• Title/Summary/Keyword: random errors

Search Result 445, Processing Time 0.024 seconds

Surveying and Optimizing the Predictors for Ependymoma Specific Survival using SEER Data

  • Cheung, Min Rex
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
    • /
    • v.15 no.2
    • /
    • pp.867-870
    • /
    • 2014
  • Purpose: This study used receiver operating characteristic curve to analyze Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) ependymoma data to identify predictive models and potential disparity in outcome. Materials and Methods: This study analyzed socio-economic, staging and treatment factors available in the SEER database for ependymoma. For the risk modeling, each factor was fitted by a Generalized Linear Model to predict the outcome ('brain and other nervous systems' specific death in yes/no). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was computed. Similar strata were combined to construct the most parsimonious models. A random sampling algorithm was used to estimate the modeling errors. Risk of ependymoma death was computed for the predictors for comparison. Results: A total of 3,500 patients diagnosed from 1973 to 2009 were included in this study. The mean follow up time (S.D.) was 79.8 (82.3) months. Some 46% of the patients were female. The mean (S.D.) age was 34.4 (22.8) years. Age was the most predictive factor of outcome. Unknown grade demonstrated a 15% risk of cause specific death compared to 9% for grades I and II, and 36% for grades III and IV. A 5-tiered grade model (with a ROC area 0.48) was optimized to a 3-tiered model (with ROC area of 0.53). This ROC area tied for the second with that for surgery. African-American patients had 21.5% risk of death compared with 16.6% for the others. Some 72.7% of patient who did not get RT had cerebellar or spinal ependymoma. Patients undergoing surgery had 16.3% risk of death, as compared to 23.7% among those who did not have surgery. Conclusion: Grading ependymoma may dramatically improve modeling of data. RT is under used for cerebellum and spinal cord ependymoma and it may be a potential way to improve outcome.

The Analysis of Changma Structure using Radiosonde Observational Data from KEOP-2007: Part I. the Assessment of the Radiosonde Data (KEOP-2007 라디오존데 관측자료를 이용한 장마 특성 분석: Part I. 라디오존데 관측 자료 평가 분석)

  • Kim, Ki-Hoon;Kim, Yeon-Hee;Chang, Dong-Eon
    • Atmosphere
    • /
    • v.19 no.2
    • /
    • pp.213-226
    • /
    • 2009
  • In order to investigate the characteristics of Changma over the Korean peninsula, KEOP-2007 IOP (Intensive Observing Period) was conducted from 15 June 2007 to 15 July 2007. KEOP-2007 IOP is high spatial and temporal radiosonde observations (RAOB) which consisted of three special stations (Munsan, Haenam, and Ieodo) from National Institute of Meteorological Research, five operational stations (Sokcho, Baengnyeongdo, Pohang, Heuksando, and Gosan) from Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), and two operational stations (Osan and Gwangju) from Korean Air Force (KAF) using four different types of radiosonde sensors. The error statistics of the sensor of radiosonde were investigated using quality control check. The minimum and maximum error frequency appears at the sensor of RS92-SGP and RS1524L respectively. The error frequency of DFM-06 tends to increase below 200 hPa but RS80-15L and RS1524L show vice versa. Especially, the error frequency of RS1524L tends to increase rapidly over 200 hPa. Systematic biases of radiosonde show warm biases in case of temperature and dry biases in case of relative humidity compared with ECMWF (European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecast) analysis data and precipitable water vapor from GPS. The maximum and minimum values of systematic bias appear at the sensor of DFM-06 and RS92-SGP in case of temperature and RS80-15L and DFM-06 in case of relative humidity. The systematic warm and dry biases at all sensors tend to increase during daytime than nighttime because air temperature around sensor increases from the solar heating during daytime. Systematic biases of radiosonde are affected by the sensor type and the height of the sun but random errors are more correlated with the moisture conditions at each observation station.

Structural Optimization of Active Vehicle Suspension Systems (능동형 차량 현가장치의 성능 향상을 위한 구조 최적화)

  • 김창동;정의봉
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
    • /
    • v.17 no.6
    • /
    • pp.1381-1388
    • /
    • 1993
  • This paper presents a method for the simultaneous optimal design of structural and control systems. Sensitivities of performance index with respect to structural design variables are analyzed. The structural design variables are optimized to minimize the performance index by use of conjugate gradient method. The method is applied to a half model of an active vehicle suspension system with elastic body moving on a randomly profiled road. The suspension control force of an optimally controlled system in the presence of measurement errors are calculated by use of linear quadratic Gaussian control theory and Kalman filter theory. The performance index contains ride comfort, road holding and working space of suspension. The structural design variables taken are stiffness, daming properties and the position of the suspension system. The random road profile considered as colored noise is shaped from white noise by use of shaping filter. The performance of an optimal simultaneous structure/control system is compared with that of an optimal controlled system.

