• Title/Summary/Keyword: preference uncertainty

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Preference-based Supply Chain Partner Selection Using Fuzzy Ontology (퍼지 온톨로지를 이용한 선호도 기반 공급사슬 파트너 선정)

  • Lee, Hae-Kyung;Ko, Chang-Seong;Kim, Tai-Oun
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.37-52
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    • 2011
  • Supply chain management is a strategic thinking which enhances the value of supply chain and adapts more promptly for the changing environment. For the seamless partnership and value creation in supply chains, information and knowledge sharing and proper partner selection criteria must be applied. Thus, the partner selection criteria are critical to maintain product quality and reliability. Each part of a product is supplied by an appropriate supply partner. The criteria for selecting partners are technological capability, quality, price, consistency, etc. In reality, the criteria for partner selection may change according to the characteristics of the components. When the part is a core component, quality factor is the top priority compared to the price. For a standardized component, lower price has a higher priority. Sometimes, unexpected case occurs such as emergency order in which the preference may shift on the top. Thus, SCM partner selection criteria must be determined dynamically according to the characteristics of part and its context. The purpose of this research is to develop an OWL model for the supply chain partnership depending on its context and characteristics of the parts. The uncertainty of variable is tackled through fuzzy logic. The parts with preference of numerical value and context are represented using OWL. Part preference is converted into fuzzy membership function using fuzzy logic. For the ontology reasoning, SWRL (Semantic Web Rule Language) is applied. For the implementation of proposed model, starter motor of an automobile is adopted. After the fuzzy ontology is constructed, the process of selecting preference-based supply partner for each part is presented.

A Study on the Introduction of Pharmacy Information Systems After Medical Reform (의약분업이후 약국의 전산시스템 도입에 관한 연구)

  • 정희진
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.143-151
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    • 2001
  • The purpose of this study is to present the model for introduction of pharmacy information systems after medical reform. AHP(analytic hierarchy process) method is used to compute preference over factors which are included in the introduction of information systems. The fuzzified mu1ti-objective programming model is given to consider the aspects of resource and to accommodate the aspiration level and satisfaction level of decision makers. Numerical examples illustrating interpolated model are presented to accommodate the uncertainty of priority and the implications of this model is discussed.

Representative Keyword Extraction from Few Documents through Fuzzy Inference (퍼지 추론을 이용한 소수 문서의 대표 키워드 추출)

  • 노순억;김병만;허남철
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 2001.12a
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    • pp.117-120
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    • 2001
  • In this work, we propose a new method of extracting and weighting representative keywords(RKs) from a few documents that might interest a user. In order to extract RKs, we first extract candidate terms and then choose a number of terms called initial representative keywords (IRKS) from them through fuzzy inference. Then, by expanding and reweighting IRKS using term co-occurrence similarity, the final RKs are obtained. Performance of our approach is heavily influenced by effectiveness of selection method of IRKS so that we choose fuzzy inference because it is more effective in handling the uncertainty inherent in selecting representative keywords of documents. The problem addressed in this paper can be viewed as the one of calculating center of document vectors. So, to show the usefulness of our approach, we compare with two famous methods - Rocchio and Widrow-Hoff - on a number of documents collections. The results show that our approach outperforms the other approaches.

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BAYESIAN MODEL AVERAGING FOR HETEROGENEOUS FRAILTY

  • Chang, Il-Sung;Lim, Jo-Han
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.129-148
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    • 2007
  • Frailty estimates from the proportional hazards frailty model often lead us to conjecture the heterogeneity in frailty such that the variance of the frailty varies over different covariate groups (e.g. male group versus female group). For such systematic heterogeneity in frailty, we consider a regression model for the variance components in the proportional hazards frailty model, denoted by the MLFM. However, in many cases, the observed data do not show any statistically significant preference between the homogeneous frailty model and the heterogeneous frailty model. In this paper, we propose a Bayesian model averaging procedure with the reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo which selects the appropriate model automatically. The resulting regression coefficient estimate ignores the model uncertainty from the frailty distribution in view of Bayesian model averaging (Hoeting et al., 1999). Finally, the proposed model and the estimation procedure are illustrated through the analysis of the kidney infection data in McGilchrist and Aisbett (1991) and a simulation study is implemented.

An Intelligent DSS to Assist in Multi-Attributed Managerial Decision Under Fuzziness (불명확한 상황에서의 다중속성 경영의사결정을 지원하기 위한 지능적 의사결정지원시스템)

  • Hong, Il-Yu
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.52-85
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    • 1995
  • This paper develops a new approach to dealing with qualitative reasoning processes involved in managerial decisions, drawing upon choice strategies that have been developed within the general framework of multi-criteria decision making. Issues such as choices under uncertainty and preference formulation are addressed. An MCDM DSS intended to assist in high-level management decisions must focus on helping the decision maker to properly define the problem by providing a structure to it and to dynamically evaluate the alternative courses of action. A conceptual architecture is developed and presented to propose a general model for designing decision support systems specifically designed to assist in MCDM in a managerial context. A commercial loan approval judgment case is described to illustrate the real-world situation where decisions are made under fuzziness and usually require a high degree of intuition and subjective judgment. Development of a prototype system intended to partially represent application of the architecture is described.

