• Title/Summary/Keyword: reference scenario

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Statistical Approach for Derivation of Quantitative Acceptance Criteria for Radioactive Wastes to Near Surface Disposal Facility

  • Park Jin Beak;Park Joo Wan;Lee Eun Yong;Kim Chang Lak
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.35 no.5
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    • pp.387-398
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    • 2003
  • For reference human intrusion scenarios constructed in previous study, a probabilistic safety assessment to derive the radionuclide concentration limits for the low- and intermediate- level radioactive waste disposal facility is conducted. Statistical approach by the Latin Hypercube Sampling method is introduced and new assumptions about the disposal facility system are examined and discussed. In our previous study of deterministic approach, the post construction scenarios appeared as most limiting scenario to derive the radionuclide concentration limits. Whereas, in this statistical approach, the post drilling and the post construction scenarios are mutually competing for the scenario selection according to which radionuclides are more important in safety assessment context. Introduction of new assumption shows that the post drilling scenario can play an important role as the limiting scenario instead of the post-construction scenario. When we compare the concentration limits between the previous and this study, concentrations of radionuclides such as Nb-94, Cs-137 and alpha-emitting radionuclides show elevated values than the case of the previous study. Remaining radionuclides such as Sr-90, Tc-99 I-129, Ni-59 and Ni-63 show lower values than the case of the previous study.

An Estimation of Greenhouse Gases (GHGs) Emissions from Energy Sector in Changwon City and Scenario Analysis Based on the Application of Carbon Neutral by 2050 in Korea (2050 탄소중립 시나리오를 적용한 창원시 에너지부문 온실가스 배출산정 및 시나리오 분석 )

  • Ha-Neul Kim;Jae-Hyung Jung
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.32 no.6
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    • pp.419-428
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    • 2023
  • This study estimates the greenhouse gases (GHGs) emissions from energy sector of Changwon city from 2012 to 2020 and scenario analysis of GHGs reductions pathways in the context of the goal of 2030 NDC and 2050 carbon neutral scenario in Korea. As a result, the GHG emissions as a reference year of carbon neutral in 2018 were estimated as 8,872,641 tonCO2eq accounting for 3,851,786 tonCO2eq (43.6%) of direct source (scope 1) and 4,975,855 tonCO2eq (56.4%) of indirect source (scope 2). Especially, among indirect sources as purchased electricity, manufacturing sector emitted the largest GHG accounting for 33.0%(2,915 thousands tonCO2eq) of the total emissions from all energy sectors, scenario analysis of GHG reductions potential from the energy was analyzed 8,473,614 tonCO2eq and the residual emissions were 354,027 tonCO2eq. Purchased electricity and industry sector reducted the largest GHG accounting for 58.7%(4,976 thousands tonCO2eq) and 42.1%(3,565 thousands tonCO2eq) of the total emissions from all energy sectors, respectively.

Influence of EDZ on the Safety of a Potential HLW Repository

  • Hwang Yong-Soo;Kang Chul-Hyung
    • Journal of Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Waste Technology(JNFCWT)
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    • v.2 no.4
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    • pp.253-262
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    • 2004
  • Construction of tunnels in a deep crystalline host rock for a potential High-Level Radioactive Waste(HLW) repository inevitably generates an excavation disturbed zone (EDZ). There have been a series of debates on whether a permeability in an EDZ increases or not and what would be the maximum depth of an EDZ. Recent studies show mixed opinions on permeability. However, there has been an international consensus on the thickness of an EDZ; 30 cm for TBM and 1 meter for controlled blast. One of the impacts of an EDZ is on determining the distance between adjacent deposition holes. The void gap by the excavation hinders relaxation of temperature profiles so that the current Korean reference designing distance between holes should be stretched out more to keep the maximum temperature in a buffer region below 100 degrees Celsius. The other impact of an EDZ is on the long-term post closure radiological safety. To estimate the impact, the reference scenario, the well scenario, is chosen. Released nuclides diffuse through a bentonite buffer region experiencing strong sorption and reach a fracture surrounded by a porous medium. Inside a fractured porous region, radionuclides migrate by advection and dispersion with matrix diffusion into a porous medium. Finally, they reach a well assumed to be a source of potable water for local residents. The annual individual dose is assessed on this well scenario to find out the significance of an EDZ. A profound sensitivity study was performed, but all results show that the impact is negligible. Even though the role of an EDZ turns out to be limited on overall safety assessment, still it is worthwhile to study the chemical role of an EDZ, such as a potential source for natural colloids, potential sealing of an open fracture by fine clay particles generated by the process of an EDZ, and alteration of a sorption mechanism by an EDZ in the future.

