• 제목/요약/키워드: potential model

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몽골 이동통신 시장의 확산 패턴 연구 (A Study on the Diffusion Pattern of Mongolian Mobile Market)

  • 바드몬드 앵흐자야;홍정식;김태구
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제51권4호
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    • pp.691-700
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: This study aims to analyze the diffusion pattern of the Mongolian mobile phone market. In particular, we used a generalized diffusion model to explore the factors affecting market potenial. Methods: We used three diffusion models to estimate the number of mobile subscribers in Mongolia. Based on the Logistic model with the best fitness, we introduced time-varying market potential and explored the influence of various independent variables such as GDP and inflation. Results: Among the basic diffusion models, the Logistic model was the best in terms of estimation performance and statistical significance. The estimation results of the Generalized Logistic model confirm that investment in the telecommunication sector has a significant positive effect on market potential. The estimation of the Generalized Logistic model effectively describes the continuous growth of the Mongolian telecommunications market until recently. Conclusion: We have analyzed the diffusion pattern of the Mongolian telecommunications market and found that the amount of investment in the sector leads to the growth of the market size. This study is original in terms of its subject - Mongolian telecommunications market and methodology - time-varying market potential.

공간통합 모델을 적용한 암괴류 및 애추 지형 분포가능지 추출 (Extraction of Potential Area for Block Stream and Talus Using Spatial Integration Model)

  • 이성호;장동호
    • 한국지형학회지
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2019
  • This study analyzed the relativity between block stream and talus distributions by employing a likelihood ratio approach. Possible distribution sites for each debris slope landform were extracted by applying a spatial integration model, in which we combined fuzzy set model, Bayesian predictive model, and logistic regression model. Moreover, to verify model performance, a success rate curve was prepared by cross-validation. The results showed that elevation, slope, curvature, topographic wetness index, geology, soil drainage, and soil depth were closely related to the debris slope landform sites. In addition, all spatial integration models displayed an accuracy of over 90%. The accuracy of the distribution potential area map of the block stream was highest in the logistic regression model (93.79%). Eventually, the accuracy of the distribution potential area map of the talus was also highest in the logistic regression model (97.02%). We expect that the present results will provide essential data and propose methodologies to improve the performance of efficient and systematic micro-landform studies. Moreover, our research will potentially help to enhance field research and topographic resource management.

청소년 스마트폰 중독자 예측 및 회복 프로그램에 관한 연구 (Studies on the Forecast of Smart Phone Addicted Youths and the Effect of Rehabilitation Programs)

  • 정관용;변상해
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제16권3호
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    • pp.77-96
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    • 2015
  • This study aims to forecast of the number of smart phone addicted youths and to evaluate the effect of rehabilitation programs. A system dynamics model is developed to describe the processes of addiction and transits between phases as well as the diffusion of smart phones. The youths are grouped into non users, general users, potential risky users, and high risky users. The model utilizes the population distributions over ages for the next 30 years forecasted by Korean Government. The number of youths decreases for the next decade or so, and the number of youths who owns smart phone will reach maximum at 2017. As for the rehabilitation programs, the model includes the preventive education for general users, counseling for potential risky users, and professional therapy for high risky users. The preventive education restricts the transit from general users to potential risky users. Counseling increases the transit from potential risky users to general users while it decreases the transit to high risky users. Professional therapy improves transit to potential risky users and to general users. Although the model cannot be validated the accuracy owing to the lack of data, it describes these transit within the reasonable ranges and can be used to study the allocation of the limited resources to maximize the outcome.

고속 활주선 모형 주위의 유동해석 (Flow Analysis around a High-speed Planing Hull Model)

  • 김병남;김우전;유재훈
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.38-46
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    • 2009
  • Two sets of numerical simulations were carried out for a planing hull model ship. In the first, the WAVIS 1.4 linear and nonlinear potential solver was utilized with the free support condition, in which the running posture was determined during calculation. The linear and nonlinear potential calculation results showed qualitative agreement in the trim and resistance coefficient with the MOERI towing tank test. However, the nonlinear potential calculation gave better results than the linear method. In the next simulation, Fluent 6.3.26 with a VOF model and the WAVIS 1.4 nonlinear potential solver were used with the given running posture from the measurement carried out in the MOERI towing tank. Fluent with the VOF method had substantially better agreement with model test results than the results from the WAVIS nonlinear potential calculation for the total resistance coefficient, and for the bow and stern wave patterns, in spite of the much greater computational costs. Both methods can be utilized in planing hull design when their limitations are perceived, and the running posture should be predicted correctly.

다중선형회귀법을 활용한 예민화와 환경변수에 따른 AL-6XN강의 공식특성 예측 (Prediction of Pitting Corrosion Characteristics of AL-6XN Steel with Sensitization and Environmental Variables Using Multiple Linear Regression Method)

  • 정광후;김성종
    • Corrosion Science and Technology
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    • 제19권6호
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    • pp.302-309
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    • 2020
  • This study aimed to predict the pitting corrosion characteristics of AL-6XN super-austenitic steel using multiple linear regression. The variables used in the model are degree of sensitization, temperature, and pH. Experiments were designed and cyclic polarization curve tests were conducted accordingly. The data obtained from the cyclic polarization curve tests were used as training data for the multiple linear regression model. The significance of each factor in the response (critical pitting potential, repassivation potential) was analyzed. The multiple linear regression model was validated using experimental conditions that were not included in the training data. As a result, the degree of sensitization showed a greater effect than the other variables. Multiple linear regression showed poor performance for prediction of repassivation potential. On the other hand, the model showed a considerable degree of predictive performance for critical pitting potential. The coefficient of determination (R2) was 0.7745. The possibility for pitting potential prediction was confirmed using multiple linear regression.

