• Title/Summary/Keyword: population distribution prediction

검색결과 60건 처리시간 0.022초

인접도로의 유형에 따른 공동주택 주거단지의 도로교통소음 전달영향 및 평가 (A Study on the Prediction and Evaluation of Road Traffic Noise at the Apartment Housing Complex depending on the Types of Adjacent Roads)

  • 백건종;장길수;백은선
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.61-68
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    • 2009
  • In this study, computer simulation program was using to identify the effects of road traffic noise propagation depending on the road types which are very variable in dense city. To achieve this goal, the roads should adjacent to housing complex were categorized into 7 types and propagation noise level should predicted then after simulation of noise exposure population calculation are carried out. Followings the results. First, the road types producing the higher noise level are R1, R2, R3 and R7. The lowest one is R6. And R4, R5 showed that some amount of noise level reduction. Second. the R6 road type which is tunnel shaped showed the highest noise level reduction in vertical distance gap. Last, the order of noise exposure population ratio is R1>R2>R7 and R6 showed the lowest.

가상환경상의 인간공학적 제품설계를 위한 인체모델군 생성기법 개발 및 적용 (Development and Application of a Generation Method of Human Models for Ergonomic Product Design in Virtual Environment)

  • 류태범;정인준;유희천;김광재
    • 산업공학
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    • 제16권spc호
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    • pp.144-148
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    • 2003
  • A group of digital human models with various sizes which properly represents a population under consideration is needed in the design process of an ergonomic product in virtual environment. The present study proposes a two-step method which produces a representative group of human models in terms of stature and weight. The proposed method first generates a designated number of pairs of stature and weight within an accommodation range from the bivariate normal distribution of stature and weight of the target population. Then, from each pair of stature and weight, the method determines the sizes of body segments by using 'hierarchical' regression models and corresponding prediction distributions of individual values. The suggested method was applied to the 1988 US Army anthropometric survey data and implemented to a web-based system which generates a representative group of human models for the following parameters: nationality, gender, accommodation percentage, and number of human models.

Estimation of the time-dependent AUC for cure rate model with covariate dependent censoring

  • Yang-Jin Kim
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제31권4호
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    • pp.365-375
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    • 2024
  • Diverse methods to evaluate the prediction model of a time to event have been proposed in the context of right censored data where all subjects are subject to be susceptible. A time-dependent AUC (area under curve) measures the predictive ability of a marker based on case group and control one which are varying over time. When a substantial portion of subjects are event-free, a population consists of a susceptible group and a cured one. An uncertain curability of censored subjects makes it difficult to define both case group and control one. In this paper, our goal is to propose a time-dependent AUC for a cure rate model when a censoring distribution is related with covariates. A class of inverse probability of censoring weighted (IPCW) AUC estimators is proposed to adjust the possible sampling bias. We evaluate the finite sample performance of the suggested methods with diverse simulation schemes and the application to the melanoma dataset is presented to compare with other methods.

A Preliminary Population Genetic Study of an Overlooked Endemic ash, Fraxinus chiisanensis in Korea Using Allozyme Variation

  • Lee, Heung Soo;Chang, Chin-Sung;Kim, Hui;Choi, Do Yeol
    • 한국산림과학회지
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    • 제98권5호
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    • pp.531-538
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    • 2009
  • We used enzyme electrophoresis to evaluate genetic diversity in five populations of endemic ash, Fraxinus chiisanensis in Korea. Of 15 putative allozyme loci examined 26.7% were polymorphic and expected heterozygosity for the species was low (0.082). Within the range, population were highly differentiated ($F_{ST}$=0.356) and little genetic variation was explained by geography. The pattern of distribution of variation showed low genetic variation within populations and pronounced divergence among populations, which was consistent with the prediction for the effects of limited gene flow and local genetic erosion. Although the frequencies of male plants were dominant ranging from 79.3% to 89.4%, most mating events seems to be inevitable mating between relatives in small populations based on heterozygote deficiency of this species. Small effective population size and the limited dispersal contributed to the low rates of gene flow within as well as between populations.

