• Title/Summary/Keyword: probabilistic study

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The application study of preventive maintenance during normal operation for APR1400 nuclear power plants considering risk

  • Jung-Wun Kim;YoungJu Lee;Weon Gyu Shin
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.56 no.10
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    • pp.4327-4334
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    • 2024
  • Preventive Maintenance(PM) for safety component during power operation at nuclear power plants, On-Line Maintenance(OLM) refers to intentionally entering the Limited Condition of Operation(LCO) specified in the Technical Specification(TS) for safety-related systems and components in order to perform preventive maintenance within the Allowed Outage Time (AOT). This study assessed the feasibility of conducting OLM at the domestic APR1400 nuclear power plant. It focused on preventive maintenance duration and risk perspectives. A total of 78 FEGs were developed for 4450 facilities, considering system functions and preventive maintenance scope during output operation for eight safety-related systems. Additionally, maintenance items included in FEGs were selected, designated as targets for OLM, and their maintenance durations were evaluated and compared with AOT for each maintenance item. As a result, the Auxiliary Feedwater and Essential Chilled Water systems were identified as systems allowing OLM. Furthermore, utilizing the Risk Monitoring System (RIMS), the increased risk value due to the unavailability of target equipment during preventive maintenance was analyzed to determine whether it falls within the acceptable range. Regarding the temporary risk increase caused by OLM, it was observed that in all systems, it falls within Zone III according to NUMARC93-01 standards, allowing for normal equipment arrangement for OLM. However, according to the risk increase standards rate in domestic nuclear power plants, when maintaining the A-train in four systems including Component Cooling Water, they are all evaluated as 'Orange,' indicating that measures for risk mitigation are necessary for OLM to be feasible. When considering extending AOT up to 1.6 times the maintenance time, the risk increase falls within Zone III according to permissible change in risk standards, indicating that AOT extension might be feasible based solely on risk changes. To apply OLM within the permissible risk management scope in domestic nuclear power plants, regulatory policies need to allow voluntary LCO entry for preventive maintenance, necessitating clear determination by regulatory agencies using risk-informed policies. While OLM seems viable concerning maintenance duration and quantitative risk aspects, for inducing regulatory policy changes, comprehensive OLM guidelines are necessary, including risk management strategies.

A Experimental Study on Exclusion Ability of Riprap into Bypass Pipe (저층수 배사관 내 유입된 사석 배출능력에 대한 연구)

  • Jeong, Seok Il;Lee, Seung Oh
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.239-246
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    • 2017
  • There are various transversal structures (small dams or drop structures) in median and small streams in Korea. Most of them are concrete structures and it is so hard to exclude low-level water. Unless drainage valves and/or gates would not be installed near bottom of bed, sediment from upstream should be deposited and also contaminants attached to the sediments would devastatingly threaten the water quality and ecosystem. One of countermeasures for such problem is the bypass pipe installed underneath the transversal structure. However, there is still issued whether it would be workable if the gravels and/or stones would roll into and be not excluded. Therefore, in this study, the conditions to exclude the rip stone which enter into the bypass pipe was reviewed. Based on sediment transport phenomenon, the behavior of stones was investigated with the concepts from the critical shear stress of sediment and d'Alembert principle. As final results, the basis condition (${\tau}_c{^*}$) was derived using the Lagrangian description since the stones are in the moving state, not in the stationary state. From hydraulic experiments the relative velocity could be obtained. In order to minimize the scale effect, the extra wide channel of 5.0 m wide and 1.0 m high was constructed and the experimental stones were fully spherical ones. Experimental results showed that the ratio of flow velocity to spherical particle velocity was measured between 0.5 and 0.7, and this result was substituted into the suggested equation to identify the critical condition wether the stones were excluded. Regimes about the exclusion of stone in bypass pipe were divided into three types according to particle Reynolds number ($Re_p$) and dimensionless critical shear force (${\tau}_c{^*}$) - exclusion section, probabilistic exclusion section, no exclusion section. Results from this study would be useful and essential information for bypass pipe design in transveral structures.

