• Title/Summary/Keyword: relative mean squared error

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Adjustment of the Mean Field Rainfall Bias by Clustering Technique (레이더 자료의 군집화를 통한 Mean Field Rainfall Bias의 보정)

  • Kim, Young-Il;Kim, Tae-Soon;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.42 no.8
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    • pp.659-671
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    • 2009
  • Fuzzy c-means clustering technique is applied to improve the accuracy of G/R ratio used for rainfall estimation by radar reflectivity. G/R ratio is computed by the ground rainfall records at AWS(Automatic Weather System) sites to the radar estimated rainfall from the reflectivity of Kwangduck Mt. radar station with 100km effective range. G/R ratio is calculated by two methods: the first one uses a single G/R ratio for the entire effective range and the other two different G/R ratio for two regions that is formed by clustering analysis, and absolute relative error and root mean squared error are employed for evaluating the accuracy of radar rainfall estimation from two G/R ratios. As a result, the radar rainfall estimated by two different G/R ratio from clustering analysis is more accurate than that by a single G/R ratio for the entire range.

A gradient boosting regression based approach for energy consumption prediction in buildings

  • Bataineh, Ali S. Al
    • Advances in Energy Research
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.91-101
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    • 2019
  • This paper proposes an efficient data-driven approach to build models for predicting energy consumption in buildings. Data used in this research is collected by installing humidity and temperature sensors at different locations in a building. In addition to this, weather data from nearby weather station is also included in the dataset to study the impact of weather conditions on energy consumption. One of the main emphasize of this research is to make feature selection independent of domain knowledge. Therefore, to extract useful features from data, two different approaches are tested: one is feature selection through principal component analysis and second is relative importance-based feature selection in original domain. The regression model used in this research is gradient boosting regression and its optimal parameters are chosen through a two staged coarse-fine search approach. In order to evaluate the performance of model, different performance evaluation metrics like r2-score and root mean squared error are used. Results have shown that best performance is achieved, when relative importance-based feature selection is used with gradient boosting regressor. Results of proposed technique has also outperformed the results of support vector machines and neural network-based approaches tested on the same dataset.

Simulation and Model Validation of a Pneumatic Conveying Drying for Wood Dust Particles

  • Bhattarai, Sujala;Kim, Dae-Hyun;Oh, Jae-Heun
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.82-89
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    • 2012
  • Purpose: The simulation model of a pneumatic conveying drying (PCD) for sawdust was developed and verified with the experiments. Method: The thermal behavior and mass transfer of a PCD were modeled and investigated by comparing the experimental results given by a reference (Kamei et al. 1952) to validate the model. Momentum, energy and mass balance, one dimensional first order ordinary differential equations, were coded and solved into Matlab V. 7.1.0 (2009). Results: The simulation results showed that the moisture content reduced from 194% to 40% (dry basis), air temperature decreased from $512^{\circ}C$ to $128^{\circ}C$ with the particle residence time of 0.7 seconds. The statistical indicators, root mean square error and R-squared, were calculated to be 0.079, and 0.998, respectively, between the measured and predicted values of moisture content. The relative error between the measured and predicted values of the final pressured drop, air temperature, and air velocity were only 8.96%, 0.39% and 1.05% respectively. Conclusions: The predicted moisture content, final temperature, and pressure drop values were in good agreement with the experimental results. The developed model can be used for design and estimation of PCD system for drying of wood dust particles.

Prediction of Upset Length and Upset Time in Inertia Friction Welding Process Using Deep Neural Network (관성 마찰용접 공정에서 심층 신경망을 이용한 업셋 길이와 업셋 시간의 예측)

  • Yang, Young-Soo;Bae, Kang-Yul
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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    • v.18 no.11
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    • pp.47-56
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    • 2019
  • A deep neural network (DNN) model was proposed to predict the upset in the inertia friction welding process using a database comprising results from a series of FEM analyses. For the database, the upset length, upset beginning time, and upset completion time were extracted from the results of the FEM analyses obtained with various of axial pressure and initial rotational speed. A total of 35 training sets were constructed to train the proposed DNN with 4 hidden layers and 512 neurons in each layer, which can relate the input parameters to the welding results. The mean of the summation of squared error between the predicted results and the true results can be constrained to within 1.0e-4 after the training. Further, the network model was tested with another 10 sets of welding input parameters and results for comparison with FEM. The test showed that the relative error of DNN was within 2.8% for the prediction of upset. The results of DNN application revealed that the model could effectively provide welding results with respect to the exactness and cost for each combination of the welding input parameters.

