• Title/Summary/Keyword: pre-prediction

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The relationship between prediction accuracy and pre-information in collaborative filtering system

  • Kim, Sun-Ok
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.803-811
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    • 2010
  • This study analyzes the characteristics of preference ratings by dividing estimated values into four groups according to rank correlation coefficient after obtaining preference estimated value to user's ratings by using collaborative filtering algorithm. It is known that the value of standard error of skewness and standard error of kurtosis lower in the group of higher rank correlation coefficient This explains that the preference of higher rank correlation coefficient has lower extreme values and the differences of preference rating values. In addition, top n recommendation lists are made after obtaining rank fitting by using the result ranks of prediction value and the ranks of real rated values, and this top n is applied to the four groups. The value of top n recommendation is calculated higher in the group of higher rank correlation coefficient, and the recommendation accuracy in the group of higher rank correlation coefficient is higher than that in the group of lower rank correlation coefficient Thus, when using standard error of skewness and standard error of kurtosis in recommender system, rank correlation coefficient can be higher, and so the accuracy of recommendation prediction can be increased.

Assessment of Round Robin Analyses Results on Welding Residual Stress Prediction in a Nuclear Power Plant Nozzle (원전 노즐 용접부 잔류응력 예측을 위한 Round Robin 해석 결과 분석)

  • Song, Tae-Kwang;Bae, Hong-Yeol;Kim, Yun-Jae;Lee, Kyoung-Soo;Park, Chi-Yong;Yang, Jun-Seog;Huh, Nam-Su;Kim, Jong-Wook;Park, June-Soo;Song, Min-Sup;Lee, Seung-Gun;Kim, Jong-Sung;Yu, Seung-Cheon;Chang, Yoon-Suk
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.72-81
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    • 2009
  • This paper provides simulational round robin test results for welding residual stress prediction of safety/relief nozzle. To quantify the welding variables and define the recommendation for prediction and determination of welding residual stress, 6 partners in 5 institutes participated in round robin test. It is concluded that compressive axial and hoop residual stress occurs in dissimilar metal weld and pre-existing residual stress distribution in dissimilar metal weld was affected by similar metal weld due to short length of safe end. Although the reason for the deviation among the results was not pursued further, the effect of several key elements of FE analyses on welding residual stress was investigated in this paper.

Results and analyses for simulational round robin on welding residual stress prediction in nuclear power plant nozzle (원전 노즐 용접부 잔류응력 예측에 대한 유한요소 해석 Round Robin 결과 및 분석)

  • Song, Tae-Kwang;Bae, Hong-Yeol;Kim, Yun-Jae;Lee, Kyoung-Soo;Park, Chi-Yong;Yang, Jun-Seog;Huh, Nam-Su;Kim, Jong-Wook;Park, June-Soo;Song, Min-Sup;Lee, Seung-Gun;Kim, Jong-Sung;Yu, Seung-Cheon;Chang, Yoon-Suk
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.79-82
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, results of simulational round robin test on residual stress prediction was provided. Welding residual stress is one of the reasons for primary water stress corrosion cracking in PWR. Therefore, quantifying the welding variables and defining the recommendation for prediction welding residual stress is important. Through the round robin test, it is known that compressive axial and hoop residual stress occurs in dissimilar metal weld and pre-existing residual stress distribution in dissimilar metal weld was affected by similar metal weld due to short length of safe end.

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Classification Methods for Automated Prediction of Power Load Patterns (전력 부하 패턴 자동 예측을 위한 분류 기법)

  • Minghao, Piao;Park, Jin-Hyung;Lee, Heon-Gyu;Ryu, Keun-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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    • 2008.06c
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    • pp.26-30
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    • 2008
  • Currently an automated methodology based on data mining techniques is presented for the prediction of customer load patterns in long duration load profiles. The proposed our approach consists of three stages: (i) data pre-processing: noise or outlier is removed and the continuous attribute-valued features are transformed to discrete values, (ii) cluster analysis: k-means clustering is used to create load pattern classes and the representative load profiles for each class and (iii) classification: we evaluated several supervised learning methods in order to select a suitable prediction method. According to the proposed methodology, power load measured from AMR (automatic meter reading) system, as well as customer indexes, were used as inputs for clustering. The output of clustering was the classification of representative load profiles (or classes). In order to evaluate the result of forecasting load patterns, the several classification methods were applied on a set of high voltage customers of the Korea power system and derived class labels from clustering and other features are used as input to produce classifiers. Lastly, the result of our experiments was presented.

