• Title/Summary/Keyword: parameter evaluation simulation

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Evaluation of External Carbon Source on the 2 Stage Denitrification Process by Simulation of GPS-X (GPS-X 시뮬레이션을 이용한 2단탈질 공정에서 외부탄소원 적용성 평가)

  • Chung, Chang-Wha;Shim, Yu-Seop;Kim, Tae-Hyung;Park, Chul-Hwi
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.37-48
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    • 2004
  • The purpose of this study was to evaluate adaptability of external carbon source using GPS-X program in pilot plant composed with 2-stage denitrification process. The result from analysis of pilot plant operation and GPS-X simulation showed that effluent concentration could be simulated similarly by modifying operation conditions, such as DO concentration, C/N ratio and other calibrated parameter. In order to satisfy the standard of the effluent water quality on T-N of 20mg/L, it required approximately 3.1 of C/N ratio and 50% of nitrogen removal efficiency when influent T-N is 36.9mg/L. To maintain the stable water quality of the receiving water, the effluent T-N concentration should be less than 10-15mg/L and the appropriate C/N ratio to remove nitrogen was 4.27-6.82. The analysis of sensitivity to kinetic coefficient and reaction constant showed that $Y_H$ and ${\mu}_{mAUT}$ were most sensitive to nitrate and ammonia nitrogen, relatively and sensitivity coefficient of their were 1.32, 1.98. It was concluded that as $Y_H$ decreased and ${\mu}_{mAUT}$ increased, the reaction rates of denitrification and nitrification increased and the removal efficiencies of $NO_3{^-}-N$ and $NH_4{^+}-N$ improved.

Comparative Simulation Studies on Generalized Binomial Models (일반화 이항모형의 적합도 평가)

  • Baik, E.J.;Kim, K.Y.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.507-516
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    • 2011
  • Comparative studies on generalized binomial models (Moon, 2003; Ng, 1989; Paul, 1985; Kupper and Haseman, 1978; Griffiths, 1973) are restrictive in that the models compared are rather limited and MSE of the estimates is the only measure considered for the model adequacy. This paper is aimed to report simulation results which provide possible guidelines for selecting a proper model. We examine Pearson type of goodness-of-fit statistic to its degrees of freedom and AIC for the overall model quality. MSE and Bias of the individual estimates are also considered as the component fit measures. Performance of some models varies widely for a certain range of the parameter space while most of the models are quite competent. Our evaluation shows that the Extended Beta-Binomial model (Prentice, 1986) turns out to be particularly favorable in the point that it provides consistently excellent fit almost all over the values of the intra-class correlation coefficient and the probability of success.

Design and Implementation of the Simulator for Evaluating the Performance of Container Cranes (컨테이너크레인 성능평가를 위한 시뮬레이터 설계 및 구현)

  • Won, Seung-Hwan;Choi, Sang-Hei
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.119-136
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    • 2009
  • According to the increase of container flows and the appearance of large-sized container vessels, the container handling equipment in ports is evolving continuously. This research introduces the simulation model for evaluating in detail the mechanical productivity of container cranes. The model considers a single trolley and dual trolleys as the mechanism of a container crane and a single lift, a twin lift, and a tandem lift as the spreader type of it. Additionally, the detail specifications such as the dimension and the speed of a container crane are inputted and the kinematic characteristics of it are simulated. The model also considers the size of a vessel, the storage position of containers in the vessel, and the weight of containers as external physical constraints. Experimental conditions can be configured conveniently because various parameters in the model are separated. Moreover, the model can accommodate flexibly new equipment types and the changes of the existing equipment because it is designed and developed in object-oriented concept.

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Design of Scenario Creation Model for AI-CGF based on Naval Operations, Resources Analysis Model(I): Evolutionary Learning (해군분석모델용 AI-CGF를 위한 시나리오 생성 모델 설계(I): 진화학습)

  • Hyun-geun, Kim;Jung-seok, Gang;Kang-moon, Park;Jae-U, Kim;Jang-hyun, Kim;Bum-joon, Park;Sung-do, Chi
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.617-627
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    • 2022
  • Military training is an essential item for the fundamental problem of war. However, there has always been a problem that many resources are consumed, causing spatial and environmental pollution. The concepts of defense modeling and simulation and CGF(Computer Generated Force) using computer technology began to appear to improve this problem. The Naval Operations, Resources Analysis Model(NORAM) developed by the Republic of Korea Navy is also a DEVS(Discrete Event Simulation)-based naval virtual force analysis model. The current NORAM is a battle experiment conducted by an operator, and parameter values such as maneuver and armament operation for individual objects for each situation are evaluated. In spite of our research conducted evolutionary, supervised, reinforcement learning, in this paper, we introduce our design of a scenario creation model based on evolutionary learning using genetic algorithms. For verification, the NORAM is loaded with our model to analyze wartime engagements. Human-level tactical scenario creation capability is secured by automatically generating enemy tactical scenarios for human-designed Blue Army tactical scenarios.

