• Title/Summary/Keyword: regression kriging

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Spatial Prediction of Wind Speed Data (풍속 자료의 공간예측)

  • Jeong, Seung-Hwan;Park, Man-Sik;Kim, Kee-Whan
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.345-356
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we introduce the linear regression model taking the parametric spatial association structure into account and employ it to five-year averaged wind speed data measured at 460 meteorological monitoring stations in South Korea. From the prediction map obtained by the model with spatial association parameters, we can see that inland area has smaller wind speed than coastal regions. When comparing the spatial linear regression model with classical one by using one-leave-out cross-validation, the former outperforms the latter in terms of similarity between the observations and the corresponding predictions and coverage rate of 95% prediction intervals.

Application of Geostatistical Methods to Groundwater Flow Analysis in a Heterogeneous Anisotropic Aquifer (불균질.이방성 대수층의 지하수 유동분석에 지구통계기법의 응용)

  • 정상용;유인걸;윤명재;권해우;허선희
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.147-159
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    • 1999
  • Geostatistical methods were used for the groundwater flow analysis in a heterogeneous anisotropic aquifer. This study area is located at Sonbul-myeon in Hampyong-gun of Cheonnam Province which is a hydrogeological project area of KORES(Korea Resources Cooperation). Linear regression analysis shows that the topographic elevation and groundwater level of this area have very high correlation. Groundwater-level contour maps produced by ordinary kriging and cokringing have large differences in mountain areas, but small differences in hill and plain areas near the West Sea. Comparing two maps on the basis of an elevation contour map, a groundwater-level contour map using cokriging is more accurate. Analyzing the groundwater flow on two groundwater-level contour maps, the groundwater of study area flows from the high mountain areas to the plain areas near the West Sea. To verify the enffectiveness of geostatistical methods for the groundwater flow analysis in a heterogeneous anisotropic aquifer, the flow directions of groundwater were measured at two groundwater boreholes by a groundwater flowmeter system(model 200 $GeoFlo^{R}$). The measured flow directions of groundwater almost accord with those estimated on two groundwater-level contour maps produced by geostatistical methods.

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Measurement of PM2.5 Concentrations and Comparison of Affecting Factors in Residential Houses in Summer and Autumn (여름과 가을의 주택실내 초미세먼지(PM2.5) 농도 측정 및 영향요인 비교)

  • Dongjun Kim;Gihong Min;Jihun Shin;Youngtae Choe;Kilyoong Choi;Sang Hyo Sim;Wonho Yang
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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    • v.50 no.1
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    • pp.16-24
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    • 2024
  • Background: Indoor PM2.5 concentrations in residential houses can be affected by various factors depending on the season. This is because not only do the climate characteristics depend on the season, but the activity patterns of occupants are also different. Objectives: The purpose of this study is to compare factors affecting indoor PM2.5 concentrations in apartments and detached houses in Daegu according to seasonal changes. Methods: This study included 20 households in Daegu, South Korea. The study was conducted during the summer (from July 10 to August 10, 2023) and the autumn (from September 11 to October 9, 2023). A sensor-based instrument for PM2.5 levels was installed in the living room of each residence, and measurements were taken continuously for 24 hours at intervals of one minute during the measurement period. Based on the air quality monitoring system data in Daegu, outdoor PM2.5 concentrations were estimated using ordinary kriging (OK) in Python. In addition, the indoor activities of the occupants were investigated using a time-activity pattern diary. The affecting factors of indoor PM2.5 concentration were analyzed using multiple regression analysis. Results: Indoor and outdoor PM2.5 concentrations of the residences during summer were 15.27±11.09 ㎍/m3 and 11.52±7.56 ㎍/m3, respectively. Indoor and outdoor PM2.5 concentrations during autumn were 13.82±9.61 ㎍/m3 and 9.57±5.50 ㎍/m3, respectively. The PM2.5 concentrations were higher in summer compared to autumn both indoors and outdoors. The primary factor affecting indoor PM2.5 concentration in summer was occupant activity. On the other hand, during the autumn season, the primary affecting factor was outdoor PM2.5 concentration. Conclusions: Indoor PM2.5 concentration in residential houses is affected by occupant activity such as the inflow of outdoor PM2.5 concentration, cooking, and cleaning, as found in previous studies. However, it was revealed that there were differences depending on the season.

