• 제목/요약/키워드: prognostic model

검색결과 253건 처리시간 0.03초

Prognostic Impact of Elevation of Vascular Endothelial Growth Factor Family Expression in Patients with Non-small Cell lung Cancer: an Updated Meta-analysis

  • Zheng, Chun-Long;Qiu, Chen;Shen, Mei-Xiao;Qu, Xiao;Zhang, Tie-Hong;Zhang, Ji-Hong;Du, Jia-Jun
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제16권5호
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    • pp.1881-1895
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    • 2015
  • Background: The vascular endothelial growth factor family has been implicated in tumorigenesis and metastasis. The prognostic value of each vascular endothelial growth factor family member, particular VEGF/VEGFR co-expression, in patients with non-small lung cancer remains controversial. Materials and Methods: Relevant literature was identified by searching PubMed, EMBASE and Web of Science. Studies evaluating expression of VEGFs and/or VEGFRs by immunohistochemistry or ELISA in lung cancer tissue were eligible for inclusion. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) from individual study were pooled by using a fixed- or random-effect model, heterogeneity and publication bias analyses were also performed. Results: 74 studies covering 7,631 patients were included in the meta-analysis. Regarding pro-angiogenesis factors, the expression of VEGFA (HR=1.633, 95%CI: 1.490-1.791) and VEGFR1 (HR=1.924, 95%CI: 1.220-3.034) was associated separately with poor survival. Especially, VEGFA over-expression was an independent prognostic factor in adenocarcinoma (ADC) (HR=1.775, 95%CI: 1.384-2.275) and SCC (HR=2.919, 95%CI: 2.060-4.137). Co-expression of VEGFA/VEGFR2 (HR=2.011, 95%CI: 1.405-2.876) was also significantly associated with worse survival. For lymphangiogenesis factors, the expression of VEGFC (HR=1.611, 95%CI: 1.407-1.844) predicted a poor prognosis. Co-expression of VEGFC/VEGFR3 (HR=2.436, 95%CI: 1.468-4.043) emerged as a preferable prognostic marker. Conclusions: The expression of VEGFA (particularly in SCC and early stage NSCLC), VEGFC, VEGFR1 indicates separately an unfavorable prognosis in patients with NSCLC. Co-expression VEGFA/VEGFR2 is comparable with VEGFC/VEGFR3, both featuring sufficient discrimination value as preferable as prognostic biologic markers.

완화적 시술을 받은 악성 위장관 폐색 말기 암환자의 임상적 예후인자 (Clinical Prognostic Factors of Terminal Cancer Patients with Palliative Procedures for Malignant Gastrointestinal Obstruction)

  • 문도호;최화숙
    • Journal of Hospice and Palliative Care
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.200-208
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    • 2005
  • 목적: 악성 위장관 폐색 환자에서 완화적 시술이나 수술은 폐색의 다양한 증상을 조절할 뿐만 아니라 삶의 질을 향상시킨다. 본 연구는 완화적인 시술을 받았던 악성 위장관 폐색 말기암 환자의 임상적 특징과 예후인자를 알아보고자 하였다. 방법: 2002년 5월부터 2005년 5월까지 본원에서 악성 위장관 폐색으로 진단받아 완화적인 시술을 받았던 48명의 말기암 환자를 대상으로 후향적으로 조사하였다. 완화적인 암절제 환자는 제외하였다. 임상적 특성과 시술내용을 조사하였고 예후인자는 log-rank test를 이용한 단변량 분석을 하고 통계적으로 의미 있는 인자는 Cox's proportional hazard model을 사용하여 다변량 분석을 하였다. 결과: 연령의 중앙값은 65세이고 남자가 25명(52%), 여자가 23명(48%)이었다. 가장 많은 암은 대장직장암으로 26명(55%)이고 다음으로 10명(21%)의 위암이었다. 치료를 전혀 받지 않았던 환자는 25명(58%)이었고 20명(42%)은 치료를 받았으며 이 중 18명은 항암 치료를 받은 과거력이 있었다. 가장 흔한 증상은 통증으로 15명(31%)이었다. 활동도 1점 혹은 2점이 23명(48%), 3점 혹은 4점이 25명(52%)이었다. 가장 많은 완화적인 시술은 대장루술로 19명이 받았다. 완화적 시술로 인한 사망은 없었다. 단변량과 다변량 분석에 의해서 전체 생존기간과 무증상 생존기간에 대하여 활동도 만이 의미있는 독립 예후인자였다. 전체 중간 생존기간은 150일이었으며 무증상 중간 생존기간은 90일이었다. 결론: 완화적 시술을 받은 악성 위장관 폐색 환자의 전체 중간 생존기간과 무증상 중간 생존기간에 대하여 활동도만이 유일한 독립 예후인자였다.

