• Title/Summary/Keyword: power prediction

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Junction Temperature Prediction of IGBT Power Module Based on BP Neural Network

  • Wu, Junke;Zhou, Luowei;Du, Xiong;Sun, Pengju
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.970-977
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, the artificial neural network is used to predict the junction temperature of the IGBT power module, by measuring the temperature sensitive electrical parameters (TSEP) of the module. An experiment circuit is built to measure saturation voltage drop and collector current under different temperature. In order to solve the nonlinear problem of TSEP approach as a junction temperature evaluation method, a Back Propagation (BP) neural network prediction model is established by using the Matlab. With the advantages of non-contact, high sensitivity, and without package open, the proposed method is also potentially promising for on-line junction temperature measurement. The Matlab simulation results show that BP neural network gives a more accuracy results, compared with the method of polynomial fitting.

Development of Photovoltaic Output Power Prediction System using OR-AND Structured Fuzzy Neural Networks (OR-AND 구조의 퍼지 뉴럴 네트워크를 이용한 태양광 발전 출력 예측 시스템 개발)

  • Kim, Haemaro;Han, Chang-Wook;Lee, Don-Kyu
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.334-337
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    • 2019
  • In response to the increasing demand for energy, research and development of next-generation energy is actively carried out around the world to replace fossil fuels. Among them, the specific gravity of solar power generation systems using infinity and pollution-free solar energy is increasing. However, solar power generation is so different from solar energy that it is difficult to provide stable power and the power production itself depends on the solar energy by region. To solve these problems in this paper, we have collected meteorological data such as actual regional solar irradiance, precipitation, temperature and humidity, and proposed a solar power output prediction system using logic-based fuzzy Neural Network.

IMM-Based Interference Prediction and Power Control for Broadband Wireless Packet Networks (광대역 무선 패킷 통신망에서의 IMM 알고리듬을 이용한 간섭예측 및 전력제어)

  • 정영헌;홍순목
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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    • 2003.11c
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    • pp.251-254
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, we develop an effective method for estimating and predicting interference power strength using the IMM(Interacting Multiple Model) algorithm. Based on the proposed interference prediction algorithm, we adjust transmission power of mobile terminals to maintain a certain level of target signal - to - interference- plus -noise- ratio ( SINR ) at the base station. Results of numerical experiments are presented to show a performance profile of the proposed algorithm.

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A Clustering Approach to Wind Power Prediction based on Support Vector Regression

  • Kim, Seong-Jun;Seo, In-Yong
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.108-112
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    • 2012
  • A sustainable production of electricity is essential for low carbon green growth in South Korea. The generation of wind power as renewable energy has been rapidly growing around the world. Undoubtedly wind energy is unlimited in potential. However, due to its own intermittency and volatility, there are difficulties in the effective harvesting of wind energy and the integration of wind power into the current electric power grid. To cope with this, many works have been done for wind speed and power forecasting. It is reported that, compared with physical persistent models, statistical techniques and computational methods are more useful for short-term forecasting of wind power. Among them, support vector regression (SVR) has much attention in the literature. This paper proposes an SVR based wind speed forecasting. To improve the forecasting accuracy, a fuzzy clustering is adopted in the process of SVR modeling. An illustrative example is also given by using real-world wind farm dataset. According to the experimental results, it is shown that the proposed method provides better forecasts of wind power.

A Study on the Availability Prediction of Start-up Power Supply in Nuclear Power Plant by FTAMethod (FTA기법에 의한 원전기동전원의 이용율 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Che, Gyu-Shik
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.48 no.5
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    • pp.517-523
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    • 1999
  • The Start-up transformers or on-site stand-by transformers are installed for the start-up and shut-down of generator and emergency status in unclear power plant. The on-site power supply configuration using these transformers must be detemined by considering configuration requirements, site characteristics, reliability and availability severely because it is remarkably important for safety and benefit of plant. The start-up or stand-by power supply configuration has been determined considering only safety requirements and construction cost up to now in Korea. I study various reliability estimating methods for the prediction of availability, and estimate the unavailability for the start-up power supply system of two 1,000㎿ unclear power plants. I also detemine the reliability and unavailability and unavailavility of equipment, system and configuration using FTA method.

