• 유통과학연구
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• 제17권8호
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• pp.25-34
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• 2019

Purpose - Investigate the association of internal and external factors of consumers and analysing the role of moderating comparative marketing aspects, especially the part of YouTuber and celebgram in influencing purchase decisions. Apart from that, it provides an overview of the pattern of purchase decision making in forming Millennials and Y generation consumer culture Research design, data, and methodology - This study uses a quantitative research approach with descriptive, predictive, and prospective data analysis on 300 eligible Millennials and Y aged 20-35 years who are bachelor-educated. Data collection using online surveys with final statistical analysis using the Partial Least Square (PLS) approach Results - All hypothesis are declared accepted, indirect testing the dominant internal consumer factors have a positive and significant effect on consumers' purchase decisions. Through testing Moderating, aspect marketing comparative is also authoritative able to moderate internal consumer factors towards purchase decision making. Conclusions - Digital technology is changing the paradigm and perceptions of the millennials and Y generations in terms of behaving as a generation of technology connoisseurs who also influence and shape the culture of that generation and the generations to come in the future.

• Ocean Science Journal
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• 제42권2호
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• pp.69-79
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• 2007

A vertical transect with 4 km length was established for the macrofaunal survey on the Chokchon macrotidal flat in Kyeonggi Bay, Incheon, Korea, 1994. Tidal elevation (m) and sediment mean grain size $(\phi)$ were inversely predicted by the transfer functions from the faunal assemblages. Three methods: weighted average using optimum value (WA), tolerance weighted version of the weighted average (WAT) and maximum likelihood calibration (MLC) were employed. Estimates of tidal elevation and mean grain size obtained by using the three different methods showed positively corresponding trends with the observations. The estimates of MLC were found to have the minimum value of sum of squares due to errors (SSE). When applied to the previous data $(1990\sim1992)$, each of three inference models exhibited high predictive power. This result implied there are visible relationships between species composition and faunas' critical environmental factors. Although a potential significance of the two major abiotic factors was re-affirmed, a weak tendency of biological interaction was detected from faunal distribution patterns across the flat. In comparison to the spatial and temporal patterns of the estimates, it was suggested that sediment characteristics were the primary factors regulating the distribution of macrofaunal assemblages, rather than tidal elevation, and the species composition may be sensitively determined by minute changes in substratum properties on a tidal flat.

• 대한조선학회논문집
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• 제44권6호
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• pp.598-604
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• 2007

The purpose of this study is to establish the predictive method of welding distortion and residual stress for the channel I butt SA (submerged arc) weldment using FEA. In order to do it, the heat input model for the weldment was defined as the combined heat source with the surface heat flux of gaussian distribution and volumetric heat source uniformly distributed within weld groove by comparing the shapes of molten pool and temperature distribution obtained by FEA with those of experiments. The arc efficiency of SA welding for two-dimensional FE analysis was evaluated as 0.85. The welding distortion and residual stress of the weldment obtained by FEA and heat input model proposed have a good agreement with those obtained by experiment. Based on the results, it was suggested that the proper heat input model should be required to evaluate the welding distortion for weldment.

• 대한산업공학회지
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• 제26권3호
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• pp.193-199
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• 2000

In many studies, considerable attention has been focussed upon choosing a model which represents underlying process of time series and forecasting the future. In the real world, however, there may be some cases that one model can not reflect all the characteristics of original time series. Under such circumstances, we may get better performance by combining the forecasts from several models. The most popular methods for combining forecasts involve taking a weighted average of multiple forecasts. But the weights are usually unstable. In cases the assumptions of normality and unbiasedness for forecast errors are satisfied, a Bayesian method can be used for updating the weights. In the real world, however, there are many circumstances the Bayesian method is not appropriate. This paper proposes a PNN(Probabilistic Neural Net) approach as a method for combining forecasts that can be applied when the assumption of normality or unbiasedness for forecast errors is not satisfied. In this paper, PNN method, which is similar to Bayesian approach, is suggested as an updating method of the unstable weights in the combination of the forecasts. The PNN method has been usually used in the field of pattern recognition. Unlike the Bayesian approach, it requires no assumption of a specific prior distribution because it gets probabilities by using the distribution estimated from given data. Empirical results reveal that the PNN method offers superior predictive capabilities.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제27권4호
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• pp.555-561
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• 1995