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완전 절제된 IB 비소세포암에서 재발의 예후인자로의 장측늑막 침범 (Visceral Pleural Invasion as a Prognostic Factor for Recurrence in Resected IB Non-small Cell Lung Cancer)

  • 김석;박기성;금윤섭;이섭;배지훈;현대성
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • 제42권5호
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    • pp.610-614
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    • 2009
  • 배경: 완전 절제된 IB 비소세포암에서 항암요법의 반드시 필요한가에 대한 여러 보고가 있다. 그래서 본 연구는 완전 절제된 IB 비소세포암 환자에서 재발에 관여하는 예후인자를 찾고 항암요법의 필요성을 알아보았다. 대상 및 방법: 1997년부터 2006년까지 모두 48명의 환자를 후향적으로 조사하였다. 전체생존율과 무병생존율을 위해 Kaplan-Meier method를 사용하였고 단변량 분석은 log rank, 다변량 분석은 Cox 회귀모형을 사용하였다. 결과: 추적중앙값은 48개월, 5년 전체생존율은 55.9%, 5년 무병생존율은 48.6%였다. 단변량 분석에서 장측늑막과 임파혈관 침범이 재발에 유의한 인자였고, 다변량분석에서는 장측늑막침범이 예후인자였다. 또한 장측늑막, 임파혈관 침범 중 한 개 이상의 경우, 없는 경우와 비교하여 전체 생존율에서 의미 있는 차이가 있었다. 결론: 장측늑막침범은 재발 및 생존에 관여하는 불량한 예후인자이며, 항암요법이 필요한 환자를 선택할 때 도움 되는 인자로 생각된다.

Long Term Outcomes and Prognostic Factors of N0 Stage Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma: a Single Institutional Experience with 610 Patients

  • Sun, Jian-Da;Chen, Chuang-Zhen;Chen, Jian-Zhou;Li, Dong-Sheng;Chen, Zhi-Jian;Zhou, Ming-Zhen;Li, De-Rui
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제13권5호
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    • pp.2101-2107
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    • 2012
  • Treatment responses of $N_0$ stage nasopharyngeal carcinoma were firstly analyzed comprehensively to evaluate long term outcomes of patients and identify prognostic factors. A total of 610 patients with $N_0$ NPC, undergoing definitive radiotherapy to their primary lesion and prophylactic radiation to upper neck, were reviewed retrospectively. Concomitant chemotherapy was administrated to 65 out of the 610. Survival rates of the patients were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared by log-rank test. Prognostic factors were identified by the Cox regression model. The study revealed the 5-year and 10-year overall, disease-free, disease-specific, local failure-free, regional failure-free, locoregional failure-free and distant metastasis-free survival rates to be 78.7% and 66.8%, 68.8% and 55.8%, 79.9% and 70.4%, 81.2% and 72.5%, 95.8% and 91.8%, 78.3% and 68.5%, 88.5% and 85.5%, respectively. There were 192 patients experiencing failure (31.5%) after radiotherapy or chemoradiotherapy. Of these, local recurrence, regional relapse and distant metastases as the first event of failure occurred in 100 (100/610, 16.4%), 15(15/610, 2.5%) and 52 (52/610, 8.5%), respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that T stage was the only independent prognostic factor for patients with $N_0$ NPC (P=0.000). Late T stage (P=0.000), male (P=0.039) and anemia (P=0.007) were independently unfavorable factors predicting disease-free survival. After treatment, satisfactory outcome wasgenerally achieved in patients with $N_0$ NPC. Local recurrence represented the predominant mode of treatment failure, while T stage was the only independent prognostic factor for overall survival. Late T stage, male gender, and anemia independently predicted lower possibility of the disease-free survival.

