• Title/Summary/Keyword: result failure

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2단계 EM 알고리즘을 이용한 공통원인 고장 분석 (Analysis of Common Cause Failure Using Two-Step Expectation and Maximization Algorithm)

  • 백장현;서재영;나만균
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제30권2호
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    • pp.63-71
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    • 2005
  • In the field of nuclear reactor safety study, common cause failures (CCFs) became significant contributors to system failure probability and core damage frequency in most Probabilistic risk assessments. However, it is hard to estimate the reliability of such a system, because of the dependency of components caused by CCFs. In order to analyze the system, we propose an analytic method that can find the parameters with lack of raw data. This study adopts the shock model in which the failure probability increases as the shock is cumulated. We use two-step Expectation and Maximization (EM) algorithm to find the unknown parameters. In order to verify the analysis result, we perform the simulation under same environment. This approach might be helpful to build the defensive strategy for the CCFs.

와이블과정을 응용한 신뢰성 성장 모형에서의 MTBF 추정$^+$ (MTBF Estimator in Reliability Growth Model with Application to Weibull Process)

  • 이현우;김재주;박성현
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.71-81
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    • 1998
  • In reliability analysis, the time difference between the expected next failure time and the current failure time or the Mean Time Between Failure(MTBF) is of significant interest. Until recently, in reliability growth studies, the reciprocal of the intensity function at current failure time has been used as being equal to MTBE($t_n$)at the n-th failure time $t_n$. That is MTBF($t_n$)=l/$\lambda (t_n)$. However, such a relationship is only true for Homogeneous Poisson Process(HPP). Tsokos(1995) obtained the upper bound and lower bound for the MTBF($t_n$) and proposed an estimator for the MTBF($t_n$) as the mean of the two bounds. In this paper, we provide the estimator for the MTBF($t_n$) which does not depend on the value of the shape parameter. The result of the Monte Carlo simulation shows that the proposed estimator has better efficiency than Tsokos's estimator.

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전력변환장치에서의 DC 출력 필터 커패시터의 온라인 고장 검출기법 (On-line Failure Detection Method of DC Output Filter Capacitor in Power Converters)

  • 손진근
    • 전기학회논문지P
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    • 제58권4호
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    • pp.483-489
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    • 2009
  • Electrolytic capacitors are used in variety of equipments as smoothening element of the power converters because it has high capacitance for its size and low price. Electrolytic capacitors, which is most of the time affected by aging effect, plays a very important role for the power electronics system quality and reliability. Therefore it is important to estimate the parameter of an electrolytic capacitor to predict the failure. This objective of this paper is to propose a new method to detect the rise of equivalent series resistor(ESR) in order to realize the online failure prediction of electrolytic capacitor for DC output filter of power converter. The ESR of electrolytic capacitor estimated from RMS result of filtered waveform(BPF) of the ripple capacitor voltage/current. Therefore, the preposed online failure prediction method has the merits of easy ESR computation and circuit simplicity. Simulation and experimental results are shown to verify the performance of the proposed on-line method.

The Evaluation of Accident Management Strategy Involving Operator Action

  • Kim, Jaewhan;Jaejoo Ha
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제29권5호
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    • pp.368-374
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    • 1997
  • This paper presents a new approach to the evaluation of an accident management strategy when an operator action is involved. This approach classifies the failure in implementing a given strategy into 4 possible mechanisms, and provides their corresponding quantification methods : 1) the failure to formulate correct intention by operators, 2) the failure to take an adequate action following a correct diagnosis, 3) the failure of a system operation following an adequate action, and 4) the failure due to a delayed action. The proposed method was applied to assess a cavity flooding strategy that uses containment spray system (CSS), and the result shows that the method is more appropriate in evaluating accident management strategies when human action is involved.

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인장파단시간 및 응력측정에 의한 SAPH45의 수명예측 (Prediction of life of SAPH45 steel with measured fracture time and strength)

  • 박종민
    • 한국공작기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국공작기계학회 1998년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.269-273
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    • 1998
  • The failure of material structures or mechanical system is considered as a direct or indirect result of fatigue. In the design of mechanical structure for estimating of reliability, the prediction of failure life is the most important failure mode to be considered. However, because of a complicated behavior of fatigue in mechanical structure, the analysis of fatigue is in need of much researches on life prediction. This document presents a prediction of fatigue life of the SAPH45 steel, which is extensively for vehicle frame. The method using lethargy coefficient and stress distribution factor at pediction of fatigue life based on the consideration of the failure characteristics from the tensile test should be provided in this study.

