• Title/Summary/Keyword: power prediction

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Prediction of Aerodynamic Performance on Wind Turbines in the Far Wake (후류 영향을 고려한 풍력 발전 단지 성능 예측 연구)

  • Son, Eunkuk;Kim, Hogeon;Lee, Seungmin;Lee, Soogab
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.59.2-59.2
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    • 2011
  • Although there are many activities on the construction of wind farm to produce amount of power from the wind, in practice power productions are not as much as its expected capabilities. This is because a lack of both the prediction of wind resources and the aerodynamic analysis on turbines with far wake effects. In far wake region, there are velocity deficits and increases of the turbulence intensity which lead to the power losses of the next turbine and the increases of dynamic loadings which could reduce system's life. The analysis on power losses and the increases of fatigue loadings in the wind farm is needed to prevent these unwanted consequences. Therefore, in this study velocity deficits have been predicted and aerodynamic analysis on turbines in the far wake is carried out from these velocity profiles. Ainslie's eddy viscosity wake model is adopted to determine a wake velocity and aerodynamic analysis on wind turbines is predicted by the numerical methods such as blade element momentum theory(BEMT) and vortex lattice method(VLM). The results show that velocity recovery is more rapid in the wake region with higher turbulence intensity. Since the velocity deficit is larger when the turbine has higher thrust coefficient, there is a huge aerodynamic power loss at the downstream turbine.

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Software Development to Predict the Power Characteristics of a Horizontal Axis Wind Turbine Rotor (수평축 풍력발전용 로터 성능해석 프로그램 개발)

  • Kim, Beom-Seok;Nam, Chung-Do;Kim, You-Taek;Kim, Jin-Gu;Lee, Young-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Marine Engineers Conference
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    • 2005.11a
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    • pp.168-169
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    • 2005
  • The optimum design and the performance analysis software called POSEIDON for the HAWT (Horizontal Axis Wind Turbine) was developed by use of BEMT. The Prandtl's tip loss theory was adopted to consider the blade tip loss. The lift and the drag coefficient of S-809 airfoil were predicted via X-FOIL and also the post stall characteristics of S-809 were estimated by the Viterna's equations. All the predicted aerodynamic characteristics are fairly well agreed with the wind tunnel test results, performed by Sommers in Delft university of technology. The rated power of the testing rotor is 20kW(FIL-20) at design conditions. The experimental aerodynamic parameters and the X-FOIL data were used for the power prediction of the FIL-20 respectively. The comparison results shows good agreement in power prediction.

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A Study on the Prediction Method of Carbonation Process for Concrete Structures of Nuclear Power Plant (원전 콘크리트 구조물의 중성화 진행 예측 기법에 관한 연구)

  • Koh, Kyoung-Tack;Kim, Do-Gyeum;Kim, Sung-Wook;Cho, Myung-Sung;Son, Young-Chul
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.149-158
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    • 2002
  • The carbonation process is affected by both the concrete material properties such as W/C ratio, types of cement and aggregates, admixture characteristics and the environmental factors such as $CO_2$ concentration, temperature, humidity. Based on results of preliminary study on carbonation, this study is to develop a carbonation prediction model by taking account of $CO_2$ concentration, temperature, humidity ad W/C ratio among major factor affecting the carbonation process. And to constitute a model formula which correspond to the mix design of the nuclear power plant, test coefficient that correspond to the design of the nuclear power plant is obtained based on the results of accelerated carbonation test. Also a field coefficient which is obtained based on results of the field examination is included to improve the conformity of the actual structures of nuclear power plant.