Design and Performance Evaluation of an Indexing Method for Partial String Searches (문자열 부분검색을 위한 색인기법의 설계 및 성능평가)

  • Gang, Seung-Heon;Yu, Jae-Su
    • The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society
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    • v.6 no.6
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    • pp.1458-1467
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    • 1999
  • Existing index structures such as extendable hashing and B+-tree do not support partial string searches perfectly. The inverted file method and the signature file method that are used in the web retrieval engine also have problems that they do not provide partial string searches and suffer from serious retrieval performance degradation respectively. In this paper, we propose an efficient index method that supports partial string searches and achieves good retrieval performance. The proposed index method is based on the Inverted file structure. It constructs the index file with patterns that result from dividing terms by two syllables to support partial string searches. We analyze the characteristics of our proposed method through simulation experiments using wide range of parameter values. We analyze the derive analytic performance evaluation models of the existing inverted file method, signature file method and the proposed index method in terms of retrieval time and storage overhead. We show through performance comparison based on analytic models that the proposed method significantly improves retrieval performance over the existing method.

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A Binomial Weighted Exponential Smoothing for Intermittent Demand Forecasting (간헐적 수요예측을 위한 이항가중 지수평활 방법)

  • Ha, Chunghun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.41 no.1
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    • pp.50-58
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    • 2018
  • Intermittent demand is a demand with a pattern in which zero demands occur frequently and non-zero demands occur sporadically. This type of demand mainly appears in spare parts with very low demand. Croston's method, which is an initiative intermittent demand forecasting method, estimates the average demand by separately estimating the size of non-zero demands and the interval between non-zero demands. Such smoothing type of forecasting methods can be suitable for mid-term or long-term demand forecasting because those provides the same demand forecasts during the forecasting horizon. However, the smoothing type of forecasting methods aims at short-term forecasting, so the estimated average forecast is a factor to decrease accuracy. In this paper, we propose a forecasting method to improve short-term accuracy by improving Croston's method for intermittent demand forecasting. The proposed forecasting method estimates both the non-zero demand size and the zero demands' interval separately, as in Croston's method, but the forecast at a future period adjusted by binomial weight according to occurrence probability. This serves to improve the accuracy of short-term forecasts. In this paper, we first prove the unbiasedness of the proposed method as an important attribute in forecasting. The performance of the proposed method is compared with those of five existing forecasting methods via eight evaluation criteria. The simulation results show that the proposed forecasting method is superior to other methods in terms of all evaluation criteria in short-term forecasting regardless of average size and dispersion parameter of demands. However, the larger the average demand size and dispersion are, that is, the closer to continuous demand, the less the performance gap with other forecasting methods.

Simulation of Agricultural Water Supply Considering Yearly Variation of Irrigation Efficiency (연단위 관개효율 변화를 고려한 관개지구 용수 공급량 모의)

  • Song, Jung Hun;Song, Inhong;Kim, Jin Taek;Kang, Moon Seong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.48 no.6
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    • pp.425-438
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    • 2015
  • The objective of this study was to evaluate simulation of agricultural water supply considering yearly variation of irrigation efficiency. The water supply data of the Idong reservoir from 2001 through 2009 was collected and used for this study. Total 6 parameters including irrigation efficiency (Es), drainage outlet height, and infiltration, were used for sensitivity analysis, calibration, and validation. Among the parameters, the Es appeared to be the most sensitivity parameter. The Es was calibrated on a yearly basis considering sensitivity and time-varying characteristic, while other parameters were set to fixed values. The statistics of percent bias (PBLAS), Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), and root means square error to the standard deviation of measured data (RSR) for a monthly step were 2.7%, 0.93, and 0.26 for the calibration, and 3.9%, 0.89, and 0.32 for the validation, correspondently. The results showed a good agreement with the observations. This implies that the modeling only with appropriate parameter values, apart from modeling approaches, can simulate the real supply operation reasonably well. However, the simulations with uncalibrated parameters from previous studies produced poor results. Thus, it is important to use calibrated values, and especially, we suggest the Es's yearly calibration for simulating agricultural water supply.

