• Title/Summary/Keyword: probability of instability

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Current Status of an International Co-Operative Research Program, PARTRIDGE (Probabilistic Analysis as a Regulatory Tool for Risk-Informed Decision GuidancE) (국제공동연구 PARTRIDGE를 통한 확률론적 건전성 평가 기술 개발 현황)

  • Kim, Sun Hye;Park, Jung Soon;Kim, Jin Su;Lee, Jin Ho;Yun, Eun Sub;Yang, Jun Seog;Lee, Jae Gon;Park, Hong Sun;Oh, Young Jin;Kang, Sun Yeh;Yoon, Ki Seok;Park, Jai Hak
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Pressure Vessels and Piping
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.62-69
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    • 2013
  • A probabilistic assessment code, PRO-LOCA ver. 3.7 which was developed in an international co-operative research program, PARTRIDGE was evaluated by conducting sensitivity analysis. The effect of some variables such as simulation methods (adaptive sampling, iteration numbers, weld residual stress model), crack features(Poisson's arrival rate, maximum numbers of cracks, initial flaw size, fabrication flaws), operating and loading conditions(temperature, primary bending stress, earthquake strength and frequency), and inspection model(inspection intervals, detectable leak rate) on the failure probabilities of a surge line nozzle was investigated. The results of sensitivity analysis shows the remaining problems of the PRO-LOCA code such as the instability of adaptive sampling and unexpected trend of failure probabilities at an early stage.

Analysis of Factors Driving the Participation of Small Scale Renewable Power Providers in the Power Brokerage Market (소규모 재생발전사업자의 중개시장참여 촉진요인 분석)

  • Li, Dmitriy;Bae, Jeong Hwan
    • New & Renewable Energy
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.32-42
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    • 2022
  • Rapid spread of intermittent renewable energy has amplified the instability and uncertainty of power systems. The Korea Power Exchange (KPX) promoted efficient management by opening the power brokerage market in 2019. By combining small-scale intermittent renewable energy with a flexible facility through the power brokerage market, the KPX aims to develop a virtual power plant system that will allow the conversion of existing intermittent renewable energy into collective power plants. However, the participation rate of renewable power owners in the power brokerage market is relatively low because other markets such as the small solar power contract market or the Korea Electric Power Corporation power purchase agreement are more profitable. In this study, we used a choice experiment to determine the attributes affecting the participation rate in the power brokerage market for 113 renewable power owners and estimate the value of the power brokerage market. According to the estimation results, a low smart meter installation cost, low profit variations, long contract periods, and few clearances increased the probability of participation. Moreover, the average value of the power brokerage market was estimated to be 2.63 million KRW per power owner.

Phase-Resolved CARS Temperature Measurement in a Lean Premixed Gas Turbine Combustor (I) -Effect of Equivalence Ratio on Phase-Resolved Gas Temperature- (CARS를 이용한 희박 예혼합 가스터빈 연소기내 온도 측정 (I) -연료/공기 혼합정도가 위상별 온도에 미치는 영향-)

  • Lee Jong Ho;Jeon Chung Hwan;Park Chul Woong;Hahn Jae Won;Chang Young June
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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    • v.28 no.10
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    • pp.1184-1192
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    • 2004
  • Experimental investigations were carried out in an atmospheric pressure, optically accessible and laboratory-scale dump combustor operating on methane gas. The objective of this study was to obtain the phase-resolved gas temperatures at different phases of the oscillating pressure cycle during unstable combustion. CARS temperature measurements were made at several spatial locations under lean premixed conditions to get the information on temperature field within the combustor. Also the effect of incomplete fuel-air mixing on phase-resolved temperature fluctuation was investigated. Results including phase-resolved averaged temperature, normalized standard deviation and temperature probability distribution functions (PDFs) were provided in this paper. Temperature PDFs gave an insight on the flame behavior. And strong correlation between phase-resolved temperature profile and pressure cycle was observed. Results of the phase-resolved high temperature gave an additional information on the perturbation of equivalence ratio at flame as well as the effect of mixing quality on NOx emission characteristics.