Characteristic Analysis and Design of a Precise Manipulation of Microparticle using Surface Acoustic Wave Device (미세입자의 정밀제어를 위한 표면탄성파 장치의 특성연구 및 설계)

  • Kim, Dongjoon;Eom, Jinwoo;Ko, Byung-Han;Park, No-Cheol;Park, Young-Pil
    • Transactions of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering
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    • v.25 no.10
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    • pp.660-666
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    • 2015
  • Surface acoustic wave(SAW) device is used for transporting and patterning micro-scale particles such as cells. In this research, velocity of particles was investigated moved by SAW device with two types of interdigital electrode transducers(IDTs) under various conditions. SAW devices which have single IDTs and double IDTs were designed and fabricated. On the previous studies, resultant velocities of particles were predicted considering output power and power ratio between IDTs-shape. For more accurate prediction, power loss in SAW device and a power difference between two types of IDTs-shape were considered. Maximum error between the test results and predicted values was 5 % so the power loss must be considered in the velocity prediction of the particles.

Improvement of prediction methods of power increase in regular head waves using calm-water and resistance tests in waves

  • Chun, Ho-Hwan;Lee, Cheol-Min;Lee, Inwon;Choi, Jung-Eun
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.278-291
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    • 2021
  • This paper applies load variation method to predict speed-power-rpm relationship along with propulsive performances in regular head waves, and to derive overload factors (ITTC, 2018). 'Calm-water tests' and 'resistance test in waves' are used. The modified overload factors are proposed taking non-linearity into consideration, and applied to the direct powering, and resistance and thrust identity method. These indirect methods are evaluated through comparing the speed-power-rpm relationships with those obtained from the resistance and self-propulsion tests in calm water and in waves. The objective ship is KVLCC2. The load variation method predicts well the speed-power-rpm relationship and propulsion performances in waves. The direct powering method with modified overload factors also predicts well. The resistance and thrust identity method with modified overload factor predicts with a little difference. The direct powering method with overload factors predicts with a relatively larger difference.

Solar Energy Prediction Based on Artificial neural network Using Weather Data (태양광 에너지 예측을 위한 기상 데이터 기반의 인공 신경망 모델 구현)

  • Jung, Wonseok;Jeong, Young-Hwa;Park, Moon-Ghu;Seo, Jeongwook
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.457-459
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    • 2018
  • Solar power generation system is a energy generation technology that produces electricity from solar power, and it is growing fastest among renewable energy technologies. It is of utmost importance that the solar power system supply energy to the load stably. However, due to unstable energy production due to weather and weather conditions, accurate prediction of energy production is needed. In this paper, an Artificial Neural Network(ANN) that predicts solar energy using 15 kinds of meteorological data such as precipitation, long and short wave radiation averages and temperature is implemented and its performance is evaluated. The ANN is constructed by adjusting hidden parameters and parameters such as penalty for preventing overfitting. In order to verify the accuracy and validity of the prediction model, we use Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) as performance indices. The experimental results show that MAPE = 19.54 and MAE = 2155345.10776 when Hidden Layer $Sizes=^{\prime}16{\times}10^{\prime}$.

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An Efficient Architecture of Transform & Quantization Module in MPEG-4 Video Code (MPEG-4 영상코덱에서 DCTQ module의 효율적인 구조)

  • 서기범;윤동원
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SD
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    • v.40 no.11
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    • pp.29-36
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, an efficient VLSI architecture for DCTQ module, which consists of 2D-DCT, quantization, AC/DC prediction block, scan conversion, inverse quantization and 2D-IDCT, is presented. The architecture of the module is designed to handle a macroblock data within 1064 cycles and suitable for MPEG-4 video codec handling 30 frame CIF image for both encoder and decoder simultaneously. Only single 1-D DCT/IDCT cores are used for the design instead of 2-D DCT/IDCT, respectively. 1-bit serial distributed arithmetic architecture is adopted for 1-D DCT/IDCT to reduce the hardware area in this architecture. To reduce the power consumption of DCTQ modu1e, we propose the method not to operate the DCTQ modu1e exploiting the SAE(sum of absolute error) value from motion estimation and cbp(coded block pattern). To reduce the AC/DC prediction memory size, the memory architecture and memory access method for AC/DC prediction block is proposed. As the result, the maximum utilization of hardware can be achieved, and power consumption can be minimized. The proposed design is operated on 27MHz clock. The experimental results show that the accuracy of DCT and IDCT meet the IEEE specification.

