• 제목/요약/키워드: pricing model

검색결과 549건 처리시간 0.028초

A Risk-Averse Insider and Asset Pricing in Continuous Time

  • Lim, Byung Hwa
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.11-16
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    • 2013
  • This paper derives an equilibrium asset price when there exist three kinds of traders in financial market: a risk-averse informed trader, noise traders, and risk neutral market makers. This paper is an extended version of Kyle's (1985, Econometrica) continuous time model by introducing insider's risk aversion. We obtain not only the equilibrium asset pricing and market depth parameter but also insider's value function and optimal insider's trading strategy explicitly. The comparative static shows that the market depth (the reciprocal of market pressure) increases with time and volatility of noise traders' trading.

PRICING VULNERABLE POWER OPTION UNDER A CEV DIFFUSION

  • Ha, Mijin;Kim, Donghyun;Yoon, Ji-Hun
    • East Asian mathematical journal
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    • 제37권5호
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    • pp.553-566
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    • 2021
  • In the over-the-counter market, option's buyers could have a problem for default risk caused by option's writers. In addition, many participants try to maximize their benefits obviously in investing the financial derivatives. Taking all these circumstances into consideration, we deal with the vulnerable power options under a constant elasticity variance (CEV) model. We derive an analytic pricing formula for the vulnerable power option by using the asymptotic analysis, and then we verify that the analytic formula can be obtained accurately by comparing our solution with Monte-Carlo price. Finally, we examine the effect of CEV on the option price based on the derived solution.

PRICING OF TIMER DIGITAL POWER OPTIONS BASED ON STOCHSTIC VOLATILITY

  • Mijin Ha;Sangmin Park;Donghyun Kim;Ji-Hun Yoon
    • East Asian mathematical journal
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    • 제40권1호
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    • pp.63-74
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    • 2024
  • Timer options are financial instruments proposed by Société Générale Corporate and Investment Banking in 2007. Unlike vanilla options, where the expiry date is fixed, the expiry date of timer options is determined by the investor's choice, which is in linked to a variance budget. In this study, we derive a pricing formula for hybrid options that combine timer options, digital options, and power options, considering an environment where volatility of an underlying asset follows a fast-mean-reverting process. Additionally, we aim to validate the pricing accuracy of these analytical formulas by comparing them with the results obtained from Monte Carlo simulations. Finally, we conduct numerical studies on these options to analyze the impact of stochastic volatility on option's price with respect to various model parameters.

주택 자본자산가격결정모형(Capital Asset Pricing Model)을 활용한 위험과 수익 분석: 서울 강남 3개구 아파트시장의 경우 (A Study on Risks and Returns Using A Housing Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM): the Case of Three Gangnam Districts Apartment Market in Seoul)

  • 이종아;정준호
    • 한국경제지리학회지
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.234-252
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    • 2010
  • 본 논문은 서울 강남 3개구(강남구, 서초구, 송파구)의 아파트시장을 재건축대상과 재건축대상외(外)아파트로 구분하고 자본자산가격결정모형(Capital Asset Pricing Model, CAPM)을 활용하여 아파트시장의 위험과 수익 간의 관계를 분석하고자 한다. 이를 통해 서울 강남 재건축 아파트 자산의 의사금융자산(quasi-financial asset)화 경향허의 한 단면을 보여 주고자 한다. 단일 CAPM 모형 결과는 위험과 수익 간의 관계가 정(+)이라는 것을 보여주고 있다. 또한 시장요인 이외에 SMB(small minus big), 모멘텀(momentum), 비체계적 위험 변수들을 반영한 다변량 CAPM 모형 결과에 따르면, 시장요인과 SMB는 일반아파트와 재건축대상 아파트시장 모두에서 수익률에 대해 정(+)의 효과를 미치고 있다. 비체계적 위험변수는 재건축대상 아파트시장에서 통계적으로 유의하지만, 모멘텀 변수는 회귀모형에 따라 상이한 결과가 나타났다. 평형규모와 가격변동성 또는 베타값을 이용한 포트폴리오 분석도 위험-수익 간의 강한 정(+)의 선형 관계와 SMB 효과가 나타나고 있음을 확인하여 주고 있다. 이처럼 서울 강남 3개구 아파트시장, 특히 재건축 예정 아파트시장에는 주택자산의 투자재적 성격이 더욱더 부각되고 있다.

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전력수요의 가격탄력성을 이용한 수요반응 프로그램 (Demand Response Program Using the Price Elasticity of Power Demand)

  • ;구자열;김수덕
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국신재생에너지학회 2011년도 춘계학술대회 초록집
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    • pp.76.1-76.1
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    • 2011
  • With the growing penetration of distributed generation including from renewable sources, smart grid power system is needed to address the reliability problem. One important feature of smart grid is demand response. In order to design a demand response program, it is indispensable to understand how consumer reacts upon the change of electricity price. In this paper, we construct an econometrics model to estimate the hourly price elasticity of demand. This panel model utilizes the hourly load data obtained from KEPCO for the period from year 2005 to 2009. The hourly price elasticity of demand is found to be statistically significant for all the sample under investigation. The samples used for this analysis is from the past historical data under the price structure of three different time zones for each season. The result of the analysis of this time of use pricing structure would allow the policy maker design an appropriate incentive program. This study is important in the sense that it provides a basic research information for designing future demand response programs.