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DEVELOPMENT OF A FRAMEWORK FOR ASSESSING RADIATION SOURCE TERMS IN NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS

  • Jae, Moo-Sung;Park, Shane;Kang, Kyung-Min;Jeun, Gyoo-Dong
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.197-201
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    • 2001
  • A risk analysis consists of a triplet, , where Si is the scenario identification; Pi is the probability of each scenario; and Xi is the consequences of each scenario. A new computing framework, OMAM (ORIGEN-MAAP4-MMCS), has been developed and applied for assessing the risk of a reference plant as well as radiation source terms using the concept of risk triplet. The result of this study using the OMAM framework presented in this paper, can contribute to producing domestic nuclear power plant's risk data base as well as to establishing severe accident management plans.

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DEVELOPING U-CITY MARKET SCENARIOS THROUGH A SCENARIO PLANNING APPROACH

  • Yong-Ho Kwon;Jae-Jun Kim;Suk-Hee Han;Jin-Sik Kim;Yoon-Sun Lee
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2007.03a
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    • pp.459-468
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    • 2007
  • The u-City construction project has become a hot topic in the construction market because it seems economic value-added field for construction firms. However, construction firms don't willingly participate in the u-City construction market because environments of the future business for the u-City are very uncertain. Scenario planning is a very powerful method in managing this uncertain planning situation and is based on scenarios that help each enterprise appropriately adapt itself to its own business environments. Therefore it is based on the main principles of systems thinking and multiple futures. For the purpose of dealing with such uncertainties, this paper attempts to develop the possible market scenarios of the u-City construction market in S.Korea through a scenario planning approach. From this perspective, we considered various aspects of the u-City construction such as market demands, technology development, policy level and management environment. After considering the relevant issues, we identified the main trends and key uncertainties. Finally, we developed three coherent u-City construction market scenarios. Construction firms can use these scenarios as a basic reference for market analysis and business strategy. Therefore, this paper is able to enhance the participation of construction firms in the u-City construction market.

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Evaluation of Reference Evapotranspiration in South Korea according to CMIP5 GCMs and Estimation Methods (CMIP5 GCMs과 추정 방법에 따른 우리나라 기준증발산량 평가)

  • Park, Jihoon;Cho, Jaepil;Lee, Eun-Jeong;Jung, Imgook
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.153-168
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    • 2017
  • The main objective of this study was to assess reference evapotranspiration based on multiple GCMs (General Circulation Models) and estimation methods. In this study, 10 GCMs based on the RCP (Representative Concentration Pathway) 4.5 scenario were used to estimate reference evapotranspiration. 54 ASOS (Automated Synoptic Observing System) data were constructed by statistical downscaling techniques. The meteorological variables of precipitation, maximum temperature and minimum temperature, relative humidity, wind speed, and solar radiation were produced using GCMs. For the past and future periods, we estimated reference evapotranspiration by GCMs and analyzed the statistical characteristics and analyzed its uncertainty. Five methods (BC: Blaney-Criddle, HS: Hargreaves-Samani, MK: Makkink, MS: Matt-Shuttleworth, and PM: Penman-Monteith) were selected to analyze the uncertainty by reference evapotranspiration estimation methods. We compared the uncertainty of reference evapotranspiration method by the variable expansion and analyzed which variables greatly influence reference evapotranspiration estimation. The posterior probabilities of five methods were estimated as BC: 0.1792, HS: 0.1775, MK: 0.2361, MS: 0.2054, and PM: 0.2018. The posterior probability indicated how well reference evapotranspiration estimated with 10 GCMs for five methods reflected the estimated reference evapotranspiration using the observed data. Through this study, we analyzed the overall characteristics of reference evapotranspiration according to GCMs and reference evapotranspiration estimation methods The results of this study might be used as a basic data for preparing the standard method of reference evapotranspiration to derive the water management method under climate change.