Construction of Delay Predictive Models on Freeway Ramp Junctions (고속도로 진출입램프 접속부상의 지체예측모형 구축에 관한 연구)

  • 김정훈;김태곤
    • Journal of Korean Port Research
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.175-185
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    • 2000
  • Today freeway is experiencing a severe congestion with incoming or outgoing traffic through freeway ramps during the peak periods. Thus, the purpose of this study is to identify the traffic characteristics, analyze the relationships between the traffic characteristics and finally construct the delay predictive models on the rap junctions of freeway with 70mph speed limit. From the traffic analyses, and model construction and verification for delay prediction on the ramp junctions of freeway, the following results were obtained : ⅰ) Traffic flow showed a big difference depending on the time periods. Especially, more traffic flows were concentrated on the freeway junctions in the morning peak period. ⅱ) The occupancy also showed a big difference depending on the time periods, and the downstream occupancy(Od) was especially shown to have a higher explanatory power for the delay predictive model construction on the ramp junctions of freeway. ⅲ) The delay-occupancy curve showed a remarkable shift based on the occupancies observed : O$\_$d/〈9% and O$\_$d/$\geq$9%. Especially, volume and occupancy were shown to be highly explanatory for delay prediction on the ramp junctions of freeway under O$\_$d/$\geq$9%, but lowly for delay prediction on the ramp junctions of freeway under O$\_$d/〈9%. Rather, the driver characteristics or transportation conditions around the freeway were thought to be a little higher explanatory for the delay prediction under O$\_$d/〈9%. ⅳ) Integrated delay predictive models showed a higher explanatory power in the morning peak period, but a lower explanatory power in the non-peak periods.

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Verification and validation of isotope inventory prediction for back-end cycle management using two-step method

  • Jang, Jaerim;Ebiwonjumi, Bamidele;Kim, Wonkyeong;Cherezov, Alexey;Park, Jinsu;Lee, Deokjung
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.53 no.7
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    • pp.2104-2125
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    • 2021
  • This paper presents the verification and validation (V&V) of a calculation module for isotope inventory prediction to control the back-end cycle of spent nuclear fuel (SNF). The calculation method presented herein was implemented in a two-step code system of a lattice code STREAM and a nodal diffusion code RAST-K. STREAM generates a cross section and provides the number density information using branch/history depletion branch calculations, whereas RAST-K supplies the power history and three history indices (boron concentration, moderator temperature, and fuel temperature). As its primary feature, this method can directly consider three-dimensional core simulation conditions using history indices of the operating conditions. Therefore, this method reduces the computation time by avoiding a recalculation of the fuel depletion. The module for isotope inventory calculates the number densities using the Lagrange interpolation method and power history correction factors, which are applied to correct the effects of the decay and fission products generated at different power levels. To assess the reliability of the developed code system for back-end cycle analysis, validation study was performed with 58 measured samples of pressurized water reactor (PWR) SNF, and code-to-code comparison was conducted with STREAM-SNF, HELIOS-1.6 and SCALE 5.1. The V&V results presented that the developed code system can provide reasonable results with comparable confidence intervals. As a result, this paper successfully demonstrates that the isotope inventory prediction code system can be used for spent nuclear fuel analysis.

The impact of the change in the splitting method of decision trees on the prediction power (의사결정나무의 분기법 변화가 예측력에 미치는 영향)

  • Chang, Youngjae
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.517-525
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    • 2022
  • In the era of big data, various data mining techniques have been proposed as major analysis methodologies. As complex and diverse data is mass-produced, data mining techniques have attracted attention as a method that forms the foundation of data science. In this paper, we focused on the decision tree, which is frequently used in practice and easy to understand as one of representative data mining methods. Specifically, we analyzed the effect of the splitting method of decision trees on the model performance. We compared the prediction power and structures of decision tree models with different split methods based on various simulated data. The results show that the linear combination split method can improve the prediction accuracy of decision trees in the case of data simulated from nonlinear models with complex structure.