• Title/Summary/Keyword: regression estimation

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Assessment of slope stability using multiple regression analysis

  • Marrapu, Balendra M.;Jakka, Ravi S.
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.237-254
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    • 2017
  • Estimation of slope stability is a very important task in geotechnical engineering. However, its estimation using conventional and soft computing methods has several drawbacks. Use of conventional limit equilibrium methods for the evaluation of slope stability is very tedious and time consuming, while the use of soft computing approaches like Artificial Neural Networks and Fuzzy Logic are black box approaches. Multiple Regression (MR) analysis provides an alternative to conventional and soft computing methods, for the evaluation of slope stability. MR models provide a simplified equation, which can be used to calculate critical factor of safety of slopes without adopting any iterative procedure, thereby reducing the time and complexity involved in the evaluation of slope stability. In the present study, a multiple regression model has been developed and tested its accuracy in the estimation of slope stability using real field data. Here, two separate multiple regression models have been developed for dry and wet slopes. Further, the accuracy of these developed models have been compared and validated with respect to conventional limit equilibrium methods in terms of Mean Square Error (MSE) & Coefficient of determination ($R^2$). As the developed MR models here are not based on any region specific data and covers wide range of parametric variations, they can be directly applied to any real slopes.

A Comparison of Construction Cost Estimation Using Multiple Regression Analysis and Neural Network in Elementary School Project

  • Cho, Hong-Gyu;Kim, Kyong-Gon;Kim, Jang-Young;Kim, Gwang-Hee
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.66-74
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    • 2013
  • In the early stages of a construction project, the most important thing is to predict construction costs in a rational way. For this reason, many studies have been performed on the estimation of construction costs for apartment housing and office buildings at early stage using artificial intelligence, statistics, and the like. In this study, cost data held by a provincial Office of Education on elementary schools constructed from 2004 to 2007 were used to compare the multiple regression model with an artificial neural network model. A total of 96 historical data were classified into 76 historical data for constructing models and 20 historical data for comparing the constructed regression model with the artificial neural network model. The results of an analysis of predicted construction costs were that the error rate of the artificial neural network model is lower than that of the multiple regression model.

Support Vector Regression based on Immune Algorithm for Software Cost Estimation (소프트웨어 비용산정을 위한 면역 알고리즘 기반의 서포트 벡터 회귀)

  • Kwon, Ki-Tae;Lee, Joon-Gil
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.14 no.7
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    • pp.17-24
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    • 2009
  • Increasing use of information system has led to larger amount of developing expenses and demands on software. Until recent days, the model using regression analysis based on statistical algorithm has been used. However, Machine learning is more investigated now. This paper estimates the software cost using SVR(Support Vector Regression). a sort of machine learning technique. Also, it finds the best set of parameters applying immune algorithm. In this paper, software cost estimation is performed by SVR based on immune algorithm while changing populations, memory cells, and number of allele. Finally, this paper analyzes and compares the result with existing other machine learning methods.

A Study on Statistical Methods for the Light Weight Estimation of Ultra Large Container Ships (초대형 컨테이너선의 경하중량 추정을 위한 통계적 방법 연구)

  • Cho, Yong-Jin
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.14-19
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    • 2009
  • The present study developed a model to estimate the light weight of an ultra-large container ship. The weight estimation model utilized container ship data obtained from shipyards and the subdivided this weight data into appropriate weight groups. Parameters potentially affecting the group weight were selected and expanded based on experience for weight estimation, and a correlation analysis was performed by the SPSS program to determine the key parameters characterizing the group weight. A weight estimation model applying the multi-regression analysis was proposed to assess the weight of an ultra-large container ship at the preliminary design stage, and the results obtained by the suggested method showed good agreement with the shipyard data.

IMPERVIOUS SURFACE ESTIMATION USING REMOTE SENSING IMAGES AND TREE REGRESSIOIN

  • Kim, Soo-Young;Kim, Jong-Hong;Heo, Joon;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • v.1
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    • pp.239-242
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    • 2006
  • Impervious surface is an important index for the estimation of urbanization and environmental change. In addition, impervious surface has an influence on the parameters of rainfall-runoff model during rainy season. The increase of impervious surface causes peak discharge increasing and fast concentration time in urban area. Accordingly, impervious surface estimation is an important factor of urban rainfall-runoff model development and calibration. In this study, impervious surface estimation is performed by using remote sensing images such as landsat-7 ETM+ and high resolution satellite image and regression tree algorithm based on case study area ? Jungnang-cheon basin in Korea.

