• 제목/요약/키워드: posterior distribution

검색결과 554건 처리시간 0.028초

단순 수명정보를 이용한 IPM의 베이지안 신뢰도 평가 연구 (A Study on Bayesian Reliability Evaluation of IPM using Simple Information)

  • 조동철;구정서
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제36권2호
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    • pp.32-38
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    • 2021
  • This paper suggests an approach to evaluate the reliability of an intelligent power module with information deficiency of prior distribution and the characteristics of censored data through Bayesian statistics. This approach used a prior distribution of Bayesian statistics using the lifetime information provided by the manufacturer and compared and evaluated diffuse prior (vague prior) distributions. To overcome the computational complexity of Bayesian posterior distribution, it was computed with Gibbs sampling in the Monte Carlo simulation method. As a result, the standard deviation of the prior distribution developed using simple information was smaller than that of the posterior distribution calculated with the diffuse prior. In addition, it showed excellent error characteristics on RMSE compared with the Kaplan-Meier method.

Posterior Screw Fixation in Previously Augmented Vertebrae with Bone Cement : Is It Inapplicable?

  • Park, Jae Hoo;Ju, Chang Il;Kim, Seok Won
    • Journal of Korean Neurosurgical Society
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    • 제61권1호
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    • pp.114-119
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    • 2018
  • Objective : The purpose of this study was to determine the feasibility of screw fixation in previously augmented vertebrae with bone cement. We also investigated the influence of cement distribution pattern on the surgical technique. Methods : Fourteen patients who required screw fixation at the level of the previous percutaneous vertebroplasty or balloon kyphoplasty were enrolled in this study. The indications for screw fixation in the previously augmented vertebrae with bone cement included delayed complications, such as cement dislodgement, cement leakage with neurologic deficits, and various degenerative spinal diseases, such as spondylolisthesis or foraminal stenosis. Clinical outcomes, including pain scale scores, cement distribution pattern, and procedure-related complications were assessed. Results : Three patients underwent posterior screw fixation in previously cemented vertebrae due to cement dislodgement or progressive kyphosis. Three patients required posterior screw fixation for cement leakage or displacement of fracture fragments with neurologic deficits. Eight patients underwent posterior screw fixation due to various degenerative spinal diseases. It was possible to insert screws in the previously augmented vertebrae regardless of the cement distribution pattern; however, screw insertion was more difficult and changed directions in the patients with cemented vertebrae exhibiting a solid pattern rather than a trabecular pattern. All patients showed significant improvements in pain compared with the preoperative levels, and no patient experienced neurologic deterioration as seen at the final follow-up. Conclusion : For patients with vertebrae previously augmented with bone cement, posterior screw fixation is not a contraindication, but is a feasible option.

Posterior Consistency of Bayesian Inference of Poisson Processes

  • Kim, Yongdai
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.825-834
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    • 2002
  • Poisson processes are widely used in reliability and survival analysis. In particular, multiple event time data in survival analysis are routinely analyzed by use of Poisson processes. In this paper, we consider large sample properties of nonparametric Bayesian models for Poisson processes. We prove that the posterior distribution of the cumulative intensity function of Poisson processes is consistent under regularity conditions on priors which are Levy processes.

사진자료에 의한 여성 상반신 측면체형 분류 (Classification of Side Somatotype of the Trunk by Analysing Photographic Data)

  • 정명숙
    • 한국생활과학회지
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    • 제12권5호
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    • pp.767-776
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    • 2003
  • The purpose of this study was to classify side somatotypes of the trunk by analysing photographic data. Then their distribution according to the age groups was studied. The subjects were 315 females of 18 to 49 year-old. Thirty one photographic measurements were taken to each subject. The factors affecting the side somatotype of the trunk were obtained by principal component analysis, vertical size, posterior/anterior depth and neck posture. The side somatotypes of the trunk were classified into 4 types and their differences were shown by analysing photographic data. The side silhouettes of 4 types were compared with balanced type. By suggesting the canonical discriminant function with the unstandardized canonical coefficient, individual somatotype of the trunk could be discriminated from the photographic data of anterior neck height, anterior waist height, posterior waist depth, buttock height, and anterior depth at the level of back protrusion. The frequency distribution of the side somatotypes of the trunk according to the age groups could be applied for clothing construction and the rate of clothing production.

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이항 비율의 가중 POLYA POSTERIOR 구간추정 (Interval Estimation for a Binomial Proportion Based on Weighted Polya Posterior)

  • 이승천
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.607-615
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    • 2005
  • 최근 여러 학자들에 의해 이항 비율의 구간 추정에 많이 사용되고 있는 Wald 신뢰구 간의 문제점이 재조명되고 있고, 이에 대한 대안으로 이항 비율의 새로운 신뢰구간들이 발표되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 가중 Polya posterior를 이용한 베이지안 구간추정을 구하였다. 이 구간추정은 이항분포의 공액분포인 베타 사전분포에서 구한 전통적인 베이지안 구간추정과 같으나 추정의 편의를 위하여 정규근사에 의한 신뢰구간을 구할 때, 표본크기가 크면 실제적으로 Argresti와 Coull (1998)의 신뢰구간과도 일치하였다. 또 새로운 신뢰구간은 표본크기가 작은 경우와 비율이 극히 작은 경우에도 매우 유용한 신뢰구간이 된다는 것을 살펴보았다.

