• 제목/요약/키워드: random scenario

검색결과 68건 처리시간 0.019초

선박 동역학의 데이터 기반 모델링을 위한 조종 시나리오 개발 (Development of Maneuvering Scenario for Data-Driven Modeling of Ship Dynamics)

  • 김동환;김민창;이승범;서정화
    • 대한조선학회논문집
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    • 제61권4호
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    • pp.226-235
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    • 2024
  • A method for quantifying the adaptability of ship maneuver scenarios for data-driven modeling of ship dynamics is developed based on the principal component analysis. A random maneuver scenario is suggested as a reference for ship dynamics, which can obtain the converged principal components of ship dynamics features by the Monte Carlo simulation. Principal components of conventional maneuver scenarios defined by the International Maritime Organization (IMO) are compared to that of the random maneuver. A conventional ship dynamics model for a container carrier vessel for four degrees of freedom dynamics is introduced to simulate the random and IMO maneuver scenarios. It is confirmed that the IMO tests follow the tendency of random maneuver scenario in terms of execution time and adaptability.

Jitter Radiation for Gamma-ray Burst Prompt Emission

  • Mao, Ji-Rong
    • 천문학회보
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    • 제36권1호
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    • pp.48.1-48.1
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    • 2011
  • We utilize the jitter radiation, which is the emission of relativistic electrons in the random and small-scale magnetic field, to investigate the high-energy emissions of gamma-ray bursts (GRBs). Under the turbulent scenario, the random and small-scale magnetic field is determined by the turbulence. We also estimate the acceleration and cooling timescales. We identify that some GRBs are possible cosmic-ray sources.

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ESTIMATE OF CHLOROPHYLL CONCENTRATION FROM OCEAN COLOR: UNCERTAINTY ASSOCIATED WITH UNKNOWN BACKSCATTERING

  • Zhang, Xiaodong;Kirilenko, Andrei
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2006년도 Proceedings of ISRS 2006 PORSEC Volume I
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    • pp.446-449
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    • 2006
  • It is backscattering of solar radiation by water body that makes ocean color observable from above, either by airplanes or satellites. Given the very low direct contribution to backscattering by phytoplankton cells, it is curious why the retrieval of phytoplankton concentration from remotely observed ocean color is evidently successful. From semianalytical bio-optical models, a dataset is created of spectral absorption, scattering and backscattering coefficients as a function of chlorophyll concentration. Four scenarios are considered, 1) only molecular and no particle scattering, 2) random particle backscattering uncorrelated with chlorophyll concentration, 3) constrained random particle scattering with known backscattering ratio, and 4) constrained random scattering with random backscattering ratio. Scenario 1 only introduces moderate errors of -20% - 90%. And for scenarios 3 and 4, the errors are largely within 30% and 100%. Scenario 2 introduces the largest errors, with the retrieved chlorophyll concentration virtually uncorrelated with the true values, implying the backscattering must somehow be related to the trophic state. The results of the study suggested These 3 cases confirmed that while it is the absorption by phytoplankton that in large part decides the accuracy of chlorophyll concentration retrieval, for the success of monitoring of global ocean primary productivity we have to improve our knowledge on particle backscattering.

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Stationary Distribution for the Mobilities in Catastrophe Rescue Scenario

  • Wang, Yong;Peng, Wei;Dou, Qiang;Gong, Zhenghu
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.308-326
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    • 2013
  • Mobility Model has drawn more and more attentions since its critical role in Mobile Wireless Networks performance evaluation. This paper analyzes the mobility patterns in the catastrophe rescue scenario, and proposes the Random Waypoint with Base Point mobility model to model these characteristics. We mathematically analyze the speed and spatial stationary distributions of the nodes and derive explicit expressions for the one dimensional case. In order to keep the stationary distribution through the entire simulation procedure, we provide strategies to initialize the speed, location and destination of the nodes at the beginning of the simulation. The simulation results verify the derivations and the proposed methods in this paper. This work gives a deep understanding of the properties of the Random Waypoint with Base Point mobility model and such understanding is necessary to avoid misinterpretation of the simulation results. The conclusions are of practical value for performance analysis of mobile wireless networks, especially for the catastrophe rescue scenario.

확률변수를 이용한 레이다 시뮬레이터의 상대선박 출현방법의 개선에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Improvement of the Target Generating Methodology Using Random Variables)

  • 임남균;김환수
    • 한국항해항만학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국항해항만학회 1998년도 춘계학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.83-89
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    • 1998
  • In case of Radar Simulator ,the target ships should be generated and displayed on the monitor to provide the trainee with the feeling of real situation. The scenario methodology, which has been developed and used in Korea so far, however, has a fixed scenario, in which target ships are generated in the same manner at all time. As a result, the Radar simulator developed in Korea so far was in lack of training efficiency, as the trainee can get earily familiarized with the fixed scenaio. The paper, therefore, suggests the target ship generating methodology using random variables to improve the training efficiency of the existing simulator. In generating the target ships using this methodology, the speed, distance between the ships , and time interval of ships and time of ships were considered as a major factors which dterminie the ship's movements. The new methodology suggested was examined and found to generate target ships successfully giving a trainee the feeling of real situation.

