• Title/Summary/Keyword: proxy variables

Search Result 125, Processing Time 0.032 seconds

Effects of Program Trading Halts on Information Asymmetry : Program Trading Stocks, Index Arbitrage Stocks, and Non-index Arbitrage Stocks (프로그램매매 중단장치가 차익거래종목과 비차익거래종목의 정보비대칭에 미치는 영향)

  • Park, Jong-Won;Eom, Yun-Sung;Chang, Uk
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
    • /
    • v.26 no.3
    • /
    • pp.65-101
    • /
    • 2009
  • The effects of program trading halts system (sidecar) on information asymmetry of program trading stocks, index arbitrage stocks, and non-index arbitrage stocks in the Korean stock market are examined. Effective spread and number of program trade of each stock are used as proxy variables for information asymmetry. The main results are as follows; Firstly, we find that effective spreads of program trading stocks in the post-halt period decrease significantly following the halt period. This means that sidecar has the effect of reducing information asymmetry in the Korean stock market. Secondly, the mitigation effect of information asymmetry of program trading stocks works only in buy-program trading stocks, but not in sell-program trading stocks. Thirdly, the results show that there are no distinct differences for index arbitrage group and non-index arbitrage group surrounding the sidecar events. In other words, program trading halts system has a mitigating effect of information asymmetry in not only index arbitrage trading stocks but also non-index arbitrage stocks. Fourthly, this mitigation effect works only in buy-sample not in sell-sample like in program trading stocks. And lastly, the analyses result of number of program trade shows that number of program trade of almost of sample stocks increases after the sidecar events. This implies that the information asymmetry is not fully resolved during the halt period and the effect of news inducing sidecar is continuing after the event.

  • PDF

An Empirical Study on the "Effects of My Mom's Friend's Son" in the Job Search Process of Youths (청년층 직업탐색에서의 '엄친아효과'에 대한 실증연구)

  • Bai, Jin Han
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
    • /
    • v.36 no.3
    • /
    • pp.121-168
    • /
    • 2014
  • After analyzing and finding the explaining factors about the "Effect of My Mom's Friend's Son (MMFS Effect)" with online-surveyed data, we introduce this concept into the conventional job search theory to develop it further. We try to estimate its effects on the hazard rate of youth pre-employment duration with some proxy variables such as his/her parents' schooling, living with parents dummy, increasing rate of consumer price index representing the burdens of parents, monthly temporary/daily workers ratio, relative ratio of quarterly 90th percentile urban household income, monthly average wage differentials between the workers of large and small firms, etc. The results confirm us the fact that so called "MMFS Effect" has been effective enough and strengthened up to recently. The conventional job search theory should be extended to be able to introduce the influencing effects of other person's success, for instance MMFS's success, on the job search behavior of youths, too.

  • PDF

The Irrational Behavior of Korea Stock Market and The Role of Public Information: Evidence from Mass Media in Korea (주식시장의 비이성적 행동과 공개정보의 역할 - 한국 매스미디어로 부터 증거 -)

  • Son, Pando;Lee, Hyeong ki
    • Management & Information Systems Review
    • /
    • v.39 no.3
    • /
    • pp.83-98
    • /
    • 2020
  • This study analyzes how investors' irrational behavior (or pessimistic sentiment) affects stock market returns and investors' market activity using mass media that delivered public information from January 1998 to December 2012 as a sample. According to pessimistic investor theory, investor pessimism leads to downward pressure on the price of equity capital, thereby making market sentiment pessimistic and lowering market yields. It also shows that investor pessimism increases transaction costs in the market, which in turn dampens investors' trading activities. In other words, pessimistic reporting on public information disseminated by mass media induces investors to act irrationally, eventually having a direct impact on the stock market. This study conducted an empirical analysis of the existing theoretical and empirical studies using domestic mass media as a sample. First, the study revealed a negative correlation between pessimistic reporting and returns as well as excess returns, while it did not show statistically significant results. Second, evidence has been suggested that pessimistic sentiment in the stock market has a negative impact on future pessimistic reporting by mass media. Third, the analysis of the impact of pessimistic reporting on investors' market activity using proxy variables for various market activities found that pessimism dampens market activity, while it did not show statistically significant results. It is assumed that low statistical significance is due to the fact that sample collection was carried out on a monthly basis. While the results of the study have low statistical significance, statistical signs support predictions of the theory.

