• Title/Summary/Keyword: prediction intelligence

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Stock prediction analysis through artificial intelligence using big data (빅데이터를 활용한 인공지능 주식 예측 분석)

  • Choi, Hun
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.25 no.10
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    • pp.1435-1440
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    • 2021
  • With the advent of the low interest rate era, many investors are flocking to the stock market. In the past stock market, people invested in stocks labor-intensively through company analysis and their own investment techniques. However, in recent years, stock investment using artificial intelligence and data has been widely used. The success rate of stock prediction through artificial intelligence is currently not high, so various artificial intelligence models are trying to increase the stock prediction rate. In this study, we will look at various artificial intelligence models and examine the pros and cons and prediction rates between each model. This study investigated as stock prediction programs using artificial intelligence artificial neural network (ANN), deep learning or hierarchical learning (DNN), k-nearest neighbor algorithm(k-NN), convolutional neural network (CNN), recurrent neural network (RNN), and LSTMs.

Joint streaming model for backchannel prediction and automatic speech recognition

  • Yong-Seok Choi;Jeong-Uk Bang;Seung Hi Kim
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.46 no.1
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    • pp.118-126
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    • 2024
  • In human conversations, listeners often utilize brief backchannels such as "uh-huh" or "yeah." Timely backchannels are crucial to understanding and increasing trust among conversational partners. In human-machine conversation systems, users can engage in natural conversations when a conversational agent generates backchannels like a human listener. We propose a method that simultaneously predicts backchannels and recognizes speech in real time. We use a streaming transformer and adopt multitask learning for concurrent backchannel prediction and speech recognition. The experimental results demonstrate the superior performance of our method compared with previous works while maintaining a similar single-task speech recognition performance. Owing to the extremely imbalanced training data distribution, the single-task backchannel prediction model fails to predict any of the backchannel categories, and the proposed multitask approach substantially enhances the backchannel prediction performance. Notably, in the streaming prediction scenario, the performance of backchannel prediction improves by up to 18.7% compared with existing methods.

Comparative Analysis of Diagnostic Prediction Algorithm Performance for Blood Cancer Factor Validation and Classification (혈액암 인자 유효성 검증과 분류를 위한 진단 예측 알고리즘 성능 비교 분석)

  • Jeong, Jae-Seung;Ju, Hyunsu;Cho, Chi-Hyun
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.25 no.10
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    • pp.1512-1523
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    • 2022
  • Artificial intelligence application in digital health care has been increasing with its development of artificial intelligence. The convergence of the healthcare industry and information and communication technology makes the diagnosis of diseases more simple and comprehensible. From the perspective of medical services, its practice as an initial test and a reference indicator may become widely applicable. Therefore, analyzing the factors that are the basis for existing diagnosis protocols also helps suggest directions using artificial intelligence beyond previous regression and statistical analyses. This paper conducts essential diagnostic prediction learning based on the analysis of blood cancer factors reported previously. Blood cancer diagnosis predictions based on artificial intelligence contribute to successfully achieve more than 90% accuracy and validation of blood cancer factors as an alternative auxiliary approach.

An Integrated Artificial Neural Network-based Precipitation Revision Model

  • Li, Tao;Xu, Wenduo;Wang, Li Na;Li, Ningpeng;Ren, Yongjun;Xia, Jinyue
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.1690-1707
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    • 2021
  • Precipitation prediction during flood season has been a key task of climate prediction for a long time. This type of prediction is linked with the national economy and people's livelihood, and is also one of the difficult problems in climatology. At present, there are some precipitation forecast models for the flood season, but there are also some deviations from these models, which makes it difficult to forecast accurately. In this paper, based on the measured precipitation data from the flood season from 1993 to 2019 and the precipitation return data of CWRF, ANN cycle modeling and a weighted integration method is used to correct the CWRF used in today's operational systems. The MAE and TCC of the precipitation forecast in the flood season are used to check the prediction performance of the proposed algorithm model. The results demonstrate a good correction effect for the proposed algorithm. In particular, the MAE error of the new algorithm is reduced by about 50%, while the time correlation TCC is improved by about 40%. Therefore, both the generalization of the correction results and the prediction performance are improved.

