• 제목/요약/키워드: probabilistic safety assessment code

검색결과 36건 처리시간 0.021초

다중기기 손상 상관성에 의한 지진리스크 영향 분석 (Influence Analysis of Seismic Risk due to the Failure Correlation in Seismic Probabilistic Safety Assessment)

  • 임승현;최인길
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.101-108
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    • 2019
  • The seismic safety of nuclear power plants has always been emphasized by the effects of accidents. In general, the seismic safety evaluation of nuclear power plants carries out a seismic probabilistic safety assessment. The current probabilistic safety assessment assumes that damage to the structure, system, and components (SSCs) occurs independently to each other or perfect dependently to each other. In case of earthquake events, the failure event occurs with the correlation due to the correlation between the seismic response of the SSCs and the seismic performance of the SSCs. In this study, the EEMS (External Event Mensuration System) code is developed which can perform the seismic probabilistic safety assessment considering correlation. The developed code is verified by comparing with the multiplier n, which is for calculating the joint probability of failure, which is proposed by Mankamo. It is analyzed the changes in seismic fragility curves and seismic risks with correlation. As a result, it was confirmed that the seismic fragility curves and seismic risk change according to the failure correlation coefficient. This means that it is important to select an appropriate failure correlation coefficient in order to perform a seismic probabilistic safety assessment. And also, it was confirmed that carrying out the seismic probabilistic safety assessment in consideration of the seismic correlation provides more realistic results, rather than providing conservative or non-conservative results comparing with that damage to the SSCs occurs independently.

Development of a Computer Code for Low-and Intermediate-Level Radioactive Waste Disposal Safety Assessment

  • Park, J.W.;Kim, C.L.;Lee, E.Y.;Lee, Y.M.;Kang, C.H.;Zhou, W.;Kozak, M.W.
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • 제29권1호
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    • pp.41-48
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    • 2004
  • A safety assessment code, called SAGE (Safety Assessment Groundwater Evaluation), has been developed to describe post-closure radionuclide releases and potential radiological doses for low- and intermediate-level radioactive waste (LILW) disposal in an engineered vault facility in Korea. The conceptual model implemented in the code is focused on the release of radionuclide from a gradually degrading engineered barrier system to an underlying unsaturated zone, thence to a saturated groundwater zone. The radionuclide transport equations are solved by spatially discretizing the disposal system into a series of compartments. Mass transfer between compartments is by diffusion/dispersion and advection. In all compartments, radionuclides ate decayed either as a single-member chain or as multi-member chains. The biosphere is represented as a set of steady-state, radionuclide-specific pathway dose conversion factors that are multiplied by the appropriate release rate from the far field for each pathway. The code has the capability to treat input parameters either deterministically or probabilistically. Parameter input is achieved through a user-friendly Graphical User Interface. An application is presented, which is compared against safety assessment results from the other computer codes, to benchmark the reliability of system-level conceptual modeling of the code.

Multi-unit Level 2 probabilistic safety assessment: Approaches and their application to a six-unit nuclear power plant site

  • Cho, Jaehyun;Han, Sang Hoon;Kim, Dong-San;Lim, Ho-Gon
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제50권8호
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    • pp.1234-1245
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    • 2018
  • The risk of multi-unit nuclear power plants (NPPs) at a site has received considerable critical attention recently. However, current probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) procedures and computer code do not support multi-unit PSA because the traditional PSA structure is mostly used for the quantification of single-unit NPP risk. In this study, the main purpose is to develop a multi-unit Level 2 PSA method and apply it to full-power operating six-unit OPR1000. Multi-unit Level 2 PSA method consists of three steps: (1) development of single-unit Level 2 PSA; (2) extracting the mapping data from plant damage state to source term category; and (3) combining multi-unit Level 1 PSA results and mapping fractions. By applying developed multi-unit Level 2 PSA method into six-unit OPR1000, site containment failure probabilities in case of loss of ultimate heat sink, loss of off-site power, tsunami, and seismic event were quantified.