Modelling Analysis of Climate and Soil Depth Effects on Pine Tree Dieback in Korea Using BIOME-BGC (BIOME-BGC 모형을 이용한 국내 소나무 고사의 기후 및 토심 영향 분석)

  • Kang, Sinkyu;Lim, Jong-Hwan;Kim, Eun-Sook;Cho, Nanghyun
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
    • /
    • v.18 no.4
    • /
    • pp.242-252
    • /
    • 2016
  • A process-based ecosystem model, BIOME-BGC, was applied to simulate seasonal and inter-annual dynamics of carbon and water processes for potential evergreen needleleaf forest (ENF) biome in Korea. Two simulation sites, Milyang and Unljin, were selected to reflect warm-and-dry and cool-and-wet climate regimes, where massive diebacks of pines including Pinus densiflora, P. koraiensis and P thunbergii, were observed in 2009 and 2014, respectively. Standard Precipitation Index (SPI) showed periodic drought occurrence at every 5 years or so for both sites. Since mid-2000s, droughts occurred with hotter climate condition. Among many model variables, Cpool (i.e., a temporary carbon pool reserving photosynthetic compounds before allocations for new tissue production) was identified as a useful proxy variable of tree carbon starvation caused by reduction of gross primary production (GPP) and/or increase of maintenance respiration (Rm). Temporal Cpool variation agreed well with timings of pine tree diebacks for both sites. Though water stress was important, winter- and spring-time warmer temperature also played critical roles in reduction of Cpool, especially for the cool-and-wet Uljin. Shallow soil depth intensified the drought effect, which was, however, marginal for soil depth shallower than 0.5 m. Our modeling analysis implicates seasonal drought and warmer climate can intensify vulnerability of ENF dieback in Korea, especially for shallower soils, in which multi-year continued stress is of concern more than short-term episodic stress.

Controlling Shareholders' Propping and Corporate Value in Korean Firms (지배주주의 프로핑과 기업가치)

  • Kim, Dongwook;Jung, Mingue;Kim, Byounggon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.17 no.9
    • /
    • pp.112-119
    • /
    • 2016
  • This study aims to examine propping by the controlling shareholders and the corporate value of Korean firms with agency problems and propping perspectives. Propping refers to a transfer of resources from a higher ownership firm to a lower ownership firm, in order to prevent the latter from going bankrupt. This study used a sample of 4,077 companies listed on the KRX data exchange from 2004 to 2014. We used proxy variables such as long-term supply contracts, asset and business sales, credit facilities, loans, and equity investments to affiliates as wealth transfer instruments of the controlling shareholders. We found that propping occurred by the equity investment of affiliates in Korean firms. Also, we found that the Korean firm's value was decreased by the affiliate equity investment.

The Association between Household Type and Self-rated Health of the Elderly in Korea: Analysis of the National Survey of Older Koreans 2017 (우리나라 노인의 가구형태와 주관적 건강상태의 관련성: 2017년 노인실태조사 자료를 이용하여)

  • Choi, Minji;Joo, Hye Jin;Kim, Taehyun;Beck, Sang Sook;Chung, Woojin
    • Health Policy and Management
    • /
    • v.32 no.2
    • /
    • pp.190-204
    • /
    • 2022
  • Background: In Korea, the population is rapidly aging, and the types of households for the elderly are also diversifying. The self-rated health of the elderly is a valuable health indicator that can comprehensively represent the overall quality of life along with physical, mental, and functional health. On the other hand, studies on the association between household type and self-rated health of the elderly are still insufficient. Thus, this study analyzed the association between household type and self-rated health by gender in Korean older adults. Methods: Using data from the analysis of the National Survey of Older Koreans 2017, 10,299 elderly people aged 65 and over were targeted. For the accuracy of the analysis data, 9,910 people were selected as the study sample by excluding proxy responses, those diagnosed with dementia, and non-response. And technical analysis, univariate analysis using the Rao-Scott chi-square test, and logical regression analysis involving survey characteristics were conducted by gender. Results: According to the adjusted model with all variables, in both men and women, the odds ratio of self-rated health 'bad' in 'couple (with ill spouse)' was significantly higher than 'couple (with spouse)'. It was 2.54 (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.05-3.15) for men and 2.11 (95% CI, 1.70-2.62) for women. In addition, the odds ratio of self-rated health 'bad' in 'living with adult children' was 1.43 (95% CI, 1.09-1.87) for men and 1.42 (95% CI, 1.15-1.75) for women, which was more significant in women than men. Conclusion: This study states that there is an association between gender, household type, and self-rated health of the elderly, and the health of a spouse and cohabitation with children have a significant effect on self-rated health. As a result, in order to improve the health status of the elderly, health promotion and health care policies involving the characteristics of the elderly's gender and household type are needed.

