• Title/Summary/Keyword: prediction path

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CEOP Annual Enhanced Observing Period Starts

  • Koike, Toshio
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2002.10a
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    • pp.343-346
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    • 2002
  • Toward more accurate determination of the water cycle in association with climate variability and change as well as baseline data on the impacts of this variability on water resources, the Coordinated Enhanced Observing Period (CEOP) was launched on July 1,2001. The preliminary data period, EOP-1, was implemented from July to September in 2001. The first annual enhanced observing period, EOP-3, is going to start on October 1,2002. CEOP is seeking to achieve a database of common measurements from both in situ and satellite remote sensing, model output, and four-dimensional data analyses (4DDA; including global and regional reanalyses) for a specified period. In this context a number of carefully selected reference stations are linked closely with the existing network of observing sites involved in the GEWEX Continental Scale Experiments, which are distributed across the world. The initial step of CEOP is to develop a pilot global hydro-climatological dataset with global consistency under the climate variability that can be used to help validate satellite hydrology products and evaluate, develop and eventually predict water and energy cycle processes in global and regional models. Based on the dataset, we will address the studies on the inter-comparison and inter-connectivity of the monsoon systems and regional water and energy budget, and a path to down-scaling from the global climate to local water resources, as the second step.

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Development of typhoon forecasting system using satellite data

  • Ryu, Seung-Ah;Chung, Hyo-Sang;Lee, Yong-Seob;Suh, Ae-Sook
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 1999.11a
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    • pp.127-131
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    • 1999
  • Typhoons were known by contributing to transporting plus heat or kinetic energy from equatorial region to midlatitude region. Due to the strong damage from typhoon, we acknowledged the theoretical study and the importance of accurate forecast about typhoon. In this study, typhoon forecasting system was developed to search the tracks of past typhoons or to display similar track of past typhoon in comparison with the path of current forecasting typhoon. It was programmed using Interactive Data Language(IDL), which was a complete computing environment for the interactive analysis and visualization of data. Typhoon forecasting system was also included satellite image and auxiliary chart. IR, Water Vapor, Visible satellite images helped users analyze an accurate forecast of typhoon. They were further refined the procedures for generating water vapor winds and gave an initial indication of their utility for numerical weather prediction(NWP), in particular for typhoon track forecasting where they could provide important information. They were also available for its utility in typhoon tracer or intensity.

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Prediction of Transmission Loss Due to Rain Scattering (강우산란에 의한 전송손실 예측)

  • 이점수;양승인
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Electromagnetic Engineering and Science
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.310-317
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    • 1997
  • Due to the congestion of the radio spectrum, frequency bands are shared among the communication systems. Therefore for the satisfactory operation we have to predict with reasonable accuracy the levels of interference that might exist among them. Inter- ference among the communication systems depends on many factors such as climate, radio frequency, time percentage of interest, distance and path topography. Interference due to rain scattering is the most important factorin Ghz frequencies. ITU-R offers the model related to interference due to rain scattering. In this paper the transmission loss due to rain scattering is predicted and compared with the measured results.

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A Study on the Noise Reduction of Compartment of Vehicle Using Sensitivity Analysis of Engine Exciting Force (엔진 가진력의 감도해석을 이용한 차실 소음 저감에 관한 연구)

  • 오재응;김태욱;송재은;이해승
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.171-178
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    • 1997
  • Vehicle interior noise has become increasingly important in this recent years. The noise of a vehicle is one of the important problems in a vehicle design. The interior noise is caused by various vibration sources of vehicle compartment. The booming noise of a vehicle can be significantly affected by vibrations transmitted from engine excitation forces to the vehicle body. Specially, we are interested in the state of transmission paths such as engine mounts to reduce noise in a vehicle compartment. In this paper, we have been calculated the contribution of each transmission path such as engine mounts to interior noise. To identify contribution of each input sources and transmission paths to output, the effectiveness of each input component to output is calculated. Sensitivity analysis is carried out for investigation of contribution to output due to input variations. With the simulation of magnitude and phase change of inputs using vector synthesis diagram, the trends of synthesized output vector are obtained. As a result, we suggested sensitivity analysis of vector synthesis as a technique of prediction and control for noise in a vehicle compartment.

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Bit Error Probability of Noncoherent M-ary Orthogonal Modulation over Generalized Fading Channels

  • Simon, Marvin K.;Alouini, Mohamed-Slim
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.111-117
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    • 1999
  • Using a method recently reported in the literature for analyzing the bit error probability (BEP) performance of noncoherent Mary orthogonal signals with square-law combining in the presence of independent and identically distributed Nakagami-m faded paths, we are able to reformulate this method so as to apply to a generalized fading channel in which the fading in each path need not be identically distributed nor even distributed ac-cording to the same family of distribution. The method leads to exact expressions for the BEP in the form of a finite-range integral whose integrand involves the moment generating function of the combined signal-to-noise ratio and which can therefore be readily evaluated numerically. The mathematical formalism is illustrated by applying the method to some selected numerical examples of interest showing the impact of the multipath intensity profile (MIP) as well as the fading correlation profile (FCP) on the BEP performance of M-ary orthogonal signal over Nakagami-m fading channels. Thses numerical results show that both MIP and FCP induce a non-negligible degradition in the BEP and have therefore to be taken into account for the accurate prediction of the performance of such systems.