Systematic Error Term Analysis on Bus Arrival Time Estimation (버스정보시스템(BIS) 정류장도착예정시간 시스템오차 연구)

  • Kim, Seung-Il;Kim, Yeong-Chan;Lee, Cheong-Won
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.24 no.4 s.90
    • /
    • pp.117-127
    • /
    • 2006
  • Many large cities in Korea have implemented or planed to implement a bus information system(BIS) to improve service quality for bus Passengers, mainly by Providing bus arrival time at bus stations. In those systems, similar systematic errors to estimate the bus arrival time occur, which are caused by the cycle time to identify each bus location, the information processing time of the center system, and the cycle time to update the bus arrival information on each terminal. This paper investigated each cause sequentially and estimated three expectations related to the above three causes, respectively using the random incidence concept. Through a validation using real data from a BIS in a city in Korea, fairly amount of improvements on the bus arrival time estimation have been observed.

Meta-Analysis on the Effects of Action Observation Training on Stroke Patients' Walking; Focused on Domestic Research (뇌졸중 환자의 동작관찰훈련이 보행에 미치는 효과에 대한 메타분석; 국내연구를 중심으로)

  • Lee, Jeongwoo;Ko, Un;Doo, Yeongtaek
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Integrative Medicine
    • /
    • v.7 no.4
    • /
    • pp.119-130
    • /
    • 2019
  • Purpose : The purpose of this study was to investigate the meta-analysis on the effects of action observation training on stroke patients' walking. Methods : Domestic databases (DBpia, KISS, NDSL, and RISS) were searched for studies that conducted randomized controlled trials (RCTs) associated with action observation training in adults after stroke. The search outcomes were items associated with the walking function. The 18 studies that were included in the study were analyzed using R meta-analysis. A random-effect model was used for the analysis of the effect size because of the significant heterogeneity among the studies. Sub-group and meta-regression analysis were also used. Egger's regression test was conducted to analyze the publishing bias. Cumulative meta-analysis and sensitivity analysis were also done to analyze a data error. Results : The mean effect size was 2.77. The sub-group analysis showed a statistical difference in the number of training sessions per week. No statistically significant difference was found in the meta-regression analysis. Publishing bias was found in the data, but the results of the trim-and-fill method showed that such bias did not affect the obtained data. Also, the cumulative meta-analysis and sensitivity analysis showed no data errors. Conclusion : The meta-analysis of the studies that conducted randomized clinical trials revealed that action observation training effectively improved walking of the chronic stroke patients.

Development of a vaccine automation injection system for flatfish using a template matching (템플릿 매칭을 이용한 넙치용 백신자동접종시스템 개발)

  • Lee, Dong-Gil;Yang, Young-Su;Park, Seong-Wook;Cha, Bong-Jin;Xu, Guo-Cheng;Kim, Jong-Rak
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
    • /
    • v.48 no.2
    • /
    • pp.165-173
    • /
    • 2012
  • Nationally, flatfish vaccination has been performed manually, and is a laborious and time-consuming procedure with low accuracy. The handling requirement also makes it prone to contamination. With a view to eliminating these drawbacks, we designed an automatic vaccine system in which the injection is delivered by a Cartesian coordinate robot guided by a vision system. The automatic vaccine injection system is driven by an injection site location algorithm that uses a template-matching technique. The proposed algorithm was designed to derive the time and possible angles of injection by comparing a search area with a template. The algorithm is able to vaccinate various sizes of flatfish, even when they are loaded at different angles. We validated the performance of the proposed algorithm by analyzing the injection error under randomly generated loading angles. The proposed algorithm allowed an injection rate of 2000 per hour on average. Vaccination of flatfish with a body length of up to 500mm was possible, even when the orientation of the fish was random. The injection errors in various sizes of flatfish were very small, ranging from 0 to 0.6mm.

