• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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• v.5 no.3
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• pp.183-192
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• 1981

The present study gives an apprximate equation of circular cylindrical shell on the basis of Flugges's exact theory. The longitudinal bending moment .MU.$\_$x/ and circumferential strain .epsilon.$\_$.theta. are assumed to be small to be small and have been neglected. The governing equation of the cylindrical shell, which is generaly presented as 8th order partial differential equation, is reduced into a 4th order partial differential equation for axial coordinate. To verify the validity and accuracy of this approximate theory, the cantilever cylindrical shell subjected to a concentrated load is analyzed. The maximum errors of longitudinal stress and deflection are about 10 percent compared with the analysis by flugge's theory and are about 15 percent with experimental results.

• Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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• 2013.04a
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• pp.547-556
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• 2013

Control chart is most widely used in SPC(Statistical Process Control), Recently it is a critical issue that the standard control chart is not suitable to non-normal process with very small percent defective. Especially, this problem causes serious errors in the reliability procurement, such as semiconductor, high-precision machining and chemical process etc. Procuring process control technique for non-normal process with very small percent defective and perturbation is becoming urgent. Control chart technique in non-normal distribution become very important issue. In this paper, we investigate on research trend of control charts under non-normal distribution.

• Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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• v.14 no.11
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• pp.907-913
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• 2002

An experimental study on energy density distributions produced by dish solar concentrating system was performed to optimally design and rightly position a cavity receiver. This deemed also very useful to find and correct various errors associated with a concentrator. It is observed that the actual focal length is 2.17 m with a maximum energy density of 1.89 MW/$m^2$. By evaluating the position of flux centroid, it was found that there are errors within 2 cm from the target center. As a result of the percent power within radius, approximately 90% of the incident radiation is intercepted by about 0.06 m radius. The area concentration ratio normalized to 800 W/$m^2$ insolation and 90% mirror reflectivity was 347 suns. The total integrated power of 2467 W was measured under focal flux distributions, which corresponds to the intercept rate of 85.8%.

• Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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• v.2 no.1
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• pp.99-116
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• 2000

Accident statistics cite the flightcrew as a primary contributor in about 70 percent of accidents involving transport category airplanes. The introduction of modem flight deck designs, which have automated many piloting tasks, has reduced or eliminated some types of flightcrew errors, but other types of errors have been introduced. To identify the impedimental factors in highly automated modem airplane cockpit systems, this study used readily available information sources and case study, From the evidence, this study identified issues that show vulnerabilities in pilot management of automation, situation awareness, communication between pilots and controllers, pilot's training and evaluation methods. The next step will require the aviation community to solve these problems for the safety improvement.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• v.44 no.4
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• pp.355-362
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• 2012

The aim of this study was to develop a bundle position-wise linear model (BPLM) to predict Pressure Tube (PT) diametral creep employing the previously measured PT diameters and operating conditions. There are twelve bundles in a fuel channel, and for each bundle a linear model was developed by using the dependent variables, such as the fast neutron fluences and the bundle coolant temperatures. The training data set was selected using the subtractive clustering method. The data of 39 channels that consist of 80 percent of a total of 49 measured channels from Units 2, 3, and 4 of the Wolsung nuclear plant in Korea were used to develop the BPLM. The data from the remaining 10 channels were used to test the developed BPLM. The BPLM was optimized by the maximum likelihood estimation method. The developed BPLM to predict PT diametral creep was verified using the operating data gathered from Units 2, 3, and 4. Two error components for the BPLM, which are the epistemic error and the aleatory error, were generated. The diametral creep prediction and two error components will be used for the generation of the regional overpower trip setpoint at the corresponding effective full power days. The root mean square (RMS) errors were also generated and compared to those from the current prediction method. The RMS errors were found to be less than the previous errors.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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• v.10 no.6
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• pp.234-240
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• 2002

This paper treats the problem of estimating the longitudinal velocity of a braking vehicle using measurements from an accelerometer and wheel speed data from standard anti-lock braking wheel speed sensors. We develop and experimentally test three velocity estimation algorithms of increasing complexity. The algorithm that works the best gives peak errors of less than 3 percent even when the accelerometer signal is significantly biased.

• Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
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• v.15 no.10
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• pp.852-856
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• 1994

A series of aliphatic hydrocarbons, methane to hexane in the liquid state, are modeled with the molecular mechanical potential parameters treating all hydrogen degrees of freedom explicitly. Thermodynamic properties (heat capacities and heats of vaporization) are calculated from relatively short (20ps) molecular dynamics trajectories. The liquid state structures are also examined through various radial distribution functions. Molecular dynamics simulations reproduce experimentally measured properties within a few percent errors, thus indicate that the present set of all-hydrogen parameters is suitable for simulating macromolecular systems in bulk.

• Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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• v.6 no.3
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• pp.433-440
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• 1993

Means and standard errors of 285 Taiwan's local chicken and 429 Single Comb White Leghorn pullets at 35 wk of age were: egg weight (g) $48.3{\pm}0.3$, $54.6{\pm}0.3$, shell index $73.39{\pm}0.26$, $73.20{\pm}0.18$, shell color $15.23{\pm}0.40$, $0.88{\pm}0.27$, shell whiteness $72.61{\pm}0.57$, $90.00{\pm}0.35$, shell strength ($kg/cm^2$) $3.77{\pm}0.07$, $3.35{\pm}0.05$, shell thickness (mm) $0.38{\pm}0.003$, $0.38{\pm}0.002$, Haugh units $85.26{\pm}0.50$, $91.81{\pm}0.38$ and yolk percent (%) $30.17{\pm}0.18$, $27.32{\pm}0.16$ respectively. Theestimated heritabiliities of Taiwan's local chicken based on sire and dam components of variance were as follows: egg weight 0.20, shell index 0.1, shell color 0.87, shell whiteness 0.79, shell strength 0.37, shell thickness 0.14, Haugh units 0.24 and yolk percent 0.16. Genetic correlations based on sire and dam components of variance and covariance were also estimated. Generically, the shell index was positively correlated with egg weight, shell strength and yolk percent, and egg weight was negatively correlated with shell thickness, Haugh unit and yolk percent.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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• v.26 no.4
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• pp.207-218
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• 2010

The purpose of the study is to predict the shipping business during the period of 2011 using the ARIMA-type models. This include the ARIMA and Intervention-ARIMA models. The multivariate cause-effect econometric model is not employed for not assuring a higher degree of forecasting accuracy than the univariate variable model. Such a cause-effect econometric model also fails in adjusting itself for the post-sample. This article introduces the four ARIMA models and six Intervention-ARIMA models. The monthly data cover the period January 2000 through October 2010. The out-of-sample forecasting performance is compared between the ARIMA-type models and the random walk model. Forecasting performance is measured by three summary statistics: root mean squared percent error, mean absolute percent error and mean percent error. The root mean squared percent errors of all the ARIMA-type models are somewhat higher than normally expected. Furthermore, the random walk model outperforms all the ARIMA-type models. This reveals that the BDI is just a random walk phenomenon and it's meaningless to predict the BDI using various econometric techniques. The ARIMA-type models show that the shipping market is expected to be bearish in 2011. These pessimistic ex-ante forecasts are supported by the Hodrick-Prescott filtering technique.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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• v.27 no.4
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• pp.1-11
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• 2011

In much the same way as the US Lehman crisis of 2008-2009 severely impacted the European economy through financial market dislocation, a European banking crisis would materially impact the US economy through a generalized increase in global risk aversion. A deepening of the European crisis could very well derail the US economic recovery and have a harmful impact on the Asian economies. This kind of vicious circle could be a bad news to the shipping companies. The purpose of the study is to predict the Baltic Dry Index representing the shipping business during the period of 2012 using the ARIMA-type models. This include the ARIMA and Intervention-ARIMA models. This article introduces the four ARIMA models and six Intervention-ARIMA models. The monthly data cover the period January 2000 through October 2011. The out-of-sample forecasting performance is also calculated. Forecasting performance is measured by three summary statistics: root mean squared percent error, mean absolute percent error and mean percent error. The root mean squared percent errors, however, are somewhat higher than normally expected. This reveals that it is very difficult to predict the BDI The ARIMA-type models show that the shipping market will be bearish in 2012. These pessimistic ex-ante forecasts are supported by the Hodrick-Prescott filtering technique.