• Title/Summary/Keyword: price driver

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The Accuracy of Various Value Drivers of Price Multiple Method in Determining Equity Price

  • YOOYANYONG, Pisal;SUWANRAGSA, Issara;TANGJITPROM, Nopphon
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.29-36
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    • 2020
  • Stock price multiple is one of the most well-known equity valuation technique used to forecast equity price. It measures by multiplying "the ratio of stock price to a value driver" by a value driver. The value driver can be earning per share (EPS), sales or other financial measurements. The objective of price multiple technique is to evaluate the value of assets and compare how similar assets are priced in the market. Although stock price multiple technique is common in financial filed, studies on the application of the technique in Thailand is still limited. The present study is conducted to serve three major objectives. The first objective is to apply the technique to measure value of firms in banking sector in the Stock Exchange of Thailand. The second objective is to develop composite price multiple index to forecast equity prices. The third objective is to compare valuation accuracy of different value drivers of price multiple (i.e. EPS, Earnings Growth, Earnings Before Interest Taxes Depreciation and Amortization, Sales, Book Value and Composite Index) in forecasting equity prices. Results indicated that EPS is the most accurate value drivers of price multiple used to forecast equity price of firms in baking sector.

Analysis on Price Driver of Spread and Different Patterns of EUA and sCER (탄소배출권 EUA와 sCER의 가격 차이 패턴 및 스프레드(Spread) 결정 요인 분석)

  • Park, Soonchul;Cho, Yongsung
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.759-784
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    • 2013
  • Participants can use the allowances and offsets for implementing the compliance in the Emissions Trading Scheme(ETS). There are alternative commodities which are different prices it gives the opportunities to reduce the compliance costs and get the arbitrage. This study analyzes the price driver of spread which is the difference between EUA and sCER using AR-GARCH model, EUA and CER during the Phase 2 in EU ETS. The results show that there are common elements which impacts the EUA and sCER and also different elements between them. EUA and sCER get the effects from energy price and economic criteria such as coal price and financial crisis as common elements. However them get the effects from electric price, policy criteria such as restricted CERs and difference price between EUA and ERU price as different elements. The results shows that spread will be widen if energy price increase, especially oil and electric price give more impacts the spreads. This study has the means that it explains the reason why the spreads will broaden sharply in 2012. And it also suggests the price driver of spread during the whole period of Phase 2. In addition, this study shows that political aspects maybe become the main criteria of price change with structural elements shch as energy price in Korea ETS which starts in 2015.

A Study on the Design of the Source Driver and the Flexible Display with an Electrowetting Cell Structure (전기습윤셀 구조를 갖는 플렉서블 디스플레이와 소스 드라이버 설계에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hoon-Hak
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.17 no.9
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    • pp.149-156
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    • 2012
  • The Fabric Electrode was proposed for the effective production of the display based on electrowetting in this paper and designed the source driver of flexible display which could be driven by the electrowetting cell. The electrowetting cell matrix was implemented on the substrate(PET) by imprinting. The driver fabric, wetting electrode fabric and conductive fabric was placed horizontally and vertically in the groove between cell matrix and the electrowetting cell matrix can be driven by the cross-point as electric connection. The integration density of driver module is decreased because using the R/2R DAC module per channel in the conventional method. The proposed method could utilize the effective production process and reduce the production price of a display panel. The source driver which consume lower power and can increase the integration density because of reducing the number of driver device per channel was designed and evaluate the driver operation by the simulation using the VHDL programming in this paper.

The Effect of Non-Oil Diversification on Stock Market Performance: The Role of FDI and Oil Price in the United Arab Emirates

  • BANERJEE, Rachna;MAJUMDAR, Sudipa
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2021
  • UAE has rapidly developed into one of the leading global financial hubs, with significant transformations in its stock exchanges. In its attempt at economic diversification in the last two decades, the country has also taken a lead in the GCC region in introducing extensive reforms to attract FDI to the Emirates. However, oil price volatilities have posed a significant challenge to all oil-exporting countries. The main aim of this study is to explore the impact of economic diversification and oil price on the UAE stock market. The study applies Granger Causality and Vector Autoregressive Model on monthly Abu Dhabi stock exchange index, Dubai Fateh crude oil spot price, and FDI inflows during 2001-19. The short-term interbank rate has been included as a monetary policy variable. The results show a substantial difference between the two phases of reforms. Oil price and Abu Dhabi stock index show bidirectional relationship during 2001-09 but no causality was found during 2010-19. Furthermore, the second phase was characterized by unidirectional causation from FDI to ADX index. This study highlights FDI inflows as a key driver of stock market performance during the last decade and emphasizes the success of the intense reforms in the UAE initiated for the diversification of its economy.

