increasingly formed when foods were boiled (0.010~0.037 ppb) and more dramatically during broiling (0.302~0.851 ppb) in a time dependent manner. Human daily intake of B[a]P in Koreans and cancer risk assessment were estimated based on food consumption per capita and carcinogenic potency of B[a]P. When cooked foods were consumed for entire life time, cancer risk was estimated to bo 1.77$\times$10-6>1.65$\times$10-7>1.32$\times$10-8 by the order of broiled, boiled, and raw foods consumption. These data suggest that broiled foods produce more benzo[a]pyrene than water boiled foods. Thus cooking procedure is an important factor for the formation of carcinogens and needs to bo modified to reduce cancer risk for man.

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송전선로 직접활선공법의 위험요인과 안전대책에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Hazard Factor and Safety Management at Transmission Line During Live Line Works)

  • 최승동;강경식
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제8권3호
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    • pp.51-66
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    • 2006
  • This study was attempted to analyze risk factors and suggest accident prevention in live line works for power transmission lines to be developed and applied in Korea. Safety problem cannot but occur at development of live line works and application to the field. With respect to this, problems likely to occur in the field among works adopting methods of works including live line works for power transmission lines were investigated and analyzed through documentary survey and risk assessment method. The results are summarized as follows. A risk assessment method model was suggested. This method enables scientific and systematic development of safety control. That is, the owner may autonomously induce safety control and build risk assessment database by work process to use them as best training data for workers. Also, in the field, it may induce all workers to participate in safety program and secure safety by making workers seek for safety working method under smooth flow from looking at risk factors to accident prevention activities. It is deemed that this humble study will prevent both accident and injury likely to occur in live line works for power transmission lines.

단축형 노인 낙상위험 사정도구의 타당도 (Validation of the Short Form Bobath Memorial Hospital Fall Risk Assessment Scale at a Specialized Geriatric Hospital in Korea)

  • 송경애;박미화;정승교;박혜자
    • 한국보건간호학회지
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    • 제28권3호
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    • pp.495-508
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    • 2014
  • Purpose: This study was conducted in order to evaluate the reliability, validity, sensitivity, and specificity of the Short Form of Bobath Memorial Hospital Fall Risk Assessment Scale (BMFRAS-SF). Methods: A validation study was conducted on 207 elderly patients aged over 65 who were admitted to Bobath Memorial Hospital. Fall risk scores of BMFRAS, composed of eight subscales (age, fall history, physical activity, consciousness level, communication, fall risk factors, underlying disease, and medications) were assessed from the electronic medical record. BMFRAS-SF was derived from eight subscales of the BMFRAS representing the significance between fallers and non-fallers (fall history, physical activity, fall risk factors, underlying disease, and medications). Internal consistency reliability and interrater reliability were assessed by Cronbach's alpha and kappa coefficient. Validity was assessed by Spearman correlation analysis, factor analysis. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive and negative predictive values, and a receiver-operating characteristic curve (ROC) were generated. Results: Fallers had significantly higher risk scores than non-fallers in fall history, physical activity, fall risk factors, underlying disease, and medication scales. The BMFRAS-SF demonstrated acceptable Cronbach's alpha (.706) and kappa coefficients of .95. The BMFRAS-SF subscales showed good convergent validity and construct validity. The BMFRAS-SF presented good sensitivity(86.7%), specificity(67.9%), positive predictive value(42.9%) and good negative predictive value(94.8%) at a cut-off score of 5. Areas under the ROC curves were .860 for the BMFRAS and .861 for the BMFRAS-SF. Conclusion: The BMFRAS-SF was proved to be reliable and valid. It could be used for time-saving assessment and evaluation of the high risks for falls in clinical practice settings.

철도터널에서 위험인자가 정량적 위험도 평가에 미치는 영향 (The effect of a risk factor on quantitative risk assessment in railway tunnel)

  • 유지오;김진수;이동호;신현준
    • 한국터널지하공간학회 논문집
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.117-125
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    • 2015
  • 철도터널에 대한 정량적 위험도 평가는 다양한 시나리오를 작성하고 사고발생빈도 및 사고의 결과의 곱으로 위험도를 정량화하는 것이다. 정량적 위험도 평가는 터널제원, 화재특성, 제연방법, 제연과 대피방향의 관계 등 다양한 인자에 의해서 영향을 받는다. 이에 본 연구에서는 터널연장(2, 3, 4, 5, 6 km) 및 경사도(5, 15, 25‰)를 변수로 하여 제연방법 및 제연과 대피방향의 관계가 정량적 위험도 평가에 미치는 영향을 검토하였다. 이 결과로 복선터널 단면(단면적 $97m^2$)에서는 열차화재시 열차중 화재차량의 위치와 무관하게 제연반대방향으로 대피하는 것이 가장 효과적인 것으로 나타났다. 또한 이와 같은 조건에서 기계환기시 위험도지수가 자연환기 보다 약 1/10까지 감소하는 것으로 평가되었다.