• Title/Summary/Keyword: power prediction

Search Result 2,193, Processing Time 0.038 seconds

A Long Term Effect Prediction of Radioactive Waste Repository Facility in Gyeongju (경주시에 대한 중저준위 방사성폐기물처분장 건설 프로그램의 장기적 효과)

  • Oh, Young-Min;Jung, Chang-Hoon
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
    • /
    • v.9 no.2
    • /
    • pp.105-128
    • /
    • 2008
  • City of Gyeongju's referendum finally offered the long-waited low-level radioactive waste disposal site in November 2005. Gyeongju's positive decision was due to the various economic rewards and incentives the national government promised to the city. 300 billion won for an accepting bonus, the location of the headquarter building of the Korean Hydro and Nuclear Power Co., and the accelerator research center and 3.25 trillion won for supporting regional development program implementation. All of the above will affect the city's infrastructure and the citizens' economic and social lives. Population, land use, economic structure, SOC and quality of life will be affected. Some will be very positive, and some will be negative. This research project will see the future of the city and forecast the demographic, economic, physical and environmental changes of the city via computer simulation's system dynamics technique. This kind of simulation will help City of Gyeongju's what to prepare for the future. The population forecasting of the year 2046 will be 662,424 with the waste disposal site, and 327,274 without the waste disposal site in Gyeongju. The waste disposal site and regional supporting program will increase 184,246 Jobs more with 1,605 agriculture and fishery, 5,369 manufacturing shops and 27,577 shops. The population increase will bring 96,726 more houses constructed in the city. Land use will also be affected. More land will be developed. And road, water plant and waste water plant will be expanded as much. The city's financial structure will be expanded, due to the increased revenues from the waste disposal site, and property tax revenues from the middle-class employees of the company, and the high-powered scientists and technologists from the accelerator research center. All in all, the future of the city will be brighter after operating the nuclear waste disposal site inside the city.

  • PDF

An Experimental Study on Flapping Motion of Forward Flight Condition used to Articulated Hub Rotor (관절형 허브 로터를 이용한 전진비행조건에서의 플래핑 운동에 대한 실험적 연구)

  • Ryi, Jae-Ha;Back, Dong-Min;Rhee, Wook;Choi, Jong-Soo;Song, Keun Woong
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
    • /
    • v.41 no.4
    • /
    • pp.261-267
    • /
    • 2013
  • In this paper, wind tunnel test and analytical prediction are compared for result of flapping motion in helicopter forward flight condition. Tests were performed at low speed wind tunnel at Chungnam National University, test section of wind tunnel has 1.8 by 1.8 meter open-jet test section area. According to the results of measured data for aerodynamic performance of model rotor in forward flight. It has to observed the difference of analytical and measured results of power coefficient for fixed thrust coefficient. And calculated and measured data of helicopter rotor flapping angles in forward flight are compared for a model rotor in a wind tunnel. A test was conducted to verify the measured data of coning and lateral/longitudinal flapping angle with predicted values.

Interference Analysis of Wireless Systems with Arbitrary Antenna Patterns and Geographic Information in the VHF/UHF Bands (VHF/UHF 대역에서 지리정보와 임의 안테나 패턴을 갖는 무선시스템의 간섭분석 연구)

  • Suh, Kyoung-Whoan
    • Journal of Broadcast Engineering
    • /
    • v.18 no.3
    • /
    • pp.445-454
    • /
    • 2013
  • By using the radio propagation prediction of Rec. ITU-R P.1546, geographic information system, and S-I plane, we presented the methodology of interference analysis based on the minimum coupling loss, and also suggested the local coordinate system for calculating azimuth and elevation angles between the victim receiver and the interferer for an arbitrary antenna pattern. To check the presented algorithm, the map with the land-sea mixed area was taken for the given area of $80{\times}60[km^2]$ as real geography information. Field strength, path profile, and protection ratio with maximum allowable interference level have been illustrated for radar and fixed wireless system for the assumed frequency. In addition interference power of the victim receiver was calculated asa function of azimuth and elevation angles of the interferer. The developed methodology of interference analysis in the VHF and UHF bands can be actually applied to assess interoperability as well as compatibility in the civil or military applications.