이 논문에서는 영광 3호기와 같이 노심내 핵계장 장치를 갖고 있는 가압형 원자력 발전소용 노심출력 분포 감시프로그램의 개발에 수정형 Borresen 모형의 응용 타당성을 검토해 보았다 이를 위해 수정형 Borresen 방정식의 소격모형해를 핵계장장치의 측정치를 경계조건으로 하여 풀었으며, 이로부터 영광 3호기 첫주기 노심의 3차원 출력분포를 계산하였다. 그 결과는 현재 영광 3호기의 축방향 출력분포 감시프로그램으로 활용되고 있는 COLSS 예측치와 비교하였으며, 이를 통하여 수정형 Borresen 모형으로 제안한 방법이 COLSS보다 축방향 출력분포를 실제에 더 가깝게 모사할 수 있음을 보였다. 노심 출력거동에 대한 예측능력이 있고 또한 전산속도면에서의 이점이 있어서 제안된 수정형 Borresen 방법이 노심출력분포 감시프로그램 개발에 유용하게 활용될 수 있다고 결론을 내렸다.

• 한국전자통신학회논문지
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• 제17권4호
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• pp.641-648
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• 2022

본 연구에서는 지수 형태의 분포(Exponential Basic, Inverse Exponential, Lindley, Rayleigh) 특성을 갖는 NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰성 모형의 성능을 비교 분석하였고, 이를 근거로 최적의 신뢰성 모형도 함께 제시하였다. 소프트웨어 고장 현상을 분석하기 위하여 시스템 운영 중 수집된 고장 시간 데이터를 사용하였고, 모수 추정은 최우 추정 법을 적용하여 해결하였다. 다양한 비교 분석(평균제곱오차(MSE) 분석, 평균값 함수의 참값 예측력 분석, 강도 함수의 평가, 임무 시간을 적용한 신뢰도를 평가)을 통하여 Lindley 모형이 가장 우수한 성능을 가진 효율적인 모형임을 알 수 있었다. 본 연구를 통하여 기존 연구사례가 없는 지수 형태의 특성을 갖는 분포의 신뢰도 성능을 새롭게 파악하였고, 이를 통하여 소프트웨어 개발자들이 초기 단계에서 활용할 수 있는 기본적인 설계 데이터를 제시할 수 있었다.

• 대한임상독성학회지
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• 제20권2호
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• pp.45-50
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• 2022

Purpose: This study utilizes the NEDIS (National Emergency Department Information System) database to suggest a predictive model for snakebite and envenomation in Korea by analyzing the geographical distribution and seasonal variation of snakebite patients visiting the ER. Methods: This was a retrospective study on snakebite patients visiting the ER using the NEDIS database from January 2014 to December 2019. The subjects include patients with the KCD (Korea Standard Classification of Disease) disease code T63.0 (Toxic effect of contact with snake venom). Geographical location, patient gender, patient age, date of ER visit, treatment during the ER stay, and disposition were recorded to analyze the geographical distribution and seasonal variation of snakebite patients in Korea. Results: A total of 12,521 patients were evaluated in this study (7,170 males, 54.9%; 5,351 females, 40.9%). The average age was 58.5±17.5 years. In all, 7,644 patients were admitted with an average admission time of 5.04±4.7 days, and 2 patients expired while admitted. The geographical distribution was Gyeongsang 3,370 (26.9%), Cheonra 2,692 (21.5%), Chungcheong 2,667 (21.3%), Seoul Capital area 1,999 (16.0%), Kangwon 1,457 (11.6%), and Jeju 336 (2.7%). The seasonal variation showed insignificant incidences in winter and higher severity in spring and summer than in fall: winter 27 (0.2%), spring 2,268 (18.1%), summer 6,847 (54.7%), and fall 3,380 (27.0%). Conclusion: Patients presenting with snakebites and envenomation in the emergency room were most common in the Gyeongsang area and during summer. The simple seasonal model predicted that 436 snakebites and 438 envenomation cases occurred in July and August. The results of this study can be applied to suitably distribute and stock antivenom. Appropriate policies can be formed to care for snakebite patients in Korea.