Statistical model for forecasting uranium prices to estimate the nuclear fuel cycle cost

  • Kim, Sungki;Ko, Wonil;Nam, Hyoon;Kim, Chulmin;Chung, Yanghon;Bang, Sungsig
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.49 no.5
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    • pp.1063-1070
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    • 2017
  • This paper presents a method for forecasting future uranium prices that is used as input data to calculate the uranium cost, which is a rational key cost driver of the nuclear fuel cycle cost. In other words, the statistical autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model and existing engineering cost estimation method, the so-called escalation rate model, were subjected to a comparative analysis. When the uranium price was forecasted in 2015, the margin of error of the ARIMA model forecasting was calculated and found to be 5.4%, whereas the escalation rate model was found to have a margin of error of 7.32%. Thus, it was verified that the ARIMA model is more suitable than the escalation rate model at decreasing uncertainty in nuclear fuel cycle cost calculation.

A Study on Stigma Effect of Unwelcomed Facilities on Apartment Prices: A Case Study of Sang-gye Jugong Apartment Complexes in Nowon-gu, Seoul (도시 비선호시설이 주변 아파트 가격에 미치는 낙인효과에 관한 연구 - 서울 노원구 상계동 주공 7, 9, 10단지를 사례로 -)

  • Kim, Chul-Joong;Song, Myung-Gyu
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.297-314
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    • 2012
  • This study investigates the stigma effect of unwelcomed facilities on apartment prices through multiple regressions based on hedonic price method. The areas studied are Sang-gye Jugong 7, 9, 10 apartment complexes. The facilities analyzed are the Chang-dong Electric Subway Depot and the Do-bong Driver's License Agency. The factors studied include the environmental variable (the elapsed time since the announcement of the re-location of these facilities), the view commanding, the distance from Chang-dong Depot, the distance from Do-bong Driver's License Test Course, the distance from neighboring facilities (subway stations, schools, parks and so on), the floor and each dwelling's exclusive space. The data used are 2,822 sales which have been collected since January 1, 2006. The facts found are as follows; first, the view commanding and the distance from the unwelcomed facilities are statistically significant. second, the environmental variable, 'days' turns out to have a positive (+) and a negative (-) significant relationship with the dependent variable, 'price', in period II and period IV respectively. This implies that the stigma effect is real. third, there are significant differences in the influence on the apartment prices among the independent variables according to time. fourth, the stigma effect is estimated as 33,686,920 Korean won in the case of the apartments which have the view commanding and 30,311,844 won in the other case before the global economic crisis. This effect seems to decrease to 22,085,078 won after the crisis. These facts suggest that stigma effects could be considered as one of the benefits in the cost-benefit analysis of Chang-dong Depot re-location project to produce somewhat higher NPV or B/C ratio.

A Study on the Improvement of Vehicle Recognition Rate of Vision System (Vision 시스템의 차량 인식률 향상에 관한 연구)

  • Oh, Ju-Taek;Lee, Sang-Yong;Lee, Sang-Min;Kim, Young-Sam
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.16-24
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    • 2011
  • The vehicle electronic control system is being developed as the legal and social demand for ensuring driver's safety is rising. The various Driver Assistance Systems with various sensors such as radars, camera, and lasers are in practical use because of the falling price of hardware and the high performance of sensor and processer. In the preceding study of this research, the program was developed to recognize the experiment vehicle's driving lane and the cars nearby or approaching the experiment vehicle throughout the images taken by CCD camera. In addition, the 'dangerous driving analysis program' which is Vision System basis was developed to analyze the cause and consequence of dangerous driving. However, the Vision system developed in the previous studyhad poor recognition rate of lane and vehicles at the time of passing a tunnel, sunrise, or sunset. Therefore, through mounting the brightness response algorithm to the Vision System, the present study is aimed to analyze the causes of driver's dangerous driving clearly by improving the recognition rate of lane and vehicle, regardless of when and where it is.

