• Title/Summary/Keyword: predictive validity

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Validity of Expired Carbon Monoxide and Urine Cotinine Using Dipstick Method to Assess Smoking Status (호기 중 일산화탄소와 소변 코티닌 검사의 흡연상태 타당도 분석)

  • Park, Su-San;Lee, Ju-Yul;Cho, Sung-Il
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.40 no.4
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    • pp.297-304
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    • 2007
  • Objectives : We investigated the validity of the dipstick method (Mossman Associates Inc. USA) and the expired CO method to distinguish between smokers and non-smokers. We also elucidated the related factors of the two methods. Methods : This study included 244 smokers and 50 ex-smokers, recruited from smoking cessation clinics at 4 local public health centers, who had quit for over 4 weeks. We calculated the sensitivity, specificity and Kappa coefficient of each method for validity. We obtained ROC curve, predictive value and agreement to determine the cutoff of expired air CO method. Finally, we elucidated the related factors and compared their effect powers using the standardized regression coefficient. Results : The dipstick method showed a sensitivity of 92.6%, specificity of 96.0% and Kappa coefficient of 0.79. The best cutoff value to distinguish smokers was 5-6ppm. At 5 ppm, the expired CO method showed a sensitivity of 94.3%, specificity of 82.0% and Kappa coefficient of 0.73. And at 6 ppm, sensitivity, specificity and Kappa coefficient were 88.5%, 86.0% and 0.64, respectively. Therefore, the dipstick method had higher sensitivity and specificity than the expired CO method. The dipstick and expired CO methods were significantly increased with increasing smoking amount. With longer time since the last smoking, expired CO showed a rapid decrease after 4 hours, whereas the dipstick method showed relatively stable levels for more than 4 hours. Conclusions : The dipstick and expired CO methods were both good indicators for assessing smoking status. However, the former showed higher sensitivity and specificity and stable levels over longer hours after smoking, compared to the expired CO method.

A Study for the Long Term Behavior of Steel-Concrete Composite Structures (합성구조물의 장기거동에 관한 연구)

  • 김진근;어석홍;김윤용
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 1994.10a
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    • pp.325-330
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    • 1994
  • In this study, analytical methods for predicting the long term behavior of steel-concrete composite structures due to creep and shrinkage of concrete are investigated. For structural analysis considering long term behavior, the results are much dependent6 on the predictive models for creep and shrinkage of concrete which are ACI model, CEB-FIP model and BP model and the methods for the time analysis of structures which are AEMM, RCM and IDM. To demonstrate the validity of the program which was developed for this study, a steel-concrete composite column subjected to constant axial deformation was tested, and the experimental results wewe compared with analytical results. It was found that stresses are redistributed between concrete and wide flange steel, and analytical results by ACI model and IDM well predict the experimental data.

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Time-varying Cointegration Models and Exchange Rate Predictability in Korea

  • PARK, SOOKYUNG;PARK, CHEOLBEOM
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.1-20
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    • 2015
  • We examine the validity of popular exchange rate models such as the purchasing power parity (PPP) hypothesis and the monetary model for Korean won/US dollar exchange rate. Various specification tests demonstrate that Korean data are more favorable for both models based on time-varying cointegration coefficients as compared to those based on constant cointegration coefficients. When the abilities to predict future exchange rates between those models based on time-varying cointegration coefficients are compared, an in-sample analysis shows that the time-varying PPP (monetary model) has better predictive power over horizons shorter (longer) than one year. Results from an out-of-sample analysis indicate that the time-varying PPP outperforms models based on constant cointegration coefficients when predicting future exchange rate changes in the long run.

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Mobile shopping intentions: Do trustworthiness and culture Matter?

  • GARROUCH, Karim;TIMOULALI, ElHabib
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.18 no.11
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    • pp.69-77
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: This research aims to verify the role of mobile shopping attributes, trustworthiness, and cultural dimensions on mobile shopping intentions in Saudi Arabia. The originality of the model stems from the verification of the moderating impact of cultural variables, namely collectivism and masculinity, and from the integration of trustworthiness as a variable depending on mobile shopping attributes. Research design, data and methodology: A survey was distributed to 233 consumers with different nationalities living in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. Structural equation modeling and multi-group analysis were carried out to verify the conceptual model and the moderating variables. Results: The findings support the influence of several innovation attributes, namely complexity and trialability on behavioral intentions, while relative advantage has a direct impact on trustworthiness. A few paths are moderated by masculinity and collectivism. Conclusions: Culture and mobile commerce attributes need to be thought out by managers as factors influencing mobile commerce segmentation for expatriates and locals. Trustworthiness is also a key factor of mobile shopping adoption. Limitations and future research ideas are presented to enrich the proposed model and improve its predictive validity.

