• Title/Summary/Keyword: pre-prediction

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Prediction of Solute Transport in Natural River Using RAM4 (RAM4모형을 이용한 자연하천에서의 확산거동 예측)

  • Jung, Sung-Tae;Lyu, Si-Wan;Kim, Young-Do;Seo, Il-Won
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.2046-2050
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    • 2008
  • 현재까지 우리나라에서 주로 사용되고 있는 2차원 흐름 해석 모형은 미연방 도로국(U.S. Federal Highway Administration)과 연계하여 Brigham Young University에서 개발된 SMS(Surface-Water Modeling System)모형이다. SMS모형 중 이송 확산 모형으로는 RMA-4가 포함되나 이 모형은 최신 수치기법을 반영하지 못하는 등의 문제점들로 인해 실제 물리적 현상을 모의에 있어서 한계를 가지고 있다. 따라서 물리적 현상에 대한 적절한 모의를 위해 여러 개선과정을 거쳐 RAM4가 개발되었다. 본 연구를 위해 점적분 유사량 측정기(P-61)와 대하천 유속계를 사용하여 대상구간의 SS자료 및 유속의 2차원적 분포를 취득하였고, SMS의 Pre-processing 기능을 이용하여 유한요소망을 구성하였다. 구성된 유한요소망과 흐름모형인 RMA-2를 사용하여 대상구간의 유속장을 모의하였다. 이때 모의된 유속장과 현장에서 취득한 유속분포를 비교하여 RMA-2를 검증하였고, SS자료와 RAM4로 모의된 농도장을 비교하여 RAM4를 검증하였다. 검증된 두 모형을 바탕으로 대상 구간에서 다량의 점오염원이 투입되는 가상의 시나리오를 선정 및 적용하여 오염물 이송 및 확산 거동에 대해 살펴보았다. 본 연구의 대상 하천은 형산강으로써, 유역 내에 경주시와 포항시가 위치하고 이 두 도시를 잇는 산업도로가 형산강 본류 위를 지나고, 또한 두 도시를 관류하고 있어 다른 국가하천과 마찬가지로 지속적이고 안정적인 수질관리가 필요한 하천이다, 모의구간은 형산강 본류 중 No. 68(안강 수위관측소 상류 약 350 m)에서 No. 48(부조 수위관측소 하류 약 200 m)까지로서, 약 4.3 km 구간을 모의 하였다. 모의구간 시점에서 약 0.35 km 지점에 산업도로의 일부분인 강동대교, 0.98 km 지점에 왕신천 유입, 1.35 km 지점에 수중보, 1.8 km 지점에 국당1교, 3.2 km 지점에 국당2교가 위치하며 구간 내에는 만곡 및 사행, 특히 수중보 전 후로 사주가 발달해있어 2차원 흐름 및 이송확산 모의에 적합하다고 판단되었다.

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Modeling of temperature distribution in a reinforced concrete supertall structure based on structural health monitoring data

  • Ni, Y.Q.;Ye, X.W.;Lin, K.C.;Liao, W.Y.
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.293-309
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    • 2011
  • A long-term structural health monitoring (SHM) system comprising over 700 sensors of sixteen types has been implemented on the Guangzhou Television and Sightseeing Tower (GTST) of 610 m high for real-time monitoring of the structure at both construction and service stages. As part of this sophisticated SHM system, 48 temperature sensors have been deployed at 12 cross-sections of the reinforced concrete inner structure of the GTST to provide on-line monitoring via a wireless data transmission system. In this paper, the differential temperature profiles in the reinforced concrete inner structure of the GTST, which are mainly caused by solar radiation, are recognized from the monitoring data with the purpose of understanding the temperature-induced structural internal forces and deformations. After a careful examination of the pre-classified temperature measurement data obtained under sunny days and non-sunny days, common characteristic of the daily temperature variation is observed from the data acquired in sunny days. Making use of 60-day temperature measurement data obtained in sunny days, statistical patterns of the daily rising temperature and daily descending temperature are synthesized, and temperature distribution models of the reinforced concrete inner structure of the GTST are formulated using linear regression analysis. The developed monitoring-based temperature distribution models will serve as a reliable input for numerical prediction of the temperature-induced deformations and provide a robust basis to facilitate the design and construction of similar structures in consideration of thermal effects.

A Development on a Predictive Model for Buying Unemployment Insurance Program Based on Public Data (공공데이터 기반 고용보험 가입 예측 모델 개발 연구)

  • Cho, Minsu;Kim, Dohyeon;Song, Minseok;Kim, Kwangyong;Jeong, Chungsik;Kim, Kidae
    • The Journal of Bigdata
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.17-31
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    • 2017
  • With the development of the big data environment, public institutions also have been providing big data infrastructures. Public data is one of the typical examples, and numerous applications using public data have been provided. One of the cases is related to the employment insurance. All employers have to make contracts for the employment insurance for all employees to protect the rights. However, there are abundant cases where employers avoid to buy insurances. To overcome these challenges, a data-driven approach is needed; however, there are lacks of methodologies to integrate, manage, and analyze the public data. In this paper, we propose a methodology to build a predictive model for identifying whether employers have made the contracts of employment insurance based on public data. The methodology includes collection, integration, pre-processing, analysis of data and generating prediction models based on process mining and data mining techniques. Also, we verify the methodology with case studies.