New Control Scheme for the Wind-Driven Doubly Fed Induction Generator under Normal and Abnormal Grid Voltage Conditions

  • Ebrahim, Osama S.;Jain, Praveen K.;Nishith, Goel
    • Journal of Power Electronics
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.10-22
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    • 2008
  • The wind-driven doubly fed induction generator (DFIG) is currently under pressure to be more grid-compatible. The main concern is the fault ride-through (FRT) requirement to keep the generator connected to the grid during faults. In response to this, the paper introduces a novel model and new control scheme for the DFIG. The model provides a means of direct stator power control and considers the stator transients. On the basis of the derived model, a robust linear quadratic (LQ) controller is synthesized. The control law has proportional and integral actions and takes account of one sample delay in the input owing to the microprocessor's execution time. Further, the influence of the grid voltage imperfection is mitigated using frequency shaped cost functional method. Compensation of the rotor current pulsations is proposed to improve the FRT capability as well as the generator performance under grid voltage unbalance. As a consequence, the control system can achieve i) fast direct power control without instability risk, ii) alleviation of the problems associated with the DFIG operation under unbalanced grid voltage, and iii) high probability of successful grid FRT. The effectiveness of the proposed solution is confirmed through simulation studies on 2MW DFIG.

Phase-resolved CARS Temperature Measurements in a Lean Premixed Gas Turbine Combustor;Effect of fuel/air mixing on phase-resolved gas temperature (CARS를 이용한 희박 예혼합 가스터빈 연소기내 온도 측정(1);연료/공기 혼합정도가 위상별 온도에 미치는 영향)

  • Moon, Gun-Feel;Lee, Jong-Ho;Park, Chul-Woong;Hahn, Jae-Won;Jeon, Chung-Hwan;Chang, Young-June
    • 한국연소학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2003.12a
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    • pp.97-102
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    • 2003
  • Experimental investigations were carried out in an atmospheric pressure, optically accessible and laboratory-scale dump combustor operating on natural gas. The objective of this study is to obtain the phase-resolved gas temperatures at different phases of the oscillating pressure cycle during unstable combustion. CARS temperature measurements were made at several spatial locations under lean premixed conditions to get the information on temperature field within the combustor. Also the effect of incomplete fuel-air mixing on phase-resolved temperature fluctuation was investigated. Results including phase-resolved averaged temperature, normalized standard deviation and temperature probability distribution functions (PDFs) were provided in this paper. Temperature PDFs give an insight on the flame behavior. And strong correlation between phase-resolved temperature profile and pressure cycle was observed. Results of the phase-resolved high temperature give an additional information on the perturbation of equivalence ratio at flame as well as the effect of mixing quality on NOx emission characteristics.

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Study on Influence of Spring Constant on Frictional Behavior at the Nanoscale through Molecular Dynamics Simulation (나노스케일 마찰거동에서 스프링 상수가 마찰에 미치는 영향에 대한 분자동역학 연구)

  • Kang, Won-Bin;Kim, Hyun-Joon
    • Tribology and Lubricants
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.77-80
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    • 2021
  • In this study, we investigated the effect of the spring constant on frictional behavior at a nanoscale through molecular dynamics simulation. A small cube-shaped tip was modeled and placed on a flat substrate. We did not apply the normal force to the tip but applied adhesive force between the tip and the substrate. The tip was horizontally pulled by a virtual spring to generate relative motion against the substrate. The controlled spring constant of the virtual spring ranged from 0.3 to 70 N/m to reveal its effect on frictional behavior. During the sliding simulation, we monitored the frictional force and the position of the tip. As the spring constant decreased from 70 to 0.3 N/m, the frictional force increased from 0.1 to 0.25 nN. A logarithmic relationship between the frictional force and spring constant was established. The stick-slip instability and potential energy slope increased with a decreasing spring constant. Based on the results, an increase in the spring constant reduces the probability of trapping in the local minima on the potential energy surface. Thus, the energy loss of escaping the potential well is minimized as the spring constant increases.

An Efficient Algorithm for Dynamic Shortest Path Tree Update in Network Routing

  • Xiao, Bin;Cao, Jiannong;Shao, Zili;Sha, Edwin H.M.
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.499-510
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    • 2007
  • Shortest path tree(SPT) construction is essential in high performance routing in an interior network using link state protocols. When some links have new state values, SPTs may be rebuilt, but the total rebuilding of the SPT in a static way for a large computer network is not only computationally expensive, unnecessary modifications can cause routing table instability. This paper presents a new update algorithm, dynamic shortest path tree(DSPT) that is computationally economical and that maintains the unmodified nodes mostly from an old SPT to a new SPT. The proposed algorithm reduces redundancy using a dynamic update approach where an edge becomes the significant edge when it is extracted from a built edge list Q. The average number of significant edges are identified through probability analysis based on an arbitrary tree structure. An update derived from significant edges is more efficient because the DSPT algorithm neglect most other redundant edges that do not participate in the construction of a new SPT. Our complexity analysis and experimental results show that DSPT is faster than other known methods. It can also be extended to solve the SPT updating problem in a graph with negative weight edges.