A Meta-analysis on Antecedents and Consequences of Technological Innovation: Focused on Empirical Analyses of South Korea's SMEs (기술혁신의 요인과 성과에 관한 메타분석: 우리나라 중소기업에 관한 실증분석 연구를 대상으로)

  • Kim, Juil;Kim, Minseo;Park, Hyesu
    • Korean small business review
    • /
    • v.42 no.2
    • /
    • pp.43-67
    • /
    • 2020
  • Studies on technological innovation of SMEs have made remarkable growth both qualitatively and quantitatively, but each study has a limitation to generalize due to lack of data, diversity of methodologies and variables. Therefore, a systematic and comprehensive statistical approach to obtain generalized conclusions through numerous empirical studies can help both the strategic decision making of SMEs and the government's innovation policies. The purpose of this study is to comprehensively analyze the technological innovation process of SMEs through meta-analysis. For this, the antecedents of technological innovation, the relationship between technological innovation and management performance of SMEs were analyzed. The results of using 62,512 samples from 111 domestic empirical studies were as follows; First, to improve the technological innovation of SMEs, internal cooperation, innovation culture, dynamic capabilities, and absorptive capacity were important antecedents. Second, in terms of IP performance, which was introduced as a proxy for technological innovation, human resource management, technological opportunities, commercialization capabilities, financial resources, and R&D expenditure. Third, technological innovation has a medium-sized effect on financial performance, however the effect of IP performance has a small effect size. Lastly, in the relationship between technological innovation and financial performance, the method of measurement and publication type showed statistically significant moderating effects.

The Economic Impact of the May 18 Democratic Uprising on the Regional Economy: A Synthetic Control Method (SCM) approach (5·18민주화운동이 지역경제에 미친 경제적 영향 분석: 통제집단합성법(SCM)을 이용한 접근)

  • Ryu, Deockhyun;Seo, Dongkyu
    • Analyses & Alternatives
    • /
    • v.6 no.2
    • /
    • pp.155-183
    • /
    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study is to econometrically analyze the negative impact of the May 18 Democratic Uprising on the Gwangju/Jeonnam regionional economy using the Synthetic Control Method (SCM). The SCM SCM is a methodology similar to the difference-in-difference(DID) method of microeconometrics. It is applied to macroeconomic variables such as country, region, etc. to estimate the causal relationship between specific events and the dependent variable. In this study, as of 1980, local tax revenue data of metropolitan local governments were used as a proxy variable for the economy of the region, and the impact of the May 18 Democratic Uprising on the economy of Gwangju/Jeonnam region was analyzed through various socio-economic indicators. In this study, data were used to analyze from 1971 to 2000, and as a result of empirical analysis, local tax revenues in Gwangju/Jeonnam area were less collected than normal routes up to 17%. In addition, the significance of this analysis was confirmed through in-time placebo effect analysis and in-space placebo effect analysis, which are methods of analyzing the robustness of the control group synthesis method.