Fracture Toughness Evaluation and Influence Parameter Analysis by Numerical Simulation of Brazilian Test (Brazilian시험의 수치해석 시뮬레이션을 통한 파괴인성 산정 및 영향변수 분석)

  • Synn, Joong-Ho;Park, Chan;Shin, Hee-Soon;Chung, Yong-Bok;Lee, Hi-Keun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Rock Mechanics Conference
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    • 2000.09a
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    • pp.67-75
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    • 2000
  • The numerical simulation of Brazilian fracture toughness test is carried out using PFC code and the influence parameters are analyzed such as shape of loading plane, size of Brazilian disc and unit panicle of model, loading angle and loading rate. The flattened Brazilian disc is adopted for applying uniform load. The range of loading angle(2$\alpha$) necessary to induce the tensile crack at disc center and to obtain the load-displacement curve giving the critical load for the stable crack propagation is shown as 20$^{\circ}$~40$^{\circ}$. In condition that the loading angle is 20$^{\circ}$, the mode-I fracture toughness is evaluated almost constant in the range of particle size less than I mm and loading rate less than 0.01 mm/s. This range of influence parameters seems appropriate condition for the tensile crack initiation at disc center and the control of stable crack propagation, which can give the reliance in evaluation of fracture toughness by Brazilian test.

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Fracture Toughness Evaluation and Influence Parameter Analysis by Numerical Simulation of Brazilian Test (Brazilian 시험의 수치해석 시뮬레이션을 통한 파괴인성 산정 및 영향변수 분석)

  • Synn, Joong-Ho;Park, Chan;Shin, Hee-Soon;Chung, Yong-Bok;Lee, Hi-Keun
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.320-328
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    • 2000
  • The numerical simulation of Brazilian fracture toughness test is carried out using PFC code and the influence parameters are analyzed such as shape of loading plane, size of Brazilian disc and unit particle of model, loading angle and loading rate. The flattened Brazilian disc is adopted for applying uniform load. The range of loading angle(2$\alpha$) necessary to induce the tensile crack at disc center and to obtain the load-displacement curve giving the critical load for the stable crack propagation is shown as 20°∼40°. In condition that the loading angle is 20°, the mode-I fracture toughness is evaluated almost constant in the range of particle size less than 1 mm and loading rate less than 0.01㎜/s. This range of influence parameters seems appropriate condition for the tensile crack initiation at disc center and the control of stable crack propagation, which can give the reliance in evaluation of fracture toughness by Brazilian test.

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Evaluation of Setup Uncertainty on the CTV Dose and Setup Margin Using Monte Carlo Simulation (몬테칼로 전산모사를 이용한 셋업오차가 임상표적체적에 전달되는 선량과 셋업마진에 대하여 미치는 영향 평가)

  • Cho, Il-Sung;Kwark, Jung-Won;Cho, Byung-Chul;Kim, Jong-Hoon;Ahn, Seung-Do;Park, Sung-Ho
    • Progress in Medical Physics
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.81-90
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    • 2012
  • The effect of setup uncertainties on CTV dose and the correlation between setup uncertainties and setup margin were evaluated by Monte Carlo based numerical simulation. Patient specific information of IMRT treatment plan for rectal cancer designed on the VARIAN Eclipse planning system was utilized for the Monte Carlo simulation program including the planned dose distribution and tumor volume information of a rectal cancer patient. The simulation program was developed for the purpose of the study on Linux environment using open source packages, GNU C++ and ROOT data analysis framework. All misalignments of patient setup were assumed to follow the central limit theorem. Thus systematic and random errors were generated according to the gaussian statistics with a given standard deviation as simulation input parameter. After the setup error simulations, the change of dose in CTV volume was analyzed with the simulation result. In order to verify the conventional margin recipe, the correlation between setup error and setup margin was compared with the margin formula developed on three dimensional conformal radiation therapy. The simulation was performed total 2,000 times for each simulation input of systematic and random errors independently. The size of standard deviation for generating patient setup errors was changed from 1 mm to 10 mm with 1 mm step. In case for the systematic error the minimum dose on CTV $D_{min}^{stat{\cdot}}$ was decreased from 100.4 to 72.50% and the mean dose $\bar{D}_{syst{\cdot}}$ was decreased from 100.45% to 97.88%. However the standard deviation of dose distribution in CTV volume was increased from 0.02% to 3.33%. The effect of random error gave the same result of a reduction of mean and minimum dose to CTV volume. It was found that the minimum dose on CTV volume $D_{min}^{rand{\cdot}}$ was reduced from 100.45% to 94.80% and the mean dose to CTV $\bar{D}_{rand{\cdot}}$ was decreased from 100.46% to 97.87%. Like systematic error, the standard deviation of CTV dose ${\Delta}D_{rand}$ was increased from 0.01% to 0.63%. After calculating a size of margin for each systematic and random error the "population ratio" was introduced and applied to verify margin recipe. It was found that the conventional margin formula satisfy margin object on IMRT treatment for rectal cancer. It is considered that the developed Monte-carlo based simulation program might be useful to study for patient setup error and dose coverage in CTV volume due to variations of margin size and setup error.