• Title/Summary/Keyword: prediction error ratio

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Optimal Solution of Classification (Prediction) Problem

  • Mohammad S. Khrisat
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.23 no.9
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    • pp.129-133
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    • 2023
  • Classification or prediction problem is how to solve it using a specific feature to obtain the predicted class. A wheat seeds specifications 4 3 classes of seeds will be used in a prediction process. A multi linear regression will be built, and a prediction error ratio will be calculated. To enhance the prediction ratio an ANN model will be built and trained. The obtained results will be examined to show how to make a prediction tool capable to compute a predicted class number very close to the target class number.

Adaptive noise cancellation algorithm reducing path misadjustment due to speech signal (음성신호로 인한 잡음전달경로의 오조정을 감소시킨 적응잡음제거 알고리듬)

  • 박장식;김형순;김재호;손경식
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.1172-1179
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    • 1996
  • General adaptive noise canceller(ANC) suffers from the misadjustment of adaptive filter weights, because of the gradient-estimate noise at steady state. In this paper, an adaptive noise cancellation algorithm with speech detector which is distinguishing speech from silence and adaptation-transient region is proposed. The speech detector uses property of adaptive prediction-error filter which can filter the highly correlated speech. To detect speech region, estimation error which is the output of the adaptive filter is applied to the adaptive prediction-error filter. When speech signal apears at the input of the adaptive prediction-error filter. The ratio of input and output energy of adaptive prediction-error filter becomes relatively lower. The ratio becomes large when the white noise appears at the input. So the region of speech is detected by the ratio. Sign algorithm is applied at speech region to prevent the weights from perturbing by output speech of ANC. As results of computer simulation, the proposed algorithm improves segmental SNR and SNR up to about 4 dBand 11 dB, respectively.

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Quantification of Acoustic Pressure Estimation Error due to Sensor and Position Mismatch in Planar Acoustic Holography (평면 음향 홀로그래피에서 센서간 특성 차이와 측정 위치의 부정확성에 의한 음압 추정 오차의 정량화)

  • 남경욱;김양한
    • Journal of KSNVE
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    • v.8 no.6
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    • pp.1023-1029
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    • 1998
  • When one attempts to construct a hologram. one finds that there are many sources of measurement errors. These errors are even amplified if one predicts the pressures close to the sources. The pressure estimation errors depend on the following parameters: the measurement spacing on the hologram plane. the prediction spacing on the prediction plane. and the distance between the hologram and the prediction plane. This raper analyzes quantitatively the errors when these are distributed irregularly on the hologram plane The sensor mismatch and inaccurate measurement location. position mismatch. are mainly addressed. In these cases. one can assume that the measurement is a sample of many measurement events. The bias and random error are derived theoretically. Then the relationship between the random error amplification ratio and the parameters mentioned above is examined quantitatively in terms of energy.

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Quantification of Acoustic Pressure Estimation Error due to Sensor Position Mismatch in Spherical Acoustic Holography (구형 음향 홀로그래피에서 측정위치 부정확성에 의한 음압 추정 오차의 정량화)

  • Lee, Seung-Ha;Kim, Yang-Hann
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.1325-1328
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    • 2007
  • When we visualize the sound field radiated from a spherical sound source, spherical acoustic holography is proper among acoustic holography methods. However, there are measurement errors due to sensor position mismatch, sensor mismatch, directivity of sensor, and background noise. These errors are amplified if one predicts the pressures close to the sources: backward prediction. The goal of this paper is to quantitatively examine the effects of the error due to sensor position mismatch on acoustic pressure estimation. This paper deals with the cases of which the measurement deviations are distributed irregularly on the hologram plane. In such cases, one can assume that the measurement is a sample of many measurement events, and the cause of the measurement error is white noise on the hologram plane. Then the bias and random error are derived mathematically. In the results, it is found that the random error is important in the backward prediction. The relationship between the random error amplification ratio and the measurement parameters is derived quantitatively in terms of their energies.