A Study on the Development of an Estimation Model: The Psychological Cost of Traffic Accidents (교통사고의 심리적 비용 산정모형 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Yu, Jeong-Bok;Shon, Eui-Young
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.211-221
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    • 2008
  • This dissertation studied the psychological cost, which converted the mental pain suffered by the victim of a traffic accident and his/her family, friends and people around him/her into social costs. Three methodologies - Choice Experiments, Direct Question and Dichotomous Choice Question - were used to design questionnaires, and models were built for each questionnaire design method. When building models, a logit model was used, which is used most frequently in probabilistic choice model. And the tobitmodel was used to make direct questionnaires. When verifying these models, although there were some differences in each model, suitability of most models and credibility of each coefficient were meaningful around the credibility level of 95%. According to the analysis, domestic psychological cost produced through the assessment model of psychological cost was 15.63 million won per person or 5.1 trillion in total, assuming 37.1% of total traffic accident cost.

Rapid Seismic Vulnerability Assessment Method for Generic Structures (일반 구조물에 대한 신속한 지진 취약성 분석 방법)

  • Jeong, Seong-Hoon;Choi, Sung-Mo;Kim, Kang-Su
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.51-58
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    • 2008
  • Analytical probabilistic vulnerability analysis requires extensive computing effort as a result of the randomness in both input motion and response characteristics. In this study, a new methodology whereby a set of vulnerability curves are derived based on the fundamental response quantities of stiffness, strength and ductility is presented. A response database of coefficients describing lognormal vulnerability relationships is constructed by employing aclosed-form solution for a generalized single-degree-of-freedom system. Once the three fundamental quantities of a wide range of structural systems are defined, the vulnerability curves for various limit states can be derived without recourse to further simulation. Examples of application are given and demonstrate the extreme efficiency of the proposed approach in deriving vulnerability relationships.

A Study on the Water Circulation Enhancement inside Harbor Utilizing Wave Energy (파랑에너지를 이용한 항내 해수순환증진에 대한 연구)

  • 오병철;전인식;정태성;이달수
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.209-221
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    • 2002
  • In the present paper, a method which enhances the circulation of harbor waters by using wave energy was investigated. The overflow levee was selected as a coastal structure helping the harbor circulation, and was applied to Jeju-outer-port site so as to estimate its effectiveness quantitatively in probabilistic point of view. It was assumed that sea water influx rate through the overflow levee into the harbor depended upon wave height and tidal level and a functional relationship among them was calculated using the results of hydraulic experiment. The probability distribution of water influx could be obtained from hindcasted wave data and measured tidal elevations at Jeju harbor. The Gamma distribution was appeared to best fit the estimated influx distribution, and the optimal location of the levee was discussed. Finally, water quality purification effect was investigated by computing the contaminant material dispersion according to whether the levee was or not.

Evaluation of Void Distribution on Lightweight Aggregate Concrete Using Micro CT Image Processing (Micro CT 이미지 분석을 통한 경량 골재 콘크리트의 공극 분포 분석)

  • Chung, Sang-Yeop;Kim, Young-Jin;Yun, Tae Sup;Jeon, Hyun-Gyu
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.31 no.2A
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    • pp.121-127
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    • 2011
  • Spatial distribution of void space in concrete materials strongly affects mechanical and physical behaviors. Therefore, the identification of characteristic void distribution helps understand material properties and is essential to estimate the integrity of material performance. The 3D micro CT (X-ray microtomography) is implemented to examine and to quantify the void distribution of a lightweight aggregate concrete using an image analysis technique and probabilistic approach in this study. The binarization and subsequent stacking of 2D cross-sectional images virtually create 3D images of targeting void space. Then, probability distribution functions such as two-point correlation and lineal-path functions are applied for void characterization. The lightweight aggregates embedded within the concrete are individually analyzed to construct the intra-void space. Results shows that the low-order probability functions and the density distribution based on the 3D micro CT images are applicable and useful methodology to characterize spatial distribution of void space and constituents in concrete.