위암환자에서 수술 전 말초혈액 림프구 수와 예후 (The Prognostic Value of the Preoperative Lymphocyte Count in Patients with Gastric Cancer)

  • 강신용;유완식;정호영;박성훈
    • Journal of Gastric Cancer
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.26-30
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    • 2009
  • 목적: 위암환자에서 면역기능이 암 발생과 치료후의 예후와 관련이 있는 것으로 알려져 있어 본 연구에서는 위암 환자에서 수술 전 말초혈액내 림프구 수와 예후와의 관계를 알아보고자 하였다. 대상 및 방법: 1990년부터 1999년까지 10년 동안 위선암으로 근치적 수술을 받은 환자들 중에서 수술 전 백혈구 수와 림프구 수를 확인할 수 있었던 1,054명의 환자들을 대상으로 하였다. 결과: 대상환자 중 림프구 수가 1,500/ul 미만인 환자는 289명이었고 1,500/ul 이상인 환자는 765명이었다. 60세 이상의 환자에서(P<0.001), 종양의 크기가 5 cm 이상의 경우에 림프구 수가 통계학적으로 유의하게 낮았고(P<0.001), 병기에 따라서 림프구 수가 통계학적으로 유의한 차이를 보였다(P=0.038). 단변량 분석 결과 림프구 수가 1,500/ul 미만인군의 5년 및 10년 생존율은 각각 72.4%, 63.5%였고, 림프구수가 1,500/ul 이상인 군의 5년 및 10년 생존율은 각각 80.1%, 76.6%로 통계학적으로 유의한 차이가 있었다(P=0.002). 그러나 다변량 분석 결과 림프구 수에 따른 생존율은 통계학적으로 유의한 차이가 없었다. 결론: 근치적 위절제술을 받은 위암환자의 수술 전 말초혈액의 림프구 수의 측정은 쉽고 간편하게 할 수 있고 림프구 수에 따라서 예후에 유의한 차이가 있으나 독립적인 예후 인자로서의 가치는 없는 것으로 생각된다.

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대기혼합층 모사를 위한 1차원 수치모형 : 득량만에서의 적용 (One-Dimensional Model for Simulations of Atmospheric Mixed Layer : Application to Dukyang Bay Area)

  • 김유근;문승의;안중배
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제6권5호
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    • pp.425-435
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    • 1997
  • One-dimensional thermodynamic mixed layer model to stimulate variations of meteorological variables wish the planetary boundary layer has been developed In this study. This model consists of 2 prognostic equations, which can predict the variations of potential temperature and mixing ratio and several diagnostic equations. Physics within the surface and mixed layers has been considered seperately in the model. For the variations of the model, Its result has been analysed and compared with observated data over Ole Dukyang Bay for one day, July 23, 1992. The simulated height of mixed layer is comparable to the observation and the variations of temperature and mixing ratio in the mixed layer are also reasonably simulated. Those Imply that the model responds appropriately with given boundary conditions In sprite of Its simplilfied assumptions applied to the model and insufficient boundary and Initial conditions.

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Machine Condition Prognostics Based on Grey Model and Survival Probability

  • Tangkuman, Stenly;Yang, Bo-Suk;Kim, Seon-Jin
    • International Journal of Fluid Machinery and Systems
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    • 제5권4호
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    • pp.143-151
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    • 2012
  • Predicting the future condition of machine and assessing the remaining useful life are the center of prognostics. This paper contributes a new prognostic method based on grey model and survival probability. The first step of the method is building a normal condition model then determining the error indicator. In the second step, the survival probability value is obtained based on the error indicator. Finally, grey model coupled with one-step-ahead forecasting technique are employed in the last step. This work has developed a modified grey model in order to improve the accuracy of prediction. For evaluating the proposed method, real trending data of low methane compressor acquired from condition monitoring routine were employed.