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Creep and shrinkage properties using concrete test results and prediction models for high strength and high performance concrete (실험결과와 예측식을 통한 고강도 고성능 콘크리트의 크리프 및 건조수축 특성파악)

  • Cha, Han-Il;Moon, Hyung-Jae;Seok, Won-Kyun;Park, Soon-Jeon;Lee, Joo-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.709-712
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    • 2008
  • RC super tall buildings are planned and constructed recently in domestic area. Concrete is characterized by time dependant material such as creep and shrinkage. For this properties of concrete, differential shortening is one of the main issues on super tall buildings construction. This study includes material research, which is performing as a pre design stage to solve differential shortening on Lotte Super Tower Jamsil core structure(50, 60, & 70 MPa). The major part of this study is composed with comparison and analysis between experimental data and predicted data on total shrinkage and total compliance which were used on design stage. Four models, ACI209R Model, Ba${\check{z}}$ant-Baweja B3 Model, CEB MC99 Model, & GL2000 Model, were employed to predict them. It also tries to seek a proper model for high strength and high performance concrete in the case of no concrete test.

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Performance Analysis on Link Quality of Handover Mechanism based on the Terminal Mobility in Wired and Wireless Integrated Networks (유무선 복합망에서 이동 단말 기반 핸드오버의 링크 품질에 관한 성능 분석)

  • Park, Nam-Hun;Gwon, O-Jun;Kim, Yeong-Seon;Gam, Sang-Ha
    • The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society
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    • v.7 no.8S
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    • pp.2608-2619
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    • 2000
  • This paper proposes the Handover Scheme for the mobile and describes the result of the performance analysis. In the conventional scheme of handover request, the withdrawal of terminal may occur because handover request is performed based on fixed signal level without considering network load and terminal mobility. The proposed scheme offers the minimization of withdrawal and handover blocking probability by means of the handover request of terminal based on the network load and terminal mobility. Conventional handover scheme has the sequential procedure that network performs resource check and path rerouting on the handover by MT(Mobile Terminal). Proposed handover scheme pre-processes the resource check before the handover request by predicting the handover request timo so that handover latency can be reduced. Moreover, path optimization is executed after the completion of handover in order to reduce handover latency. The rdduction of handover latency prevents the dropping of service by minimizing backward handover blocking. In summary, we propose the prediction of handover request time and decision method based on terminal, validating the performance of proposed scheme considering various cases of simulation.

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Deep Neural Network Model For Short-term Electric Peak Load Forecasting (단기 전력 부하 첨두치 예측을 위한 심층 신경회로망 모델)

  • Hwang, Heesoo
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2018
  • In smart grid an accurate load forecasting is crucial in planning resources, which aids in improving its operation efficiency and reducing the dynamic uncertainties of energy systems. Research in this area has included the use of shallow neural networks and other machine learning techniques to solve this problem. Recent researches in the field of computer vision and speech recognition, have shown great promise for Deep Neural Networks (DNN). To improve the performance of daily electric peak load forecasting the paper presents a new deep neural network model which has the architecture of two multi-layer neural networks being serially connected. The proposed network model is progressively pre-learned layer by layer ahead of learning the whole network. For both one day and two day ahead peak load forecasting the proposed models are trained and tested using four years of hourly load data obtained from the Korea Power Exchange (KPX).

Heat Transfer Characteristics of Inclined Helical Coil Type Heat Exchanger (경사진 헬리컬 코일 열교환기의 열전달 특성에 관한 연구)

  • Son, Chang-Hyo;Jeon, Min-Ju;Jang, Seong-Il;Oh, Hoo-Kyu
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.707-714
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    • 2007
  • The heat transfer coefficient and Pressure drop during gas cooling process of $CO_2$ (R-744) in inclined helical coil copper tubes were investigated experimentally. The main components of the refrigerant loop are a receiver. a variable-speed pump. a mass flow meter, a pre-heater and a inclined helical coil type gas cooler (test section). The test section consists of a smooth copper tube of 2.45mm inner diameter. The refrigerant mass fluxes were varied from 200 to $600[kg/m^2s]$ and the inlet Pressures of gas cooler were 7.5 to 10.0 [MPa]. The heat transfer coefficients of $CO_2$ in the inclined helical coil tubes increases with the increase of mass flux and gas cooling pressure of $CO_2$. The pressure drop of $CO_2$ in the gas cooler shows a relatively good agreement with those Predicted by Ito's correlation developed for single-phase in a helical coil tube. The local heat transfer coefficient of $CO_2$ agrees well with the correlation by Pitla et al. However, at the region near pseudo-critical temperature. the experiments indicate higher values than the Pitla et al. correlation. Therefore. various experiments in the inclined helical coil tubes have to be conducted and it is necessary to develop the reliable and accurate prediction determining the heat transfer and pressure drop of $CO_2$ in the inclined helical coil tubes.

