• 제목/요약/키워드: predicting method

검색결과 2,817건 처리시간 0.028초

철근부식에 의한 육지 콘크리트의 수명예측 (Predicting on Service Life of Concrete by Steel Corrosion)

  • 정우용;손영무;윤영수;이진용
    • 한국콘크리트학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국콘크리트학회 2000년도 봄 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.682-687
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    • 2000
  • In this research the remaining service life of the concrete due to the steel corrosion was predicted by three cases; causing carbonation, using sea sand, using deicing salts. In case of deterioration by carbonation, effective carbonation depth, effective coverage depth and relative humidity are considered for predicting method. In case of using sea sand, predicting method is made of rust growth equation from polarization resistance method. In case of using deicing salts, predicting method is made of transformation of Fick's law. Three methods are very useful in predicting service life of concrete.

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인공신경회로망을 이용한 탄산가스 아크 용접의 잔류응력 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study of Predicting Method of Residual Stress Using Artificial Neural Network in $CO_2$ Arc Welding)

  • 조용준;이세헌;엄기원
    • Journal of Welding and Joining
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    • 제13권3호
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    • pp.77-88
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    • 1995
  • A prediction method for determining the welding residual stress by artificial neural network is proposed. A three-dimensional transient thermomechanical analysis has been performed for the CO$_{2}$ arc welding using the finite element method. The first part of numerical analysis performs a three-dimensional transient heat transfer analysis, and the second part then uses the results of the first part and performs a three-dimensional transient thermo-elastic-plastic analysis to compute transient and residual stresses in the weld. Data from the finite element method are used to train a backpropagation neural network to predict the residual stress. Architecturally, the fully interconnected network consists of an input layer for the voltage and current, a hidden layer to accommodate the ailure mechanism mapping, and an output layer for the residual stress. The trained network is then applied to the prediction of residual stress in the four specimens. It is concluded that the accuracy of the neural network predicting method is fully comparable with the accuracy achieved by the traditional predicting method.

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Simple analytical method for predicting the sloshing motion in a rectangular pool

  • Park, Won Man;Choi, Dae Kyung;Kim, Kyungsoo;Son, Sung Man;Oh, Se Hong;Lee, Kang Hee;Kang, Heung Seok;Choi, Choengryul
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제52권5호
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    • pp.947-955
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    • 2020
  • Predicting the sloshing motion of a coolant during a seismic assessment of a rectangular spent fuel pool is of critical concern. Linear theory, which provides a simple analytical method, has been used to predict the sloshing motion in rectangular pools and tanks. However, this theory is not suitable for the high-frequency excitation problem. In this study, the authors developed a simple analytical method for predicting the sloshing motion in a rectangular pool for a wide range of excitation frequencies. The correlation among the linear theory parameters, influencing on excitation and convective waves, and the excitation frequency is investigated. Sloshing waves in a rectangular pool with several liquid heights are predicted using the original linear theory, a modified linear theory and computational fluid dynamics analysis. The results demonstrate that the developed method can predict sloshing motion over a wide range of excitation frequencies. However, the developed method has the limitations of linear solutions since it neglects the nonlinear features of sloshing motion. Despite these limitations, the authors believe that the developed method can be useful as a simple analytical method for predicting the sloshing motion in a rectangular pool under various external excitations.

A Study of Predicting Method of Residual Stress Using Artificial Neural Network in $CO_2$Arc welding

  • Cho, Y.;Rhee, S.;Kim, J.H.
    • International Journal of Korean Welding Society
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    • 제1권2호
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    • pp.51-60
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    • 2001
  • A prediction method for determining the welding residual stress by artificial neural network is proposed. A three-dimensional transient thermo-mechanical analysis has been performed for the $CO_2$ arc welding using the finite element method. The first part of numerical analysis performs a three-dimensional transient heat transfer analysis, and the second part then uses the results of the first part and performs a three-dimensional transient thermo-elastic-plastic analysis to compute transient and residual stresses in the weld. Data from the finite element method are used to train a back propagation neural network to predict the residual stress. Architecturally, the fully interconnected network consists of an input layer for the voltage and current, a hidden layer to accommodate the failure mechanism mapping, and an output layer for the residual stress. The trained network is then applied to the prediction of residual stress in the four specimens. It is concluded that the accuracy of the neural network predicting method is fully comparable with the accuracy achieved by the traditional predicting method.

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딥 러닝을 이용한 부동산가격지수 예측 (Predicting the Real Estate Price Index Using Deep Learning)

  • 배성완;유정석
    • 부동산연구
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.71-86
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    • 2017
  • 본 연구의 목적은 딥 러닝 방법을 부동산가격지수 예측에 적용해보고, 기존의 시계열분석 방법과의 비교를 통해 부동산 시장 예측의 새로운 방법으로서 활용가능성을 확인하는 것이다. 딥 러닝(deep learning)방법인 DNN(Deep Neural Networks)모형 및 LSTM(Long Shot Term Memory networks)모형과 시계열분석 방법인 ARIMA(autoregressive integrated moving average)모형을 이용하여 여러 가지 부동산가격지수에 대한 예측을 시도하였다. 연구결과 첫째, 딥 러닝 방법의 예측력이 시계열분석 방법보다 우수한 것으로 나타났다. 둘째, 딥 러닝 방법 중에서는 DNN모형의 예측력이 LSTM모형의 예측력보다 우수하나 그 정도는 미미한 수준인 것으로 나타났다. 셋째, 딥 러닝 방법과 ARIMA모형은 부동산 가격지수(real estate price index) 중 아파트 실거래가격지수(housing sales price index)에 대한 예측력이 가장 부족한 것으로 나타났다. 향후 딥 러닝 방법을 활용함으로써 부동산 시장에 대한 예측의 정확성을 제고할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