Creep Prediction of Chemical Grouted Sands (약액주입 사질고결토의 크리프 예측)

  • Kang, Hee-Bog;Kim, Jong-Ryeol;Kang, Kwon-Soo;Kim, Tae-Hoon;Hwang, Soung-Won
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
    • /
    • v.8 no.2
    • /
    • pp.195-204
    • /
    • 2004
  • A series of constant creep and repeated creep tests are performed to investigate the behavior of visco-elasto-plastic materials of chemical grouted sands. In the result of constant creep test, the material exhibits three types of shear strain : elastic, plastic, viscoelastic. The elastic, plastic and viscoelastic strains are linear, i.e., the strains are proportional to the stresses for loading. Good agreement is found between the predicted viscoelastic and test results by the power law and the generalized model. In the repeated creep test, the instantaneous recoverable strain is time-independent and the magnitude of accumulated plastic strain increases with number of cycles. Also it is seen that the accumulated plastic strains are approximately proportional to stress. There are no significant differences between test results predicted values for first cycle, and the differences increase relatively insignificantly with number of cycles.

Empirical Analyses of Asymmetric Conditional Heteroscedasticities for the KOSPI and Korean Won-US Dollar Exchange Rate (KOSPI지수와 원-달러 환율의 변동성의 비대칭성에 대한 실증연구)

  • Maeng, Hye-Young;Shin, Dong-Wan
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.24 no.6
    • /
    • pp.1033-1043
    • /
    • 2011
  • In this paper, we use a nested family of models of Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity(GARCH) to verify asymmetric conditional heteroscedasticity in the KOSPI and Won-Dollar exchange rate. This study starts from an investigation of whether time series data have asymmetric features not explained by standard GARCH models. First, we use kernel density plot to show the non-normality and asymmetry in data as well as to capture asymmetric conditional heteroscedasticity. Later, we use three representative asymmetric heteroscedastic models, EGARCH(Exponential Garch), GJR-GARCH(Glosten, Jagannathan and Runkle), APARCH(Asymmetric Power Arch) that are improved from standard GARCH models to give a better explanation of asymmetry. Thereby we highlight the fact that volatility tends to respond asymmetrically according to positive and/or negative values of past changes referred to as the leverage effect. Furthermore, it is verified that how the direction of asymmetry is different depending on characteristics of time series data. For the KOSPI and Korean won-US dollar exchange rate, asymmetric heteroscedastic model analysis successfully reveal the leverage effect. We obtained predictive values of conditional volatility and its prediction standard errors by using moving block bootstrap.

Development of a Postural Evaluation Function for Effective Use of an Ergonomic Human Model (인체모형의 효과적 활용을 위한 자세 함수의 개발)

  • Park, Sungjoon;Kim, Ho
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
    • /
    • v.28 no.2
    • /
    • pp.216-222
    • /
    • 2002
  • The ergonomic human model can be considered as a tool for the evaluation of ergonomic factors in vehicle design process. The proper anthropometric data on driver's postures are needed in order to apply a human model to vehicle design. Although studies on driver's posture have been carried out for the last few decades, there are still some problems for the posture data to be applied directly to the human model due to the lack of fitness because such studies were not carried out under the conditions for the human model application. In the traditional researches, the joint angles were evaluated by the categorized data, which are not appropriate for the human model application because it is so extensive that it can not explain the posture evaluation data in detail. And the human models require whole-body posture evaluation data rather than joint evaluation data. In this study a postural evaluation function was developed not by category data but by the concept of the loss function in quality engineering. The loss was defined as the discomfort in driver's posture and measured by the magnitude estimation technique in the experiment using a seating buck. Four loss functions for the each joint - knee, hip, shoulder, and elbow were developed and a whole-body postural evaluation function was constructed by the regression analysis using these loss functions as independent factors. The developed postural evaluation function shows a good prediction power for the driver's posture discomfort in validation test. It is expected that the driver's postural evaluation function based on the loss function can be used in the human model application to the vehicle design process.

A Study on the Theme Park Users' Choice behavior -Application of Constraints-Induced Conjoint Choice Model- (주제공원 이용자들의 선택행동 연구 -Constraints-Induced Conjoint Choice Model의 적용-)

  • 홍성권;이용훈
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
    • /
    • v.28 no.2
    • /
    • pp.18-27
    • /
    • 2000
  • The importance of constraints has been one of major issues in recreation for prediction of choice behavior; however, traditional conjoint choice model did not consider the effects of these variables or fail to integrate them into choice model adequately. The purposes of this research are (a) to estimate the effects of constraints in theme park choice behavior by the constraints-induced conjoint choice model, and (b) to test additional explanatory power of the additional constraints in this suggested model against the more parsimonious traditional model. A leading polling agency was employed to select respondents. Both alternative generating and choice set generating fractional factorial design were conducted to meet the necessary and sufficient conditions for calibration of the constraints-induced conjoint choice model. Th alternative-specific model was calibrated. The log-likelihood ratio test revealed that suggested model was accepted in the favor of the traditional model, and the goodness-of-fit($\rho$$^2$) of suggested and traditional model was 0.48427 and 0.47950, respectively. There was no difference between traditional and suggested model in estimates of attribute levels of car and shuttle bus because alternatives were created to estimate the effects of constraints independently from mode related variables. Most parameters values of constraints had the expected sign and magnitude: the results reflected the characteristics of the theme parks, such as abundance of natural attractions and poor accessibility in Everland, location of major fun rides indoor in Lotte World, city park like characteristics of Dream Land, and traffic jams in Seoul. Instead of the multinomial logit model, the nested logit model is recommended for future researches because this model more reasonably reflects the real decision-making process in park choice. Development of new methodology too integrate this hierarchical decision-making into choice model is anticipated.