A Study on the Sampling of Ocean Meteorological Data to Analyze Signature of Naval Ships (함정 신호해석 연구에 필요한 해양기상환경 자료의 표본추출에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Yong-Jin
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
    • /
    • v.23 no.2
    • /
    • pp.19-28
    • /
    • 2018
  • In this paper, we studied on the sampling of ocean meteorological data to analyze signature of naval ships. The newest ocean meteorological data, that was quality controled by the Korea Meteorological Administration(KMA), was collected. Outliers were removed from the data by setting the usable range of data. After that, the data size was reduced through the random sampling method, taking geopolitical significance and effective area of buoy, for probabilistic analysis. Moreover, the sample sizes were set at 100, 200, and 400 by considering the population size and a 95% confidence level. The final sample was obtained using the two-dimensional stratified sampling method based on highly correlated water temperature and air temperature. The sum of the squared errors and the confidence interval was calculated to compare the result of sampling. As a result, this study proposed reasonable sample size for infra­red signature analysis of naval ships.

A strain-based wire breakage identification algorithm for unbonded PT tendons

  • Abdullah, A.B.M.;Rice, Jennifer A.;Hamilton, H.R.
    • Smart Structures and Systems
    • /
    • v.16 no.3
    • /
    • pp.415-433
    • /
    • 2015
  • Tendon failures in bonded post-tensioned bridges over the last two decades have motivated ongoing investigations on various aspects of unbonded tendons and their monitoring methods. Recent research shows that change of strain distribution in anchor heads can be useful in detecting wire breakage in unbonded construction. Based on this strain variation, this paper develops a damage detection model that enables an automated tendon monitoring system to identify and locate wire breaks. The first part of this paper presents an experimental program conducted to study the strain variation in anchor heads by generating wire breaks using a mechanical device. The program comprised three sets of tests with fully populated 19-strand anchor head and evaluated the levels of strain variation with number of wire breaks in different strands. The sensitivity of strain variation with wire breaks in circumferential and radial directions of anchor head in addition to the axial direction (parallel to the strand) were investigated and the measured axial strains were found to be the most sensitive. The second part of the paper focuses on formulating the wire breakage detection framework. A finite element model of the anchorage assembly was created to demonstrate the algorithm as well as to investigate the asymmetric strain distribution observed in experimental results. In addition, as almost inevitably encountered during tendon stressing, the effects of differential wedge seating on the proposed model have been analyzed. A sensitivity analysis has been performed at the end to assess the robustness of the model with random measurement errors.

Velocity Measurement of Stream Water Surface Using Microwave (전자파를 이용한 하천수 표면유속 측정)

  • Lee, Sang-Ho;Lee, Han-Gu;Kim, U-Gu
    • Water for future
    • /
    • v.28 no.6
    • /
    • pp.183-191
    • /
    • 1995
  • Applying microwave, a velocity measurement system has been developed in order to measure the velocity of stream water surface. It's main purpose is the measurement for high velocity of flood water. It is under the developing stage of experimental measurement system. The microwave surface velocity meter uses Doppler effects of microwave. It consists of a radio frequency(RF) part and that of signal processing. Thr RF part has the function of microwave oscillation, reception of reflected wave, and determination of Doppler frequency, etc. Signal processing designates amplification, fast Fourier transform, etx. Various measuring experiments were performed at bridges and a spillway of Taechong re-regulation dam with the microwave velocity meter. Verification test was also made through water tank of ship model test at Research Institute of Ships and Ocean Engineering. It shows 4% error inherent in A/D converter and additional several percentage errors from measurement circumstance. The measuring ranges are from 0.5 to 3.5 m/s. The result shows good linear relationship between carriage velocity and measured velocity, thus proves usefulness as a measuring instrument for flood water velocity. The instrument requires overall re-engineering procedure and number of data should be accumulated and analyzed to treat wind effects and random fluctuations of water surface.

  • PDF

Protection Algorithm of the Multimedia Contents in the Mobile Environment (모바일 환경하에서 멀티미디어 컨텐츠 보호 알고리즘)

  • Kim Hang-Rae;Park Young;Choi Nam-Hyung
    • Journal of Digital Contents Society
    • /
    • v.5 no.1
    • /
    • pp.87-94
    • /
    • 2004
  • In this paper, the digital watermarking algorithm is proposed using CDMA technique for protection of the mobile contents in the mobile environment. The digital watermarking was designed to robust the errors in the mobile environment where pathloss, multipath fading, interference, and noise exist. In case of the multimedia content service in the mobile environment, the construction method of the watermark, the algorithm of insertion and detection are also proposed. The watermark consists of the information of the mobile user. Invisibility and robustness required in watermarking are etimated. It is observed that PSNR of the mobile content inserted the watermark is 90.31 dB, and the signal processing and noise attack are also robust. Especially, because random noise occurs in wireless transmission can overcome, the proposed watermarking algorithm is adequate for protection of the multimedia contents in the mobile environment.

  • PDF