• Title/Summary/Keyword: prediction method

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Improvements on Phrase Breaks Prediction Using CRF (Conditional Random Fields) (CRF를 이용한 운율경계추성 성능개선)

  • Kim Seung-Won;Lee Geun-Bae;Kim Byeong-Chang
    • MALSORI
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    • no.57
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    • pp.139-152
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, we present a phrase break prediction method using CRF(Conditional Random Fields), which has good performance at classification problems. The phrase break prediction problem was mapped into a classification problem in our research. We trained the CRF using the various linguistic features which was extracted from POS(Part Of Speech) tag, lexicon, length of word, and location of word in the sentences. Combined linguistic features were used in the experiments, and we could collect some linguistic features which generate good performance in the phrase break prediction. From the results of experiments, we can see that the proposed method shows improved performance on previous methods. Additionally, because the linguistic features are independent of each other in our research, the proposed method has higher flexibility than other methods.

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A Study on Flood Prediction without Rainfall Data (강우 데이터를 쓰지 않는 홍수예측법에 관한 연구)

  • 김치홍
    • Journal of the Korean Professional Engineers Association
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.1-5
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    • 1985
  • In the flood prediction research, it is pointed out that the difficulty of flood prediction is the frequently experienced overestimation of flood peak. That is caused by the rainfall prediction difficulty and the nonlinearity of hydrological phenomena. Even though the former reason will remain still unsolved, but the latter one can be possibly resolved the method of the AMRA (Auto Regressive Moving Average) model for each runoff component as developed by Dr. Hino and Dr. Hasebe. The principle of the method consists of separating though the numerical filters the total runoff time series into long-term, intermediate and short-term components, or ground water flow, interflow, and surface flow components. As a total system, a hydrological system is a non-linear one. However, once it is separated into two or three subsystems, each subsystem may be treated as a linear system. Also the rainfall components into each subsystem a estimated inversely from the runoff component which is separated from the observed flood. That is why flood prediction can be done without rainfall data. In the prediction of surface flow, the Kalman filter will be applicable but this paper shows only impulse function method.

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Severity-based Software Quality Prediction using Class Imbalanced Data

  • Hong, Euy-Seok;Park, Mi-Kyeong
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.73-80
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    • 2016
  • Most fault prediction models have class imbalance problems because training data usually contains much more non-fault class modules than fault class ones. This imbalanced distribution makes it difficult for the models to learn the minor class module data. Data imbalance is much higher when severity-based fault prediction is used. This is because high severity fault modules is a smaller subset of the fault modules. In this paper, we propose severity-based models to solve these problems using the three sampling methods, Resample, SpreadSubSample and SMOTE. Empirical results show that Resample method has typical over-fit problems, and SpreadSubSample method cannot enhance the prediction performance of the models. Unlike two methods, SMOTE method shows good performance in terms of AUC and FNR values. Especially J48 decision tree model using SMOTE outperforms other prediction models.

Residual DPCM in HEVC Transform Skip Mode for Screen Content Coding

  • Han, Chan-Hee;Lee, Si-Woong;Choi, Haechul
    • IEIE Transactions on Smart Processing and Computing
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    • v.5 no.5
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    • pp.323-326
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    • 2016
  • High Efficiency Video Coding (HEVC) adopts intra transform skip mode, in which a residual block is directly quantized in the pixel domain without transforming the block into the frequency domain. Intra transform skip mode provides a significant coding gain for screen content. However, when intra-prediction errors are not transformed, the errors are often correlated along the intra-prediction direction. This paper introduces a residual differential pulse code modulation (DPCM) method for the intra-predicted and transform-skipped blocks to remove redundancy. The proposed method performs pixel-by-pixel residual prediction along the intra-prediction direction to reduce the dynamic range of intra-prediction errors. Experimental results show that the transform skip mode's Bjøntegaard delta rate (BD-rate) is improved by 12.8% for vertically intra-predicted blocks. Overall, the proposed method shows an average 1.2% reduction in BD-rate, relative to HEVC, with negligible computational complexity.

Prediction model of service life for tunnel structures in carbonation environments by genetic programming

  • Gao, Wei;Chen, Dongliang
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.373-389
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    • 2019
  • It is important to study the problem of durability for tunnel structures. As a main influence on the durability of tunnel structures, carbonation-induced corrosion is studied. For the complicated environment of tunnel structures, based on the data samples from real engineering examples, the intelligent method (genetic programming) is used to construct the service life prediction model of tunnel structures. Based on the model, the prediction of service life for tunnel structures in carbonation environments is studied. Using the data samples from some tunnel engineering examples in China under carbonation environment, the proposed method is verified. In addition, the performance of the proposed prediction model is compared with that of the artificial neural network method. Finally, the effect of two main controlling parameters, the population size and sample size, on the performance of the prediction model by genetic programming is analyzed in detail.

