• Title/Summary/Keyword: residual time

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PWSCC Crack Growth Analysis Using Numerical Method in the Inner Surface Repair Weld of A Nozzle (노즐 이종금속용접부의 내면 보수용접부에서 수치해석법을 이용한 PWSCC 균열성장해석)

  • Kim, Sang-Chul;Kim, Mann-Won
    • Journal of Welding and Joining
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.64-71
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, crack propagation analyses in the inner diameter (ID) repair weld of the dissimilar metal weldment of a nozzle were performed using a finite element alternating method (FEAM). To calculate the theoretical solution for the crack tip stress intensity factor, a weak type singular integral equation consisted of crack surface traction and dislocation density function was constructed and solved in conjunction with the FEAM. A two-dimensional axisymmetric finite element nozzle model was prepared and ID repair welding was simulated. An initial crack, 10% depth of weld thickness, was assumed and crack propagation trajectory from the initial crack to the 75% depth of thickness was calculated using the FEAM. Crack growth versus time curve was also calculated and compared with the curves obtained from ASME code method. With the method constructed in this paper, crack propagation trajectory and crack growth time were calculated automatically and effectively.

Monthly rainfall forecast of Bangladesh using autoregressive integrated moving average method

  • Mahmud, Ishtiak;Bari, Sheikh Hefzul;Rahman, M. Tauhid Ur
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.162-168
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    • 2017
  • Rainfall is one of the most important phenomena of the natural system. In Bangladesh, agriculture largely depends on the intensity and variability of rainfall. Therefore, an early indication of possible rainfall can help to solve several problems related to agriculture, climate change and natural hazards like flood and drought. Rainfall forecasting could play a significant role in the planning and management of water resource systems also. In this study, univariate Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) model was used to forecast monthly rainfall for twelve months lead-time for thirty rainfall stations of Bangladesh. The best SARIMA model was chosen based on the RMSE and normalized BIC criteria. A validation check for each station was performed on residual series. Residuals were found white noise at almost all stations. Besides, lack of fit test and normalized BIC confirms all the models were fitted satisfactorily. The predicted results from the selected models were compared with the observed data to determine prediction precision. We found that selected models predicted monthly rainfall with a reasonable accuracy. Therefore, year-long rainfall can be forecasted using these models.

Wind Attribute Time Series Modeling & Forecasting in IRAN

  • Ghorbani, Fahimeh;Raissi, Sadigh;Rafei, Meysam
    • East Asian Journal of Business Economics (EAJBE)
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.14-26
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    • 2015
  • A wind speed forecast is a crucial and sophisticated task in a wind farm for planning turbines and corresponds to an estimate of the expected production of one or more wind turbines in the near future. By production is often meant available power for wind farm considered (with units KW or MW depending on both the wind speed and direction. Such forecasts can also be expressed in terms of energy, by integrating power production over each time interval. In this study, we technically focused on mathematical modeling of wind speed and direction forecast based on locally data set gathered from Aghdasiyeh station in Tehran. The methodology is set on using most common techniques derived from literature review. Hence we applied the most sophisticated forecasting methods to embed seasonality, trend, and irregular pattern for wind speed as an angular variables. Through this research, we carried out the most common techniques such as the Box and Jenkins family, VARMA, the component method, the Weibull function and the Fourier series. Finally, the best fit for each forecasting method validated statistically based on white noise properties and the final comparisons using residual standard errors and mean absolute deviation from real data.