Prediction of Auditor Selection Using a Combination of PSO Algorithm and CART in Iran

  • Salehi, Mahdi;Kamalahmadi, Sharifeh;Bahrami, Mostafa
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.33-41
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    • 2014
  • Purpose - The purpose of this study was to predict the selection of independent auditors in the companies listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE) using a combination of PSO algorithm and CART. This study involves applied research. Design, approach and methodology - The population consisted of all the companies listed on TSE during the period 2005-2010, and the sample included 576 data specimens from 95 companies during six consecutive years. The independent variables in the study were the financial ratios of the sample companies, which were analyzed using two data mining techniques, namely, PSO algorithm and CART. Results - The results of this study showed that among the analyzed variables, total assets, current assets, audit fee, working capital, current ratio, debt ratio, solvency ratio, turnover, and capital were predictors of independent auditor selection. Conclusion - The current study is practically the first to focus on this topic in the specific context of Iran. In this regard, the study may be valuable for application in developing countries.

상수도 1일 급수량 예측을 위한 ANFIS적용 (Application of ANFIS for Prediction of Daily Water Supply)

  • 이경훈;강일환;문병석
    • 상하수도학회지
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.281-290
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    • 2000
  • This study investigates the prediction of daily water supply, which is a necessary for the efficient management of water distribution system. ANFIS, namely artificial intelligence, is a neural network into which fuzzy information is inputted and then processed. In this study, daily water supply was predicted through an application of network-based fuzzy inference system(ANFIS) for daily water supply prediction. This study was investigated methods for predicting water supply based on data about the amount of water which supplied in Kwangju city. For variables choice, four analyses of input data were conducted: correlation analysis, autocorrelation analysis, partial autocorrelation analysis, and cross-correlation analysis. Input variables were (a) the amount of water supply, (b) the mean temperature, and (c) the population of the area supplied with water. Variables were combined in an integrated model. Data of the amount of daily water supply only was modelled and its validity was verified in the case that the meteorological office of weather forecast is not always reliable. Proposed models include accidental cases such as a suspension of water supply. The maximum error rate between the estimation of the model and the actual measurement was 18.46% and the average error was lower than 2.36%. The model is expected to be a real-time estimation of the operational control of water works and water/drain pipes.

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기후변화에 따른 법정보호종 분포 예측을 위한 종분포모델 적용 방법 검토 - Rodgersia podophylla를 중심으로 - (A Study on the Application of Modeling to predict the Distribution of Legally Protected Species Under Climate Change - A Case Study of Rodgersia podophylla -)

  • 유영재;황진후;전성우
    • 한국환경복원기술학회지
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.29-43
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    • 2024
  • Legally protected species are one of the crucial considerations in the field of natural ecology when conducting environmental impact assessments (EIAs). The occurrence of legally protected species, especially 'Endangered Wildlife' designated by Ministry of Environment, significantly influences the progression of projects subject to EIA, necessitating clear investigations and presentations of their habitats. In perspective of statistics, a minimum of 30 occurrence coordinates is required for population prediction, but most of endangered wildlife has insufficient coordinates and it posing challenges for distribution prediction through modeling. Consequently, this study aims to propose modeling methodologies applicable when coordinate data are limited, focusing on Rodgersia podophylla, representing characteristics of endangered wildlife and northern plant species. For this methodology, 30 random sampling coordinates were used as input data, assuming little survey data, and modeling was performed using individual models included in BIOMOD2. After that, the modeling results were evaluated by using discrimination capacity and the reality reflection ability. An optimal modeling technique was proposed by ensemble the remaining models except for the MaxEnt model, which was found to be less reliable in the modeling results. Alongside discussions on discrimination capacity metrics(e.g. TSS and AUC) presented in modeling results, this study provides insights and suggestions for improvement, but it has limitations that it is difficult to use universally because it is not a study conducted on various species. By supporting survey site selection in EIA processes, this research is anticipated to contribute to minimizing situations where protected species are overlooked in survey results.