A Novel Control Scheme of Three-Phase PWM Rectifiers Eliminating AC-Side Sensors (교류측 센서를 제거한 3상 PWM 정류기의 새로운 제어)

  • 이동춘;이지명;임대식
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Power Electronics
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    • v.5 no.6
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    • pp.592-600
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, a novel control scheme of three-phase PWM rectifiers using only dc-side sensors is proposed. The phase currents are reconstructed from switching states of the rectifier and the dc output current. For effective current control, the currents are estimated by a predictive state observer. Also, both the phase angle and the magnitude of the source voltage are estimated by controlling the deviation between the model current and the system current to be zero. The validity of the proposed ac phase and current sensorless technique has been verified by experimental results.

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Circuit Modeling of Interdigitated Capacitors Fabricated by High-K LTCC Sheets

  • Kim, Kil-Han;Ahn, Min-Su;Kang, Jung-Han;Yun, Il-Gu
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.182-190
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    • 2006
  • The circuit modeling of interdigitated capacitors fabricated by high-k low-temperature co-fired ceramic (LTCC) sheets was investigated. The s-parameters of each test structure were measured from 50 MHz to 10 GHz, and the modeling was performed using these measured sparameters up to the first resonant frequency. Each test structure was divided into appropriate building blocks. The equivalent circuit of each building block was composed based on the partial element equivalent circuit (PEEC) method. Modeling was executed to optimize the parameters in the equivalent circuit of each building block. The validity of the extracted parameters was verified by the predictive modeling for the test structures with different geometry. After that, Monte Carlo analysis and sensitivity analysis were performed based on the extracted parameters. The modeling methodology can allow a device designer to improve the yield and to save time and cost for the design and manufacturing of devices.

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DC Appliance Safety Standards Guideline through Comparative Analysis of AC and DC Supplied Home Appliances

  • Ahn, Jung-Hoon;Kim, Dong-Hee;Lee, Byoung-Kuk;Jin, Hyun-Cheol;Shim, Jae-Sun
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.51-57
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    • 2012
  • This paper provides a safety guideline for DC supplied home appliances through the comparative analysis of existing safety guideline for AC supplied home appliances. For this purpose, a predictive DC home appliance model is suggested and in special international safety standards of AC appliances are also analyzed. Moreover, a DC distribution system is built to verify the validity of the proposed safety guideline. The detailed analyzing process is explained with help of informative experimental results.

Vector Control of an Induction Motor with Forced Commutated Cycloconverter (강제전류 싸이크로콘버터에 의한 유도전동기 벡터제어)

  • Gi Taek Kim
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics B
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    • v.32B no.9
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    • pp.1239-1246
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    • 1995
  • A forced commutated cycloconverter (FCC) is a direct ac-ac converter capable of providing simultaneous voltage and frequency transformations. In this paper, vector control of an induction motor controlling stator current with forced commutated cycloconverter is presented. The advantage of current control is that the stator dynamics are eliminated and high performance vector control can be achieved. A novel modulation method based on dq transformation techniques is presented. Proposed modulation strategy generates the low frequency modulation function by the instantaneous value of the desired output voltages not by the steady state values of output magnitude and output frequency. PI control and predictive control algorithm for current control are applied, and the validity of proposed method is confirmed through digital simulations. Simulation results of step response and torque distubance and current control are presented.

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The Parallel Operation of AC to DC PWM Converters for a High Speed Railway Train (고속전철용 입력 AC/DC PWM 컨버터의 병령운전)

  • Ryu, Hong-Je;U, Myeong-Ho;Kim, Jong-Su;Im, Geun-Hui;Won, Chung-Yeon
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers B
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    • v.49 no.4
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    • pp.272-281
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    • 2000
  • This paper deals with the parallel operation of several numbers of PWM converters for a high speed railway train application. Several considerations are made to reduce the transformer interaction which can cause a current control problem in severe case. Also, in this paper, novel control strategy is proposed to achieve a harmonic free primary-side current control under a light load condition using one current sensor independent of the number of converters. In addition, the modified predictive current controller, which is suitable to a digital current controller with a relatively large sampling period, is used. Finally, to verify the system validity, digital control system with TMS320C44 micro-processor and small scale simulator are made and tested.

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Quick and easy game bot detection based on action time interval estimation

  • Yong Goo Kang;Huy Kang Kim
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.45 no.4
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    • pp.713-723
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    • 2023
  • Game bots are illegal programs that facilitate account growth and goods acquisition through continuous and automatic play. Early detection is required to minimize the damage caused by evolving game bots. In this study, we propose a game bot detection method based on action time intervals (ATIs). We observe the actions of the bots in a game and identify the most frequently occurring actions. We extract the frequency, ATI average, and ATI standard deviation for each identified action, which is to used as machine learning features. Furthermore, we measure the performance using actual logs of the Aion game to verify the validity of the proposed method. The accuracy and precision of the proposed method are 97% and 100%, respectively. Results show that the game bots can be detected early because the proposed method performs well using only data from a single day, which shows similar performance with those proposed in a previous study using the same dataset. The detection performance of the model is maintained even after 2 months of training without any revision process.