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LONG-TERM STREAMFLOW SENSITIVITY TO RAINFALL VARIABILITY UNDER IPCC SRES CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIO

  • Kang, Boo-sik;Jorge a. ramirez, Jorge-A.-Ramirez
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.81-99
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    • 2004
  • Long term streamflow regime under virtual climate change scenario was examined. Rainfall forecast simulation of the Canadian Global Coupled Model (CGCM2) of the Canadian Climate Center for modeling and analysis for the IPCC SRES B2 scenario was used for analysis. The B2 scenario envisions slower population growth (10.4 billion by 2010) with a more rapidly evolving economy and more emphasis on environmental protection. The relatively large scale of GCM hinders the accurate computation of the important streamflow characteristics such as the peak flow rate and lag time, etc. The GCM rainfall with more than 100km scale was downscaled to 2km-scale using the space-time stochastic random cascade model. The HEC-HMS was used for distributed hydrologic model which can take the grid rainfall as input data. The result illustrates that the annual variation of the total runoff and the peak flow can be much greater than rainfall variation, which means actual impact of rainfall variation for the available water resources can be much greater than the extent of the rainfall variation.

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이동 질량 효과를 고려한 단경간 강합성 보행교의 보행 하중 진동 사용성 평가 (Vibration Serviceability Evaluation of a Single Span Steel-Concrete Composite Foot Bridge under Dynamic Pedestrian Loadings Considering Moving Mass Effect)

  • 박원석
    • 한국전산구조공학회논문집
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    • 제36권2호
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    • pp.75-83
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    • 2023
  • 이 논문에서는 보행교의 진동 사용성 평가에 있어서 보행자의 이동 질량 관성 효과의 고려 여부, 보행 패턴 등을 고려한 보행 시나리오 등에 따른 해석 결과를 제시하고, 그에 따라 보행교 설계 단계에서 동적 유한요소 해석을 통한 진동 사용성 평가에 있어 적절한 해석 방법과 유의점을 제안한다. 지간 40m의 강합성 박스 단면을 갖는 단경간 단순교 형식의 보행교에 대하여 보행자 밀도, 보행 속도, 임의 보행, 동기화 보행 등을 고려한 보행 시나리오에 대한 가속도 응답을 분석한다. 해석 결과 고정 질량 해석 방법은 임의 보행 시나리오 해석에서 이동 질량 해석과 큰 차이를 보이지 않으며 진동 사용성 평가시에는 더 넓은 진동수 대역을 가진할 수 있는 임의 보행 시나리오를 고려하는 것이 바람직할 수 있음을 보였다.

기후변화 시나리오의 기온상승에 따른 낙동강 남세균 발생 예측을 위한 데이터 기반 모델 시뮬레이션 (Data-driven Model Prediction of Harmful Cyanobacterial Blooms in the Nakdong River in Response to Increased Temperatures Under Climate Change Scenarios)

  • 장가연;조민경;김자연;김상준;박힘찬;박준홍
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제40권3호
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    • pp.121-129
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    • 2024
  • Harmful cyanobacterial blooms (HCBs) are caused by the rapid proliferation of cyanobacteria and are believed to be exacerbated by climate change. However, the extent to which HCBs will be stimulated in the future due to increased temperature remains uncertain. This study aims to predict the future occurrence of cyanobacteria in the Nakdong River, which has the highest incidence of HCBs in South Korea, based on temperature rise scenarios. Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) were used as the basis for these scenarios. Data-driven model simulations were conducted, and out of the four machine learning techniques tested (multiple linear regression, support vector regressor, decision tree, and random forest), the random forest model was selected for its relatively high prediction accuracy. The random forest model was used to predict the occurrence of cyanobacteria. The results of boxplot and time-series analyses showed that under the worst-case scenario (RCP8.5 (2100)), where temperature increases significantly, cyanobacterial abundance across all study areas was greatly stimulated. The study also found that the frequencies of HCB occurrences exceeding certain thresholds (100,000 and 1,000,000 cells/mL) increased under both the best-case scenario (RCP2.6 (2050)) and worst-case scenario (RCP8.5 (2100)). These findings suggest that the frequency of HCB occurrences surpassing a certain threshold level can serve as a useful diagnostic indicator of vulnerability to temperature increases caused by climate change. Additionally, this study highlights that water bodies currently susceptible to HCBs are likely to become even more vulnerable with climate change compared to those that are currently less susceptible.

Reliability-based fragility analysis of nonlinear structures under the actions of random earthquake loads

  • Salimi, Mohammad-Rashid;Yazdani, Azad
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제66권1호
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    • pp.75-84
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    • 2018
  • This study presents the reliability-based analysis of nonlinear structures using the analytical fragility curves excited by random earthquake loads. The stochastic method of ground motion simulation is combined with the random vibration theory to compute structural failure probability. The formulation of structural failure probability using random vibration theory, based on only the frequency information of the excitation, provides an important basis for structural analysis in places where there is a lack of sufficient recorded ground motions. The importance of frequency content of ground motions on probability of structural failure is studied for different levels of the nonlinear behavior of structures. The set of simulated ground motion for this study is based on the results of probabilistic seismic hazard analysis. It is demonstrated that the scenario events identified by the seismic risk differ from those obtained by the disaggregation of seismic hazard. The validity of the presented procedure is evaluated by Monte-Carlo simulation.

Dynamic Random Channel Allocation Scheme For Supporting QoS In HIPERLAN/2

  • Park S. J;Kang J. E;Lee J. K
    • 대한전자공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전자공학회 2004년도 ICEIC The International Conference on Electronics Informations and Communications
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    • pp.35-38
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    • 2004
  • The MAC protocol of HIPERLAN/2 is based on TDMA/TDD and AP (Access Point) can dynamically allocate the number of RCHs (Random CHannels). We propose a dynamic random channel allocation scheme improved by limiting the number of minimum RCHs. On a simulated scenario adopted practical Internet traffic, the proposed scheme is shown to achieve over $19\%$ lower delay than previously studied algorithm. This study will be a first step towards designing scope of RCHs for high-performance wireless packet network

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