• Title/Summary/Keyword: prediction algorithms

검색결과 985건 처리시간 0.022초

Kalman Filtering 이론에 의한 하천 유출 안전관리에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Safety Management of Streamflows by the Kalman Filtering Theory)

  • 박종권;박종구;이영섭
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.122-127
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    • 1996
  • The purpose of this study has been studied and investigated to prediction algorithms of the Kalman Filtering theory which are based on the state-vector description, including system identification, model structure determination, parameter estimation. And the prediction algorithms applied of rainfall-runoff process, has been worked out. The analysis of runoff process and runoff prediction algorithms of the river-basin established, for the verification of prediction algorithms by the Kalman Filtering theory, the observed historical data of the hourly rainfall and streamflows were used for the algorithms. In consisted of the above, Kalman Filtering rainfall-runoff model applied and analysised to Wi-Stream basin in Nak-dong River(Basin area : $472.53km^2$).

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Comparative Analysis of PM10 Prediction Performance between Neural Network Models

  • Jung, Yong-Jin;Oh, Chang-Heon
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.241-247
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    • 2021
  • Particulate matter has emerged as a serious global problem, necessitating highly reliable information on the matter. Therefore, various algorithms have been used in studies to predict particulate matter. In this study, we compared the prediction performance of neural network models that have been actively studied for particulate matter prediction. Among the neural network algorithms, a deep neural network (DNN), a recurrent neural network, and long short-term memory were used to design the optimal prediction model using a hyper-parameter search. In the comparative analysis of the prediction performance of each model, the DNN model showed a lower root mean square error (RMSE) than the other algorithms in the performance comparison using the RMSE and the level of accuracy as metrics for evaluation. The stability of the recurrent neural network was slightly lower than that of the other algorithms, although the accuracy was higher.

유비쿼터스 컴퓨팅 환경에서 컨텍스트 예측을 위한 시계열 분석 기반 사용자 모델링 (User Modeling based Time-Series Analysis for Context Prediction in Ubiquitous Computing Environment)

  • 최영환;이상용
    • 한국지능시스템학회논문지
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    • 제19권5호
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    • pp.655-660
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    • 2009
  • 기존의 예측 알고리즘들은 실시간 환경에서 학습 데이터 처리에서 오는 시간지연 문제, 구현의 어려움 등으로 개인화된 실시간 서비스를 제공하는 컨텍스트 인식 환경에서 사용하기에 적합하지 않다. 본 논문에서는 사용자 모델을 이용하여 컨텍스트 예측 알고리즘의 처리시간 단축과 예측 정확도를 향상시키기 위한 연구를 제안한다. 컨텍스트 예측을 위하여 사용자의 컨텍스트 중에서 이동경로를 사용한다. 이동경로를 기반으로 시계열 분석 방법을 통하여 사용자 모델을 생성하고, 생성된 사용자 모델을 시퀀스 매칭 방법을 이용하여 사용자의 컨텍스트를 예측한다. 기존 예측 알고리즘과 본 연구에서 제안한 예측 알고리즘을 시뮬레이션을 통하여 처리시간 및 예측 정확도를 비교한 결과, 실시간 서비스 환경에서 예측 정확도는 기존 예측 알고리즘들과 비슷한 결과를 보였고, 처리시간은 사용자 모델을 사용한 경우가 시퀀스 매칭을 사용한 경우보다 평균 40% 정도 감소시킬 수 있음을 알 수 있었다.

Using Machine Learning Algorithms for Housing Price Prediction: The Case of Islamabad Housing Data

  • Imran, Imran;Zaman, Umar;Waqar, Muhammad;Zaman, Atif
    • Soft Computing and Machine Intelligence
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.11-23
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    • 2021
  • House price prediction is a significant financial decision for individuals working in the housing market as well as for potential buyers. From investment to buying a house for residence, a person investing in the housing market is interested in the potential gain. This paper presents machine learning algorithms to develop intelligent regressions models for House price prediction. The proposed research methodology consists of four stages, namely Data Collection, Pre Processing the data collected and transforming it to the best format, developing intelligent models using machine learning algorithms, training, testing, and validating the model on house prices of the housing market in the Capital, Islamabad. The data used for model validation and testing is the asking price from online property stores, which provide a reasonable estimate of the city housing market. The prediction model can significantly assist in the prediction of future housing prices in Pakistan. The regression results are encouraging and give promising directions for future prediction work on the collected dataset.

Link Prediction Algorithm for Signed Social Networks Based on Local and Global Tightness

  • Liu, Miao-Miao;Hu, Qing-Cui;Guo, Jing-Feng;Chen, Jing
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.213-226
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    • 2021
  • Given that most of the link prediction algorithms for signed social networks can only complete sign prediction, a novel algorithm is proposed aiming to achieve both link prediction and sign prediction in signed networks. Based on the structural balance theory, the local link tightness and global link tightness are defined respectively by using the structural information of paths with the step size of 2 and 3 between the two nodes. Then the total similarity of the node pair can be obtained by combining them. Its absolute value measures the possibility of the two nodes to establish a link, and its sign is the sign prediction result of the predicted link. The effectiveness and correctness of the proposed algorithm are verified on six typical datasets. Comparison and analysis are also carried out with the classical prediction algorithms in signed networks such as CN-Predict, ICN-Predict, and PSNBS (prediction in signed networks based on balance and similarity) using the evaluation indexes like area under the curve (AUC), Precision, improved AUC', improved Accuracy', and so on. Results show that the proposed algorithm achieves good performance in both link prediction and sign prediction, and its accuracy is higher than other algorithms. Moreover, it can achieve a good balance between prediction accuracy and computational complexity.