Feasibility Study of Patient Specific Quality Assurance Using Transit Dosimetry Based on Measurement with an Electronic Portal Imaging Device

  • Baek, Tae Seong;Chung, Eun Ji;Son, Jaeman;Yoon, Myonggeun
    • Progress in Medical Physics
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.54-60
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    • 2017
  • This study was designed to measure transit dose with an electronic portal imaging device (EPID) in eight patients treated with intensity modulated radiotherapy (IMRT), and to verify the accuracy of dose delivery to patients. The calculated dose map of the treatment planning system (TPS) was compared with the EPID based dose measured on the same plane with a gamma index method. The plan for each patient was verified prior to treatment with a diode array (MapCHECK) and portal dose image prediction (PDIP). To simulate possible patient positioning errors during treatment, outcomes were evaluated after an anthropomorphic phantom was displaced 5 and 10 mm in various directions. Based on 3%/3 mm criteria, the $mean{\pm}SD$ passing rates of MapCHECK, PDIP (pre-treatment QA) for 47 IMRT were $99.8{\pm}0.1%$, $99.0{\pm}0.7%$, and, respectively. Besides, passing rates using transit dosimetry was $90.0{\pm}1.5%$ for the same condition. Setup errors of 5 and 10 mm reduced the mean passing rates by 1.3% and 3.0% (inferior to superior), 2.2% and 4.3% (superior to inferior), 5.9% and 10.9% (left to right), and 8.9% and 16.3% (right to left), respectively. These findings suggest that the transit dose-based IMRT verification method using EPID, in which the transit dose from patients is compared with the dose map calculated from the TPS, may be useful in verifying various errors including setup and/or patient positioning error, inhomogeneity and target motions.

A prediction and distribution of Moors Applying to Environment Assesment Based on E-GIS (환경지리정보 기반의 환경평가 적용시 습지분포 및 규모예측)

  • Kwak, Young-Joo;Park, Sang-Yong;Kang, In-Joon
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.13 no.3 s.33
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    • pp.53-57
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    • 2005
  • The moors ecosystem is sensitive environment change and weak in artificial interference. These nature property are very important to people. It is necessary to preservation and protection the moors with a countermeasure. We really need to Environment-GIS(E-GIS) using Geographical Information System(GIS) and digital map including range, correct position and attribute data of moors. In this study, we take priority of making a database of moors management. Taking effect an environment assesment, we concentrate on a standard method of digital map production and a preservation of moors in our research using GIS. Especially, we have to preserve our important national heritage using GIS when Environment Assesment is conducting under construction. We suggest to pre-estimated model of hidden moors as analysing terrain, geological feature, a geographical distribution of plants and animals using GIS.

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Quantification of Pre-parturition Restlessness in Crated Sows Using Ultrasonic Measurement

  • Wang, J.S.;Huang, Y.S.;Wu, M.C.;Lai, Y.Y.;Chang, H.L.;Young, M.S.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.780-786
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    • 2005
  • This study presents a non-video, non-invasive, automatic, on-site monitoring system the system employs ultrasonic transducers to detect behavior in sows before, during and after parturition. An ultrasonic transmitting/receiving (T/R) circuit of 40 kHz was mounted above a conventional parturition bed. The T/R units use ultrasonic time-of-flight (TOF) ranging technology to measure the height of the confined sows at eight predetermined locations. From this data, three momentary postures of the sow are determined, characterized as standing-posture (SP), lateral-lying-posture (LLP) and sitting posture (STP). By examining the frequencies of position switch Stand-Up-Sequence (SUS) between standing-posture (SP), lateral-lying-posture (LLP) and sitting-posture (STP) rate can be determined for the duration of the sow' confinement. Three experimental pureblooded Landrace sows undergoing normal gestation were monitored for the duration of confinement. In agreement with common observation, the sows exhibited increased restlessness as parturition approached. Analysis of the data collected in our study showed a distinct peak in Stand-Up-Sequence (SUS, i.e. the transition from lying laterally to standing up ) and sitting-posture (STP) rate approximately 12 h prior to parturition, the observed peak being 5 to 10 times higher than observed on any other measurement day. It is concluded that the presented methodology is a robust, low-cost, lowlabor method for the continuous remote monitoring of sows and similar large animals for parturition and other behavior. It is suggested that the system could be applied to automatic prediction of sow parturition, with automatic notification of remote management personnel so human attendance at birth could reduce rates of sow and piglet mortality. The results of this study provide a good basis for enhancing automation and reducing costs in large-scale sow husbandry and have applications in the testing of various large mammals for the effects of medications, diets, genetic modifications and environmental factors.