Analysis of the Substrate Removal Characteristics of TPA Using OUR and NUR Tests, and Simulation with ASM1 (호흡률과 탈질률 실험과 ASM1을 이용한 전산모사를 통한 TPA의 기질 분해 특성 평가)

  • Jung, In-Chul;Lee, Sung-Hak;Sung, Nak-Chang
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.28 no.9
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    • pp.926-934
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    • 2006
  • In this study, nitrate uptake rate(NUR) and oxygen uptake rate(OUR) tests were conducted for the assessment of application of Terephtalic acid(TPA) by-product as an alternative external carbon source for sewage treatment plant(STP). With the ASM1 installed in GPS-X the substrate removal characteristic was investigated with simulation by obtained data from NUR and OUR test. As a result, the fraction of RBDCOD(readily biodegradable COD) was mort than 90% and specific denitrification rate was observed about 8.00 mg $NO_3^-$-N/g VSS/hr that was similar to conventional external carbon source. In the next step, sensitivity analysis for heterotrophic biomass in ASM1 was conducted. Optimized parameters of ${\mu}_{max,H}$, $K_s$, ${\eta}_g$, and $b_H$ were 6.60/day, 23.3 mg/L, 0.88, and 0.54/day, respectively. Then, relative mean squared error(RMSE) was reduced to about 40%. Optimized parameters value were well corresponded with the substrate removal characteristics of high maximum and final endogenous specific OUR and high specific NUR.

SuperDepthTransfer: Depth Extraction from Image Using Instance-Based Learning with Superpixels

  • Zhu, Yuesheng;Jiang, Yifeng;Huang, Zhuandi;Luo, Guibo
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.11 no.10
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    • pp.4968-4986
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    • 2017
  • In this paper, we primarily address the difficulty of automatic generation of a plausible depth map from a single image in an unstructured environment. The aim is to extrapolate a depth map with a more correct, rich, and distinct depth order, which is both quantitatively accurate as well as visually pleasing. Our technique, which is fundamentally based on a preexisting DepthTransfer algorithm, transfers depth information at the level of superpixels. This occurs within a framework that replaces a pixel basis with one of instance-based learning. A vital superpixels feature enhancing matching precision is posterior incorporation of predictive semantic labels into the depth extraction procedure. Finally, a modified Cross Bilateral Filter is leveraged to augment the final depth field. For training and evaluation, experiments were conducted using the Make3D Range Image Dataset and vividly demonstrate that this depth estimation method outperforms state-of-the-art methods for the correlation coefficient metric, mean log10 error and root mean squared error, and achieves comparable performance for the average relative error metric in both efficacy and computational efficiency. This approach can be utilized to automatically convert 2D images into stereo for 3D visualization, producing anaglyph images that are visually superior in realism and simultaneously more immersive.

Development and Evaluation of an Ensemble Forecasting System for the Regional Ocean Wave of Korea (앙상블 지역 파랑예측시스템 구축 및 검증)

  • Park, JongSook;Kang, KiRyong;Kang, Hyun-Suk
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.84-94
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    • 2018
  • In order to overcome the limitation of deterministic forecast, an ensemble forecasting system for regional ocean wave is developed. This system predicts ocean wind waves based on the meteorological forcing from the Ensemble Prediction System for Global of the Korea Meteorological Administration, which is consisted of 24 ensemble members. The ensemble wave forecasting system is evaluated by using the moored buoy data around Korea. The root mean squared error (RMSE) of ensemble mean showed the better performance than the deterministic forecast system after 2 days, especially RMSE of ensemble mean is improved by 15% compared with the deterministic forecast for 3-day lead time. It means that the ensemble method could reduce the uncertainty of the deterministic prediction system. The Relative Operating Characteristic as an evaluation scheme of probability prediction was bigger than 0.9 showing high predictability, meaning that the ensemble wave forecast could be usefully applied.