Full Mouth Rehabilitation of a Patient with Bite Collapse in the Molar Area Using Removable Partial Denture and Dental Implant Prosthetics

  • Hong, Jun-Won;Seo, Jae-Min;Seong, Dong-Hwan;Song, Gwang-Yeop;Park, Ju-Mi;Ahn, Seung-Geun
    • Journal of Korean Dental Science
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.40-49
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    • 2010
  • Dental clinicians often encounter cases wherein the patient's lost molar area was neglected and left untreated for an extended period of time, thereby causing the extrusion of opposite molars and occlusal disharmony as well as occlusion in the anterior teeth and consequently resulting in anterior displacement in the area. Clinicians normally carry out prosthetic treatment via occlusal plane lifting when such becomes absolutely necessary due to the lack of sufficient space needed for prosthetic therapy aimed at proper anterior and lateral induction. In this case report, we examined occlusal disharmony and VDO loss in a patient who had lost his molars and had not received prosthetic treatment for an extended period of time. We treated the maxillary area with dental implant prosthetics and Kennedy Class I RPD and the mandibular area with residual natural tooth-based implant placement and dental implant prosthetics. The patient reported treatment outcomes that were deemed satisfactory both functionally and aesthetically.

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Sintering and Dielectric Properties in Cordierite/Glass Composite for LTCC Application (Cordierite/Glass Composite계 LTCC 소재의 소결 및 유전특성)

  • Hwang, Il-Sun;Yeo, Dong-Hun;Shin, Hyo-Soon;Kim, Jong-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.144-150
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    • 2008
  • Recently, there has been growing interest in low loss and low dielectric constant material for LTCC application, as the frequency range for electronic devices increases. This study was designed to evaluate the effect of cordierite filler for low dielectric constant LTCC material. From the previous experiments, two glass compositions of B-Si-Al-Zn-Ba-Ca-O and B-Si-Al-Sr-Ca-O system, were chosen. Each powder of two glass compositions was sintered respectively with commercial cordierite powder in temperature range from $800^{\circ}C\;to\;900^{\circ}C$. Crystalline cordierite and glass peaks were affected only with two factors of composition and sintering temperature among various factors. With the optimized condition of two cordierite/glass compositions, obtained dielectric constant was below 5.5 and quality factor was above 1,000. Closed pore of sintered body was controled by sintering temperature and sintering time. When cordierite/glass composite with ratio of 5.5:4.5 was sintered at $900^{\circ}C$, densification was sufficient with good dielectric characteristics of ${\epsilon}_r<5.1,\;Q{\ge}1,000$. Residual fine closed pores could be reduced with control of sintering temperature and time. 3 point bending strength and chemical durability were evaluated to obtain feasibility for substrate material.

Extended Fitts' Law for Three-Dimensional Environment

  • Cha, Yeon-Joo;Myung, Ro-Hae
    • Journal of the Ergonomics Society of Korea
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.861-868
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    • 2010
  • This study explored an extended three-dimensional Fitts' law that is more suited for the pointing task than the conventional Fitts' law. The experiments were conducted under the manipulation of the distance to the target, size of the target, and direction of the target's location that can be described by two angles, $\theta1$ and $\theta2$. Considering the starting point as the center of coordinates, $\theta1$ is the angle between the positive z-axis and the target location and $\theta2$ is the angle between the positive y-axis and the projected target location on the x-y plane. From the experimental results, we confirmed that all four variables significantly affect the movement time. As we extended the index of difficulty of the conventional Fitts' model by incorporating $\theta1$ and $\theta2$, we established an extended Fitts' model that showed better accordance with the empirical data than the conventional Fitts' model and 3D Fitts' law of Murata and Iwase, in terms of the $r^2$ and the standard error of the residual between the measured movement time and the predicted value.

A Study on the Optimal Conditions of Hole Machining of Microplate by Application of Response Surface Methodology in Wire-Pulse Electrochemical Machining (와이어 펄스전해가공에서 반응표면분석법을 응용한 미세박판의 홀 가공 최적 조건에 관한 연구)

  • Song, Woo-Jae;Lee, Eun-Sang
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.141-149
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    • 2017
  • Due to the inaccuracy of micro-machining, various special processing methods have been investigated recently. Among them, pulse electrochemical machining is a promising machining method with the advantage of no residual stress and thermal deformation. Because the cross section of the wire electrode used in this study is circular, wire-pulse electrochemical machining is suitable for micro-hole machining. By applying the response surface methodology, the experimental plan was made of three factors and three levels: machining time, duty factor, and voltage. The regression equation was obtained through experiments. Then, by referring to the main effect diagram, we fixed the duty factor and machining time with little relevance, and solved the equation for the target 900 microns to obtain the voltage value. The results obtained from the response surface methodology were approximately those of the target value when the actual experiment was carried out. Therefore, it is concluded that the optimal conditions for hole processing can be obtained by the response surface methodology.

