• 제목/요약/키워드: residual prediction

검색결과 565건 처리시간 0.027초

롤러 레벨링 공정시 후판의 잔류응력 예측 - Part I : 모델 개발 (Prediction of the Residual Stress for a Steel Plate after Roller Leveling - Part I : Development of the Model)

  • 예호성;황상무
    • 소성∙가공
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.5-10
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    • 2013
  • Steel plates are widely used in many manufacturing areas such as ship and bridge construction industries and are fabricated by different forming processes. Steel plates can have various shape defects, such as curl or camber. Roller leveling reduces the magnitude of the residual stress by using small amounts of reverse bending via an appropriate arrangement of the rolls and the associated plastic deformation in the steel plate. In this study a model for the residual stress after roller leveling is developed. In order to simplify the formulation, a plane-strain condition is assumed and the stress in the thickness direction is assumed to be negligible. The camber deformation in a real sized plate are measured and compared with the prediction values from the model to validate the accuracy of the model.

텐션 레벨링 공정 최적화를 위한 수식 모델 - Part II : 잔류응력 분포 예측 (A new Model to Optimize the Process Conditions in Tension Leveling - Part II : Prediction of the Residual Stress Distribution)

  • 조용석;황상무
    • 소성∙가공
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    • 제22권7호
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    • pp.377-382
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    • 2013
  • Tension leveling is the process that removes the shape defects such as edge waves and center buckles, which may be formed in the rolled strip. The main purpose of tension leveling is to eliminate the differences in elongation in order to reduce the residual stresses. In this paper, a new approach for the optimization of the process conditions in tension leveling is presented. This new approach is an analytic model that predicts the residual stresses from the strip curvature. The prediction accuracy of the proposed model is examined through comparison with the predictions from a finite element model.

Hardness prediction based on microstructure evolution and residual stress evaluation during high tensile thick plate butt welding

  • Zhou, Hong;Zhang, Qingya;Yi, Bin;Wang, Jiangchao
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.146-156
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    • 2020
  • Two High Tensile Strength Steel (EH47) plates with thickness of 70 mm were butt-welded together by multi-pass Submerged Arc Welding (SAW), also the hardness and welding residual stress were investigated experimentally. Based on Thermal-Elastic-Plastic Finite Element (TEP FE) computation, the thermal cycles during entire welding process were obtained, and the HAZ hardness of multi-pass butt welded joint was computed by the hardenability algorithm with considering microstructure evolution. Good agreement of HAZ hardness between the measurement and computational result is observed. The evolution of each phase was drawn to clarify the influence mechanism of thermal cycle on HAZ hardness. Welding residual stress was predicted with considering mechanical response, which was dominantly determined by last cap welds through analyzing its formation process.

SUS304 와이어 직선화처리 공정 중 잔류응력 예측 (Prediction of Residual Stress in Straightening Process of SUS304 Wire)

  • 김태원;함승호;문형일;김헌영
    • 한국소성가공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국소성가공학회 2007년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.250-253
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    • 2007
  • It is known that fine straightness of micro-wire can be obtained by removing residual stress induced during the manufacturing processes. Generally, residual stress is removed or minimized through several drawing processes with heat treatment. In this study, the residual stress at each straightening process is calculated and monitored by finite element analyses and the main reason of stress change is investigated.

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CR-DPCM을 이용한 HEVC 무손실 인트라 예측 방법 (CR-DPCM for Lossless Intra Prediction Method in HEVC)

  • 홍성욱;이영렬
    • 방송공학회논문지
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.307-315
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    • 2014
  • 차세대 영상압축 표준인 HEVC(High Efficiency Video Coding)에 적용 가능한 무손실 인트라 예측 방법 CR-DPCM(Cross-Residual Difference Pulse Code Modulation)을 제안한다. HEVC는 공간상의 중복성을 줄이기 위해 다양한 방향의 예측을 하도록 만들어졌으며, 이를 위해 부호화 하려는 블록의 주변 화소들을 사용하고 있다. 본 논문에서 제안하는 HEVC 적용 가능한 무손실 인트라 예측 방법은, 예측을 위해 화소 단위 DPCM을 수행하면서도 잔차 변환과, 잔차 변환의 결과로 얻어지는 잔차 신호에 대해 2차로 진행하는 잔차 변환을 예측 방향에 맞추어 교차시키는 CR-DPCM 방법을 사용하며, 이는 기존 제안한 방법인 제 2차 잔차 변환(Secondary Residual Transform)보다 높은 성능 향상을 가진다. 제안하는 무손실 인트라 코딩 방식인 CR-DPCM 방법은 기존의 HEVC 표준 방법과 비교 하였을 때 bit-rate 평균 약 8.43%정도 감소시키며, JPEG2000 무손실 압축 방법과 비교해서도 높은 성능 향상을 가진다.

