• 경영과학
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• 제31권3호
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• pp.95-111
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• 2014

It is essential to carry out an economic analysis on public water supply projects so that policy makers and water enterprises are aware of the actual value of the project. However, many popular approaches based on discounted cash flow analysis do not capture the uncertainties inherent in cash flow. In order to analyze the economic values of the water supply project of local governments, we utilize real option model, which considers uncertainty in future water price behavior and captures the value of real life flexibility. The real option model is designed to incorporate the option to expand and abandon, and it is applied to a local government case. Furthermore, we assess the project by exploring Luehrman's option space to accommodate the more efficient decision making. The results show that substantial amount of potential value is included in the public water supply service, and the overall value is greater than the value obtained from the discounted cash flow model.

• Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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• 제7권1호
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• pp.9-29
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• 2018

Japan's manufacturing is mostly dependent on the automotive industry in Toyota-Kariya cities. However, the nearby city of Hamamatsu is the home of a start-up ecosystem known as Japan's Silicon Valley. How is it possible to evaluate the innovative potential of each regional industry? What kind of guidelines exist for continuing R&D investment when companies' net incomes are negative in the face of the 'Valley-of-Death' or financial crisis? Is it possible to measure the regional resilience ability in the context of the financial crisis? Entrepreneurial innovation is defined as a real-option portfolio consisting of investment decision to commercialize R&D findings. The subcontractor system implies a vertical and tight industrial group. However, a start-up ecosystem means a platform for horizontal and flexible partnership. In this research, the data include the financial indices of each of 18 public companies in both regions between FY2009 and FY2017. The objective of this paper is to clarify the call option or resilience function of equity for R&D investment in the context of the financial crisis in both regions by using Bayesian MCMC analysis.

• 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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• 제20권10호
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• pp.133-140
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• 2015

In this paper, I propose some policy and theoretical implications by analyzing moderating effects of volunteering activity in the causal relationships between social welfare major choice and their job choice. For the purpose of the goal of this study, I surveyed 242 university students in 2~4 grades majoring social welfare in Gwangju and South and North Jeolla Province. Analysis results showed that the personal motive on choosing a major affects the occupational aptitude & interests and economic feasibility of career when they choose their jobs. However, the social motive didn't affect the occupational aptitude & interests and economic feasibility of career. It means that they didn't choose their majors considering their aptitude & interests, but chose them by following the advice of the surrounding people. Also, moderating effects of volunteering activity was not significant, which means that volunteering period and schedules are too short and tend to be operated as a mere formality. This study suggests the policy implications so that they have the correct major selection and career options based on the analysis results.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• 제17권2호
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• pp.867-872
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• 2016

Background: Esophageal cancer is one of the most serious malignancies. Due to the aggressive nature of this cancer, the prognosis is poor. A network meta-analysis with simultaneous comparison of multiple treatments can help determine better treatment options that have higher effects on overall survival of patients with lower adverse events. The aim of this review is to simultaneously compare efficacy and adverse events of treatment interventions for esophageal cancer. Materials and Methods: In this review, only randomized control trials (RCT) will be considered for network meta-analysis. All international electronic databases including Medline, Web of Sciences, Scopus, Cochran's library, EMBASE and Cancerlit will be searched to find randomized control trials which compared two or more treatment interventions for esophageal cancer. A network plot will be drawn for visual representation of all available treatment interventions. Bayesian approach will be used to combine the direct and indirect evidence. Treatment effects (e.g. hazard ratio for time to event outcomes, risk ratio for binary outcomes, and rate ratio for count outcomes with 95% credible interval) will be reported. Moreover, cumulative probability of the treatment ranks will be reported using the surface under the cumulative ranking (SUCRA) graphs. Consistency assumption will be assessed by the loop-specific and design-by-treatment interaction approaches. Conclusions: The results of this study may be helpful for the patients, clinicians and health policy makers in selecting treatments that have the best effect on survival and lowest adverse events.