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Evaluating Unsaturated Hydraulic Properties of Compacted Geomaterials in Road Foundations (II) : Numerical Analysis (다져진 도로기초 재료의 불포화투수특성 평가 (II) : 수치해석)

  • Sung, Yeol-Jung;Park, Seong-Wan
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.31 no.1D
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    • pp.83-90
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    • 2011
  • A need still exists that the unsaturated condition is to be considered when evaluating the infiltration and drainage capacity for compacted geomaterials in road foundation or embankments. For this reason, numerical analysis were used to analyze the time-dependent unsaturated infiltration and drainage condition depending on various geomaterial types. Therefore, laboratory data from the soil-water characteristic curve tests on geomaterials were adopted from previous studies. In addition, the unsaturated permeability was estimated using SWCC. Then the infiltration and drainage performance of unsaturated compacted soils were evaluated under various conditions based on the proposed method. The results demonstrated that the effect of initial suction and SWCC path on each material could be substantial and the proper application on analysis is very important to enhance the prediction on each capacity.

Fatigue Crack Initiation and Propagation From Two Micro Hole Defects (두개의 미소원공결함에서의 피로크랙발생과 전파에 관한 연구)

  • Song, Sam-Hong;Bae, Joon-Soo
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.842-849
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    • 1997
  • The aim of this study is an investigation of the interaction of two micro hole defects affecting fatigue crack initation life and propagation behavior. The locatio of two micro hole defects was considered as an angle of alignment and the distance between the centers of two micro hole defects. The fatigue cracking behavior is experimented under bending. When micro defects are located close to each other, the fatigue crack initiation lives are varied with their relative locations. In the experiments, the area of local plastic strain strongly played a role in the fatigue crack initiation lives. Therefore we introduce a parameter which contains the plastic deformation area at stress concentrations and propose a fatigue crack initiation life prediction curve. In addition, the directions and propagation rates of fatigue cracks initiated at two micro hole defects are studied experimentally.

Structural Analysis among Science Achievement, Science Process Skills and Affective Perception toward Science of High School Students. (고등학생들의 과학에 대한 정의적 언식과 과학 탐구능력 및 과학 학습성취도의 구조분석)

  • Lee, Jae-Chon;Kim, Beorn-Ki
    • Journal of The Korean Association For Science Education
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.249-259
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    • 1996
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze relationships among science achievement, science process skills and affective perception of high school students. The affective perception was included attitude toward science and science anxiety in the study. The instruments were developed HARS and SAMS for this study. The subject was sampled 1,115 students by stratified cluster sampling method. The major findings of this study were as follows: The tendency to affective perception was investigated according to students variables. Atittude toward science was showed a negative perception on female than male, in rural area than city. Science anxiety was percepted highly on female than male, in rural area than city. Attitude toward science showed positive relations to science process skills, science achievement, but which showed negative relation to science anxiety. Science anxiety showed negative relations among science process skills, science achievement and attitude toward science. Structural relationships among affective perception, science process skills and science achievement were analyzed by effect size through the path analysis on the independent and dependent variables. By the results, it was indicated that there have significant direct effect not only affective perception influence on science achievement but also on science process skills in hypothesized model. Prediction of science achievement and science process skills were clarified to characteristics of the affective perception.Therefore, understanding about affective perception will be helpful to make the strategy of science teaching

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Various Techniques for Improving of the Reliability of the Wireless Network Design/Optimization Simulation Tool (무선망 설계/최적화 시뮬레이션 툴 의 다양한 신뢰도 향상 기법)

  • Jeon Hyun-Cheol;Ryu Jae-Hyun;Park Sang-Jin;Park Joo-Yeoul;Kim Jung-Chul
    • 한국정보통신설비학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2006.08a
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    • pp.39-42
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    • 2006
  • There are various analysis functions(including prediction of path loss, analyzing of capacity and coverage, etc.) of simulation tool to design and optimize the mobile communication network. Its reliability absolutely effects the performance of mobile communication network. Especially as the wireless network highly advancing focused on data service, it more needs to research and develop on the standard establishment of reliability of the simulation tool. Also it is important the systematic research how to improve the reliability of simulation tool. In this paper, to give the concrete process and skill about how to improve reliability, we define the kinds of reliability at first. And then we explain the comparison results between real field measurement data and theoretic simulation data.

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Prediction of a research vessel manoeuvring using numerical PMM and free running tests

  • Tiwari, Kunal;Hariharan, K.;Rameesha, T.V.;Krishnankutty, P.
    • Ocean Systems Engineering
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.333-357
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    • 2020
  • International Maritime Organisation (IMO) regulations insist on reduced emission of CO2, noxious and other environmentally dangerous gases from ship, which are usually let out while burning fossil fuel for running its propulsive machinery. Contrallability of ship during sailing has a direct implication on its course keeping and changing ability, and tries to have an optimised routing. Bad coursekeeping ability of a ship may lead to frequent use of rudder and resulting changes in the ship's drift angle. Consequently, it increases vessels resistance and also may lead to longer path for its journey due to zigzag movements. These adverse effects on the ship journey obviously lead to the increase in fuel consumption and higher emission. Hence, IMO has made it mandatory to evaluate the manoeuvring qualities of a ship at the designed stage itself. In this paper a numerical horizontal planar motion mechanism is simulated in CFD environment and from the force history, the hydrodynamic derivatives appearing in the manoeuvring equation of motion of a ship are estimated. These derivatives along with propeller thrust and rudder effects are used to simulate different standard manoeuvres of the vessel and check its parameters against the IMO requirements. The present study also simulates these manoeuvres by using numerical free running model for the same ship. The results obtained from both these studies are presented and discussed here.