Heuristic and Statistical Prediction Algorithms Survey for Smart Environments

  • Malik, Sehrish;Ullah, Israr;Kim, DoHyeun;Lee, KyuTae
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • 제16권5호
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    • pp.1196-1213
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    • 2020
  • There is a growing interest in the development of smart environments through predicting the behaviors of inhabitants of smart spaces in the recent past. Various smart services are deployed in modern smart cities to facilitate residents and city administration. Prediction algorithms are broadly used in the smart fields in order to well equip the smart services for the future demands. Hence, an accurate prediction technology plays a vital role in the smart services. In this paper, we take out an extensive survey of smart spaces such as smart homes, smart farms and smart cars and smart applications such as smart health and smart energy. Our extensive survey is based on more than 400 articles and the final list of research studies included in this survey consist of 134 research papers selected using Google Scholar database for period of 2008 to 2018. In this survey, we highlight the role of prediction algorithms in each sub-domain of smart Internet of Things (IoT) environments. We also discuss the main algorithms which play pivotal role in a particular IoT subfield and effectiveness of these algorithms. The conducted survey provides an efficient way to analyze and have a quick understanding of state of the art work in the targeted domain. To the best of our knowledge, this is the very first survey paper on main categories of prediction algorithms covering statistical, heuristic and hybrid approaches for smart environments.

차량 궤적 예측기법을 이용한 충돌 경보/회피 알고리듬 개발 (Development of Collision Warning/Avoidance Algorithms using Vehicle Trajectory Prediction Method)

  • 김재호;이경수
    • 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한기계학회 2000년도 추계학술대회논문집A
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    • pp.647-652
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    • 2000
  • This paper proposes a collision warning/avoidance algorithm using a trajectory prediction method. This algorithm is based on 2-dimensional kinematics and the Kalman filter has been used to obtain the information of the object vehicle. This algorithm has been investigated via computer simulation and showed a good trajectory prediction performance. The proposed collision warning/avoidance algorithm would enhanced driver acceptance for a collision warning/avoidance system.

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Learning Algorithms in AI System and Services

  • Jeong, Young-Sik;Park, Jong Hyuk
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • 제15권5호
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    • pp.1029-1035
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    • 2019
  • In recent years, artificial intelligence (AI) services have become one of the most essential parts to extend human capabilities in various fields such as face recognition for security, weather prediction, and so on. Various learning algorithms for existing AI services are utilized, such as classification, regression, and deep learning, to increase accuracy and efficiency for humans. Nonetheless, these services face many challenges such as fake news spread on social media, stock selection, and volatility delay in stock prediction systems and inaccurate movie-based recommendation systems. In this paper, various algorithms are presented to mitigate these issues in different systems and services. Convolutional neural network algorithms are used for detecting fake news in Korean language with a Word-Embedded model. It is based on k-clique and data mining and increased accuracy in personalized recommendation-based services stock selection and volatility delay in stock prediction. Other algorithms like multi-level fusion processing address problems of lack of real-time database.

Optimizing SVM Ensembles Using Genetic Algorithms in Bankruptcy Prediction

  • Kim, Myoung-Jong;Kim, Hong-Bae;Kang, Dae-Ki
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • 제8권4호
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    • pp.370-376
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    • 2010
  • Ensemble learning is a method for improving the performance of classification and prediction algorithms. However, its performance can be degraded due to multicollinearity problem where multiple classifiers of an ensemble are highly correlated with. This paper proposes genetic algorithm-based optimization techniques of SVM ensemble to solve multicollinearity problem. Empirical results with bankruptcy prediction on Korea firms indicate that the proposed optimization techniques can improve the performance of SVM ensemble.

Flexible Window 기법을 이용한 위치 예측 알고리즘 설계 (Design of a User Location Prediction Algorithm Using the Flexible Window Scheme)

  • 손병희;김용훈;남의석;김학배
    • 한국통신학회논문지
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    • 제32권6A호
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    • pp.550-557
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    • 2007
  • 인과 관계에 대한 직관적인 개념으로 Bayesian Networks 알고리즘이나 트리 구조 추측 알고리즘 그리고 유전자 알고리즘을 사용하여 다양한 구조의 상황을 예측을 하게 된다. 하지만 이런 예측 알고리즘들을 상황인지 서비스 구현에 적용하기에는 실제 구현의 어려움과 실시간 환경에서 트레이닝 데이터 처리에서 오는 시간 지연 문제 등이 발생하게 된다. 이 때문에 특정 목적의 상황인지 시스템에서 이 알고리즘들이 어느 정도의 예측 정확도와 신뢰도를 가지고 상황 정보에 부합하는지 미지수이다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 기존의 예측 알고리즘과는 다른 접근 방식을 통해, 사용자의 습관이나 행동양식을 데이터베이스로 만들어 이를 고려함으로써 상황인지 시스템의 상황 정보와 부합되는 Flexible Window 기법을 이용한 위치 예측 알고리즘을 제안한다. 제안된 Flexible Window 기법을 이용한 위치 예측 알고리즘은 동일한 실험 조건 아래, Fixed Window 기법을 이용한 위치 예측 알고리즘보다 평균적으로 5.10% 더 우수한 성능을 보인다. 이 방식은 기하급수적으로 늘어나는 상황 정보를 감안했을 때 알고리즘 수행 시 처리 시간의 감소와 예측 정확도를 향상 시킬 수 있다.