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Housing status and Senior Services corresponding to Life Styles of the Middle aged (중년층의 라이프스타일 유형에 따른 주거조건 및 노후서비스)

  • Kim, Han-Na;Yoon, Chung-Sook
    • Proceeding of Spring/Autumn Annual Conference of KHA
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    • 2005.11a
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    • pp.79-84
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this study was to classify the middle aged corresponding to their Life Styles and analyze the senior housing types and services. the specific objectives of this study are as follows : First, analyze the specific of demography. Second classify the Life Style of the middle aged. Third, analyze the housing types and services that are classified. In analyzing the collected data, the frequency, factor analysis, cronbach's a, cluster analysis(K-means), X$^2$ ANOVA conducted within the SPSS 12.0. The Life Style were segmented four group : Actively outgoing group, self-confidence familial group, self-uncertainty responsible group, unsociable negative group. This study shows that the segmentation group's preference of senior housing types and services is different by the Life Style.

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Decision Making Model for Agricultural Reservoir using PROMETHEE-AHP (PROMETHEE-AHP를 이용한 농업용 저수지의 의사결정모형)

  • Choi, Eun-Hyuk;Bae, Sang-Soo;Jee, Hong-Kee
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.54 no.5
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    • pp.57-67
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    • 2012
  • This paper presents the Multi Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) to evaluate water resources plan for agricultural reservoir. Preference Ranking Organization METHod for Enrichment Evaluations (PROMETHEE) and Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) were used to estimate weight and priority of alternatives to find out the most reasonable and efficient way of water resources assessment. The 6 criteria that both decision maker and beneficiary are satisfied have been identified to secure agricultural water resources and then the priority of 10 subcriteria was set. An enhanced PROMETHEE-AHP model was used to perform pairwise comparison and find out the priority of each alternative because the existing decision making model have uncertainty and ambiguity. Comparison analysis of decision making models was carried out to find a way of suitable decision making and validity of PROMETHEE-AHP model was suggested.

Handling Incomplete Data Problem in Collaborative Filtering System

  • Noh, Hyun-ju;Kwak, Min-jung;Han, In-goo
    • Proceedings of the KAIS Fall Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.105-110
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    • 2003
  • Collaborative filtering is one of the methodologies that are most widely used for recommendation system. It is based on a data matrix of each customer's preferences of products. There could be a lot of missing values in such preference. data matrix. This incomplete data is one of the reasons to deteriorate the accuracy of recommendation system. Multiple imputation method imputes m values for each missing value. It overcomes flaws of single imputation approaches through considering the uncertainty of missing values.. The objective of this paper is to suggest multiple imputation-based collaborative filtering approach for recommendation system to improve the accuracy in prediction performance. The experimental works show that the proposed approach provides better performance than the traditional Collaborative filtering approach, especially in case that there are a lot of missing values in dataset used for recommendation system.

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Prospect Theory and Risk Preferences of Real Estate Development Companies (부동산 개발 및 공급 기업의 손익과 경영진의 위험 선호도)

  • Kim, Byungil;Kim, Won Tae;Chung, Do-Bum
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.83-88
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    • 2022
  • Companies make decisions with risks such as choosing an investment plan in order to pursue profits. This study explained the decision making of the management of construction companies in South Korea using the tendency to avoid losses in the Prospect Theory. To this end, 20-year financial data of 2,881 companies engaged in real estate development, which have to bear the greatest risk among the construction industry, were collected. The collected companies were roughly classified based on the reference point, and the causal relationship between average return on equity and risk preference by group was empirically analyzed through regression analysis. As a result, it was confirmed that if the average return on equity of a company decreases for the group above the reference point, it tends to select an investment plan with low uncertainty in order not to lose additional money. In addition, it was confirmed that if the average return on equity of a company decreases for the group below the reference point, it tends to select an investment plan with high uncertainty to move to the profit area. This result is exactly consistent with the loss aversion tendency of the Prospect Theory.

Understanding Personal and Cultural Factors on the Level of UCC Participation: Centered on Korea and U.S.A (UCC 사용자 참여수준과 개인적 및 문화적 특성 요인과의 관계 - 한국과 미국을 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Hyun-Ju;Kim, Yoo-Jung;Kang, So-Ra
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.216-232
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this paper is to examine the ethical implications in UCC participation. This paper aimed at examining the advent of UCC as a critical media tool in interactive two-way communication and the effect of ethical questions on the level of UCC participation. The findings show that uncertainty avoidance gives an positive and significant effect on privacy concern and regulatory preference, but it is not related to copyright invasion in Korea and U.S.A. It is shown that privacy concern does not influence on UCC retrieval in Korea whereas it is positively related to UCC retrieval in the United States. Also, privacy concern has not relationship with UCC production(modification, recreation, generation) in both nations. In the case of regulatory preference, it posits an significant and positive effect on UCC retrieval in Korea while it is not related to UCC retrieval in the United States. Also, regulatory preference does not affect on UCC production in Korea whereas it influences on UCC generation without impacting UCC modification and recreation in U.S.A. Finally, the results show that copyright invasion has stronger relationship with UCC recreation and generation than UCC modification, and it is positively related to UCC retrieval in both nations.