Prognostic Implications for High Expression of MiR-25 in Lung Adenocarcinomas of Female Non-smokers

  • Xu, Fang-Xiu;Su, Yu-Liang;Zhang, Huan;Kong, Jin-Yu;Yu, Herbert;Qian, Bi-Yun
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제15권3호
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    • pp.1197-1203
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    • 2014
  • Background: Adenocarcinoma (ADC) is the most common histological type of lung cancer and its proportion is rising, especially in Asian non-smoking women. Recent studies suggest miR-25 may have diverse effects on the pathogenesis of different types of cancer. However, the role of miR-25 in lung cancer is still unknown. The aim of this study was to investigate the potential clinical value of miR-25 in non-smoking women with lung ADC. Patients and Methods: Quantitative RT-PCR was performed to evaluate the expression of miR-25 in 100 lung ADC tumor tissues and matched plasma samples and Pearson correlation tests were used to analyze the relationship between values. Associations of miR-25 expression with clinicopathological features were determined using the Student's t-test. To determine prognostic value, overall survival (OS) was evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed using the Cox proportional hazard model. Results: Expression of miR-25 in tissue was found to be associated with lymph node metastasis (P=0.021) and disease stage (P=0.012). Moreover, high miR-25 expression was also associated with poorer overall survival of women with lung ADC (P=0.008). Conclusion: Tissue miR-25 expression may be associated with tumor progression and have prognostic implications in female lung ADC patients.

Survival Rate of Extrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma Patients after Surgical Treatment in Thailand

  • Pattanathien, Pisit;Khuntikeo, Narong;Promthet, Supannee;Kamsa-ard, Supot
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.321-324
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    • 2013
  • Background: Intra- and extrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) is the most common cancer in Thailand, especially in the northeast region. Most extrahepatic CCA patients consult a doctor at a late stage. Surgery is still the best treatment. Objectives: The aim of this study was to evaluate survival rates and factors affecting survival in extrahepatic CCA patients following surgery at Srinagarind Hospital, Khon Kaen University, Thailand. Materials and Methods: A retrospective cohort study was conducted with 58 patients who were diagnosed and treated by surgical resection by the same surgeon at Srinagarind Hospital between 2005 and 2009. The patients were followed up until death or the end of the study (31 December, 2011). Survival rates were calculated by the Kaplan-Meier method, and the Cox proportional hazard model was used to identify independent prognostic factors. Results: The total follow-up time was 1,215 person-months, and the mortality rate was 50 per 100 person-years. The cumulative 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival rates were 62.1%, 21.7% and 10.8%, respectively. The median survival time after resection was 15 months. After adjusting for age, gender, lymph node metastasis and histological type, resection margin remained as a statistically significant prognostic factor for survival following surgery. A positive resection margin was associated with a 2.3-fold higher mortality rate than a negative margin. Conclusions: Resection margins are important prognostic factors affecting survival of extrahepatic CCA patients after surgery. A negative resection margin can reduce the mortality rate by 56%.

Prognostic Value of Peritoneal Washing Cytology in Gynecologic Malignancies: a Controversial Issue

  • Binesh, Fariba;Akhavan, Ali;Behniafard, Nasim;Zabihi, Somayeh;Hosseinizadeh, Elhamsadat
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제15권21호
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    • pp.9405-9410
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    • 2014
  • Purpose: To evaluate the prognostic impact of peritoneal washing cytology in patients with endometrial and ovarian cancers. Materials and Methods: We retrospectively identified 86 individuals with ovarian carcinomas, ovarian borderline tumors and endometrial adenocarcinomas. The patients had been treated at Shahid Sadoughi Hospital and Ramazanzadeh Radiotherapy Center, Yazd, Iran between 2004 and 2012. Survival differences were determined by Kaplan-Meier analysis. Multivariate analysis was performed using the Cox regression method. A p<0.05 value was considered statistically significant. Results: There were 36 patients with ovarian carcinomas, 4 with borderline ovarian tumors and 46 with endometrial carcinomas. The mean age of the patients was $53.8{\pm}15.2years$. In patients with ovarian carcinoma the overall survival in the negative cytology group was better than the patients with positive cytology although this difference failed to reach statistical significance (p=0.30). At 0 to 50 months the overall survival was better in patients with endometrial adenocarcinoma and negative cytology than the patients with positive cytology but then it decreased (p=0.85). At 15 to 60 months patients with FIGO 2009 stage IA-II endometrial andocarcinoma and negative peritoneal cytology had a superior survival rate compared to 1988 IIIA and positive cytology only, although this difference failed to reach statistical significance(p=0.94). Multivariate analysis using Cox proportional hazards model showed that stage and peritoneal cytology were predictors of death. Conclusions: Our results show good correlation of peritoneal cytology with prognosis in patients with ovarian carcinoma. In endometrial carcinoma it had prognostic importance. Additional research is warranted.