• Title/Summary/Keyword: price volatility

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A Study on the Sudden Stop in Capital Flows and Foreign Exchange and Distribution Market Stability (자본유출입 급변동과 외환 및 유통시장 안정성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Yoon-Chul;Yi, Myung-Hoon
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.14 no.12
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    • pp.79-87
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    • 2016
  • Purpose - Since 1990, the sudden stop in capital flows has caused the economic crisis. The purpose of this research is to suggest the policy measures to mitigate the risk of the sudden stop in capital flows. To this end, we examine the theoretical framework and analyze the case study for countries which are faced with the sudden stop. Also we examine the structural problems of the foreign exchange market in Korea and derive the policy implications to prevent the sudden stop. Research design, data, and methodology - The criteria of whether the sudden stop in capital flows occurs are based upon Calvo et al. (2008). In case the proxy variable for the balance of capital account decreases from the average by over twice standard deviation, we determine that the sudden stop occurs for that country. The sample period is from January 1990 to December 2008, as in Calvo (2014). The sample countries are 17 developed countries and 19 emerging market countries, which are different from those of the previous papers as Agosin and Huaita (2012), and Calvo (2014). When the exchange market pressure index(EMPI) is deviated from the average by over three times standard deviation, we determine that the foreign exchange market is unstable for that country. Results - We find that the characteristics of the sudden stop in capital flows are the bunching or contagion among countries, the rapid drop in real effective exchange rate, and the huge decrease in foreign exchange reserves. Many countries tried to increase foreign exchange reserves and regulate capital flows. Also the foreign exchange market in Korea are found to be the volatile exchange rate, the vulnerable external debt and careless management of the foreign exchange derivatives transaction risk. Conclusions - To lessen the risk in the sudden stop of capital flows, this research suggests the some useful policy measures. To enhance the foreign exchange and distribution market stability, we should improve the price mechanism of exchange rate, hold the appropriate level of foreign exchange reserves, prevent excessive inflows of foreign exchange and promote sound transactions of foreign exchange derivatives.

A Study on The Asset Characterization of Bitcoin (비트코인의 자산성격에 관한 연구)

  • Jang, Seong Il;Kim, Jeong Yeon
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.117-128
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    • 2017
  • The increased national utilization of Bitcoin results in multiple complications. Therefore, there are continuous debates on the subject, the main point being how to characterize Bitcoin's asset nature. The following study bases, focusing on the function value, justifies Bitcoin's asset characterization. Using regression analysis to construct relations between gold and indexes such as CPI, DXY, and S&P500 as well as the relation between Bitcoin and the previously mentioned indexes, the question of whether gold and Bitcoin reacted in a similar fashion to the same indicators was examined. The results conclude that Bitcoin has similarities with gold, showing that it is risk averse and an investable commodity in lieu to profitability when it comes to inflation and currency value. When considered with price volatility, the main force behind the function of investment asset, categorizing Bitcoin as a high-risk financial investment asset rather than as a currency within the system would be more effective for management.

An Efficient Address Mapping Table Management Scheme for NAND Flash Memory File System Exploiting Page Address Cache (페이지 주소 캐시를 활용한 NAND 플래시 메모리 파일시스템에서의 효율적 주소 변환 테이블 관리 정책)

  • Kim, Cheong-Ghil
    • Journal of Digital Contents Society
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.91-97
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    • 2010
  • Flash memory has been used by many digital devices for data storage, exploiting the advantages of non-volatility, low power, stability, and so on, with the help of high integrity, large capacity, and low price. As the fast growing popularity of flash memory, the density of it increases so significantly that its entire address mapping table becomes too big to be stored in SRAM. This paper proposes the associated page address cache with an efficient table management scheme for hybrid flash translation layer mapping. For this purpose, all tables are integrated into a map block containing entire physical page tables. Simulation results show that the proposed scheme can save the extra memory areas and decrease the searching time with less 2.5% of miss ratio on PC workload and can decrease the write overhead by performing write operation 33% out of total writes requested.