블랙 숄즈 모델을 이용한 잠재적 풍력발전 위치의 경제적 가치분석 (The Economic Value Analysis of the Potential Wind Farm Site Using the Black-Scholes Model)

  • 심재훈
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제45권4호
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    • pp.21-30
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    • 2022
  • To mitigate the environmental impacts of the energy sector, the government of South Korea has made a continuous effort to facilitate the development and commercialization of renewable energy. As a result, the efficiency of renewable energy plants is not a consideration in the potential site selection process. To contribute to the overall sustainability of this increasingly important sector, this study utilizes the Black-Scholes model to evaluate the economic value of potential sites for off-site wind farms, while analyzing the environmental mitigation of these potential sites in terms of carbon emission reduction. In order to incorporate the importance of flexibility and uncertainty factors in the evaluation process, this study has developed a site evaluation model focused on system dynamics and real option approaches that compares the expected revenue and expected cost during the life cycle of off-site wind farm sites. Using sensitivity analysis, this study further investigates two uncertainty factors (namely, investment cost and wind energy production) on the economic value and carbon emission reduction of potential wind farm locations.

Compact Model of Tunnel Field-Effect-Transistors

  • Najam, Faraz;Yu, Yun Seop
    • 한국정보통신학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정보통신학회 2016년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.160-162
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    • 2016
  • A compact model of tunnel field effect transistor (TFET) has been developed. The model includes a surface potentia calculation module and a band-to-band-tunneling current module. Model comparison with TCAD shows that the mode calculates TFET surface potential and drain current accurately.

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경락노선상 직류 전위 측정에서의 문제점 (The Problems in the Measurement of DC Potential on Meridian Skin Area)

  • 허익범;이우철;이유정;인창식
    • 대한한의진단학회지
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.131-135
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    • 2005
  • Background and purpose: The measurement of direct current (DC) potential on skin area of meridian has recently been adopted to explore the electrophysiological characteristics of meridian system, But there exists two problems to be explained; the entity of the DC potential to be measured and the characteristics of electrode gel interface of measurement system, It is not clear whether the DC potential reflect, at least hypothetically, the entity of meridian, and if there exist any unstable factor in the DC potential measurement system. Methods: In this study, we designed an electronic circuit model of skin and applied known DC potential sources $({\pm}10.75mV,\;0mV)$ to the electrode interface of the skin model. Results: The result showed that the measured DC potential changed according to the time, and the same phenomenon was observed when the electrode gel was replaced with an electric condenser. It is suggested that the measurement of DC potential on electrode gel interface is very difficult and produces unstable values due to the capacity effect of electrode gel. Conclusion: Further studies on the DC potential evaluation in the context of meridian study should consider and bypass this problem.

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구조체의 매설깊이에 따른 전위상승 (Potential Ruse as a function of the Buried Depth for Structure)

  • 길형준;김동욱;김동우;이기연;김향곤
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2006년도 제37회 하계학술대회 논문집 전기설비
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    • pp.27-28
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    • 2006
  • This paper deals with an approach to the reduction of potential rise according to the buried depth of structure. In order to analyze the surface potential rise of structure, an electrolytic tank which simulates the semi-infinite earth has been used. The potential rise has been measured and analyzed for types of structure using an electrolytic tank experimental apparatus in real time. The structure models were designed through reducing real buildings and fabricated with two types on a scale of one-one hundred sixty When a test current flowed through structure models, the potential rise of outline frame type(structure model A) was more high than that of electric cage type(structure model B). The distributions of surface potential rise are dependent on the buried depth of structure model.

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Maxent 모형을 이용한 서식지 잠재력 평가 - 하천으로부터의 거리, 하천의 차수, 토지이용을 중심으로- (Habitat Potential Evaluation Using Maxent Model - Focused on Riparian Distance, Stream Order and Land Use -)

  • 이동근;김호걸
    • 한국환경복원기술학회지
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    • 제13권6호
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    • pp.161-172
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    • 2010
  • As the interest on biodiversity has increased around the world, researches about evaluating potential for habitat are also increasing to find and comprehend the valuable habitats. This study focus on comprehending the significance of stream in evaluating habitat's potential. The purpose of this study is to evaluate habitat potential with applying stream as a main variable, and to comprehend the relationship between the variables and habitat potential. Basin is a unit that has hydrological properties and dynamic interaction with ecosystem. Especially, biodiversity and suitability of habitat in basin area has direct correlation with stream. Existing studies also are proposing for habitat potential evaluation in basin unit, they applied forest, slope and road as main variables. Despite stream is considered the most important factor in basin area, researchers haven't applied stream as a main variable. Therefore, in this study, three variables that can demonstrate hydrological properties are selected, which are, riparian distance, stream order and land use disturbance, and evaluate habitat potential. Habitat potential is analyzed by using Maxent (Maximum entropy model), and vertebrate's presence data is used as dependent variables and stream order map and land cover map is used as base data of independent variables. As a result of analysis, habitat potential is higher at riparian and upstream area, and lower at frequently disturbed area. Result indicates that adjacent to stream, upstream, and less disturbed area is the habitat that vertebrate prefer. In particular, mammals prefer adjacent area of stream and forest and reptiles prefer upriver area. Birds prefer adjacent area of stream and midstream and amphibians prefer adjacent area of stream and upriver. The result of this research could help to establish habitat conservation strategy around basin unit in the future.