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가격차에 의해 발생하는 수요대체효과를 고려한 정태적 최적가격결정 모형 수립 (A Deterministic Model for Optimal Pricing Decisions with Price-Driven Substitution)

  • 김상원
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제33권1호
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    • pp.1-17
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    • 2008
  • Market segmentation is a key strategic factor in increasing the expected profits, especially in the practice of revenue management. A manufacturing firm should manage both manufacturing quantities and pricing decisions over its segmented markets to maximize the expected profits, setting different price for each different segment. Also, market segments should be kept separate in order to prevent demand leakages between different market segments. In fact, even though the markets for different products are firmly segmented, it is not easy to keep separate segmentation because many products might be substitutable by customer buying behavior. That is, customers respond to price changes by purchasing other market's products instead of purchasing the originally requested products, which causes demand substitution effect ; This kind of substitution is referred to as price-driven substitution. Therefore, decisions on optimal prices should take into account the differences in customers' valuation of the different products. We consider a deterministic model for deciding optimal prices in the presence of price-driven substitution, and we compare both symmetrical-and asymmetrical-type demand substitutions between two segmented markets. The objective of this study is to develop analytical and numerical models to examine the impact of price-driven substitution on the optimal price levels and the total expected profits.

실물옵션 가치평가모형을 이용한 국도건설사업의 경제적 가치 평가 (Economic Evaluation of National Highway Construction Projects using Real Option Pricing Models)

  • 정성윤;김지표
    • 한국도로학회논문집
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.75-89
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    • 2014
  • PURPOSES : This study evaluates the economic value of national highway construction projects using Real Option Pricing Models. METHODS : We identified the option premium for uncertainties associated with flexibilities according to the future's change in national highway construction projects. In order to evaluate value of future's underlying asset, we calculated the volatility of the unit price per year for benefit estimation such as VOTS, VOCS, VICS, VOPCS and VONCS that the "Transportation Facility Investment Evaluation Guidelines" presented. RESULTS : We evaluated the option premium of underlying asset through a case study of the actual national highway construction projects using ROPM. And in order to predict the changes in the option value of the future's underlying asset, we evaluated the changes of option premium for future's uncertainties by the defer of the start of construction work, the contract of project scale, and the abandon of project during pre-land compensation stages that were occurred frequently in the highway construction projects. Finally we analyzed the sensitivity of the underlying asset using volatility, risk free rate and expiration date of option. CONCLUSIONS : We concluded that a highway construction project has economic value even though static NPV had a negative(-) value because of the sum of the existing static NPV and the option premium for the future's uncertainties associated with flexibilities.

소프트웨어의 적정가격 결정 모델에 대한 연구 (Study of fair price model formula for the software pricing)

  • 조유진;김종배
    • 한국정보통신학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정보통신학회 2014년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.75-78
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    • 2014
  • 그 동안 소프트웨어 가격의 적합성에 대한 논의가 끊임없이 이어져왔다. 패키지 소프트웨어를 구매하는 소비자와 공급자 사이의 원만한 거래를 위해서는 시장에서 서로가 수긍할 수 있는 가격 결정 논리가 필요하다. 그러나 현실은 아직까지도 가격을 결정하는 요인들에 대한 정확한 기준이 없을 뿐만 아니라 산정방식에 대한 이해도 또한 부족하다. 이로 인해 공급회사들은 각기 다른 기준에 의해 소프트웨어 가격 산정을 하고 있으며, 소비자는 끊임없이 합당한 가격인가에 대한 의문을 던지고 있는 실정이다. 본 논문에서는 합당한 소프트웨어 가격을 산정하기 위한 다양한 요인들을 분석하고 이를 기반으로 한 패키지 소프트웨어 제품의 적정가격산정 모델을 제시하는 것을 목적으로 한다.

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Price Monitoring Automation with Marketing Forecasting Methods

  • Oksana Penkova;Oleksandr Zakharchuk;Ivan Blahun;Alina Berher;Veronika Nechytailo;Andrii Kharenko
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • 제23권9호
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    • pp.37-46
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    • 2023
  • The main aim of the article is to solve the problem of automating price monitoring using marketing forecasting methods and Excel functionality under martial law. The study used the method of algorithms, trend analysis, correlation and regression analysis, ANOVA, extrapolation, index method, etc. The importance of monitoring consumer price developments in market pricing at the macro and micro levels is proved. The introduction of a Dummy variable to account for the influence of martial law in market pricing is proposed, both in linear multiple regression modelling and in forecasting the components of the Consumer Price Index. Experimentally, the high reliability of forecasting based on a five-factor linear regression model with a Dummy variable was proved in comparison with a linear trend equation and a four-factor linear regression model. Pessimistic, realistic and optimistic scenarios were developed for forecasting the Consumer Price Index for the situation of the end of the Russian-Ukrainian war until the end of 2023 and separately until the end of 2024.

수치적 반복 수렴 방법을 이용한 CEV 모형에서의 아메리칸 풋 옵션 가격 결정 (An Iterative Method for American Put Option Pricing under a CEV Model)

  • 이승규;장봉규;김인준
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제38권4호
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    • pp.244-248
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    • 2012
  • We present a simple numerical method for pricing American put options under a constant elasticity of variance (CEV) model. Our analysis is done in a general framework where only the risk-neutral transition density of the underlying asset price is given. We obtain an integral equation of early exercise premium. By exploiting a modification of the integral equation, we propose a novel and simple numerical iterative valuation method for American put options.