Performance Evaluation of Loss Functions and Composition Methods of Log-scale Train Data for Supervised Learning of Neural Network (신경 망의 지도 학습을 위한 로그 간격의 학습 자료 구성 방식과 손실 함수의 성능 평가)

  • Donggyu Song;Seheon Ko;Hyomin Lee
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.61 no.3
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    • pp.388-393
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    • 2023
  • The analysis of engineering data using neural network based on supervised learning has been utilized in various engineering fields such as optimization of chemical engineering process, concentration prediction of particulate matter pollution, prediction of thermodynamic phase equilibria, and prediction of physical properties for transport phenomena system. The supervised learning requires training data, and the performance of the supervised learning is affected by the composition and the configurations of the given training data. Among the frequently observed engineering data, the data is given in log-scale such as length of DNA, concentration of analytes, etc. In this study, for widely distributed log-scaled training data of virtual 100×100 images, available loss functions were quantitatively evaluated in terms of (i) confusion matrix, (ii) maximum relative error and (iii) mean relative error. As a result, the loss functions of mean-absolute-percentage-error and mean-squared-logarithmic-error were the optimal functions for the log-scaled training data. Furthermore, we figured out that uniformly selected training data lead to the best prediction performance. The optimal loss functions and method for how to compose training data studied in this work would be applied to engineering problems such as evaluating DNA length, analyzing biomolecules, predicting concentration of colloidal suspension.

A Comparison of Analysis Methods for Work Environment Measurement Databases Including Left-censored Data (불검출 자료를 포함한 작업환경측정 자료의 분석 방법 비교)

  • Park, Ju-Hyun;Choi, Sangjun;Koh, Dong-Hee;Park, Donguk;Sung, Yeji
    • Journal of Korean Society of Occupational and Environmental Hygiene
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.21-30
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    • 2022
  • Objectives: The purpose of this study is to suggest an optimal method by comparing the analysis methods of work environment measurement datasets including left-censored data where one or more measurements are below the limit of detection (LOD). Methods: A computer program was used to generate left-censored datasets for various combinations of censoring rate (1% to 90%) and sample size (30 to 300). For the analysis of the censored data, the simple substitution method (LOD/2), β-substitution method, maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) method, Bayesian method, and regression on order statistics (ROS)were all compared. Each method was used to estimate four parameters of the log-normal distribution: (1) geometric mean (GM), (2) geometric standard deviation (GSD), (3) 95th percentile (X95), and (4) arithmetic mean (AM) for the censored dataset. The performance of each method was evaluated using relative bias and relative root mean squared error (rMSE). Results: In the case of the largest sample size (n=300), when the censoring rate was less than 40%, the relative bias and rMSE were small for all five methods. When the censoring rate was large (70%, 90%), the simple substitution method was inappropriate because the relative bias was the largest, regardless of the sample size. When the sample size was small and the censoring rate was large, the Bayesian method, the β-substitution method, and the MLE method showed the smallest relative bias. Conclusions: The accuracy and precision of all methods tended to increase as the sample size was larger and the censoring rate was smaller. The simple substitution method was inappropriate when the censoring rate was high, and the β-substitution method, MLE method, and Bayesian method can be widely applied.

Analysis of Korean GDP by unobserved components model (비관측요인모형을 이용한 한국의 국내총생산 분석)

  • Seong, Byeong-Chan;Lee, Seung-Kyung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.829-837
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    • 2011
  • Since Harvey (1989), many approaches for applying unobserved components (UC) models to both univariate and multivariate time series analysis have been developed. However, practitioners still tend to use traditional methods such as exponential smoothing or ARIMA models for modeling and predicting time series data. It is well known that the UC model combines the flexibility of ARIMA models and the easy interpretability of exponential smoothing models by using unobserved components such as trend, cycle, season, and irregular components. This study reviews the UC model and compares its relative performances with those of the other models in modeling and predicting the real gross domestic products (GDP) in Korea. We conclude that the optimal model is the UC model on basis of root mean squared error.