Experimental investigation on multi-parameter classification predicting degradation model for rock failure using Bayesian method

  • Wang, Chunlai;Li, Changfeng;Chen, Zeng;Liao, Zefeng;Zhao, Guangming;Shi, Feng;Yu, Weijian
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.113-120
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    • 2020
  • Rock damage is the main cause of accidents in underground engineering. It is difficult to predict rock damage accurately by using only one parameter. In this study, a rock failure prediction model was established by using stress, energy, and damage. The prediction level was divided into three levels according to the ratio of the damage threshold stress to the peak stress. A classification predicting model was established, including the stress, energy, damage and AE impact rate using Bayesian method. Results show that the model is good practicability and effectiveness in predicting the degree of rock failure. On the basis of this, a multi-parameter classification predicting deterioration model of rock failure was established. The results provide a new idea for classifying and predicting rockburst.

회귀분석에 의한 건물에너지 사용량 예측기법에 관한 연구 (A Study for Predicting Building Energy Use with Regression Analysis)

  • 이승복
    • 설비공학논문집
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    • 제12권12호
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    • pp.1090-1097
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    • 2000
  • Predicting building energy use can be useful to evaluate its energy performance. This study proposed empirical approach for predicting building energy use with regression analysis. For the empirical analysis, simple regression models were developed based on the historical energy consumption data as a function of daily outside temperature, the predicting equations were derived for different operational modes and day types, then the equations were applied for predicting energy use in a building. BY selecting a real building as a case study, the feasibilities of the empirical approach for predicting building energy use were examined. The results showed that empirical approach with regression analysis was fairly reliable by demonstrating prediction accuracy of $pm10%$ compared with the actual energy consumption data. It was also verified that the prediction by regression models could be simple and fairly accurate. Thus, it is anticipated that the empirical approach will be useful and reliable tool for many purposes: retrofit savings analysis by estimating energy usage in an existing building or the diagnosis of the building operational problems with real time analysis.

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동작에 의한 뇌파의 이동평균성 ERD(Event Related Desynchronization)에 관한 연구 (Research on moving averaged ERD of EEG by the movement of body limbs)

  • 황민철;최철
    • 한국정밀공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정밀공학회 2004년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.1252-1254
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    • 2004
  • BMI(brain machine interface) has been recently applied to give a disabled person mobility. This study is to determine the effective EEG parameters for predicting the movement moment of body limbs thought analysis of moving averaged ERD. The results showed that the proposed method for classifying EEG for predicting the movement seemed to be better than the classical method of determining ERD.

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한국어 음성합성기의 성능 향상을 위한 합성 단위의 유무성음 분리 (Separation of Voiced Sounds and Unvoiced Sounds for Corpus-based Korean Text-To-Speech)

  • 홍문기;신지영;강선미
    • 음성과학
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.7-25
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    • 2003
  • Predicting the right prosodic elements is a key factor in improving the quality of synthesized speech. Prosodic elements include break, pitch, duration and loudness. Pitch, which is realized by Fundamental Frequency (F0), is the most important element relating to the quality of the synthesized speech. However, the previous method for predicting the F0 appears to reveal some problems. If voiced and unvoiced sounds are not correctly classified, it results in wrong prediction of pitch, wrong unit of triphone in synthesizing the voiced and unvoiced sounds, and the sound of click or vibration. This kind of feature is usual in the case of the transformation from the voiced sound to the unvoiced sound or from the unvoiced sound to the voiced sound. Such problem is not resolved by the method of grammar, and it much influences the synthesized sound. Therefore, to steadily acquire the correct value of pitch, in this paper we propose a new model for predicting and classifying the voiced and unvoiced sounds using the CART tool.

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Frequency Matrix 기법을 이용한 결측치 자료로부터의 개인신용예측 (Predicting Personal Credit Rating with Incomplete Data Sets Using Frequency Matrix technique)

  • 배재권;김진화;황국재
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.273-290
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    • 2006
  • This study suggests a frequency matrix technique to predict personal credit rate more efficiently using incomplete data sets. At first this study test on multiple discriminant analysis and logistic regression analysis for predicting personal credit rate with incomplete data sets. Missing values are predicted with mean imputation method and regression imputation method here. An artificial neural network and frequency matrix technique are also tested on their performance in predicting personal credit rating. A data set of 8,234 customers in 2004 on personal credit information of Bank A are collected for the test. The performance of frequency matrix technique is compared with that of other methods. The results from the experiments show that the performance of frequency matrix technique is superior to that of all other models such as MDA-mean, Logit-mean, MDA-regression, Logit-regression, and artificial neural networks.

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