• 방사성폐기물학회지
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• 제9권1호
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• pp.49-62
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• 2011

최근 국제원자력기구와 방사성폐기물 분야 주요 선도국들은 리스크 차등접근법에 따라 방사성폐기물의 분류기준을 세분화하고 있는 추세이며, 이러한 맥락에서 극저준위폐기물을 새로운 방사성폐기물 범주로서 신설하거나 이에 대한 별도의 최적 관리방안을 모색하고 있다. 국제적으로 운영 사례가 점차 증가되고 있는 주요 국가의 극저준위폐기물 전용 공학적 표층매립형 처분시설들은 방사성핵종의 격리 및 지연 성능 측면에서 1960년대 주로 건설된 천층 트렌치형 중 저준위폐기물 처분시설 보다 개선된 것으로 분석되었다. 또한 주요 선도국들의 극저준위폐기물 관리방안은 규제해제 제도, 중 저준위폐기물 처분시설 및 비원자력 폐기물매립장의 활용 가능성, 사회수용성 등에 따라 차이가 있는 것으로 나타났다. 이와 관련하여, 국내에서도 향후 대형 원자력시설의 해체에 대비하여 극저준위폐기물의 최적 관리방안에 관한 종합적인 검토와 논의를 통해 리스크 차등접근법에 따른 최적화된 관리방안을 사전에 수립하고, 이를 국가 방사성폐기물 관리정책 및 관리계획의 틀 내에서 체계적으로 시행할 필요가 있다.

• 한국도서관정보학회지
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• 제12권
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• pp.35-59
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• 1985

User fees have been employed by libraries as far back as the mid-1800s in both United States and England. By the late 1800s and early : 1900s, the charging of user fees for some library products and services had become a reality in many public and academic libraries. Yet the practice has created controversy when computer-aided reference service began to charge especially in the publicly funded libraries. There are two extream arguments on library reference service fees : one is for and the other is against. most fee o n.0, pponents base their stand on morality. They argue that charging fees for any service is wrong because it violates the user's right of access to information and regard it as an act of decrease human life chances as well as an act of censor. But those who favour fees argue that it is necessary to separate the rhetoric from the reality and to distinguish what libraries are from what they do. The study revealed that library has two options. One is strict free of charge and the other is charging for selected library services. Whatever options the library may take, library had to decide an overall reference service policy. The level and scope of service, audience, necessary fund (who and how) and many other physical and metaphysical things must be considered. However, the first option will necessary be to limit services while there is no loss of traditional philosophical service element. Yet, if to provide a wide range of choices and to create conditions more hospitable to competition from the private information sector and for better evolutional selection, the second option(fee-based service) gives more benefit to the users while there is a loss of fundamental service philosophy.

• Clinical and Experimental Reproductive Medicine
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• 제40권4호
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• pp.169-173
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• 2013

Objective: To measure Irish opinion on a range of assisted human reproduction (AHR) treatments. Methods: A nationally representative sample of Irish adults (n=1,003) were anonymously sampled by telephone survey. Results: Most participants (77%) agreed that any fertility services offered internationally should also be available in Ireland, although only a small minority of the general Irish population had personal familiarity with AHR or infertility. This sample finds substantial agreement (63%) that the Government of Ireland should introduce legislation covering AHR. The range of support for gamete donation in Ireland ranged from 53% to 83%, depending on how donor privacy and disclosure policies are presented. For example, donation where the donor agrees to be contacted by the child born following donation, and anonymous donation where donor privacy is completely protected by law were supported by 68% and 66%, respectively. The least popular (53%) donor gamete treatment type appeared to be donation where the donor consents to be involved in the future life of any child born as a result of donor fertility treatment. Respondents in social class ABC1 (58%), age 18 to 24 (62%), age 25 to 34 (60%), or without children (61%) were more likely to favour this donor treatment policy in our sample. Conclusion: This is the first nationwide assessment of Irish public opinion on the advanced reproductive technologies since 2005. Access to a wide range of AHR treatment was supported by all subgroups studied. Public opinion concerning specific types of AHR treatment varied, yet general support for the need for national AHR legislation was reported by 63% of this national sample. Contemporary views on AHR remain largely consistent with the Commission for Assisted Human Reproduction recommendations from 2005, although further research is needed to clarify exactly how popular opinion on these issues has changed. It appears that legislation allowing for the full range of donation options (and not mandating disclosure of donor identity at a stipulated age) would better align with current Irish public opinion.