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Diagnostics of Observation Error of Satellite Radiance Data in Korean Integrated Model (KIM) Data Assimilation System (한국형수치예보모델 자료동화에서 위성 복사자료 관측오차 진단 및 영향 평가)

  • Kim, Hyeyoung;Kang, Jeon-Ho;Kwon, In-Hyuk
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.263-276
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    • 2022
  • The observation error of satellite radiation data that assimilated into the Korean Integrated Model (KIM) was diagnosed by applying the Hollingsworth and Lönnberg and Desrozier techniques commonly used. The magnitude and correlation of the observation error, and the degree of contribution for the satellite radiance data were calculated. The observation errors of the similar device, such as Advanced Technology Microwave Sounder (ATMS) and Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit-A shows different characteristics. The model resolution accounts for only 1% of the observation error, and seasonal variation is not significant factor, either. The observation error used in the KIM is amplified by 3-8 times compared to the diagnosed value or standard deviation of first-guess departures. The new inflation value was calculated based on the correlation between channels and the ratio of background error and observation error. As a result of performing the model sensitivity evaluation by applying the newly inflated observation error of ATMS, the error of temperature and water vapor analysis field were decreased. And temperature and water vapor forecast field have been significantly improved, so the accuracy of precipitation prediction has also been increased by 1.7% on average in Asia especially.

A Study on the Flexible Disk Grinding Process Parameter Prediction Using Neural Network (신경망을 이용한 유연성 디스크 연삭가공공정 인자 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo, Song-Min
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.123-130
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    • 2008
  • In order to clarify detailed mechanism of the flexible disk grinding system, workpiece length was introduced and its performance was evaluated. Flat zone ratio increased as the workpiece length increased. Increasing wheel speed and depth of cut also enhanced process performance by producing larger flat zone ratio. Neural network system was successfully applied to predict minimum depth of engagement and flat zone ratio. An additional input parameter as workpiece length to the neural network system enhanced the prediction performance by reducing error rate. By rearranging the Input combinations to the network, the workpiece length was precisely predicted with the prediction error rate lower than 2.8% depending on the network structure.

Prediction of California bearing ratio (CBR) for coarse- and fine-grained soils using the GMDH-model

  • Mintae Kim;Seyma Ordu;Ozkan Arslan;Junyoung Ko
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.183-194
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    • 2023
  • This study presents the prediction of the California bearing ratio (CBR) of coarse- and fine-grained soils using artificial intelligence technology. The group method of data handling (GMDH) algorithm, an artificial neural network-based model, was used in the prediction of the CBR values. In the design of the prediction models, various combinations of independent input variables for both coarse- and fine-grained soils have been used. The results obtained from the designed GMDH-type neural networks (GMDH-type NN) were compared with other regression models, such as linear, support vector, and multilayer perception regression methods. The performance of models was evaluated with a regression coefficient (R2), root-mean-square error (RMSE), and mean absolute error (MAE). The results showed that GMDH-type NN algorithm had higher performance than other regression methods in the prediction of CBR value for coarse- and fine-grained soils. The GMDH model had an R2 of 0.938, RMSE of 1.87, and MAE of 1.48 for the input variables {G, S, and MDD} in coarse-grained soils. For fine-grained soils, it had an R2 of 0.829, RMSE of 3.02, and MAE of 2.40, when using the input variables {LL, PI, MDD, and OMC}. The performance evaluations revealed that the GMDH-type NN models were effective in predicting CBR values of both coarse- and fine-grained soils.