Proposal of An Artificial Intelligence based Temperature Prediction Algorithm for Efficient Agricultural Activities -Focusing on Gyeonggi-do Farm House-

  • Jang, Eun-Jin;Shin, Seung-Jung
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.104-109
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    • 2021
  • In the aftermath of the global pandemic that started in 2019, there have been many changes in the import/export and supply/demand process of agricultural products in each country. Amid these changes, the necessity and importance of each country's food self-sufficiency rate is increasing. There are several conditions that must accompany efficient agricultural activities, but among them, temperature is by far one of the most important conditions. For this reason, the need for high-accuracy climate data for stable agricultural activities is increasing, and various studies on climate prediction are being conducted in Korea, but data that can visually confirm climate prediction data for farmers are insufficient. Therefore, in this paper, we propose an artificial intelligence-based temperature prediction algorithm that can predict future temperature information by collecting and analyzing temperature data of farms in Gyeonggi-do in Korea for the last 10 years. If this algorithm is used, it is expected that it can be used as an auxiliary data for agricultural activities.

Development of Big Data-based Cardiovascular Disease Prediction Analysis Algorithm

  • Kyung-A KIM;Dong-Hun HAN;Myung-Ae CHUNG
    • Korean Journal of Artificial Intelligence
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.29-34
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    • 2023
  • Recently, the rapid development of artificial intelligence technology, many studies are being conducted to predict the risk of heart disease in order to lower the mortality rate of cardiovascular diseases worldwide. This study presents exercise or dietary improvement contents in the form of a software app or web to patients with cardiovascular disease, and cardiovascular disease through digital devices such as mobile phones and PCs. LR, LDA, SVM, XGBoost for the purpose of developing "Life style Improvement Contents (Digital Therapy)" for cardiovascular disease care to help with management or treatment We compared and analyzed cardiovascular disease prediction models using machine learning algorithms. Research Results XGBoost. The algorithm model showed the best predictive model performance with overall accuracy of 80% before and after. Overall, accuracy was 80.0%, F1 Score was 0.77~0.79, and ROC-AUC was 80%~84%, resulting in predictive model performance. Therefore, it was found that the algorithm used in this study can be used as a reference model necessary to verify the validity and accuracy of cardiovascular disease prediction. A cardiovascular disease prediction analysis algorithm that can enter accurate biometric data collected in future clinical trials, add lifestyle management (exercise, eating habits, etc.) elements, and verify the effect and efficacy on cardiovascular-related bio-signals and disease risk. development, ultimately suggesting that it is possible to develop lifestyle improvement contents (Digital Therapy).

Comparison of Models for Stock Price Prediction Based on Keyword Search Volume According to the Social Acceptance of Artificial Intelligence (인공지능의 사회적 수용도에 따른 키워드 검색량 기반 주가예측모형 비교연구)