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Hybrid Interpolation using Intra Prediction Information of H.264/AVC (H.264/AVC의 인트라 예측 정보를 이용한 하이브리드 보간법)

  • Kwon, Yong-Kwang
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.13 no.7
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    • pp.83-90
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    • 2008
  • EThe digitalized image information has various resolution, and it has been developed for several technologies to resize image depending on user's requests and applications. Recently the algorithm using edge information for good image/video quality on up-sampling was introduced, and the pre-processing procedure is required for edge extraction. Than, the predicted direction in intra prediction used in H.264/AVC has the similarity up to 80% for the edge information, so I propose the image up-sampling method using edge information. In proposed method, the image quality is similar to result of adapting n'th kernel. and the method reduces the number of calculation by about 50%.

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Prediction of critical heat flux for narrow rectangular channels in a steady state condition using machine learning

  • Kim, Huiyung;Moon, Jeongmin;Hong, Dongjin;Cha, Euiyoung;Yun, Byongjo
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.53 no.6
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    • pp.1796-1809
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    • 2021
  • The subchannel of a research reactor used to generate high power density is designed to be narrow and rectangular and comprises plate-type fuels operating under downward flow conditions. Critical heat flux (CHF) is a crucial parameter for estimating the safety of a nuclear fuel; hence, this parameter should be accurately predicted. Here, machine learning is applied for the prediction of CHF in a narrow rectangular channel. Although machine learning can effectively analyze large amounts of complex data, its application to CHF, particularly for narrow rectangular channels, remains challenging because of the limited flow conditions available in existing experimental databases. To resolve this problem, we used four CHF correlations to generate pseudo-data for training an artificial neural network. We also propose a network architecture that includes pre-training and prediction stages to predict and analyze the CHF. The trained neural network predicted the CHF with an average error of 3.65% and a root-mean-square error of 17.17% for the test pseudo-data; the respective errors of 0.9% and 26.4% for the experimental data were not considered during training. Finally, machine learning was applied to quantitatively investigate the parametric effect on the CHF in narrow rectangular channels under downward flow conditions.

Prediction of compressive strength of concrete modified with fly ash: Applications of neuro-swarm and neuro-imperialism models

  • Mohammed, Ahmed;Kurda, Rawaz;Armaghani, Danial Jahed;Hasanipanah, Mahdi
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.489-512
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    • 2021
  • In this study, two powerful techniques, namely particle swarm optimization (PSO) and imperialist competitive algorithm (ICA) were selected and combined with a pre-developed ANN model aiming at improving its performance prediction of the compressive strength of concrete modified with fly ash. To achieve this study's aims, a comprehensive database with 379 data samples was collected from the available literature. The output of the database is the compressive strength (CS) of concrete samples, which are influenced by 9 parameters as model inputs, namely those related to mix composition. The modeling steps related to ICA-ANN (or neuro-imperialism) and PSO-ANN (or neuro-swarm) were conducted through the use of several parametric studies to design the most influential parameters on these hybrid models. A comparison of the CS values predicted by hybrid intelligence techniques with the experimental CS values confirmed that the neuro-swarm model could provide a higher degree of accuracy than another proposed hybrid model (i.e., neuro-imperialism). The train and test correlation coefficient values of (0.9042 and 0.9137) and (0.8383 and 0.8777) for neuro-swarm and neuro-imperialism models, respectively revealed that although both techniques are capable enough in prediction tasks, the developed neuro-swarm model can be considered as a better alternative technique in mapping the concrete strength behavior.