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Development of Program for Substation Noise Prediction (변전소 소음예측 프로그램 개발)

  • Koo, Kyo-Sun;Kweon, Dong-Jin;Woo, Jung-Wook;Kwak, Joo-Sik;Kang, Yeon-Woog
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.56 no.9
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    • pp.1556-1560
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    • 2007
  • Energized power transformers in substations make unwelcome noises which propagate to nearby residential areas. As the excessive noise level become a target of public grievance than ever, utilities are seeking solutions to it. This paper introduce a power transformer noise prediction program which can give utilities effective solutions. Once a noise source is given, the program calculates the propagated noise level at certain points. The estimated result is rendered as noise contour map. To validate the accuracy of the program, the predicted noises are compared to measured one in real substations and proven to be acceptable within a margin of 5 percent.

A Study on the Performance Prediction for Small Hydro Power Plants (소수력발전소의 성능예측)

  • Park, Wan-Soon;Lee, Chul-Hyung
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2005.06a
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    • pp.448-451
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    • 2005
  • This paper presents the methodology to analyze flow duration characteristics and performance prediction for small hydro power(SHP) plants and its application. The flow duration curvecan be decided by using monthly rainfall data at the most of the SHP sites with no useful hydrological data. It was proved that the monthly rainfall data can be characterized by using the cumulative density function of Weibull distribution and Thiessen method were adopted to decide flow duration curve at SHP plants. And, the performance prediction has been studied and development. One SHP plant was selected and performance characteristics was analyzed by using the developed technique. Primary design specfications such as design flowrate, plant capacity, operational rate and annual electricity production for the SHP plant were estimated. It was found that the methodology developed in this study can be a useful tool to predict the performance of SHP plants and candidate sites in Korea.

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A Study on the Computation and Application of Sound Power Level for Road Traffic Noise (도로교통소음 음향파워레벨 산정과 응용에 관한 연구)

  • 김득성;오진우;홍세화;이기정;장서일
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2004.05a
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    • pp.527-534
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    • 2004
  • This study is a paper relating to between road traffic noise(RTN) and sound power level(PWL). At present to prediction of RTN is used to many experimental models and prediction methods. RTN is computed PWL using existing experimental models and prediction methods. Then, computed PWL is compared with it of measurement value, in them, it is selected model most similar to measurement value. And then, this results will watch for make Noise Map, as application field applied to computed results.

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A Feasibility Study on the Characterization of Incipient Insulator Failure for Distribution Fault Prediction (배전선로 고장예지를 위한 애자의 고장징후 특성에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Jeong-Hoon;Kim, Tae-Won;Park, Seong-Taek;Kim, Chang-Jong
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1997.11a
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    • pp.245-249
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    • 1997
  • A feasibility study on the characterization of incipient insulator failure for distribution fault prediction is presented. In this study, real distribution data was collected and analyzed to isolate incipient failure signatures or parameters which were expected to show distinct behaviors before and after failure incident. Several signal analysis methods were applied to isolate the parameters and a new strategy of analysis, the event-date concept, was also applied to find a relationship between non-harmonic and high frequency signal activities and imminent insulator failures.

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Performance Prediction of Rotating Machinery Having Power Split/Circulaled Transmission (동력 분기/순환 구조를 갖는 회전기계의 정성적 성능해석)

  • 조한상;이동준;이장무;박영일;임원식
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 1994.10a
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    • pp.953-957
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    • 1994
  • A performance prediction method is presented in this paper for design of a rotating machinery having power split/circulated transmisson with slip elements and planetary gears. And internal power flow patterns of such systems are theoretically analyzed by using mathematical modeling. To estimate usefulness of the designed machinary, geometrical approach has been adopted through the performance locus diagram which represents overall characteristics of the system. This gives us complect prediction of the qualitative performane and effects of design factors such as system layout, types and gear ratios of planetary gears and disign parameters of slip elements. The results for one of them are compared with experimental ones using dynamometer for verification.

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