합성곱 신경망을 이용한 선박의 잉여저항계수 추정 (Prediction of Residual Resistance Coefficient of Ships using Convolutional Neural Network)

  • 김유철;김광수;황승현;연성모
    • 대한조선학회논문집
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    • 제59권4호
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    • pp.243-250
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    • 2022
  • In the design stage of hull forms, a fast prediction method of resistance performance is needed. In these days, large test matrix of candidate hull forms is tested using Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) in order to choose the best hull form before the model test. This process requires large computing times and resources. If there is a fast and reliable prediction method for hull form performance, it can be used as the first filter before applying CFD. In this paper, we suggest the offset-based performance prediction method. The hull form geometry information is applied in the form of 2D offset (non-dimensionalized by breadth and draft), and it is studied using Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) and adapted to the model test results (Residual Resistance Coefficient; CR). Some additional variables which are not included in the offset data such as main dimensions are merged with the offset data in the process. The present model shows better performance comparing with the simple regression models.

Life Prediction of Hydraulic Concrete Based on Grey Residual Markov Model

  • Gong, Li;Gong, Xuelei;Liang, Ying;Zhang, Bingzong;Yang, Yiqun
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • 제18권4호
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    • pp.457-469
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    • 2022
  • Hydraulic concrete buildings in the northwest of China are often subject to the combined effects of low-temperature frost damage, during drying and wetting cycles, and salt erosion, so the study of concrete deterioration prediction is of major importance. The prediction model of the relative dynamic elastic modulus (RDEM) of four different kinds of modified concrete under the special environment in the northwest of China was established using Grey residual Markov theory. Based on the available test data, modified values of the dynamic elastic modulus were obtained based on the Grey GM(1,1) model and the residual GM(1,1) model, combined with the Markov sign correction, and the dynamic elastic modulus of concrete was predicted. The computational analysis showed that the maximum relative error of the corrected dynamic elastic modulus was significantly reduced, from 1.599% to 0.270% for the BS2 group. The analysis error showed that the model was more adjusted to the concrete mixed with fly ash and mineral powder, and its calculation error was significantly lower than that of the rest of the groups. The analysis of the data for each group proved that the model could predict the loss of dynamic elastic modulus of the deterioration of the concrete effectively, as well as the number of cycles when the concrete reached the damaged state.

Interval prediction on the sum of binary random variables indexed by a graph

  • Park, Seongoh;Hahn, Kyu S.;Lim, Johan;Son, Won
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.261-272
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, we propose a procedure to build a prediction interval of the sum of dependent binary random variables over a graph to account for the dependence among binary variables. Our main interest is to find a prediction interval of the weighted sum of dependent binary random variables indexed by a graph. This problem is motivated by the prediction problem of various elections including Korean National Assembly and US presidential election. Traditional and popular approaches to construct the prediction interval of the seats won by major parties are normal approximation by the CLT and Monte Carlo method by generating many independent Bernoulli random variables assuming that those binary random variables are independent and the success probabilities are known constants. However, in practice, the survey results (also the exit polls) on the election are random and hardly independent to each other. They are more often spatially correlated random variables. To take this into account, we suggest a spatial auto-regressive (AR) model for the surveyed success probabilities, and propose a residual based bootstrap procedure to construct the prediction interval of the sum of the binary outcomes. Finally, we apply the procedure to building the prediction intervals of the number of legislative seats won by each party from the exit poll data in the $19^{th}$ and $20^{th}$ Korea National Assembly elections.

Prediction of residual compressive strength of fly ash based concrete exposed to high temperature using GEP

  • Tran M. Tung;Duc-Hien Le;Olusola E. Babalola
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제31권2호
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    • pp.111-121
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    • 2023
  • The influence of material composition such as aggregate types, addition of supplementary cementitious materials as well as exposed temperature levels have significant impacts on concrete residual mechanical strength properties when exposed to elevated temperature. This study is based on data obtained from literature for fly ash blended concrete produced with natural and recycled concrete aggregates to efficiently develop prediction models for estimating its residual compressive strength after exposure to high temperatures. To achieve this, an extensive database that contains different mix proportions of fly ash blended concrete was gathered from published articles. The specific design variables considered were percentage replacement level of Recycled Concrete Aggregate (RCA) in the mix, fly ash content (FA), Water to Binder Ratio (W/B), and exposed Temperature level. Thereafter, a simplified mathematical equation for the prediction of concrete's residual compressive strength using Gene Expression Programming (GEP) was developed. The relative importance of each variable on the model outputs was also determined through global sensitivity analysis. The GEP model performance was validated using different statistical fitness formulas including R2, MSE, RMSE, RAE, and MAE in which high R2 values above 0.9 are obtained in both the training and validation phase. The low measured errors (e.g., mean square error and mean absolute error are in the range of 0.0160 - 0.0327 and 0.0912 - 0.1281 MPa, respectively) in the developed model also indicate high efficiency and accuracy of the model in predicting the residual compressive strength of fly ash blended concrete exposed to elevated temperatures.