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Estimation of Pollutant Load Using Genetic-algorithm and Regression Model (유전자 알고리즘과 회귀식을 이용한 오염부하량의 예측)

  • Park, Youn Shik
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Agriculture
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.37-43
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    • 2014
  • BACKGROUND: Water quality data are collected less frequently than flow data because of the cost to collect and analyze, while water quality data corresponding to flow data are required to compute pollutant loads or to calibrate other hydrology models. Regression models are applicable to interpolate water quality data corresponding to flow data. METHODS AND RESULTS: A regression model was suggested which is capable to consider flow and time variance, and the regression model coefficients were calibrated using various measured water quality data with genetic-algorithm. Both LOADEST and the regression using genetic-algorithm were evaluated by 19 water quality data sets through calibration and validation. The regression model using genetic-algorithm displayed the similar model behaviors to LOADEST. The load estimates by both LOADEST and the regression model using genetic-algorithm indicated that use of a large proportion of water quality data does not necessarily lead to the load estimates with smaller error to measured load. CONCLUSION: Regression models need to be calibrated and validated before they are used to interpolate pollutant loads, as separating water quality data into two data sets for calibration and validation.

Nonparametric M-Estimation for Functional Spatial Data

  • Attouch, Mohammed Kadi;Chouaf, Benamar;Laksaci, Ali
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.193-211
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    • 2012
  • This paper deals with robust nonparametric regression analysis when the regressors are functional random fields. More precisely, we consider $Z_i=(X_i,Y_i)$, $i{\in}\mathbb{N}^N$ be a $\mathcal{F}{\times}\mathbb{R}$-valued measurable strictly stationary spatial process, where $\mathcal{F}$ is a semi-metric space and we study the spatial interaction of $X_i$ and $Y_i$ via the robust estimation for the regression function. We propose a family of robust nonparametric estimators for regression function based on the kernel method. The main result of this work is the establishment of the asymptotic normality of these estimators, under some general mixing and small ball probability conditions.

Estimation of long memory parameter in nonparametric regression

  • Cho, Yeoyoung;Baek, Changryong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.611-622
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    • 2019
  • This paper considers the estimation of the long memory parameter in nonparametric regression with strongly correlated errors. The key idea is to minimize a unified mean squared error of long memory parameter to select both kernel bandwidth and the number of frequencies used in exact local Whittle estimation. A unified mean squared error framework is more natural because it provides both goodness of fit and measure of strong dependence. The block bootstrap is applied to evaluate the mean squared error. Finite sample performance using Monte Carlo simulations shows the closest performance to the oracle. The proposed method outperforms existing methods especially when dependency and sample size increase. The proposed method is also illustreated to the volatility of exchange rate between Korean Won for US dollar.

Improvement of rotor flux estimation performance of induction motor using Support Vector Machine $\epsilon$-insensitive Regression Method (Support Vector Machine $\epsilon$-insensitive Regression방법을 이용한 유도전동기의 회전자 자속추정 성능개선)

  • Han, Dong-Chang;Baek, Un-Jae;Kim, Seong-Rak;Park, Ju-Hyeon;Lee, Seok-Gyu;Park, Jeong-Il
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2003.11b
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    • pp.43-46
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, a novel rotor flux estimation method of an induction motor using support vector machine(SVM) is presented. Two veil-known different flux models with respect to voltage and current are necessary to estimate the rotor flux of an induction motor. The theory of the SVM algorithm is based on statistical teaming theory. Training of SVH leads to a quadratic programming(QP) problem. The proposed SVM rotor flux estimator guarantees the improvement of performance in the transient and steady state in spite of parameter variation circumstance. The validity and the usefulness of Proposed algorithm are throughly verified through numerical simulation.

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Marginal Likelihoods for Bayesian Poisson Regression Models

  • Kim, Hyun-Joong;Balgobin Nandram;Kim, Seong-Jun;Choi, Il-Su;Ahn, Yun-Kee;Kim, Chul-Eung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.381-397
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    • 2004
  • The marginal likelihood has become an important tool for model selection in Bayesian analysis because it can be used to rank the models. We discuss the marginal likelihood for Poisson regression models that are potentially useful in small area estimation. Computation in these models is intensive and it requires an implementation of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods. Using importance sampling and multivariate density estimation, we demonstrate a computation of the marginal likelihood through an output analysis from an MCMC sampler.