Comparison of Three Kinds of Methods on Estimation of Forest Carbon Stocks Distribution Using National Forest Inventory DB and Forest Type Map (국가산림자원조사 DB와 임상도를 이용한 산림탄소저장량 공간분포 추정방법 비교)

  • Kim, Kyoung-Min;Roh, Young-Hee;Kim, Eun-Sook
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.69-85
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    • 2014
  • Carbon stocks of NFI plots can be accurately estimated using field survey information. However, an accurate estimation of carbon stocks in other unsurveyed sites is very difficult. In order to fill this gap, various spatial information can be used as an ancillary data. In South Korea, there is the 1:5,000 forest type map that was produced by digital air-photo interpretation and field survey. Because this map contains very detailed forest information, it can be used as the high-quality spatial data for estimating carbon stocks. In this study, we compared three upscaling methods based on the 1:5,000 forest type map and 5th national forest inventory data. Map algebra(method 1), RK(Regression Kriging)(method 2), and GWR(Geographically Weighted Regression)(method 3) were applied to estimate forest carbon stock in Chungcheong-nam Do and Daejeon metropolitan city. The range of carbon stocks from method 2(1.39~138.80 tonC/ha) and method 3(1.28~149.98 tonC/ha) were more similar to that of previous method(1.56~156.40 tonC/ha) than that of method 1(0.00~93.37 tonC/ha). This result shows that RK and GWR considering spatial autocorrelation can show spatial heterogeneity of carbon stocks. We carried out paired t-test for carbon stock data using 186 sample points to assess estimation accuracy. As a result, the average carbon stocks of method 2 and field survey method were not significantly different at p=0.05 using paired t-test. And the result of method 2 showed the lowest RMSE. Therefore regression kriging method is useful to consider spatial variations of carbon stocks distribution in rugged terrain and complex forest stand.

Evaluation of the Feasibility of a Voice Alarm in a Highway Work Zone (음성 경고의 도로 공사구간 적용 가능성 평가)

  • Moon, Jae-Pil;Park, Hyun-jin;Oh, Cheol
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.83-94
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    • 2016
  • Providing a voice alarm to drivers approaching a work zone could be an effective alternative to mitigate the potential safety problems of the work zone. This study conceived a voice alarm with a direction sound speaker and a field test was conducted that evaluated the feasibility of the voice alarm at a highway work zone. During the field study, we carried out on-site driver surveys to obtain drivers' perception and preference, collected approaching speeds, and measured sound level during the off-peak 2-hour for two days, respectively. The results showed that while the voice alarm has the potential to be an effective tool in improving safety, the alternative appeared to have the negative effect of noise. Further refinement to a voice alarm with a directional speaker is required to improve feasibility, and the results are expected to be utilized as basic data useful for the refinement.

Ensemble Downscaling of Soil Moisture Data Using BMA and ATPRK

  • Youn, Youjeong;Kim, Kwangjin;Chung, Chu-Yong;Park, No-Wook;Lee, Yangwon
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.587-607
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    • 2020
  • Soil moisture is essential information for meteorological and hydrological analyses. To date, many efforts have been made to achieve the two goals for soil moisture data, i.e., the improvement of accuracy and resolution, which is very challenging. We presented an ensemble downscaling method for quality improvement of gridded soil moisture data in terms of the accuracy and the spatial resolution by the integration of BMA (Bayesian model averaging) and ATPRK (area-to-point regression kriging). In the experiments, the BMA ensemble showed a 22% better accuracy than the data sets from ESA CCI (European Space Agency-Climate Change Initiative), ERA5 (ECMWF Reanalysis 5), and GLDAS (Global Land Data Assimilation System) in terms of RMSE (root mean square error). Also, the ATPRK downscaling could enhance the spatial resolution from 0.25° to 0.05° while preserving the improved accuracy and the spatial pattern of the BMA ensemble, without under- or over-estimation. The quality-improved data sets can contribute to a variety of local and regional applications related to soil moisture, such as agriculture, forest, hydrology, and meteorology. Because the ensemble downscaling method can be applied to the other land surface variables such as temperature, humidity, precipitation, and evapotranspiration, it can be a viable option to complement the accuracy and the spatial resolution of satellite images and numerical models.