Analysis about relation of Long-term & Short-term Financial Market, Stock Market and Foreign Exchange Market of Korea (한국 장단기 금융시장, 주식 및 외환시장 연관성)

  • 김종권
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.22 no.50
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    • pp.105-125
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    • 1999
  • The results of analysis on foreign exchange market, stock and financial market after January of 1997 are that foreign exchange market will be affected by stock and financial market volatility about 1999. This means that stock and financial market are more stable than foreign exchange market. This also is supported by ‘financial market forecast of 1999 in Daewoo Economic Research Institute’. After won/dollar (end of period) will be increasing in 1,430 at second quarter of 1999, this is to downward 1,200 fourth quarter of 1999. This is somewhat based on government's higher exchange rate policy. But, after yield of corporate bond is to 11.0% at first quarter of 1999, this will be stable to 10.2% at fourth quarter. During the first quarter of 1999, yield of corporate bond is to somewhat increasing through sovereign debt and public bonds, technical adjustment of interest rate. After this, yield of corporate bond will be stable according to stability of price, magnification of money supply, restucturing of firms. So, stock market is favorably affected by stability of financial market. But, the pension and fund of USA, i.e., long-term portfolio investment fund, are injected through international firm's management. It is included by openness of audit, fair market about foreign investors. Finally, Moody's strong rating on the won-denominated bonds suggest that Korea's sovereign debt ratings could be restored to an investment grade in the near future. It sequentially includes inflow of foreign portfolio investment fund, fall of won/dollar foreign exchange rate (appreciation of won) and stability of yield of corporate bond.

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Strategy of Critical Materials Management in the World (세계(世界) Critical materials 관리(管理)를 위한 전략(戰略))

  • Kim, Yu Jeong
    • Resources Recycling
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.3-12
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    • 2013
  • It is necessary to manage risk of metals which are has rigid supply structures and expected demand expansion, considering to industry structure and resource securing capacity of each country. Countries conducted various criticality analyses and selected mainly rare metals as critical materials(or Critical metals or Critical raw materials). This study examined cases of metals risk evaluation and management which are based on technology changes and imbalance supply-demand. EU and U.S.A evaluated risk on metals needed as supply expansion of renewable energy. Japan forecasted demand of rare metals needed in Japan's growth engine industry. U.K analyzed criticality of metals, considering environmental burden occurred from mining to refining. Critical materials has features such as weak price signal, inelastic supply structure, demand volatility in technology change.

Value-added Utilization of Lignin Residue from Pretreatment Process of Lignocellulosic Biomass (목질계 바이오매스 전처리 공정에서 발생하는 리그닌 부산물 활용 기술 개발 동향)

  • Jung, Jae Yeong;Lee, Yumi;Lee, Eun Yeol
    • Applied Chemistry for Engineering
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.135-144
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    • 2016
  • Due to the high price volatility and environmental concern of petroleum, biofuels such as bioethanol produced from lignocellulosic biomass have attracted much attention. It is also expected that the amount of lignin residue generated from pretreatment of lignocellulosic biomass will increase as the volume of cellulosic bioethanol increases. Lignin is a natural aromatic polymer and has very complex chemical structures with chemical functional groups. Chemical modification of lignin such as oxypropylation and epoxidation has also been applied to the production of value-added bioplastics such as polyurethane and polyester with enhanced thermal and mechanical properties. In addition, lignin can be used for carbon fiber production in automobile industries. This review highlights recent progresses in utilizations and chemical modifications of lignin for the production of bioplastics, resins, and carbon fiber.

Soy protein: a high-quality, plant-based protein (대두단백: 고품질의 식물성 단백질)

  • Kim, Yoon A
    • Food Science and Industry
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    • v.51 no.4
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    • pp.270-277
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    • 2018
  • The rising global demand for food and beverages with higher protein content provides manufacturers with great opportunities for innovation and premium positioning of their products as healthy choices. However, the market price volatility and supply risks associated with animal-based proteins can quickly erode margins and profitability. A diversified protein strategy that includes plant-based soy protein greatly improves your ability to predict profitability over time, while maintaining or even improving product quality.