Comparison of Design Rainfalls From the Annual Maximum and the Non-annual Exceedance Series (연최대치계열과 비연초과치계열으로부터 산정한 확률강우량의 비교·분석)

  • Park, Yei Jun;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Chung, Eun Sung;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.469-478
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    • 2014
  • The annual maximum series (AMS) is usually used to estimate hydrological quantiles in practice because it is simple to construct and straightforward to probabilistic interpretation. However, it is limited to use the AMS in Korea due to the lack of reliable observed data which leads to the overestimation of design rainfall and/or flood. Using the 40-year observations of rainfall provided by the Korea Meteorological Administration, this study constructed the AMS and non-annual exceedance series (NAES) after identifying the independent storm event, analyzed the correlation between design rainfalls estimated from the AMS and NAES, and proposed a new method of point frequency analysis to estimate design rainfalls from the small number of observations.

Probabilistic Assessment of Dynamic Properties of Offshore Wind Turbines Considering Soil-Pile Interaction (지반과 말뚝의 상호작용을 고려한 고정식 해상풍력터빈의 동적 특성에 대한 확률적 평가)

  • Yi, Jin-Hak;Kim, Sun-Bin;Han, Taek Hee;Yoon, Gil-Lim
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.343-350
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    • 2015
  • Extensive discussion on the optimal types of offshore wind turbine(OWT) among monopile, tripod and jacket in the intermediate depth of water has been actively carried out in worldwide wind turbine industry. Selecting the optimal types of OWT among several substructural types, it is required to consider the economic and technical feasibility including dynamically stable design of a wind turbine system. In this study, the effects of loading levels and uncertainties of soil properties on the natural frequency of OWT have been quantitatively investigated. In conclusion, the natural frequency of monopile-type OWTs has a significant level of uncertainty, hence it is very important to minimize the level of uncertainties in soil properties when the monopile is selected as a foundation for an OWT.

Semantic Segmentation using Convolutional Neural Network with Conditional Random Field (조건부 랜덤 필드와 컨볼루션 신경망을 이용한 의미론적인 객체 분할 방법)

  • Lim, Su-Chang;Kim, Do-Yeon
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.451-456
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    • 2017
  • Semantic segmentation, which is the most basic and complicated problem in computer vision, classifies each pixel of an image into a specific object and performs a task of specifying a label. MRF and CRF, which have been studied in the past, have been studied as effective methods for improving the accuracy of pixel level labeling. In this paper, we propose a semantic partitioning method that combines CNN, a kind of deep running, which is in the spotlight recently, and CRF, a probabilistic model. For learning and performance verification, Pascal VOC 2012 image database was used and the test was performed using arbitrary images not used for learning. As a result of the study, we showed better partitioning performance than existing semantic partitioning algorithm.

Questionnaire Survey of the Methods Used in Household Doenjang Production in Korea

  • Ryu, So Young;Lee, Sang Yoo;Woo, So Young;Kang, Seung Yoon;Song, Jeonghun;Jeong, A-Yeong;Chun, Hyang Sook
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Food Culture
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.342-350
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    • 2020
  • This study examined the methods used in household doenjang (Korean soybean paste) production. Nine hundred forty-three responses were obtained using a nationwide, questionnaire-based survey (2018-2019) with non-probabilistic snowballing sampling. Consistent with previous studies, the respondents were primarily over the age of 50 years (97.1%) and female (97.9%). In addition to soybeans, the most used ingredients were red pepper (85.8%) and charcoal (85.5%), which most respondents obtained through direct farming (50.4-59.9%). Seasonal production occurred later in the higher latitude regions (Gyeonggi-do, Gangwon-do, Chungcheong-do) (p < 0.01), which have lower average temperatures, and the fermentation period was shorter in the lower latitude regions (Jeolla-do, Gyeongsang-do, Jeju-do) (p < 0.01), which have higher average temperatures. There were no significant regional differences in the season when doenjang was made, with most production occurring during January and February (81.1%). Most respondents (71.3%) made doenjang using homemade meju (soybean block used as a starter) in a traditional way to allow the microorganisms to be naturally inoculated. These results could be used as a basis for future research on topics such as starter development, standardized production, and safety of household doenjang.