• Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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• v.30 no.1_2
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• pp.135-145
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• 2012

Traditionally, ERM (Equivalent Random Method) is used to determine number of circuits in an overflow circuit group with rough traffic which has vmr(variance to mean ratio) greater than one. Recently, IPP(Interrupted Poisson Process) approximate method which represents the collective feature of the overflow has been introduced. The negative binomial loss formula can be applied to determine the required number of circuits in the overflow circuit group. In this paper, we deal with the negative binomial loss formula and determination method of number of circuits. We also analyze and compare these three loss formulas.

• The KIPS Transactions:PartC
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• v.8C no.3
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• pp.327-334
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• 2001

네트워크를 설계하고 서비스를 구현하는데 있어서 중요한 변수중의 하나는 트래픽의 특성을 파악하는 것이다. 기존의 트래픽 예측과 분석은 포아송(Poisson) 또는 마코비안(Markovian)을 기본으로 하는 모델을 사용하였다. LAN, WAN 및 VBR(Variable Bit Rate) 트래픽 특성에 관한 최근의 실험적 연구들은 기존의 포아송 가정에 의한 모델들이 네트워크 트래픽의 장기간 의존성 및 self-similar 특성들을 과소평가 함으로써 실제 트래픽의 특성을 제대로 나타낼 수 없다는 것을 지적해 왔다. 따라서 최근 실제 트래픽 모델과 유사한 모델로서 self-similarity 특성을 이용한 접근법이 대두되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 self-similarity 트래픽의 정의에 대해서 논한다. 그리고 실제 트래픽을 수집하고, 인위적으로 self-similarity한 트래픽과 포아송 모델을 적용시킨 트래픽을 발생시켜 비교한 다음 ATM 스위치의 큐(Queue)에 적용하였다. 본 논문에서는 ATM 스위치의 큐에 self-similarity 트래픽을 적용했을 경우 low bound상에서 버퍼 오버플로우 확률 및 셀 손실 확률에 대해 평가하였다.

• Journal of Information Processing Systems
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• v.7 no.4
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• pp.653-678
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• 2011

WiMAX is intended for fourth generation wireless mobile communications where a group of users are provided with a connection and a fixed length queue. In present literature traffic of such network is analyzed based on the generator matrix of the Markov Arrival Process (MAP). In this paper a simple analytical technique of the two dimensional Markov chain is used to obtain the trajectory of the congestion of the network as a function of a traffic parameter. Finally, a two state phase dependent arrival process is considered to evaluate probability states. The entire analysis is kept independent of modulation and coding schemes.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.27 no.4
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• pp.207-215
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• 2009

Generally, traffic accidents can be influenced by variables driving conditions including geometric, roadside design, and traffic conditions. Under the circumstance, homogeneous roadway segments were firstly identified using typical geometric variables obtained from field data collections in this study. These field data collections were conducted at highways located in several areas having various regional conditions for examples, outside metropolitan city; level and rolling rural areas. Due to many zero cells in crash database, a Zero Inflated Poisson model was used to develop crash prediction model to overestimated results in this study. It was found that EXPO, radius, grade, guardrail, mountainous terrain, crosswalk and bus-stop have statistically significant influence on vehicle to vehicle crashes at rural multi-lane roadway segments.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.17 no.4
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• pp.1261-1270
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• 2006

This paper proposes a mobile computing prefetching method providing the effective information about location change of mobile user or mobile computing in mobile information services. For mobile computing environments, there exist restrictions as like low bandwidth, latency and traffic. To solve those problems, a variety of techniques have been developed including caching and prefetching. In this paper we present a Statistical Poisson Prefetching Scheme using the reference count to provide a mobile user information that will be likely referenced in the near future. Comparing to existing methods in numerical results, the proposed method improves the prefetching performance to give the maximum effectiveness and reduces the failure rate of information searching.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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• 1999.11a
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• pp.331-335
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• 1999

LAN, WAN 및 VBR 트래픽 특성에 관한 최근의 실험적 연구들은 기존의 Poisson 가정에 의한 모델들이 네트워크 트래픽의 장기간 의존성 및 self-similar 특성들을 과소평가 함으로써, 실제 트래픽의 특성을 제대로 나타낼 수 없다는 것을 지적해 왔다. 본 본문에서는 실시간 운영중인 Ethernet 트래픽을 측정하여, 통계학적인 접근법들을 통해 이러한 self-similar 특성들에 대해 평가하였다. 그리고 exactly self-similar 모델링인 Pareto-like ON/OFF 소스 모델링에 의한 트래픽과 기존의 Poisson 모델링을 비교 분석함으로써, self-similar 트래픽이 실제의 Ethernet 트래픽 특성을 잘 반영한다는 것을 보였다.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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• v.26 no.5
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• pp.130-135
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• 2011

This study deals with the accident models of arterial road sections. The objectives is to develop the models by number of lane. In pursuing the above, this study gives particular emphasis to dividing the 474 small link sections, collecting the accident data of 2007, and applying the statistical programs of SPSS17.0 and NLOGIT4.0. The main results are as follows. First, the number of accidents of two-lane roads were analyzed to be 59.9% of totals and to be the most of all. Second, one Poisson and two negative binomial regression models which were all statistically significant were developed. Finally, the common variables of all models were evaluated to be ADT and number of exit/entry which were all positive to the accidents.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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• v.24 no.1
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• pp.69-77
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• 2009

This paper reports the aging driver traffic accident severity modeling results. For the modeling, Poisson regression approach is applied using the data set obtained from the Korea Transportation Safety Authority's simulator-based driver aptitude test results. The test items include the estimations of moving objects' speed and stopping distance, drivers' multi-task capability, and kinetic depth perception and so on. The resulting model with the response variable of equivalent property damage only(EPDO) indicated that EPDO is significantly influenced by moving objects' speed estimation and drivers' multi-task capabilities. More interestingly, a comparison with the younger driver model revealed that the degradation of such capabilities may result in severer crashes for older drivers as suggested by the higher estimated parameters for the older driver model.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.17 no.3
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• pp.21-30
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• 1999

One of the major tasks of a Police station is the management of road traffic accidents. Each police station is responsible for keeping Traffic Accident Records (TAR) which can be used as the basis of statistical analyses. Results of such statistical analyses have been applied to establishing effective traffic Plans and safety Policies at the macro level. In this Paper, we apply QFD in a way that each police station can set and implement specific policies according to the local characteristics. Cluster analysis is employed to find black spots in each local area. Poisson repression is used to identify the area specific factors related to various types of road accidents. Results of such statistical analyses are applied to QFD. Our approach is expected to contribute to reduce various types of area specific road traffic accidents.

• International Journal of Highway Engineering
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• v.14 no.5
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• pp.133-143
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• 2012

PURPOSES: Using the collected data for crash, traffic volume, and design elements on ramps between 2007 and 2009, this research effort was initiated to develop traffic crash prediction models for expressway ramps. METHODS: Three negative binomial regression models and three zero-inflated negative binomial regression models were developed for individual ramp types, including direct, semi-direct and loop, respectively. For validating the developed models, authors compared the estimated crash frequencies with actual crash frequencies of twelve randomly selected interchanges, the ramps of which have not been used for model developing. RESULTS: The results show that the negative binomial regression models for direct, semi-direct and loop ramps showed 60.3%, 63.8% and 48.7% error rates on average whereas the zero-inflated negative binomial regression models showed 82.1%, 120.4% and 57.3%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Conclusively, the negative binomial regression models worked better in traffic crash prediction than the zero-inflated negative binomial regression models for estimating the frequency of traffic accidents on expressway ramps.