Performance Evaluation of Machine Learning Model for Seismic Response Prediction of Nuclear Power Plant Structures considering Aging deterioration (원전 구조물의 경년열화를 고려한 지진응답예측 기계학습 모델의 성능평가)

  • Kim, Hyun-Su;Kim, Yukyung;Lee, So Yeon;Jang, Jun Su
    • Journal of Korean Association for Spatial Structures
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.43-51
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    • 2024
  • Dynamic responses of nuclear power plant structure subjected to earthquake loads should be carefully investigated for safety. Because nuclear power plant structure are usually constructed by material of reinforced concrete, the aging deterioration of R.C. have no small effect on structural behavior of nuclear power plant structure. Therefore, aging deterioration of R.C. nuclear power plant structure should be considered for exact prediction of seismic responses of the structure. In this study, a machine learning model for seismic response prediction of nuclear power plant structure was developed by considering aging deterioration. The OPR-1000 was selected as an example structure for numerical simulation. The OPR-1000 was originally designated as the Korean Standard Nuclear Power Plant (KSNP), and was re-designated as the OPR-1000 in 2005 for foreign sales. 500 artificial ground motions were generated based on site characteristics of Korea. Elastic modulus, damping ratio, poisson's ratio and density were selected to consider material property variation due to aging deterioration. Six machine learning algorithms such as, Decision Tree (DT), Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN), Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), were used t o construct seispic response prediction model. 13 intensity measures and 4 material properties were used input parameters of the training database. Performance evaluation was performed using metrics like root mean square error, mean square error, mean absolute error, and coefficient of determination. The optimization of hyperparameters was achieved through k-fold cross-validation and grid search techniques. The analysis results show that neural networks present good prediction performance considering aging deterioration.

Poisson's Ratio Prediction of Soil Using the Consolidation Undrained Triaxial Compression Test (압밀비배수 삼축압축실험을 이용한 지반의 포아송비 예측)

  • Lim, Seongyoon;Yu, Seokchoel;Kim, Yuyong;Kim, Myeonghwan
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.62 no.4
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    • pp.45-51
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    • 2020
  • The poisson's ratio was obtained from the effective vertical stress and horizontal stress of consolidation-undrained test. It was analyzed void ratio verse poisson's ratio. At the result, the effective friction angle was increase with relative density increased, was decreased the poisson's ratio. The empirical equation of void ratio and poisson's ratio was showed very high correlation r2=0.846. The empirical equation was showed that the smaller the void ratio in the fine grained soil than granular soil. In the case of 0.85 times the correlation analysis equation of granular and fine grained soil, the experimental results were shown very similarly. In especially, the poisson's ratio prediction results was shown within 5% of the error range, was revalidation 0.85 times the correlation analysis equation using the void ratio. In this study, correlation analysis equation of the granular and fine grained soil was more reliability of the poisson's ratio prediction results apply to the void ratio than dry unit weight.

Development of Machine Learning Based Seismic Response Prediction Model for Shear Wall Structure considering Aging Deteriorations (경년열화를 고려한 전단벽 구조물의 기계학습 기반 지진응답 예측모델 개발)

  • Kim, Hyun-Su;Kim, Yukyung;Lee, So Yeon;Jang, Jun Su
    • Journal of Korean Association for Spatial Structures
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.83-90
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    • 2024
  • Machine learning is widely applied to various engineering fields. In structural engineering area, machine learning is generally used to predict structural responses of building structures. The aging deterioration of reinforced concrete structure affects its structural behavior. Therefore, the aging deterioration of R.C. structure should be consider to exactly predict seismic responses of the structure. In this study, the machine learning based seismic response prediction model was developed. To this end, four machine learning algorithms were employed and prediction performance of each algorithm was compared. A 3-story coupled shear wall structure was selected as an example structure for numerical simulation. Artificial ground motions were generated based on domestic site characteristics. Elastic modulus, damping ratio and density were changed to considering concrete degradation due to chloride penetration and carbonation, etc. Various intensity measures were used input parameters of the training database. Performance evaluation was performed using metrics like root mean square error, mean square error, mean absolute error, and coefficient of determination. The optimization of hyperparameters was achieved through k-fold cross-validation and grid search techniques. The analysis results show that neural networks and extreme gradient boosting algorithms present good prediction performance.