Performance Evaluation of a Feature-Importance-based Feature Selection Method for Time Series Prediction

  • Hyun, Ahn
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.82-89
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    • 2023
  • Various machine-learning models may yield high predictive power for massive time series for time series prediction. However, these models are prone to instability in terms of computational cost because of the high dimensionality of the feature space and nonoptimized hyperparameter settings. Considering the potential risk that model training with a high-dimensional feature set can be time-consuming, we evaluate a feature-importance-based feature selection method to derive a tradeoff between predictive power and computational cost for time series prediction. We used two machine learning techniques for performance evaluation to generate prediction models from a retail sales dataset. First, we ranked the features using impurity- and Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanations (LIME) -based feature importance measures in the prediction models. Then, the recursive feature elimination method was applied to eliminate unimportant features sequentially. Consequently, we obtained a subset of features that could lead to reduced model training time while preserving acceptable model performance.

Prediction Method of Settlement Based on Field Monitoring Data for Soft Ground Under Preloading Improvement with Ramp Loading (점증 선행 하중으로 개량하는 연약지반의 계측기반 침하량 예측방법 개발)

  • Woo, Sang-Inn;Yune, Chan-Young;Baek, Seung-Kyung;Chung, Choong-Ki
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.24 no.10
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    • pp.83-91
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    • 2008
  • Previous settlement prediction methods based on settlement monitoring were developed under instantaneous loading condition and have restriction to be applied to soft ground under ramp loading condition. In this study, settlement prediction method under ramp loading was developed. New settlement prediction method under ramp loading considered influence factors of consolidation settlement such as thickness of clayed layer, quantity of surcharge load and preconsolidation pressure, etc. Geometrical correction method based on hyperbolic method (1991) and correction method based on probability theory were applied to increase accuracy of settlement prediction using field monitoring data after ramp loading. Large consolidation tests for ideally controlled one dimensional consolidation under ramp loading condition were performed and the settlement behavior was predicted based on the monitoring data. New prediction method yielded good result of entire settlement behavior by using data during an early stage of ramp load. Additionally, new prediction method offered better settlement prediction which had final settlement prediction in close proximity and low RMSE(Root Mean Square Error) than previous method such as hyperbolic method did.

Predictive Coding Methods in DCT Domain for Image Data Compression (영상 압축 부호화를 위한 DCT영역에서의 예측 부호화 방법)

  • Lee, Sang-Hee;Kim, Jae-Kyoon
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics S
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    • v.35S no.8
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    • pp.86-95
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    • 1998
  • Intra-frame video compression, which cannot make use of temporal predictions, requires much higher bit rates compared with inter-frame schemes. In order to reduce bit rates, intra-frame predictive coding methods in DCT domain have been studied especially within the framework of the MPEG-4 video coding standard currently being developed. In this paper, we propose novel intra-frame predictive coding methods in DCT domain with the marginal complexity increase over the conventional methods . The proposed methods consist of a DC coefficient prediction method and two AC coefficient prediction methods. The proposed methods consist of a DC coefficient prediction method and two AC coefficient prediction methods. The proposed DC coefficient prediction method makes it possible to adaptively select the prediction directions without overhead bits, by comparing gradients of DC coefficients from neighboring blocks. As the AC coefficient prediction methods, first, we present an effective method which can improve the prediction directions of the MPEG-4 scheme by considering the DC coefficient of the current block to be coded. And, we present another effective method that decision on the prediction is carried out for each AC coefficient. Simulation results show that substantial bit savings can be achieved by the proposed methods.

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A Smoothing Method for Stock Price Prediction with Hidden Markov Models

  • Lee, Soon-Ho;Oh, Chang-Hyuck
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.945-953
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, we propose a smoothing and thus noise-reducing method of data sequences for stock price prediction with hidden Markov models, HMMs. The suggested method just uses simple moving average. A proper average size is obtained from forecasting experiments with stock prices of bank sector of Korean Exchange. Forecasting method with HMM and moving average smoothing is compared with a conventional method.

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A Study on Modified Linear Prediction Method to Improve Target Estimation (목표물 추정 향상을 위한 수정 선형 예측방법에 대한 연구)

  • Lee, Kwan-Hyeong;Joo, Jong-Hyuk
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.337-342
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, we studied a modified linear prediction method to estimate target signal correctly. Linear prediction method estimate direction-of-arrival to linear combination for any antenna element and other antenna elements. Modified linear prediction used optimal weight and posterior probability method. Through simulation, we are comparative analysis about the performance of proposed, bartlett and MUSIC method. From simulation, Bartlett and MUSIC method was estimation 3 targets signal, and proposed method estimated 4 targets. We showed the superior performance of the proposed algorithm relative to the classical method in order to estimate of target signals.