Estimating Land Assets in North Korea: Framework Development & Exploratory Application (북한지역 토지자산 추정에 관한 연구: 프레임워크 개발 및 탐색적 적용)

  • Lim, Song
    • Economic Analysis
    • /
    • v.27 no.2
    • /
    • pp.71-123
    • /
    • 2021
  • In this study, we present a methodology and model to estimate land prices and the value of land assets in North Korea in the absence of any data about land characteristics from North Korean authorities. Using this framework, we experimentally make market price-based estimates for land assets across the entire urban area of North Korea. First, we estimate the determinants of land prices in South Korea using data on market prices of land from the late 1970s, when it was estimated that the income level gap between South Korea and North Korea wasn't relatively large, and from the early 1980s, when urbanization levels in both of them were similar. Second, we calculate land prices and their relative ratios for each city and urban area in North Korea around 2015 by substituting proxy variables of determinants of land prices derived through a geographic information analysis of North Korea into the function of land prices that we have already estimated. Finally, we estimate the value of land assets in urban areas across North Korea by combining the ratio of housing transaction prices surveyed in several cities in North Korea with the relative prices estimated in this research. As a result, land prices in urban areas in North Korea, looking at the relative ratio of price by city, are estimated to be the highest, at 100.00, in Tongdaewon district of Pyongyang, and to be the lowest, at 1.70, in Phungso county, Ryanggang Province. Meanwhile, the value of land assets in urbanized areas was estimated at $21.6 billion in 2015, which was 1.2 to 1.3 times the GDP of North Korea that year. This ratio is similar to South Korea's in the 1978-1980 period, when the South Korean economy grew at an average rate of 6%. Considering North Korea's growth rate of about 1% in the 2013-2014 period, its ratio of land assets to GDP appears very high.

Informative Role of Marketing Activity in Financial Market: Evidence from Analysts' Forecast Dispersion

  • Oh, Yun Kyung
    • Asia Marketing Journal
    • /
    • v.15 no.3
    • /
    • pp.53-77
    • /
    • 2013
  • As advertising and promotions are categorized as operating expenses, managers tend to reduce marketing budget to improve their short term profitability. Gauging the value and accountability of marketing spending is therefore considered as a major research priority in marketing. To respond this call, recent studies have documented that financial market reacts positively to a firm's marketing activity or marketing related outcomes such as brand equity and customer satisfaction. However, prior studies focus on the relation of marketing variable and financial market variables. This study suggests a channel about how marketing activity increases firm valuation. Specifically, we propose that a firm's marketing activity increases the level of the firm's product market information and thereby the dispersion in financial analysts' earnings forecasts decreases. With less uncertainty about the firm's future prospect, the firm's managers and shareholders have less information asymmetry, which reduces the firm's cost of capital and thereby increases the valuation of the firm. To our knowledge, this is the first paper to examine how informational benefits can mediate the effect of marketing activity on firm value. To test whether marketing activity contributes to increase in firm value by mitigating information asymmetry, this study employs a longitudinal data which contains 12,824 firm-year observations with 2,337 distinct firms from 1981 to 2006. Firm value is measured by Tobin's Q and one-year-ahead buy-and-hold abnormal return (BHAR). Following prior literature, dispersion in analysts' earnings forecasts is used as a proxy for the information gap between management and shareholders. For model specification, to identify mediating effect, the three-step regression approach is adopted. All models are estimated using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods to test the statistical significance of the mediating effect. The analysis shows that marketing intensity has a significant negative relationship with dispersion in analysts' earnings forecasts. After including the mediator variable about analyst dispersion, the effect of marketing intensity on firm value drops from 1.199 (p < .01) to 1.130 (p < .01) in Tobin's Q model and the same effect drops from .192 (p < .01) to .188 (p < .01) in BHAR model. The results suggest that analysts' forecast dispersion partially accounts for the positive effect of marketing on firm valuation. Additionally, the same analysis was conducted with an alternative dependent variable (forecast accuracy) and a marketing metric (advertising intensity). The analysis supports the robustness of the main results. In sum, the results provide empirical evidence that marketing activity can increase shareholder value by mitigating problem of information asymmetry in the capital market. The findings have important implications for managers. First, managers should be cognizant of the role of marketing activity in providing information to the financial market as well as to the consumer market. Thus, managers should take into account investors' reaction when they design marketing communication messages for reducing the cost of capital. Second, this study shows a channel on how marketing creates shareholder value and highlights the accountability of marketing. In addition to the direct impact of marketing on firm value, an indirect channel by reducing information asymmetry should be considered. Potentially, marketing managers can justify their spending from the perspective of increasing long-term shareholder value.

  • PDF