• 제목/요약/키워드: period error

검색결과 1,130건 처리시간 0.029초

Periodization in the History of Statistics

  • Jo, Jae-Keun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.31-47
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    • 2004
  • The history of statistics from the mid-seventeenth to the early twentieth century is considered and a scheme of periodization is proposed. In the first period(1650-1750), named 'the age of probability' in this paper, concept of probability emerged, and in the second period(1750-1820), named 'the age of error theory', statistical techniques such as the least square method are developed by astronomers and geodesists. Their techniques are supported theoretically by mathematicians like Laplace and Gauss in that period. The third period(1820-1880) is called 'the age of statistics(as a plural noun)' since statistical data played prominent roles in social sciences such as sociology, psychology. Finally the last period(1880- ), called 'the age of statistics(as a singular noun)', the discipline of statistics came to maturity both in theory and application.

SEO공시 전후의 주가변화에 대한 실증분석 (A Empirical Analysis on the Effect of Seasoned Equity Offering on the Stock's Price)

  • 신연수
    • 산업융합연구
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.127-142
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    • 2003
  • This Study examines the implications for event studies using the daily stock data. The output present the event study results. The event period is defined from 30 days before through 30 days after the event date, and is broken into four "windows" for abnormal return cumulation: the pre-event period, days -30 through -2; dajys -1 and 0, a period commonly investigated for the immediate impact of the event; and the post-event period, days +1 through +30. It shows how firm's information offerings affect the price process and consequent issues. The Patell Z test is an examples of a standardized abnormal return approach, which estimate a separate standard error for each security-event and assumes cross-sectional independence. The generalized sign test adjusts for the fraction of positive abnormal returns in the estimation period instead of assuming 0.5.

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Micro-Grid 시스템에서 Peak-Shaving을 이용한 PV+ 시스템의 최적 운영 방법 (Optimal Operating Method of PV+ Storage System Using the Peak-Shaving in Micro-Grid System)

  • 이지환;이강원
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제43권2호
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2020
  • There are several methods of peak-shaving, which reduces grid power demand, electricity bought from electricity utility, through lowering "demand spike" during On-Peak period. An optimization method using linear programming is proposed, which can be used to perform peak-shaving of grid power demand for grid-connected PV+ system. Proposed peak shaving method is based on the forecast data for electricity load and photovoltaic power generation. Results from proposed method are compared with those from On-Off and Real Time methods which do not need forecast data. The results also compared to those from ideal case, an optimization method which use measured data for forecast data, that is, error-free forecast data. To see the effects of forecast error 36 error scenarios are developed, which consider error types of forecast, nMAE (normalizes Mean Absolute Error) for photovoltaic power forecast and MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error) for load demand forecast. And the effects of forecast error are investigated including critical error scenarios which provide worse results compared to those of other scenarios. It is shown that proposed peak shaving method are much better than On-Off and Real Time methods under almost all the scenario of forecast error. And it is also shown that the results from our method are not so bad compared to the ideal case using error-free forecast.

주요 원유 현물가격간의 비선형 동적조정에 관한 연구 (A Study on Nonlinear Dynamic Adjustment of Spot Prices of Major Crude Oils)

  • 박해선;이상직
    • 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.657-677
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구는 3가지 상태 threshold 벡터오차수정모형(three-regime threshold vector error correction model)을 활용하여 WTI, Brent, Dubai 등 세계 3대 마커(marker)원유의 현물 유가 간 비선형 동적조정 과정에 대해 분석하였다. 이를 위하여 2000년 1월 3일부터 2014년 12월 31일까지의 일별가격을 이용하였으며 WTI가 급격히 하락하기 시작한 2010년을 기준으로 전기와 후기로 구분하여 WTI-Brent와 WTI-Dubai 그리고 Brent-Dubai의 세 조합에 대해 실증분석하였다. 전기에는 세 조합 모두 양 시장 간 비선형적 동적조정이 이루어지고 있으나, 후기에서는 WTI-Brent를 제외한 WTI-Dubai 조합과 Brent-Dubai 조합에서만 비선형적 동적조정과정이 이루어지고 있는 것이 관찰되었다. 또한 WTI-Dubai 조합과 Brent-Dubai 조합에 대해 전기와 후기의 거래비용 추정결과를 보면 후기에서 시장 간의 거래비용이 전기에 비해 축소되었음을 확인하였다.

세종시대 창제된 소간의(小簡儀)의 현대적 개조와 태양의 고도 및 방위각 관측 (Modern Reformation of So-ganui Invented during King Sejong Period and It's Altitude and Azimuth of the Sun Observations)

  • 최현동;김칠영
    • 대한지구과학교육학회지
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.139-147
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study was to explain how extraordinary the scientific technology or our ancestor was from the modern perspective by remodeling the most unique astronomical instrument, So-ganui (小簡儀), developed in the Sejong Period (世宗時代) after being examined with contemporary and the principles of the science and observational technology would be properly understood and measured directly. When measuring the altitude of the sun and azimuth using So-ganui, it was adjusted with the horizontal coordinate system and measured using Jipyeonghwan (地平環), Ipeunhwan (立運環) and Guyhyeong (窺衡). Based such measuring principles, the measurement accuracy proposed using So-ganui are as follows. The remodeled So-ganui produced approximately ${\pm}0.29$ degrees error on average at high altitude while in measuring the azimuth degrees, there was difference of ${\pm}0.35$ degrees. Since the theoretically, the measurement error for So-ganui was ${\pm}0.5$ degrees, the remodeled So-ganui could accurately measure at the high altitude compared to So-ganui from the Sejong period. In the study, So-ganui, which has disappeared, has been remodeled in modern perspective to be used as the educational material to accurately understand the principles of science and measurement technology from the Sejong period. The findings could contribute to raising the reputation in the astronomical observations from the documents from the Sejong period. Furthermore, this study has materialized the celestial and sky our ancestors have viewed with the observational principles of their times, on the computer screen via a webcam, bringing out interest in the traditional science for the students.