Generative probabilistic model with Dirichlet prior distribution for similarity analysis of research topic

  • Milyahilu, John;Kim, Jong Nam
    • 한국멀티미디어학회논문지
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.595-602
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    • 2020
  • We propose a generative probabilistic model with Dirichlet prior distribution for topic modeling and text similarity analysis. It assigns a topic and calculates text correlation between documents within a corpus. It also provides posterior probabilities that are assigned to each topic of a document based on the prior distribution in the corpus. We then present a Gibbs sampling algorithm for inference about the posterior distribution and compute text correlation among 50 abstracts from the papers published by IEEE. We also conduct a supervised learning to set a benchmark that justifies the performance of the LDA (Latent Dirichlet Allocation). The experiments show that the accuracy for topic assignment to a certain document is 76% for LDA. The results for supervised learning show the accuracy of 61%, the precision of 93% and the f1-score of 96%. A discussion for experimental results indicates a thorough justification based on probabilities, distributions, evaluation metrics and correlation coefficients with respect to topic assignment.

Posterior Consistency for Right Censored Data

  • Lee, Jae-Yong
    • 한국통계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국통계학회 2003년도 추계 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.39-45
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    • 2003
  • Ghosh and Ramamoorthi (1996) studied the posterior consistency for survival models and showed that the posterior was consistent, when the prior on the distribution of survival times was the Dirichlet process prior. In this paper, we study the posterior consistency of survival models with neutral to the right process priors which include Dirichlet process priors. A set of sufficient conditions for the posterior consistency with neutral to the right process priors are given. Interestingly, not all the neutral to the right process priors have consistent posteriors, but most of the popular priors such as Dirichlet processes, beta processes and gamma processes have consistent posteriors. For extended beta processes, a necessary and sufficient condition for the consistency is also established.

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Evaluation of reliability of zirconia materials to be used in implant-retained restoration on the atrophic bone of the posterior maxilla: A finite element study

  • Degirmenci, Kubra;Kocak-Buyukdere, Ayse;Ekici, Bulent
    • The Journal of Advanced Prosthodontics
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.112-119
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    • 2019
  • PURPOSE. Zirconia materials have been used for implant-retained restorations, but the stress distribution of zirconia is not entirely clear. The aim of this study is to evaluate the stress distribution and risky areas caused by the different design of zirconia restorations on the atrophic bone of the posterior maxilla. MATERIALS AND METHODS. An edentulous D4-type bone model was prepared from radiography of an atrophic posterior maxilla. Monolithic zirconia and zirconia-fused porcelain implant-retained restorations were designed as splinted or non-splinted. 300-N occlusal forces were applied obliquely. Stress analyses were performed using a 3D FEA program. RESULTS. According to stress analysis, the bone between the 1) molar implant and the 2) premolar in the non-splinted monolithic zirconia restoration model was stated as the riskiest area. Similarly, the maximum von Mises stress value was detected on the bone of the non-splinted monolithic zirconia models. CONCLUSION. Splinting of implant-retained restorations can be more critical for monolithic zirconia than zirconia fused to porcelain for the longevity of the bone.

베이지안 방법론을 적용한 154 kV 송전용 자기애자의 수명 평가 개발 (Lifetime Assessments on 154 kV Transmission Porcelain Insulators with a Bayesian Approach)

  • 최인혁;김태균;윤용범;이준신;김성욱
    • 한국전기전자재료학회논문지
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    • 제30권9호
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    • pp.551-557
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    • 2017
  • It is extremely important to improve methodologies for the lifetime assessment of porcelain insulators. While there has been a considerable amount of work regarding the phenomena of lifetime distributions, most of the studies assume that aging distributions follow the Weibull distribution. However, the true underlying distribution is unknown, giving rise to unrealistic inferences, such as parameter estimations. In this article, we review several distributions that are commonly used in reliability and survival analysis, such as the exponential, Weibull, log-normal, and gamma distributions. Some properties, including the characteristics of failure rates of these distributions, are presented. We use a Bayesian approach for model selection and parameter estimation procedures. A well-known measure, called the Bayes factor, is used to find the most plausible model among several contending models. The posterior mean can be used as a parameter estimate for unknown parameters, once a model with the highest posterior probability is selected. Extensive simulation studies are performed to demonstrate our methodologies.

증감뇌유발전위와 성격의 상호 관계영상 (EP Augmenting / Reducing : Personality Correlates and Topographic Distribution)

  • 이성훈
    • 수면정신생리
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.165-170
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    • 1995
  • 증감뇌유발전위와 성격의 상호관계의 영상적 분포를 조사하기 위해 38명의 대학생에게 증감뇌유발전위를 검사하였다. 그리고 Zuckerman의 추구척도와 Eysenck 성격설문지로 그들의 성격을 조사하였다. 외향 및 내향성 척도와 증감뇌유발 전위 사이에 후 전두엽 부위에서는 유의한 정상관관계가 있었으나 우측 후반구에서는 유의한 부상관 관계를 보였다. 스릴과 모험추구 척도와는 우측 후 측두엽에서 유의한 부상관 관계를 보였다. 모든 검사자의 평균 증감뇌유발전위는 전두엽 부위에서는 증가 경사도를 보였으나 후반구 부위에서는 감소경사도를 보였다.

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