Time-dependent Reduction of Sliding Cohesion due to Rock Bridges along Discontinuities (암석 브리지에 의한 불연속면 점착강도의 시간의존성에 관한 연구)

  • 박철환;전석원
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.167-174
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    • 2004
  • This paper is to introduce an article published in Rock Mechanics and Rock Engineering, 2003. In this research, a fracture mechanics model is developed to illustrate the importance of time-dependence far brittle fractured rock. In particular a model is developed fer the time-dependent degradation of rock joint cohesion. Degradation of joint cohesion is modeled as the time-dependent breaking of intact patches or rock bridges along the joint surface. A fracture mechanics model is developed utilizing subcritical crack growth, which results in a closed-form solution for joint cohesion as a function of time. As an example, a rock block containing rock bridges subjected to plane sliding is analyzed. The cohesion is found to continually decrease, at first slowly and then more rapidly. At a particular value of time the cohesion reduces to value that results in slope instability. A second example is given where variations in some of the material parameters are assumed. A probabilistic slope analysis is conducted, and the probability of failure as a function of time is predicted. The probability of failure is found to increase with time, from an initial value of 5% to a value at 100 years of over 40%. These examples show the importance of being able to predict the time-dependent behavior of a rock mass containing discontinuities, even for relatively short-term rock structures.

Fault-Tolerant Event Detection in Wireless Sensor Networks using Evidence Theory

  • Liu, Kezhong;Yang, Tian;Ma, Jie;Cheng, Zhiming
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.9 no.10
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    • pp.3965-3982
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    • 2015
  • Event detection is one of the key issues in many wireless sensor network (WSN) applications. The uncertainties that are derived from the instability of sensor node, measurement noise and incomplete sampling would influence the performance of event detection to a large degree. Many of the present researches described the sensor readings with crisp values, which cannot adequately handle the uncertainties inhered in the imprecise sensor readings. In this paper, a fault-tolerant event detection algorithm is proposed based on Dempster-Shafer (D-S) theory (also called evidence theory). Instead of crisp values, all possible states of the event are represented by the Basic Probability Assignment (BPA) functions, with which the output of each sensor node are characterized as weighted evidences. The combination rule was subsequently applied on each sensor node to fuse the evidences gathered from the neighboring nodes to make the final decision on whether the event occurs. Simulation results show that even 20% nodes are faulty, the accuracy of the proposed algorithm is around 80% for event region detection. Moreover, 97% of the error readings have been corrected, and an improved detection capability at the boundary of the event region is gained by 75%. The proposed algorithm can enhance the detection accuracy of the event region even in high error-rate environment, which reflects good reliability and robustness. The proposed algorithm is also applicable to boundary detection as it performs well at the boundary of the event.

End-to-End Congestion Control of High-Speed Gigabit-Ethernet Networks based on Smith's Principle

  • Lee, Seung-Hyub;Cho, Kwang-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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    • 2000.07a
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    • pp.101-104
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    • 2000
  • Nowadays, the issue of congestion control in high-speed communication networks becomes critical in view of the bandwidth-delay products for efficient data flow. In particular, the fact that the congestion is often accompanied by the data flow from the high-speed link to low-speed link is important with respect to the stability of closed-loop congestion control. The Virtual-Connection Network (VCN) in Gigabit Ethernet networks is a packet-switching based network capable of implementing cell- based connection, link-by-link flow-controlled connection, and single- or multi-destination virtual connections. VCN described herein differ from the virtual channel in ATM literature in that VCN have link-by-link flow control and can be of multi-destination. VCNs support both connection-oriented and connectionless data link layer traffic. Therefore, the worst collision scenario in Ethernet CSMA/CD with virtual collision brings about end-to-end delay. Gigabit Ethernet networks based on CSMA/CD results in non-deterministic behavior because its media access rules are based on random probability. Hence, it is difficult to obtain any sound mathematical formulation for congestion control without employing random processes or fluid-flow models. In this paper, an analytical method for the design of a congestion control scheme is proposed based on Smith's principle to overcome instability accompanied with the increase of end-to-end delays as well as to avoid cell losses. To this end, mathematical analysis is provided such that the proposed control scheme guarantees the performance improvement with respect to bandwidth and latency for selected network links with different propagation delays. In addition, guaranteed bandwidth is to be implemented by allowing individual stations to burst several frames at a time without intervening round-trip idle time.

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