원전 중대사고 연계 소외결말해석 전산체계에 대한 고찰 (Study on the Code System for the Off-Site Consequences Assessment of Severe Nuclear Accident)

  • 김소라;민병일;박기현;양병모;서경석
    • 방사성폐기물학회지
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.423-434
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    • 2016
  • 인접 국가인 일본의 후쿠시마 원전에서 극한 자연재해로 인한 중대사고가 발생하면서, 국내에서 중대사고 및 확률론적 안전성 평가 (PSA, Probabilistic Safety Assessment)에 대한 중요성이 재인식되었다. 국내에서는 원전의 소외결말을 평가하는 3단계 PSA에 대한 연구개발이 최근까지 거의 이루어지지 않았다. 본 논문에서는 국외 3단계 PSA 전산코드 중, 미국의 MACCS2 (MELCORE Accident Consequence Code System 2), 유럽의 COSYMA (COde SYstem from Maria) 그리고 일본의 OSCAAR (Off-Site Consequence Analysis code for Atmospheric Releases in reactor accidents)에 대한 간략한 분석과 미국의 MACCS2에 대한 단점 및 한계점 분석을 수행하였다. 국내 외 전문가들에 의해 공통적으로 지적되어 온 MACCS2의 한계점은 다수호기사고와 사용후핵연료 저장조로부터의 방출 모사의 불가능, 그리고 대기확산모델을 단순 가우시안 플륨모델을 기본으로 한다는 것이며, 이중 일부는 MACCS2업데이트 버전을 통해 개선되어 왔다. Food chain 모델의 모사의 제한, 해양 및 수계 확산모델의 부재, 제한된 범위의 경제영향평가 등 또한 개선되어야 할 사항이다. 기술보고의 결과는 국내 3단계 PSA 관련 기술 개발을 위한 기초자료로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

APR+ 확률론적 안전성평가 및 대형냉각재상실사고 성공기준과 파단크기 민감도 분석 (A Study on the Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Sensitivity Analysis of Success Criteria of Large LOCA for APR+)

  • 문호림;김한곤
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제31권6호
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    • pp.129-134
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    • 2016
  • Standard design of APR+(advanced power reactor plus) was certified at 2014 by Korea regulatory body. Based on the experience gained from OPR1000 and APR1400, the APR1400 was being developed as a 1,500MWe class reactor using Korean technologies for design code, reactor coolant pump, and man-machine interface system. APR+ has been basically designed to have the seismic design basis of safe shutdown earthquake (SSE) 0.3g, a 4-train safety concept based on N+2 design philosophy, and a passive auxiliary feedwater system (PAFS). Also, safety issues on the Fukushima-type accidents have been extensively reviewed and applied to enhance APR+ safety. APR+ provides higher reliability and safety against tsunami and earthquake. The purpose of this paper is to implement probabilistic safety assessment considering these design features and to analyze sensitivity of core damage frequency for large loss of coolant accident of APR+.

UNCERTAINTY AND SENSITIVITY STUDIES WITH THE PROBABILISTIC ACCIDENT CONSEQUENCE ASSESSMENT CODE OSCAAR

  • HOMMA TOSHIMITSU;TOMITA KENICHI;HATO SHINJI
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제37권3호
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    • pp.245-258
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    • 2005
  • This paper addresses two types of uncertainty: stochastic uncertainty and subjective uncertainty in probabilistic accident consequence assessments. The off-site consequence assessment code OSCAAR has been applied to uncertainty and sensitivity analyses on the individual risks of early fatality and latent cancer fatality in the population outside the plant boundary due to a severe accident. A new stratified meteorological sampling scheme was successfully implemented into the trajectory model for atmospheric dispersion and the statistical variability of the probability distributions of the consequence was examined. A total of 65 uncertain input parameters was considered and 128 runs of OSCAAR with 144 meteorological sequences were performed in the parameter uncertainty analysis. The study provided the range of uncertainty for the expected values of individual risks of early and latent cancer fatality close to the site. In the sensitivity analyses, the correlation/regression measures were useful for identifying those input parameters whose uncertainty makes an important contribution to the overall uncertainty for the consequence. This could provide valuable insights into areas for further research aiming at reducing the uncertainties.