A Study of the Effects on the Structural Strength by Change of Spot Welding Pitch (점용접의 간격 변화에 의한 구조 강성 영향 평가 연구)

  • Hong, Min-Sung;Kim, Jong-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Technology Engineers
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.511-520
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    • 2010
  • In general, spot welding is used at no welding rod or flux for the process, low welding point temperature compared to arc welding, short heating time, less damage to the parent material, and low deformation and residual stress, relatively. Also, because of the pressurization effect, better mechanical qualities of the welding parts are obtained. Therefore, in various fields of industry its rapid operation speed can make mass production possible such as motor industry. In FEM analysis for the spot welding process, it is effective to use simple modeling rather than complicated one because of its numerous number of spots and reduction of analysis time. Therefore, this study provides with not only simplification of modeling analysis by using beam component composition of structure without re-compositing the spot welding point mesh but also modeling analysis of which property of fracture strength is reflected. In addition complete spot welding model is examined at rectangular post shape (hat shape) by impact test, compared the results, and verified its validity. As a result, it is possible to optimize the welding position and to recognize the strength of structure and the proposed equal distance model shows the effect of welding point reduction and improvement of stiffness.

Defect Genesis and Fatigue Failure Behaviour of Bearing Metal in Manufacturing Processes (제조 공정에 따른 베어링메탈의 결함발생 및 피로파괴거동)

  • Kim, Min-Gun
    • Journal of Industrial Technology
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    • v.31 no.A
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    • pp.45-51
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    • 2011
  • A study has been made on defects which are formed in manufacturing processes of engine bearing and also on fatigue crack growth behavior in each step of bearing metal manufacturing. After the first step (sinter brass powder on steel plate ; Series A) many voids are made on brass surface and its size is decreased at the second step (rolling process of sintered plate ; Series B). After the third step (re-sintering step of brass powder and rolling ; Series C) the number of voids is decreased and its type shows line. The time of fatigue crack initiation and the growth rate of fatigue crack are in order of Series A, Series B, Series C. These reasons are that void fosters the crack initiation and growth, and residual stress made by rolling process affects on the crack growth rate in Series B, C. In forming and machining processes by use of final bearing metal, crack was observed at internal corner of flange and peeling off was observed at interface between steel and brass. Owing to the above crack and peeling off, it is considered that there is a possibility of fatigue fracture during the application time.

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A Case Study on the Improvement of Display FAB Production Capacity Prediction (디스플레이 FAB 생산능력 예측 개선 사례 연구)

  • Ghil, Joonpil;Choi, Jin Young
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.137-145
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    • 2020
  • Various elements of Fabrication (FAB), mass production of existing products, new product development and process improvement evaluation might increase the complexity of production process when products are produced at the same time. As a result, complex production operation makes it difficult to predict production capacity of facilities. In this environment, production forecasting is the basic information used for production plan, preventive maintenance, yield management, and new product development. In this paper, we tried to develop a multiple linear regression analysis model in order to improve the existing production capacity forecasting method, which is to estimate production capacity by using a simple trend analysis during short time periods. Specifically, we defined overall equipment effectiveness of facility as a performance measure to represent production capacity. Then, we considered the production capacities of interrelated facilities in the FAB production process during past several weeks as independent regression variables in order to reflect the impact of facility maintenance cycles and production sequences. By applying variable selection methods and selecting only some significant variables, we developed a multiple linear regression forecasting model. Through a numerical experiment, we showed the superiority of the proposed method by obtaining the mean residual error of 3.98%, and improving the previous one by 7.9%.