  • Cho, Yujung;Sohn, Kwonsang;Kwon, Ohbyung
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.103-128
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    • 2021
  • Recently, investors' interest and the influence of stock-related information dissemination are being considered as significant factors that explain stock returns and volume. Besides, companies that develop, distribute, or utilize innovative new technologies such as artificial intelligence have a problem that it is difficult to accurately predict a company's future stock returns and volatility due to macro-environment and market uncertainty. Market uncertainty is recognized as an obstacle to the activation and spread of artificial intelligence technology, so research is needed to mitigate this. Hence, the purpose of this study is to propose a machine learning model that predicts the volatility of a company's stock price by using the internet search volume of artificial intelligence-related technology keywords as a measure of the interest of investors. To this end, for predicting the stock market, we using the VAR(Vector Auto Regression) and deep neural network LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory). And the stock price prediction performance using keyword search volume is compared according to the technology's social acceptance stage. In addition, we also conduct the analysis of sub-technology of artificial intelligence technology to examine the change in the search volume of detailed technology keywords according to the technology acceptance stage and the effect of interest in specific technology on the stock market forecast. To this end, in this study, the words artificial intelligence, deep learning, machine learning were selected as keywords. Next, we investigated how many keywords each week appeared in online documents for five years from January 1, 2015, to December 31, 2019. The stock price and transaction volume data of KOSDAQ listed companies were also collected and used for analysis. As a result, we found that the keyword search volume for artificial intelligence technology increased as the social acceptance of artificial intelligence technology increased. In particular, starting from AlphaGo Shock, the keyword search volume for artificial intelligence itself and detailed technologies such as machine learning and deep learning appeared to increase. Also, the keyword search volume for artificial intelligence technology increases as the social acceptance stage progresses. It showed high accuracy, and it was confirmed that the acceptance stages showing the best prediction performance were different for each keyword. As a result of stock price prediction based on keyword search volume for each social acceptance stage of artificial intelligence technologies classified in this study, the awareness stage's prediction accuracy was found to be the highest. The prediction accuracy was different according to the keywords used in the stock price prediction model for each social acceptance stage. Therefore, when constructing a stock price prediction model using technology keywords, it is necessary to consider social acceptance of the technology and sub-technology classification. The results of this study provide the following implications. First, to predict the return on investment for companies based on innovative technology, it is most important to capture the recognition stage in which public interest rapidly increases in social acceptance of the technology. Second, the change in keyword search volume and the accuracy of the prediction model varies according to the social acceptance of technology should be considered in developing a Decision Support System for investment such as the big data-based Robo-advisor recently introduced by the financial sector.

A Study on Crime Prediction to Reduce Crime Rate Based on Artificial Intelligence

  • KIM, Kyoung-Sook;JEONG, Yeong-Hoon
    • Korean Journal of Artificial Intelligence
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.15-20
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    • 2021
  • This paper was conducted to prevent and respond to crimes by predicting crimes based on artificial intelligence. While the quality of life is improving with the recent development of science and technology, various problems such as poverty, unemployment, and crime occur. Among them, in the case of crime problems, the importance of crime prediction increases as they become more intelligent, advanced, and diversified. For all crimes, it is more critical to predict and prevent crimes in advance than to deal with them well after they occur. Therefore, in this paper, we predicted crime types and crime tools using the Multiclass Logistic Regression algorithm and Multiclass Neural Network algorithm of machine learning. Multiclass Logistic Regression algorithm showed higher accuracy, precision, and recall for analysis and prediction than Multiclass Neural Network algorithm. Through these analysis results, it is expected to contribute to a more pleasant and safe life by implementing a crime prediction system that predicts and prevents various crimes. Through further research, this researcher plans to create a model that predicts the probability of a criminal committing a crime again according to the type of offense and deploy it to a web service.

Application and evaluation for effluent water quality prediction using artificial intelligence model (방류수질 예측을 위한 AI 모델 적용 및 평가)

  • Mincheol Kim;Youngho Park;Kwangtae You;Jongrack Kim
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2024
  • Occurrence of process environment changes, such as influent load variances and process condition changes, can reduce treatment efficiency, increasing effluent water quality. In order to prevent exceeding effluent standards, it is necessary to manage effluent water quality based on process operation data including influent and process condition before exceeding occur. Accordingly, the development of the effluent water quality prediction system and the application of technology to wastewater treatment processes are getting attention. Therefore, in this study, through the multi-channel measuring instruments in the bio-reactor and smart multi-item water quality sensors (location in bio-reactor influent/effluent) were installed in The Seonam water recycling center #2 treatment plant series 3, it was collected water quality data centering around COD, T-N. Using the collected data, the artificial intelligence-based effluent quality prediction model was developed, and relative errors were compared with effluent TMS measurement data. Through relative error comparison, the applicability of the artificial intelligence-based effluent water quality prediction model in wastewater treatment process was reviewed.

Study for Enhanced Train Control System with Intelligent Full Prediction System (지능형열차도착예상정보 시스템을 이용한 열차제어 시스템의 성능향상에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Yun-Bae;Yoon, Ho-Seok
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.1375-1381
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    • 2007
  • Optimization system for convergence point control is required for train control system, this paper introduces the way of enhanced optimization for convergence point with data of intelligence full prediction system. Also the result of the intelligence full prediction system is useful for train control system at the convergence point and passenger will take more accurate information from the prediction system.

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