Automatic Software Requirement Pattern Extraction Method Using Machine Learning of Requirement Scenario (요구사항 시나리오 기계 학습을 이용한 자동 소프트웨어 요구사항 패턴 추출 기법)

  • Ko, Deokyoon;Park, Sooyong;Kim, Suntae;Yoo, Hee-Kyung;Hwang, Mansoo
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.263-271
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    • 2016
  • Software requirement analysis is necessary for successful software development project. Specially, incomplete requirement is the most influential causes of software project failure. Incomplete requirement can bring late delay and over budget because of the misunderstanding and ambiguous criteria for project validation. Software requirement patterns can help writing more complete requirement. These can be a reference model and standards when author writing or validating software requirement. Furthermore, when a novice writes the software scenario, the requirement patterns can be one of the guideline. In this paper proposes an automatic approach to identifying software scenario patterns from various software scenarios. In this paper, we gathered 83 scenarios from eight industrial systems, and show how to extract 54 scenario patterns and how to find omitted action of the scenario using extracted patterns for the feasibility of the approach.

Safety Assessment for LILW Near-Surface Disposal Facility Using the IAEA Reference Model and MASCOT Program (IAEA의 기준모델과 MASCOT 프로그램을 이용한 중저준위방사성폐기물 천층처분시설 안전성평가)

  • Kim, Hyun-Joo;Park, Joo-Wan;Kim, Chang-Lak
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.111-120
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    • 2002
  • A reference scenario of vault safety case prepared by the IAEA for the near-surface disposal facility of low-and informed]ate-level radioactive wastes is assessed with the MASCOT program. The appropriate conceptual models for the MASCOT implementation is developed. An assessment of groundwater pathway through a drinking well as a geosphere-biosphere interface is performed first. then biosphere pathway is analysed to estimate the radiological consequences of the disposed radionuclides based on compartment modeling approach. The validity of conceptual modeling for the reference scenario is investigated where possible comparing to the results generated by the other assessment. The result of this study shows that the typical conceptual model for groundwater pathway represented by the compartment model ran be satisfactorily used for safety assessment of the entire disposal system in a cons]stent way. It is also shown that safety assessment of a disposal facility considering complex and various pathways would be possible by the MASCOT program.

The Blue Ocean Strategy in the Agricultural Industry Convergence - Focused on the Scenario Planning of the 'Vertical Farm' in Gyeonggi Province - (기술융합화에 따른 농업분야 블루오션 전략 - 경기도 '식물공장(Vertical Farm)' 시나리오플래닝을 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Won-Il
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.983-999
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    • 2011
  • This research focused on the strategy consulting of the 'Vertical Farm' for the blue ocean of Gyeonggi agricultural industry. The study was performed based on both theoretical study and related qualitative study approaches. particularly, 'scenario planning' as a foresight method was used for the strategy formulation of the Vertical Farm. The major determinants for the success of the formation of the Vertical Farm can be summarized as follows; the enhancement of research capability and the Relational Capability of the research institutions. In terms of the needs of times, this study regarding the strategy for the formation of the Vertical Farm is anticipated to be a good reference for the R&D organizations and technology cluster participants in coming years.

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Calculation of Joule heating and temperature distribution generated in the KSTAR superconducting magnet structure

  • Seungyon Cho;Park, Chang-Ho;Sa, Jeong-Woo
    • Progress in Superconductivity and Cryogenics
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.78-83
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    • 2002
  • Since the KSTAR superconducting magnet structure should be maintained at a cryogenic temperature of about 4 K, even a small amount of heat might be a major cause of the temperature rise of the structure. The Joule heating by eddy currents induced in the magnet structure during the KSTAR operation was found to be a critical parameter for designing the cooling scheme of the magnet structure as well as defining the requirements of the refrigerator for the cryogenic system. Based on the Joule heating calculation, it was revealed that the bulk temperature rise of the magnet coil structure was less than 1 K. The local maximum temperature especially at the inboard leg of the TF coil structure increased as high as about 21 K for the plasma vertical disruption scenario. For the CS coil structure, the maximum temperature was obtained from the PF fast discharging scenario. This means that the vertical disruption and PF fast discharging scenarios are the major scenarios for the design of TF and CS coil structures, respectively. For the reference scenario, the location of maximum temperature spot changes according to the transient current variation of each PF coil.