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AE를 이용한 저어널 베어링에서의 윤활유 이물질 혼입의 영향 감시 (Monitoring of Lubrication Conditions in Journal Bearing by Acoustic Emission)

  • 윤동진;권요양;정민화;김경웅
    • 한국윤활학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국윤활학회 1993년도 제18회 학술대회 초록집
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    • pp.77-84
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    • 1993
  • Systems with journal bearings generally operate in large scale and under severe loading conditions such as steam generator turbines and internal combustion engines, in contrast to the machineries using rolling element bearings. Failure of the bearings in these machineries can result in the system breakdown. To avoid the time consuming repair and considerable economic loss, the detection of incipient failure in journal bearings becomes very important. In this experimental approach, acoustic emission monitoring is employed to the detection of incipient failure caused by intervention of foreign particles most probable in the journal bearing systems. It has been known that the intervention of foreign materials, insufficient lubrication and misassembly etc. are principal factors to cause bearing failure and distress. The experiment was conducted under such designed conditions as inserting alumina particles to the lubrication layer in the simulated journal bearing system. The results showed that acoustic emission could be an effective tool to detect the incipient failure in journal bearings.

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쪼갬인장 반복하중을 받는 콘크리트의 파괴확률 모델 (Failure Probability Models of Concrete Subjected to Split Tension Repeated- Loads)

  • 김동호;김경진;이봉학;윤경구
    • 한국콘크리트학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국콘크리트학회 2003년도 봄 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.311-314
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    • 2003
  • Concrete structures such as bridge, pavement, airfield, and offshore structure are normally subjected to repeated load. This paper proposes a failure probability models of concrete subjected to split tension repeated-loads, based on experimental results. The fatigue tests were performed at the stress ratio of 0.1, the loading shape of sine, the frequency of 20Hz, and the stress levels of 90, 80 and 70%. The fatigue test specimen was 150mm in diameter and 75mm in thickness. The fatigue analysis did not include which exceeded 0.9 of statistical coefficient of determination values or did not failure at 2$\times$$10^6$ cycles. The graphical method, the moment method, and maximum likelihood estimation method were used to obtain Weibull distribution parameters. The goodness-of-fit test by Kolmogorov-Smirnov test was acceptable 5% level of significance. As a result, the proposed failure probability model based on the two-parameter($\alpha and \mu$) Weibull distribution was good enough to estimate accurately the fatigue life subjected to tension mode.

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회전익기 연료펌프 안전성 평가 분석 (Safety Assessment Analysis of the Rotorcraft Fuel Pumps)

  • 이정훈;박장원
    • 한국항공운항학회지
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.21-25
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    • 2013
  • The system and components for aircraft are required the design data on which the safety requirements are properly reflected for their certification. This paper presents the procedure and results of a safety assessments analysis for the rotorcraft fuel pumps in oder to confirm and verify them. The fuel pumps design assessment must be performed, including a detailed failure analysis to identify all failures that will prevent continued safe flight or safe landing. In order to assess the fuel pumps design safety, not only system safety hazard analysis and but FTA(Fault Tree Analysis) for proofing the safety objective of the fuel pumps are performed. The results of the safety assessment for fuel pumps validate that no single failure or malfunction could result in catastrophic failure or critical accidents of the rotorcraft.

원자력터빈의 LTAM 전략개발을 위한 미래고장률 결정 및 적용 (A Determination and application of a future failure rate for LTAM strategies Development on Nuclear Turbines)

  • 신혜영;윤은섭
    • 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한기계학회 2008년도 추계학술대회B
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    • pp.2845-2849
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    • 2008
  • Long Term Asset Management(LTAM) means a plan developed by using LCM(Life Cycle Management) process for optimum life cycle management of significant plant assets at each plant across the fleet. As a part of development of LTAM Strategies on nuclear turbines, a method so as to determine the future failure rates for low pressure turbine facilities at a nuclear plant was studied and developed by using both plant specific and industry-wide performance data. INPO's EPIX data were analyzed and some failure rate evaluation values considering preventive maintenance practices were calculated by using EPRI's PM Basis software. As the result, failure rate functions applicable to a priori and a posteriori replacement of low pressure turbines at a nuclear plant were developed and utilized in an assessment of economics of LCM alternatives on the nuclear turbine facilities in the respects of 40-year and 60-year operation bases.

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An Investigation of the Effects of Flaperon Actuator Failure on Flight Maneuvers of a Supersonic Aircraft

  • Oh, Seyool;Cho, Inje;McLaughlin, Craig
    • International Journal of Aerospace System Engineering
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    • 제3권2호
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2016
  • The improvements in high performance and agility of modern fighter aircraft have led to improvements in survivability as well. Related to these performance increases are rapid response and adequate deflection of the control surfaces. Most control surface failures result from the failure of the actuator. Therefore, the failure and behavior of the actuators are essential to both combat aircraft survivability and maneuverability. In this study, we investigate the effects of flaperon actuator failure on flight maneuvers of a supersonic aircraft. The flight maneuvers were analyzed using six degrees of freedom (6DOF) simulations. This research will contribute to improvements in the reconfiguration of control surfaces and control allocation in flight control algorithms. This paper compares the results of these 6DOF simulations with the horizontal tail actuator failures analyzed previously.