Current Status and Applications of Integrated Safety Assessment and Simulation Code System for ISA

  • Izquierdo, J.M.;Hortal, J.;Sanchez Perea, M.;Melendez, E.;Queral, C.;Rivas-Lewicky, J.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제49권2호
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    • pp.295-305
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    • 2017
  • This paper reviews current status of the unified approach known as integrated safety assessment (ISA), as well as the associated SCAIS (simulation codes system for ISA) computer platform. These constitute a proposal, which is the result of collaborative action among the Nuclear Safety Council (CSN), University of Madrid (UPM), and NFQ Solutions S.L, aiming to allow independent regulatory verification of industry quantitative risk assessments. The content elaborates on discussions of the classical treatment of time in conventional probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) sequences and states important conclusions that can be used to avoid systematic and unacceptable underestimation of the failure exceedance frequencies. The unified ISA method meets this challenge by coupling deterministic and probabilistic mutual influences. The feasibility of the approach is illustrated with some examples of its application to a real size plant.

Development of MURCC code for the efficient multi-unit level 3 probabilistic safety assessment

  • Jung, Woo Sik;Lee, Hye Rin;Kim, Jae-Ryang;Lee, Gee Man
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제52권10호
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    • pp.2221-2229
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    • 2020
  • After the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant (NPP) accident, level 3 probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) has emerged as an important task in order to assess the risk level of the multi-unit NPPs in a single nuclear site. Accurate calculation of the radionuclide concentrations and exposure doses to the public is required if a nuclear site has multi-unit NPPs and large number of people live near NPPs. So, there has been a great need to develop a new method or procedure for the fast and accurate offsite consequence calculation for the multi-unit NPP accident analysis. Since the multi-unit level 3 PSA is being currently performed assuming that all the NPPs are located at the same position such as a center of mass (COM) or base NPP position, radionuclide concentrations or exposure doses near NPPs can be drastically distorted depending on the locations, multi-unit NPP alignment, and the wind direction. In order to overcome this disadvantage of the COM method, the idea of a new multiple location (ML) method was proposed and implemented into a new tool MURCC (multi-unit radiological consequence calculator). Furthermore, the MURCC code was further improved for the multi-unit level 3 PSA that has the arbitrary number of multi-unit NPPs. The objectives of this study are to (1) qualitatively and quantitatively compare COM and ML methods, and (2) demonstrate the strength and efficiency of the ML method. The strength of the ML method was demonstrated by the applications to the multi-unit long-term station blackout (LTSBO) accidents at the four-unit Vogtle NPPs. Thus, it is strongly recommended that this ML method be employed for the offsite consequence analysis of the multi-unit NPP accidents.

설계기준초과지진에 대한 원전 배관 평가 방법 검토 (Review of Evaluation Method for Nuclear Power Plant Pipings under Beyond Design Basis Earthquake Condition)

  • 이대영;박흥배;김진원;김윤재
    • 한국압력기기공학회 논문집
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.56-61
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    • 2016
  • After Japanese Fukushima nuclear power plant accident caused by the beyond design basis earthquake and tsunami, it has turned to be a major challenge for nuclear safety. IAEA, US NRC and EU have provided new safety design standards for beyond design basis event, Domestic regulatory bodies have also enacted guidances for licensees and applicants on additional methods related to beyond design basis events. This paper describes several evaluation methods for applying to nuclear power plants piping for beyond design basis earthquake. As a results, energy method based on the absorbed energy on nuclear power plant, deterministic method following design code and theory, experience method considering past earthquake data and information and probabilistic methods similar to probabilistic risk assessment were reviewed.

원자력발전소의 노심냉각회복 조치에 대한 운전원 조치시간 평가 (An Evaluation of Operator's Action Time for Core Cooling Recovery Operation in Nuclear Power Plant)

  • 배연경
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제27권5호
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    • pp.229-234
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    • 2012
  • Operator's action time is evaluated from MAAP4 analysis used in conventional probabilistic safety assessment(PSA) of a nuclear power plant. MAAP4 code which was developed for severe accident analysis is too conservative to perform a realistic PSA. A best-estimate code such as RELAP5/MOD3, MARS has been used to reduce the conservatism of thermal hydraulic analysis. In this study, operator's action time of core cooling recovery operation is evaluated by using the MARS code, which its Fussell-Vessely(F-V) value was evaluated as highly important in a small break loss of coolant(SBLOCA) event and loss of component cooling water(LOCCW) event in previous PSA. The main conclusions were elicited : (1) MARS analysis provides larger time window for operator's action time than MAAP4 analysis and gives the more realistic time window in PSA (2) Sufficient operator's action time can reduce human error probability and core damage frequency in PSA.