아쿠아포닉스 생산 관리를 위한 지능형 성장 측정 시스템 (Smart Growth Measurement System for Aquaponics Production Management)

  • 이현섭;김진덕
    • 한국정보통신학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정보통신학회 2022년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.357-359
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    • 2022
  • 지속적으로 악화되고 있는 공기, 토양 및 수질 등 주요 환경오염과 코로나 팬더믹에 의한 생활 패턴의 급진적인 변화로 인해 온라인 유통에 의한 친환경 식재료의 시장이 급성장하고 있다. 그리고 사회 구조 변화에 따른 인구 고령화 및 농업 관련 인구 감소하고 있는 가운데 아쿠아포닉스는 노후 경제 활동 자립, 환경 보호, 건강하고 안전한 먹거리 확보 등 문제들을 해결할 수 있는 시스템으로 부각되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 기존 아쿠아포닉스 시스템에 여러 ICT 기술을 융합하여 최적 생육환경도출 및 정량생산예측을 위한 지능형 아쿠아포닉스 생산관리 모듈 중 지능형 식물 성장 측정 시스템을 설계하고자 한다. 특히 고성능의 처리 자원을 갖지 않는 생산 현장에 적합한 시스템 설계에 주안점을 두고, 생산 환경과 학습 데이터 및 판단 시스템을 위한 모듈 구성 방안을 제안하고자 한다.

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GIS 자료를 이용한 초과소음지도 작성과 소음 평가 (Excess Noise Map for Environmental Standard and Assessment of Noise with Using GIS Data)

  • 고준희;이병찬;임재석;박수진;장서일
    • 한국소음진동공학회논문집
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    • 제19권10호
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    • pp.1075-1082
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    • 2009
  • Using GIS data of C-si as basic data when making noise map of road traffic, we estimated exactly the noise excess areas and consequently suggested the population and the area exposed to road traffic noise accurately. We made 3D noise map to assess regional distribution of noise quantitatively. The noise map consists of noise prediction model based on data base such as traffic volume and speed changes for estimating quantitatively the noise and 3D urban space model which includes locations of noise sources, 3D buildings, topography and roads. We made noise standard map according to land use conditions and compared this map to road traffic noise map, and consequently made excess noise map. Using excess noise map, we assessed areas which exceed environmental noise level standards and noise guidelines quantitatively and effectively through GIS spatial analysis, and consequently more accurate noise exposed area and noise exposed population could be estimated. To show buildings' outer walls noise exposure, we analyzed 3D urban noise distributions using 3D-analysis of GIS.

장기 배출량 자료와 다매체 환경모델을 이용한 국내 대기 중 PCB 농도 및 패턴 예측 (Prediction of Concentrations and Congener Patterns of Polychlorinated Biphenyls in Korea Using Historical Emission Data and a Multimedia Environmental Model)

  • 최성득
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.249-258
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    • 2008
  • Historical emission data for 11 polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs) and a regional multimedia environmental model, CoZMo-POP 2, were used to predict air concentrations and congener patterns in Korea. The total emission value for South Korea was allocated to sub-provinces and cities based on their population. The spatial distribution of PCB emissions was generally correlated with that of measured atmospheric levels, suggesting that population could be a good surrogate for the intensity of PCB emission in Korea. The simulated time trends of air concentrations well reflected those of emission with a peak in the mid-1970s and insignificant levels in the 2030s. The model predicted that the contribution of volatile PCBs had increased after emission reduction iii the 1970s. This trend would continue until the early 2030s. The measured and modeled PCB levels in the 2000s were in an agreement of an order of magnitude, and their congener patterns were very similar. Consequently, despite of high uncertainty for emission estimates, the emission data for Korea used in this study is considered to be reliable. The results of this study could be compared with simulation data based on a new emission inventory to be developed by measurements in the near future.