• Title/Summary/Keyword: power prediction

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Prediction Method about Power Consumption by Using Utilization Rate of Resources in Cloud Computing Environment (클라우드 컴퓨팅 환경에서 자원의 사용률을 이용한 소비전력 예측 방안)

  • Park, Sang-myeon;Mun, Young-song
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.7-14
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    • 2016
  • Recently, as cloud computing technologies are developed, it enable to work anytime and anywhere by smart phone and computer. Also, cloud computing technologies are suited to reduce costs of maintaining IT infrastructure and initial investment, so cloud computing has been developed. As demand about cloud computing has risen sharply, problems of power consumption are occurred to maintain the environment of data center. To solve the problem, first of all, power consumption has been measured. Although using power meter to measure power consumption obtain accurate power consumption, extra cost is incurred. Thus, we propose prediction method about power consumption without power meter. To proving accuracy about proposed method, we perform CPU and Hard disk test on cloud computing environment. During the tests, we obtain both predictive value by proposed method and actual value by power meter, and we calculate error rate. As a result, error rate of predictive value and actual value shows about 4.22% in CPU test and about 8.51% in Hard disk test.

Through load prediction and solar power generation prediction ESS operation plan(Guide-line) study (부하예측 및 태양광 발전예측을 통한 ESS 운영방안(Guide-line) 연구)

  • Lee, Gi-Hyun;Kwak, Gyung-il;Chae, U-ri;KO, Jin-Deuk;Lee, Joo-Yeoun
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.18 no.12
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    • pp.267-278
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    • 2020
  • ESS is an essential requirement for resolving power shortages and power demand management and promoting renewable energy at a time when the energy paradigm changes. In this paper, we propose a cost-effective ESS Peak-Shaving operation plan through load and solar power generation forecast. For the ESS operation plan, electric load and solar power generation were predicted through RMS, which is a statistical measure, and a target load reduction guideline for one hour was set through the predicted electric load and solar power generation amount. The load and solar power generation amount from May 6th to 10th, 2019 was predicted by simulation of load and photovoltaic power generation using real data of the target customer for one year, and an hourly guideline was set. The average error rate for predicting load was 7.12%, and the average error rate for predicting solar power generation amount was 10.57%. Through the ESS operation plan, it was confirmed that the hourly guide-line suggested in this paper contributed to the peak-shaving maximization of customers.Through the results of this paper, it is expected that future energy problems can be reduced by minimizing environmental problems caused by fossil energy in connection with solar power and utilizing new and renewable energy to the maximum.

Prediction Method of Settlement Based on Field Monitoring Data for Soft Ground Under Preloading Improvement with Ramp Loading (점증 재하를 고려한 선행재하 공법 적용 연약지반의 현장 계측을 통한 침하량 예측 방법의 개발)

  • Woo, Sang-Inn;Yune, Chan-Young;Baek, Seung-Kyung;Chung, Choong-Ki
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2008.03a
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    • pp.452-461
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    • 2008
  • Previous settlement prediction method based on settlement monitoring such as hyperbolic, monden method were developed under instantaneous loading condition and have restriction to be applied to soft ground under ramp loading condition. In this study, settlement prediction method under ramp loading was developed. New settlement prediction method under ramp loading considers influence factors of consolidation settlement and increase accuracy of settlement prediction using field monitoring data after ramp loading. Large consolidation tests for ideally controlled one dimensional consolidation under ramp loading condition were performed and the settlement behavior was predicted based on the monitoring data. As a result, new prediction method is expected to have great applicability and practicability for the prediction of settlement behavior.

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Short Term Forecast Model for Solar Power Generation using RNN-LSTM (RNN-LSTM을 이용한 태양광 발전량 단기 예측 모델)

  • Shin, Dong-Ha;Kim, Chang-Bok
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.233-239
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    • 2018
  • Since solar power generation is intermittent depending on weather conditions, it is necessary to predict the accurate generation amount of solar power to improve the efficiency and economical efficiency of solar power generation. This study proposes a short - term deep learning prediction model of solar power generation using meteorological data from Mokpo meteorological agency and generation data of Yeongam solar power plant. The meteorological agency forecasts weather factors such as temperature, precipitation, wind direction, wind speed, humidity, and cloudiness for three days. However, sunshine and solar radiation, the most important meteorological factors for forecasting solar power generation, are not predicted. The proposed model predicts solar radiation and solar radiation using forecast meteorological factors. The power generation was also forecasted by adding the forecasted solar and solar factors to the meteorological factors. The forecasted power generation of the proposed model is that the average RMSE and MAE of DNN are 0.177 and 0.095, and RNN is 0.116 and 0.067. Also, LSTM is the best result of 0.100 and 0.054. It is expected that this study will lead to better prediction results by combining various input.

A Prediction Scheme for Power Apparatus using Artificial Neural Networks (인공신경망을 이용한 수전설비 고장 예측 방법)

  • Ki, Tae-Seok;Lee, Sang-Ho
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.7 no.6
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    • pp.201-207
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    • 2017
  • Failure of the power apparatus causes many inconveniences and problems due to power outage in all places using power such as industry and home. The main causes of faults in the Power Apparatus are aging, natural disasters such as typhoons and earthquakes, and animals. At present, the long high temperature status is monitored only by the assumption that a fault occurs when the temperature of the power apparatus becomes higher. Therefore, it is difficult to cope with the failure of the power apparatus at the right time. In this paper, we propose a power apparatus monitoring system as an efficient countermeasure against general faults except for faults caused by sudden natural disasters. The proposed monitoring system monitors the power apparatus in real time by attaching a thermal sensor, collects the monitored data, and predicts the failure using the accumulated information through learning using the artificial neural network. Through the learning and experimentation of artificial neural network, it is shown that the proposed method is efficient.

Prediction of Photovoltaic Power Generation Based on Machine Learning Considering the Influence of Particulate Matter (미세먼지의 영향을 고려한 머신러닝 기반 태양광 발전량 예측)

  • Sung, Sangkyung;Cho, Youngsang
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.467-495
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    • 2019
  • Uncertainty of renewable energy such as photovoltaic(PV) power is detrimental to the flexibility of the power system. Therefore, precise prediction of PV power generation is important to make the power system stable. The purpose of this study is to forecast PV power generation using meteorological data including particulate matter(PM). In this study, PV power generation is predicted by support vector machine using RBF kernel function based on machine learning. Comparing the forecasting performances by including or excluding PM variable in predictor variables, we find that the forecasting model considering PM is better. Forecasting models considering PM variable show error reduction of 1.43%, 3.60%, and 3.88% in forecasting power generation between 6am~8pm, between 12pm~2pm, and at 1pm, respectively. Especially, the accuracy of the forecasting model including PM variable is increased in daytime when PV power generation is high.

Prediction to Dry-Band Arcing in Live Line Installation (OPGW활선 공사시 건조대 아크 예측)

  • Kim J. N.;Kim S. W.;Baekm J. H.;Jeon S. I.
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • summer
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    • pp.433-435
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    • 2004
  • 본 논문에서는 기존의 가공지선(GW, Ground Wire)을 OPGW(Optical Ground Wire)로 교체공사를 할 경우 나타나는 절연로프에서의 건조대 아크현상을 수치적인 모델링를 통하여 해석할 수 있는 프로그램을 제작하고 현장조건을 입력하여 문제점을 판단하고 해결할 수 있는 방안을 제시하고자 한다.

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