정밀한 완전 차동 Sample-and-Hold 회로 (An Accurate Fully Differential Sample-and-Hold Circuit)

  • 기중식;정덕균;김원찬
    • 전자공학회논문지B
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    • 제31B권3호
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    • pp.53-59
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    • 1994
  • A new fully differential sample-and-hold circuit which can effectively compensate the offset voltage of an operational amplifier and the charge injection of a MOS switch is presented. The proposed circuit shows a true sample-and-hold function without a reset period or an input-track period. The prototype fabricated using a 1.2$\mu$m double-polysilicon CMOS process occupies an area of 550$\mu$m$\times$288$\mu$m and the error of the sampled ouput is 0.056% on average for 3V input at DC.

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부유분진측정기(PM10) 관측 자료 실시간 품질관리 알고리즘 개발 및 평가 (Development and Assessment of Real-Time Quality Control Algorithm for PM10 Data Observed by Continuous Ambient Particulate Monitor)

  • 김선영;이희춘;류상범
    • 대기
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.541-551
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    • 2016
  • A real-time quality control algorithm for $PM_{10}$ concentration measured by Continuous Ambient Particulate Monitor (FH62C14, Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.) has been developed. The quality control algorithm for $PM_{10}$ data consists of five main procedures. The first step is valid value check. The values should be within the acceptable range limit. Upper ($5,000{\mu}g\;m^{-3}$) and lower ($0{\mu}g\;m^{-3}$) values of instrument detectable limit have to be eliminated as being unrealistic. The second step is valid error check. Whenever unusual condition occurs, the instrument will save error code. Value having an error code is eliminated. The third step is persistence check. This step checks on a minimum required variability of data during a certain period. If the $PM_{10}$ data do not vary over the past 60 minutes by more than the specific limit ($0{\mu}g\;m^{-3}$) then the current 5-minute value fails the check. The fourth step is time continuity check, which is checked to eliminate gross outlier. The last step is spike check. The spikes in the time series are checked. The outlier detection is based on the double-difference time series, using the median. Flags indicating normal and abnormal are added to the raw data after quality control procedure. The quality control algorithm is applied to $PM_{10}$ data for Asian dust and non-Asian dust case at Seoul site and dataset for the period 2013~2014 at 26 sites in Korea.

순방향 에러 교정 기법을 이용한 광통신 채널에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Optical Communication Channel using Forward Error Correcting Technique)

  • 강영진;김선엽
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.835-839
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    • 2013
  • 본 논문에서는 상대적으로 낮은 BER에서 동작시키거나 순방향에러제어코딩기법을 이용하여 광통신 시스템의 용량을 증가시키는 방안에 대하여 연구를 수행하였다. 코딩이득은 코딩된 신호와 코딩이 안 된 신호의 에러확률의 비로 정의된다. 코딩 이득이 증가하면, 코딩이 안 된 신호의 에러확률이 감소하기 때문에 의 최적의 값이 감소하는데 이것은 유효비트기간이 이진기호지속기간보다 길기 때문에 부분적으로 무시할 수 있다. 여러 가지의 코드율에 대해, 코딩이득에 대한 전송용량을 보이고 있는데, 최대 75Gb/s 정도의 전송용량은 이러한 코딩기법을 통해 얻을 수 있음을 확인하였다.

A Study on Self Repairing for Fast Fault Recovery in Digital System by Mimicking Cell

  • Kim, Soke-Hwan;Hur, Chang-Wu
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • 제9권5호
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    • pp.615-618
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    • 2011
  • Living cells generate the cell cycle or apoptosis, depending on the course will be repeated. If an error occurs during this period of life in order to maintain the cells in the peripheral cells find the error portion. These cellular functions were applied to the system to simulate the circuit. Circuit implementation of the present study was constructed the redundant structure in order to found the error quickly. Self-repairing of digital systems as an advanced form of fault-tolerance has been increasingly receiving attention according as digital systems have been more and more complex and speed-up especially for urgent systems or those working on extreme environments such as deep sea and outer space. Simulating the process of cell differentiation algorithm was confirmed by the FPGA on the counter circuit. If an error occurs on the circuit where the error was quickly locate and repair. In this paper, we propose a novel self-repair architecture for fast and robust fault-recovery that can easily apply to real, complex digital systems. These Self-Repairing Algorithms make it possible for the application digital systems to be alive even though in very noisy and extreme environments.

음향 인텐시티의 누설오차 개선에 관한 기초적 연구 (A Basic Study on the Improvement of Leakage Error of the Acoustic Intensity)

  • 정의봉;정호경;안세진;윤상돈
    • 한국음향학회지
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    • 제22권5호
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    • pp.345-350
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    • 2003
  • 음향 인텐시티는 근접한 두 개의 마이크로폰으로부터 얻어지는 음압의 크로스스펙트럼으로부터 얻어진다. 크로스스펙트럼은 이산 푸리에 변환에 의해 얻어지는데 이는 기록시간과 신호의 주기가 일반적으로 일치하지 않기 때문에 누설오차의 발생을 피할 수 없다. 그러므로 기존의 FFT 해석기로부터 얻어지는 음향 인텐시티는 왜곡된 값을 보여준다. 본 논문에서는 단일주파수를 가지는 조화 신호에 누설오차가 발생한 경우 푸리에 변환된 데이터를 규정한다. 또한 왜곡된 데이터로부터 누설오차의 영향을 제거하는 방법을 제안한다. 제안한 방법의 타당성을 보이기 위해 몇 가지 수치해석 예를 보인다.