The Characteristics of Groundwater Quality in the Youngsan and Sumjin River Basins Using Geostatistical Methods (지구통계 기법을 이용한 영산강.섬진강 유역의 지하수 수질특성 연구)

  • 정상용;심병완;김규범;강동환;박희영
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Groundwater Environment
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.125-132
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    • 2000
  • pH, EC and TDS are basic components in the investigation of groundwater quality, and are very important to the preliminary assessment of groundwater quality. These three chemical components investigated at the Youngsan and Sumjin river basins in 1998 suggest that the groundwater quality is generally good in these basins. Linear regression analysis shows that TDS versus EC has an linear correlation, but EC versus pH, and TDS versus pH have nearly no correlation. The relation of TDS and EC is 1.0 mg/1=1.52 $mu\textrm{S}$/cm, and it is the quality of natural water. In geostatistical analysis. three kinds of data are stationary random functions and they have exponential variograms. According to the isopleth maps of the groundwater quality, the groundwater quality of the Youngsan river basin is more contaminated than that of the Sumjin river basin. The isopleth maps of TDS and EC show very similar patterns because of the strong correlation between TDS and EC. The minimum and maximum values of the groundwater quality data are not reflected on the isopleth maps because kriging produces smooth distributions with minimum estimation variances.

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Estimation of Representative Area-Level Concentrations of Particulate Matter(PM10) in Seoul, Korea (미세먼지(PM10)의 지역적 대푯값 산정 방법에 관한 연구 - 서울특별시를 대상으로)

  • SONG, In-Sang;KIM, Sun-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.118-129
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    • 2016
  • Many epidemiological studies, relying on administrative air pollution monitoring data, have reported the association between particulate matter ($PM_{10}$) air pollution and human health. These monitoring data were collected at a limited number of fixed sites, whereas government-generated health data are aggregated at the area level. To link these two data types for assessing health effects, it is necessary to estimate area-level concentrations of $PM_{10}$. In this study, we estimated district (Gu)-level $PM_{10}$ concentrations using a previously developed pointwise exposure prediction model for $PM_{10}$ and three types of point locations in Seoul, Korea. These points included 16,230 centroids of the largest census output residential areas, 422 community service centers, and 610 centroids on the 1km grid. After creating three types of points, we predicted $PM_{10}$ annual average concentrations at all locations and calculated Gu averages of predicted $PM_{10}$ concentrations as representative Gu-estimates. Then, we compared estimates to each other and to measurements. Prediction-based Gu-level estimates showed higher correlations with measurement-based estimates as prediction locations became more population representative ($R^2=0.06-0.59$). Among the three estimates, grid-based estimates gave lowest correlations compared to the other two(0.35-0.47). This study provides an approach for estimating area-level air pollution concentrations and assesses air pollution health effects using national-scale administrative health data.

Analysis of Manganese Nodule Abundance in KODOS Area (KODOS 지역의 망간단괴 부존률 분포해석)

  • Jung, Moon Young;Kim, In Kee;Sung, Won Mo;Kang, Jung Keuk
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.199-211
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    • 1995
  • The deep sea camera system could render it possible to obtain the detailed information of the nodule distribution, but difficult to estimate nodule abundance quantitatively. In order to estimate nodule abundance quantitatively from deep seabed photographs, the nodule abundance equation was derived from the box core data obtained in KODOS area(long.: $154^{\circ}{\sim}151^{\circ}W$, lat.: $9^{\circ}{\sim}12^{\circ}N$) during two survey cruises carried out in 1989 and 1990. The regression equation derived by considering extent of burial of nodule to Handa's equation compensates for the abundance error attributable to partial burial of some nodules by sediments. An average long axis and average extent of burial of nodules in photographed area are determined according to the surface textures of nodules, and nodule coverage is calculated by the image analysis method. Average nodule abundance estimated from seabed photographs by using the equation is approximately 92% of the actual average abundance in KODOS area. The measured sampling points by box core or free fall grab are in general very sparse and hence nodule abundance distribution should be interpolated and extrapolated from measured data to uncharacterized areas. The another goal of this study is to depict continuous distribution of nodule abundance in KODOS area by using PC-version of geostatistical model in which several stages are systematically proceeded. Geostatistics was used to analyse spatial structure and distribution of regionalized variable(nodule abundance) within sets of real data. In order to investigate the spatial structure of nodule abundance in KODOS area, experimental variograms were calculated and fitted to a spherical models in isotropy and anisotropy, respectively. The spherical structure models were used to map out distribution of the nodule abundance for isotropic and anisotropic models by using the kriging method. The result from anisotropic model is much more reliable than one of isotropic model. Distribution map of nodule abundance produced by PC-version of geostatistical model indicates that approximately 40% of KODOS area is considered to be promising area(nodule abundance > $5kg/m^2$) for mining in case of anisotropy.