QUALITY ASSURANCE IN ROADWAY PAVEMENT CONSTRUCTION

  • Myung Goo Jeong;Younghan Jung
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2013.01a
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    • pp.596-601
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    • 2013
  • In the current pavement construction practice, the state agencies traditionally determine the quality of the as-constructed pavement mix based on individual mixture material parameters (e.g., air voids, cement or asphalt content, aggregate gradation, etc.) and consider these parameters as key variables to influence payment schedule to the contractors and the present and future quality of the as-constructed mixture. A set of empirically pre-determined pay adjustment schedule for each parameter that was differently developed and being used by the individual agencies is then applied to a given project, in order to judge whether each parameter conforms to the designated specifications and consequently the contractor may either be rewarded or penalized in accordance with the payment schedule. With an improved quality assurance system, the Performance Related Specification, the individual parameters are not utilized as a direct judgment factor; rather, they become independent variables within a performance prediction function which is directly used to predict the performance. The quantified performance based on the prediction model is then applied to evaluate the pavement quality. This paper presents the brief history of the quality assurance in asphalt pavement construction including the Performance Related Specifications, statistical performance models in terms of fatigue and rutting distresses, as an example of the performance prediction models, and envisions the possibilities as to how this Performance Related Specification could be utilized in other infrastructures construction quality assurance.

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The Effect of Radar Data Assimilation in Numerical Models on Precipitation Forecasting (수치모델에서 레이더 자료동화가 강수 예측에 미치는 영향)

  • Ji-Won Lee;Ki-Hong Min
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.457-475
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    • 2023
  • Accurately predicting localized heavy rainfall is challenging without high-resolution mesoscale cloud information in the numerical model's initial field, as precipitation intensity and amount vary significantly across regions. In the Korean Peninsula, the radar observation network covers the entire country, providing high-resolution data on hydrometeors which is suitable for data assimilation (DA). During the pre-processing stage, radar reflectivity is classified into hydrometeors (e.g., rain, snow, graupel) using the background temperature field. The mixing ratio of each hydrometeor is converted and inputted into a numerical model. Moreover, assimilating saturated water vapor mixing ratio and decomposing radar radial velocity into a three-dimensional wind vector improves the atmospheric dynamic field. This study presents radar DA experiments using a numerical prediction model to enhance the wind, water vapor, and hydrometeor mixing ratio information. The impact of radar DA on precipitation prediction is analyzed separately for each radar component. Assimilating radial velocity improves the dynamic field, while assimilating hydrometeor mixing ratio reduces the spin-up period in cloud microphysical processes, simulating initial precipitation growth. Assimilating water vapor mixing ratio further captures a moist atmospheric environment, maintaining continuous growth of hydrometeors, resulting in concentrated heavy rainfall. Overall, the radar DA experiment showed a 32.78% improvement in precipitation forecast accuracy compared to experiments without DA across four cases. Further research in related fields is necessary to improve predictions of mesoscale heavy rainfall in South Korea, mitigating its impact on human life and property.

Aviation Safety Mandatory Report Topic Prediction Model using Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) (잠재 디리클레 할당(LDA)을 이용한 항공안전 의무보고 토픽 예측 모형)

  • Jun Hwan Kim;Hyunjin Paek;Sungjin Jeon;Young Jae Choi
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.42-49
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    • 2023
  • Not only in aviation industry but also in other industries, safety data plays a key role to improve the level of safety performance. By analyzing safety data such as aviation safety report (text data), hazard can be identified and removed before it leads to a tragic accident. However, pre-processing of raw data (or natural language data) collected from each site should be carried out first to utilize proactive or predictive safety management system. As air traffic volume increases, the amount of data accumulated is also on the rise. Accordingly, there are clear limitation in analyzing data directly by manpower. In this paper, a topic prediction model for aviation safety mandatory report is proposed. In addition, the prediction accuracy of the proposed model was also verified using actual aviation safety mandatory report data. This research model is meaningful in that it not only effectively supports the current aviation safety mandatory report analysis work, but also can be applied to various data produced in the aviation safety field in the future.