  • PDF

Prediction and Measurement of Propagation Path Loss in Underground Environments (지하공간에서의 전파 경로손실의 예측 및 측정)

  • 김영문;진용옥;강명구
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
    • /
    • v.7 no.4
    • /
    • pp.736-742
    • /
    • 2003
  • This paper presents the propagation path loss in a tunnel which is a kinds of underground environments. To predict propagation path loss more accurately, we choose a straight tunnel with rectangular cross-section. The simulated receiver powers that are using a hybrid waveguide model and a Ray-Tracing method, are compared with the measured ones as a function of distance between TX and RX antennas in tunnel. The attenuation value of regression analysis for measured power in the tunnel is 0.0238dB/m which is similar to the one of the EH1.2 mode, 0.0246dB/m in hybrid waveguide model. By comparing simulation with measurement in tunnels, it has been shown that the measured values are approximate to the simulated results of ray-tracing model. In the analysis of wide-band channel characteristics of the tunnel, the more the distance between TX and RX antennas in tunnel increases, RMS delay spread increases and coherence bandwidth decreases.

A study on the effective management of artillery ammunition using ASRP data -The case of test interval determination, shelf-life prediction, force effectiveness analysis- (저장탄약신뢰성평가 데이터를 활용한 포병탄약의 효과적 관리방안 연구 -시험주기 설정, 저장수명 예측, 전력효과 분석을 중심으로-)

  • Lee, Jung-Woo;Hong, Yoon-Ki
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.13 no.9
    • /
    • pp.4349-4358
    • /
    • 2012
  • ASRP(Ammunition Stockpile Reliability Program) Data is stored and operated in the field of evaluating the ammunition is not only the only field data but also the ammunition performance-oriented data can determine objectively the power of the artillery. However, ASRP has been used as a yardstick to judge the status of ammunitions stockpiled in the field. On the other hand re-evaluation of the accumulated data and in-depth research have not been carried out. A Study on the Effective Management of Artillery Ammunition using ASRP data suggests how to utilize the ASRP data to analyze and manage existing artillery forces whose focus is centered on increasing the performance of artillery ammunitions through setting the test intervals of deployed stockpiled ammunitions, forecasting the shelf-life of ammunitions, and analyzing the effectiveness of the military strength through modelling and simulation.

Analysis of Correlation between Respiratory Characteristics and Physical Factors in Healthy Elementary School Childhood (학령기 정상 아동의 호흡 특성과 신체 조건에 관한 상관분석)

  • Lee, Hye Young;Kang, Dong Yeon;Kim, Kyoung
    • The Journal of Korean Physical Therapy
    • /
    • v.25 no.5
    • /
    • pp.330-336
    • /
    • 2013
  • Purpose: Respiratory is an essential vital component for conservation of life in human, which is controlled by respiratory muscles and its related neuromuscular regulation. The purpose of this study is to assess lung capacity and respiratory pressure in healthy children, and to investigate relationship and predictability between respiratory pressure and other related respiratory functions. Methods: A total of 31 healthy children were recruited for this study. Demographic information and respiratory related factors were assessed in terms of body surface area (BSA), chest mobility, lung capacity, and respiratory pressure. Correlation between respiratory pressure and the rested variables was analyzed, and multiple regression using the stepwise method was performed for prediction of respiratory muscle strength, in terms of respiratory pressure as the dependent variable, and demographic and other respiratory variables as the independent variable. Results: According to the results of correlation analysis, respiratory pressure showed significant correlation with age (r=0.62, p<0.01), BSA (r=0.80, p<0.01), FVC (r=0.80, p<0.01), and FEV1 (r=0.70, p<0.01). In results of multiple regression analysis using the backward elimination method, BSA and FVC were included as significant factors of the predictable statistical model. The statistical model showed a significant explanation power of 71.8%. Conclusion: These findings suggest that respiratory pressure could be a valuable measurement tool for evaluation of respiratory function, because of significant relationship with physical characteristics and lung capacity, and that BSA and FVC could be possible predictable factors to explain the degree of respiratory pressure. These findings will provide useful information for clinical assessment and treatment in healthy children as well as those with pulmonary disease.