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A Study on Spatial Downscaling of Satellite-based Soil Moisture Data (토양수분 위성자료의 공간상세화에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Dae Yun;Lee, Yang Won;Park, Mun Sung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.414-414
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    • 2017
  • 토양수분은 지면환경에서 일어나는 수문 및 에너지 순환을 이해하는 데 있어 중요한 기상인자이다. 토양수분 현장관측은 땅속에 매설된 센서에 의해 상당히 정확하게 이루어지만, 관측점 수가 충분치 않아 공간적 연속성을 확보하지 못하는 어려움이 존재한다. 이에 광역적 및 연속적 관측이 가능한 마이크로파 위성센서가 토양수분 정보 획득을 위한 보조수단으로서 그 중요성이 부각되고 있다. 마이크로파 위성센서는 구름 등 기상조건의 제약을 받지 않으며, 1978년 이래 현재까지 여러 위성에 의해 25 km 및 10 km 해상도의 전지구 토양수분자료가 생산되어 왔다. 마이크로파 센서를 이용한 토양수분자료는 동일지점에 대하여 하루 2회 정도 산출되므로 적절한 시간분해능을 가지지만, 공간해상도가 최고 10 km로서 지역규모의 수문분석에 적용하기에는 충분치 않다. 이러한 토양수분자료의 공간해상도 문제 해결을 위하여 다양한 지면환경요소를 활용한 통계적 다운스케일링이 대안으로 제시되었다. 최근의 선행연구들은 대부분 방정식을 이용한 결합모형을 통해 통계적 다운스케일링을 수행하였는데, 회귀식과 같은 선형결합뿐 아니라 신경망이나 기계학습 등의 비선형결합에서도, 불가피하게 발생할 수밖에 없는 잔차(residual)로 인하여 다운스케일링 전후의 공간분포 패턴이 달라져버리는 문제를 안고 있었다. 회귀분석에 잔차의 공간내삽을 결합시킨 회귀크리깅(regression kriging)은 잔차보정을 통해 이러한 문제를 해결함으로써 다운스케일링 전후의 공간분포 일관성을 보장하는 기법이다. 이 연구에서는 회귀크리깅을 이용하여 일자별 AMSR2(Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer 2) 토양수분 자료를 10 km에서 1 km 해상도로 다운스케일링하고, 다운스케일링 전후의 자료패턴 일관성을 평가한다. 지면온도(LST), 지면온도상승률(RR), 식생온도건조지수(TVDI)는 일자별로 DB를 구축하였고, 식생지수(NDVI), 수분지수(NDWI), 지면알베도(SA)는 8일 간격으로 DB를 구축하였다. 이러한 8일 간격의 자료를 일자별로 변환하기 위하여 큐빅스플라인(cubic spline)을 이용하여 시계열내삽을 수행하였다. 또한 상이한 공간해상도의 자료는 최근린법을 이용하여 다운스케일링 목표해상도인 1 km에 맞도록 변환하였다. 우선 저해상도 스케일에서 추정치를 산출하기 위해서는 저해상도 픽셀별로 이에 해당하는 복수의 고해상도 픽셀을 평균화하여 대응시켜야 하며, 이를 통해 6개의 설명변수(LST, RR, TVDI, NDVI, NDWI, SA)와 AMSR2 토양수분을 반응변수로 하는 다중회귀식을 도출하였다. 이식을 고해상도 스케일의 설명변수들에 적용하면 고해상도 토양수분 추정치가 산출되는데, 이때 추정치와 원자료의 차이에 해당하는 잔차에 대한 보정이 필요하다. 저해상도 스케일로 존재하는 잔차를 크리깅 공간내삽을 통해 고해상도로 변환한 후 이를 고해상도 추정치에 부가해주는 방식으로 잔차보정이 이루어짐으로써, 다운스케일링 전후의 자료패턴 일관성이 유지되는(r>0.95) 공간상세화된 토양수분 자료를 생산할 수 있다.

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