• 한국항해항만학회지
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• 제38권5호
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• pp.549-559
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• 2014

국제무역지수의 증가로 인한 해상운송 및 항만개발수요의 증가는 국제해사기구(IMO)를 중심으로 선박기인 대기오염, 특히 온실가스 배출규제의 강화를 초래하였다. 이러한 국제환경규제에 대응하고 선박 및 항만기인 환경오염 저감을 통한 자국민의 후생증진을 위하여 미국과 유럽을 중심으로 Green Port 정책의 시행이 점점 확대되고 있는 추세이다. 이에 따라 우리나라도 2010년 녹색성장기본법을 재정하고 국가 Green Port 구축 종합계획을 수립하여 각 항만별 그린포트 구축계획의 수립 및 이행을 촉구하고 있는 실정이다. 따라서 본 연구의 목적은 동북아시아 오일허브 항만을 지향하는 울산항의 지속가능한 친환경 항만운영을 위한 울산항의 Green Port 정책방안의 수립에 있다. 이를 위해 울산항의 친환경 항만정책의 현황 및 문제점을 살펴보고, 해외 해양선진국의 그린포트구축 사례분석과 선행연구 조사, 전문가 자문을 통하여 울산항 그린포트 구축을 위한 정책대안을 도출하였다. 그리고 도출된 정책대안에 대하여 전문가 AHP 설문조사 및 분석을 통해 울산항에 도입 가능한 그린포트 구축 정책대안에 대한 우선순위를 도출하였다. 본 연구의 결과, 울산항의 특성에 맞는 지속적인 그린포트 정책의 시행을 위하여 하드웨어 정책으로 LED 교체와 AMP의 구축, 그리고 소프트웨어 정책으로 항만환경관리부서의 신설이 최우선 정책대안으로 나타났다.

• 경영과학
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• 제32권1호
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• pp.1-13
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• 2015

We estimate the option value embedded in reverse mortgages using the framework of European put option. The reverse mortgage is a very useful financial product for senior citizens who own homes but do not have a cash income while it is a high risk one from lender's perspective. One of benefits of the reverse mortgages is that the debt limit is restricted to the scope of the disposition price of the collateralized house, which is considered a put option to borrowers. The put option is evaluated using Black-Scholes model and a sensitive analysis is performed on variables such as discount rate, volatility, and time period. We confirm that the option value of reverse mortgages increases rapidly as the borrowers live longer than their life expectancy. The results of this study can be used to promote the reverse mortgage program more effectively in order to solve the problem of income shortage of the elderly homeowners.

• 자원리싸이클링
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• 제24권3호
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• pp.16-26
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• 2015

본 연구는 기저귀 재활용을 정책적으로 도입하고자 할 때 최적의 수거방안을 마련하고자 어린이집이 밀집된 지방자치단체와 수거 시범사업을 수행함으로써 수거에 따른 문제점을 파악하고 개선점을 도출해 보고자 하였다. 모니터링 결과 배출방식에 대한 명확한 안내와 배출량에 대한 면밀한 분석이 필요하고 언론홍보를 통한 기저귀 재활용의 중요성에 대한 교육적 역할이 중요하다는 점이 도출되었다. 또한 시범사업 참여자에게 인센티브 제공이 필요하며, 수거 인프라 관련 비용은 공공영역에서 부담해야 한다고 생각하고 있었다. 수거 비용 관련해서 본 시범운영에서는 기저귀 수거만 전문으로 할 수 있는 여건이 형성되지 않았기 때문에 경제성이 있는 수거비용이 산출되지 않았으나 향후 본 제도를 활성화하기 위해 수도권으로 확대할 경우 주 2회 빈도에 고효율 수집차량을 운행하면서 수거율 50% 수준의 수거모델을 운영한다면, 현행 음식물 쓰레기 처리비용 수준이하의 수거 비용을 확보하여 경제적 측면에서 효율적일 수 있음을 알 수 있었다. 충분한 수거량 확보를 통한 안정적인 수거모델 구축과 함께 재활용 기술 개발이 진행된다면 기저귀 재활용을 통한 지속가능한 사회 구축에 한발 더 근접할 수 있을 것이다.