Study of Single Stage PFC CCM Flyback Converter (연속모드 단일단 PFC 플라이백 컨버터의 연구)

  • La, Jae Du
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.407-412
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    • 2019
  • Many industrial regions has used and extended the application of LED driver because of many advantage. Specially, due to the simplicity, miniaturization and power density, the flyback converter is selected by a lot of power engineer. Also, the electrolytic capacitor in this converter is used for the constant DC voltage of the converter because of the sufficient capacitance and the economic price. However, because of the characteristics of the electrolytic capacitor and ripple currents on the converter. the expected lifetime of the LED driver is more and more shorted. In this paper, a single-stage CCM PFC flyback converter with the film capacitor is suggested to extended the lifetime of the LED driver. In addition, the proposed converter with the LC filter is decreased the ripple current of the converter output.

A Study on Methodology for Improving Demand Forecasting Models in the Designated Driver Service Market (대리운전 시장의 지역별 수요 예측 모형의 성능 향상을 위한 방법론 연구)

  • Min-Seop Kim;Ki-Kun Park;Jae-Hyeon Heo;Jae-Eun Kwon;Hye-Rim Bae
    • The Journal of Bigdata
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.23-34
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    • 2023
  • Nowadays, the Designated Driver Services employ dynamic pricing, which adapts in real-time based on nearby driver availability, service user volume, and current weather conditions during the user's request. The uncertain volatility is the main cause of price increases, leading to customer attrition and service refusal from driver. To make a good Designated Driver Services, development of a demand forecasting model is required. In this study, we propose developing a demand forecasting model using data from the Designated Driver Service by considering normal and peak periods, such as rush hour and rush day, as prior knowledge to enhance the model performance. We propose a new methodology called Time-Series with Conditional Probability(TSCP), which combines conditional probability and time-series models to enhance performance. Extensive experiments have been conducted with real Designated Driver Service data, and the result demonstrated that our method outperforms the existing time-series models such as SARIMA, Prophet. Therefore, our study can be considered for decision-making to facilitate proactive response in Designated Driver Services.

Factors which Influence Customers' Intention to Switch from Call-Based Driver-for-hire Services to App-Based Driver-for-hire Services Based on Online to Offline (O2O) Business Model: Focusing on Kakao Driver service (콜 대리업체 서비스에서 O2O 방식이 적용된 대리운전 사업 모델로의 소비자 전환 의도에 관한 연구: 카카오 드라이버를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Daewon;Jeong, Hye Seung
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.51-78
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    • 2016
  • Online-to-offline (O2O) commerce is the new trend that merges online commerce with traditional industries in various fields. The primary purpose of this paper is to find out which factors influence customers' intention to switch from call-based driver-for-hire services to O2O app-based services. This study used variables and factors based on Theory of Switching Intention, and Extended Unified Theory of Acceptance and Use of Technology in order to design research questions. We surveyed 500 users of call-based driver-for-hire services. According to the result of this study, dissatisfaction with the current call-based driver-for-hire services is estimated to be a significant factor that strengthens customers' intention to switch from the call-based driver-for-hire services to the app-based services. Loyalty to the previous call-based driver-for-hire services was not seen as a crucial motivator that causes customers to switch to the new O2O driver service. Switching cost also did not play a key role in explaining the relationship between dissatisfaction with the current call-based service and the intention to use the new app-based service. Performance expectancy, easiness in use, the level of user's knowledge or available assistance in relation to the use of app-based services, and expectancy for reasonable price was found to have meaningful impacts on customers' intention to switch from the call-based driver-for-hire services to the app-based services. Age, gender and user experience on the new service were found incapable of moderating the relationship between aforementioned factors which influence customers' choice of the app-based driver-for-hire service, and customers' intent to switch to the app-based service.