• Title/Summary/Keyword: prior and posterior distribution

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Noninformative priors for the reliability function of two-parameter exponential distribution

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.361-369
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we develop the reference and the matching priors for the reliability function of two-parameter exponential distribution. We derive the reference priors and the matching prior, and prove the propriety of joint posterior distribution under the general prior including the reference priors and the matching prior. Through the sim-ulation study, we show that the proposed reference priors match the target coverage probabilities in a frequentist sense.

Bayesian Inference for Stress-Strength Systems

  • Chang, In-Hong;Kim, Byung-Hwee
    • 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국데이터정보과학회 2005년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.27-34
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    • 2005
  • We consider the problem of estimating the system reliability noninformative priors when both stress and strength follow generalized gamma distributions. We first derive Jeffreys' prior, group ordering reference priors, and matching priors. We investigate the propriety of posterior distributions and provide marginal posterior distributions under those noninformative priors. We also examine whether the reference priors satisfy the probability matching criterion.

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A Bayesian Approach to Fuzzy Hypotheses Testing with Revision of possibility distribution

  • 강만기
    • 한국전산응용수학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산응용수학회 2003년도 KSCAM 학술발표회 프로그램 및 초록집
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    • pp.13.2-13
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    • 2003
  • We propose some properties of Bayesian fuzzy hypotheses testing by revision for prior possibility distribution and posterior possibility distribution using weighted fuzzy hypotheses versus on with loss function.

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Generative probabilistic model with Dirichlet prior distribution for similarity analysis of research topic

  • Milyahilu, John;Kim, Jong Nam
    • 한국멀티미디어학회논문지
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.595-602
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    • 2020
  • We propose a generative probabilistic model with Dirichlet prior distribution for topic modeling and text similarity analysis. It assigns a topic and calculates text correlation between documents within a corpus. It also provides posterior probabilities that are assigned to each topic of a document based on the prior distribution in the corpus. We then present a Gibbs sampling algorithm for inference about the posterior distribution and compute text correlation among 50 abstracts from the papers published by IEEE. We also conduct a supervised learning to set a benchmark that justifies the performance of the LDA (Latent Dirichlet Allocation). The experiments show that the accuracy for topic assignment to a certain document is 76% for LDA. The results for supervised learning show the accuracy of 61%, the precision of 93% and the f1-score of 96%. A discussion for experimental results indicates a thorough justification based on probabilities, distributions, evaluation metrics and correlation coefficients with respect to topic assignment.

실무적 적용 관점에서 신뢰성 분포의 유형화 모형의 고찰 (Review of Classification Models for Reliability Distributions from the Perspective of Practical Implementation)

  • 최성운
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.195-202
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    • 2011
  • The study interprets each of three classification models based on Bath-Tub Failure Rate (BTFR), Extreme Value Distribution (EVD) and Conjugate Bayesian Distribution (CBD). The classification model based on BTFR is analyzed by three failure patterns of decreasing, constant, or increasing which utilize systematic management strategies for reliability of time. Distribution model based on BTFR is identified using individual factors for each of three corresponding cases. First, in case of using shape parameter, the distribution based on BTFR is analyzed with a factor of component or part number. In case of using scale parameter, the distribution model based on BTFR is analyzed with a factor of time precision. Meanwhile, in case of using location parameter, the distribution model based on BTFR is analyzed with a factor of guarantee time. The classification model based on EVD is assorted into long-tailed distribution, medium-tailed distribution, and short-tailed distribution by the length of right-tail in distribution, and depended on asymptotic reliability property which signifies skewness and kurtosis of distribution curve. Furthermore, the classification model based on CBD is relied upon conjugate distribution relations between prior function, likelihood function and posterior function for dimension reduction and easy tractability under the occasion of Bayesian posterior updating.

Variational Expectation-Maximization Algorithm in Posterior Distribution of a Latent Dirichlet Allocation Model for Research Topic Analysis

  • Kim, Jong Nam
    • 한국멀티미디어학회논문지
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    • 제23권7호
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    • pp.883-890
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    • 2020
  • In this paper, we propose a variational expectation-maximization algorithm that computes posterior probabilities from Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) model. The algorithm approximates the intractable posterior distribution of a document term matrix generated from a corpus made up by 50 papers. It approximates the posterior by searching the local optima using lower bound of the true posterior distribution. Moreover, it maximizes the lower bound of the log-likelihood of the true posterior by minimizing the relative entropy of the prior and the posterior distribution known as KL-Divergence. The experimental results indicate that documents clustered to image classification and segmentation are correlated at 0.79 while those clustered to object detection and image segmentation are highly correlated at 0.96. The proposed variational inference algorithm performs efficiently and faster than Gibbs sampling at a computational time of 0.029s.

On the Development of Probability Matching Priors for Non-regular Pareto Distribution

  • Lee, Woo Dong;Kang, Sang Gil;Cho, Jang Sik
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.333-339
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, we develop the probability matching priors for the parameters of non-regular Pareto distribution. We prove the propriety of joint posterior distribution induced by probability matching priors. Through the simulation study, we show that the proposed probability matching Prior matches the coverage probabilities in a frequentist sense. A real data example is given.

A BAYESIAN APPROACH TO THE IMPERFECT INSPECTION MODEL

  • Park, Choon-Il
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.589-598
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    • 1999
  • Classification errors are included in sampling -with -re-placement model where items are sampled from a Bernoulli process. Bayesian imperfect inspection model is considered. In addition con-jugate prior and predctive densities for imperfect inspection model are obtained.

AR(1)모형에서 자기회귀계수의 다중검정을 위한 베이지안방법 (Bayesian Method for the Multiple Test of an Autoregressive Parameter in Stationary AR(L) Model)

  • 김경숙;손영숙
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.141-150
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    • 2003
  • 본 논문은 베이즈인자(Bayes factor)를 이용하여 정상(stationary) AR(1)모형의 자기회귀계수에 대해 다중검정하는 방법을 제시한다. 모수들에 대한 사전분포로는 무정보 사전분포(noninformative prior distribution)를 가정한다. 이러한 경우에 통상적으로 사용되는 베이즈인자를 근사없이 정확히 계산하여 각 모형에 대한 사후확률(posterior probability)을 얻는다. 최종적으로 모의실험 자료 및 실제 자료에 적용하여 이론의 결과가 잘 부합되는지를 검토한다.

Noninformative priors for the log-logistic distribution

  • Kang, Sang Gil;Kim, Dal Ho;Lee, Woo Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.227-235
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, we develop the noninformative priors for the scale parameter and the shape parameter in the log-logistic distribution. We developed the first and second order matching priors. It turns out that the second order matching prior matches the alternative coverage probabilities, and is a highest posterior density matching prior. Also we revealed that the derived reference prior is the second order matching prior for both parameters, but Jerffrey's prior is not a second order matching prior. We showed that the proposed reference prior matches the target coverage probabilities in a frequentist sense through simulation study, and an example based on real data is given.