Exports of SMEs against Risk? Theory and Evidence from Foreign Exchange Risk Insurance Schemes in Korea

  • Lee, Seo-Young
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.87-101
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    • 2019
  • Purpose - This paper examines the effectiveness of the foreign exchange risk insurance system in the promotion of SME exports in Korea. The purpose of this study is to analyze the short-term and long-term responses of SME exports to foreign exchange risk insurance support policies. Based on these empirical studies, we would like to present some operational improvements to the operation of the foreign exchange risk insurance system. Design/methodology - In order to analyze the effect of exchange risk insurance on the exports of SMEs, a VAR model consisting of foreign exchange risk insurance underwriting values, export relative price, and domestic demand pressure, including export volume, was established. The study began with tests of the stationarity of time series data. The unit root tests showed that all concerned variables were non-stationary. Accordingly, the results of the cointegration test showed that the tested variables are not cointegrated. Finally, an impulse response function and variance decomposition analysis were conducted to analyze the impulse of foreign exchange risk insurance on exports of SMEs. Findings - As a result of estimating the VAR (1) model, foreign exchange risk insurance was found to be significant at a 1% significance level for SME' export promotion. In the impulse response analysis, SMEs' export response to the impulse of foreign exchange risk insurance showed that exports gradually increased until the third quarter, and then slowed down. However, the impulse did not disappear, and appeared continuously. Originality/value - This study analyzed the effect of foreign exchange insurance on exports of SMEs by applying the VAR model. In particular, this study is the first to analyze the short-term and long-term effects of foreign exchange risk insurance on exports of SMEs. The empirical evidence in the current study have a policy implication for the policy authority to support and promote the foreign exchange risk insurance in the effect of exchange rate volatility on Korea' export SMEs.

Cryptocurrency Recommendation Model using the Similarity and Association Rule Mining (유사도와 연관규칙분석을 이용한 암호화폐 추천모형)

  • Kim, Yechan;Kim, Jinyoung;Kim, Chaerin;Kim, Kyoung-jae
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.287-308
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    • 2022
  • The explosive growth of cryptocurrency, led by Bitcoin has emerged as a major issue in the financial market recently. As a result, interest in cryptocurrency investment is increasing, but the market opens 24 hours and 365 days a year, price volatility, and exponentially increasing number of cryptocurrencies are provided as risks to cryptocurrency investors. For that reasons, It is raising the need for research to reduct investors' risks by dividing cryptocurrency which is not suitable for recommendation. Unlike the previous studies of maximizing returns by simply predicting the future of cryptocurrency prices or constructing cryptocurrency portfolios by focusing on returns, this paper reflects the tendencies of investors and presents an appropriate recommendation method with interpretation that can reduct investors' risks by selecting suitable Altcoins which are recommended using Apriori algorithm, one of the machine learning techniques, but based on the similarity and association rules of Bitocoin.

Trading Algorithm Selection Using Time-Series Generative Adversarial Networks (TimeGAN을 활용한 트레이딩 알고리즘 선택)

  • Lee, Jae Yoon;Lee, Ju Hong;Choi, Bum Ghi;Song, Jae Won
    • Smart Media Journal
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.38-45
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    • 2022
  • A lot of research is being going until this day in order to obtain stable profit in the stock market. Trading algorithms are widely used, accounting for over 80% of the trading volume of the US stock market. Despite a lot of research, there is no trading algorithm that always shows good performance. In other words, there is no guarantee that an algorithm that performed well in the past will perform well in the future. The reason is that there are many factors that affect the stock price and there are uncertainties about the future. Therefore, in this paper, we propose a model using TimeGAN that predicts future returns well and selects algorithms that are expected to have high returns based on past records of the returns of algorithms. We use TimeGAN becasue it is probabilistic, whereas LSTM method predicts future time series data is deterministic. The advantage of TimeGAN probabilistic prediction is that it can reflect uncertainty about the future. As an experimental result, the method proposed in this paper achieves a high return with little volatility and shows superior results compared to many comparison algorithms.