• 대한물리의학회지
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• 제19권1호
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• pp.31-41
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• 2024

PURPOSE: This study examined the distribution dynamics and proposed determinants, including morphological measurements, clinical laboratory tests, and lifestyle factors among young Korean men aged 20 to 29 years with the coexistence of age-related loss of skeletal muscle mass and obesity (CALSMO). METHODS: Six hundred and sixty-six participants were divided into two groups based on their skeletal muscle mass index, with 12 individuals categorized in the CALSMO group and the remaining 654 in the normal group. The proposed determinants variables consisted of three main components: morphological measurements, clinical laboratory tests, and lifestyle factors. The morphological measurement variables were height, weight, body mass index, waist circumference, and skeletal muscle mass index. The clinical laboratory tests were fasting glucose, triglyceride, total cholesterol levels, and systolic and diastolic blood pressure. The lifestyle factors considered were alcohol consumption and tobacco use. Complex sampling analysis was performed for the evaluation. RESULTS: The distribution dynamics were determined to be 1.81(1.02-3.18) %. Morphological factors, such as height, weight, body mass index, waist circumference, and skeletal muscle mass index, showed significant differences (p < .05). The clinical laboratory test variables, specifically the fasting glucose, triglyceride, and total cholesterol levels, also exhibited significant differences (p < .05). The lifestyle factor, alcohol consumption, also showed a significance (p < .05). CONCLUSION: This study provides insights into the distribution dynamics. The proposed determinants in young Korean individuals with CALSMO are height, weight, body mass index, waist circumference, skeletal muscle mass index, fasting glucose, triglyceride, total cholesterol levels, and alcohol consumption.

• Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
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• 제2권3호
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• pp.206-215
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• 2015

기후변화에 따른 침입외래식물의 잠재적 분포지를 예측하는 것은 하천과 저수지에서 생물다양성 보전과 생태적 관리를 위하여 중요하고 해결해야 할 과제이다. 본 연구에서는 한반도에서 털물참새피 (Paspalum distichum var. indutum)의 잠재적 미래 분포에 미치는 기후변화의 영향을 파악하였다. 털물참새피는 담수생태계의 수변에서 심각한 경제적, 환경적 영향을 미치는 침입 초본식물이다. 현재와 미래의 기후에서 털물참새피의 잠재적 분포를 추정하기 위하여 Maxent 모델을 적용하였다. 기후변화의 영향을 파악하기 위하여 현재 기후 자료로서 Worldclim 1.4의 19개 기후 변수를 사용하였고, 미래의 기후 자료로서 RCP 2.6와 RCP 8.5 시나리오에 따라서 HadGEM2- AO에 의하여 예측된 기후 변수를 사용하였다. 예측된 털물참새피의 현재 잠재분포지는 실제 위치 자료와 거의 일치하였다. 이 식물의 잠재 분포에 영향을 미치는 환경 변수는 가장 따뜻한 분기의 강수량, 연평균기온 및 가장 추운 분기의 평균기온이었다. 2050년에 기후변화에 따른 털물참새피의 분포 예측에 의하면 이 식물의 현재 분포지에서는 기후 적합성이 대체로 감소하였고, 이 식물이 보다 내륙과 북쪽으로 분포지가 확대되었다. 본 연구에서 사용한 예측 모델은 잠재적 분포를 이해하고 분포 변화에 미치는 기후변화의 영향을 파악하며 외래식물에 의한 생물적 침입의 위해성을 효과적으로 관리하는데 유용할 것으로 기대된다.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제27권1호
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• pp.71-87
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• 2014

손해보험의 신뢰도이론에서 순보험료로 사용되는 베이즈보험료는 꼬리위험을 반영하지 못한다는 한계점이 있다. 본 논문에서는 꼬리위험측도를 이용하여 할증보험료를 결정하는데 있어 중요하다고 여겨지는 두 가지 주제를 다루었다. 첫째, 위험측도로부터 유도되는 안전할증은 내재된 담보의 위험을 보다 정확히 반영할 수 있으며, 동시에 베이즈보험료만을 사용할 경우 초래될 수 있는 잘못된 의사결정을 피할 수 있음을 보였다. 둘째, 동일한 사전분포가 주어지더라도 서로 다른 조건부손실분포의 꼬리위험 순위와 그에 상응하는 예측분포의 꼬리위험순위는 일반적으로 다를 수 있음을 모수적 모형에 기반하여 보였다. 따라서 안전할증은 조건부손실분포의 위험측도가 아니라 예측분포의 위험측도를 사용해야 함을 알 수 있다.