• 한국물환경학회지
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• 제25권3호
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• pp.432-440
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• 2009

The effect of selecting hydrologic item for calculating objective function on calibration of stream flow was evaluated by Hydrologic Simulation Porgram-Fortran (HSPF) linked with Model Independent Parameter Optimizer (PEST). Daily and monthly stream flow and flow duration were used to calculate objective function. Automated calibration focused on monthly stream was proper to analyze seasonal or yearly water budget but not proper to predict daily stream flow or percent chance flow exceeded. Calibration result focused on flow duration is proper to predict precent chance flow exceeded but not proper to analyze water budget or predict peak flow. These results indicate that hydrologic item calculated for objective function on calibration procedure could influence calibration results and watershed modeler should select carefully hydrologic item for the purpose of model application. Current, the criteria of stream flow of Korean TMDL is generated based on percent chance flow exceeded, so flow duration should be included to calculate objective function on calibration procedure for the estimation of criteria of stream flow using hydrologic model.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제17권2호
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• pp.281-301
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• 2004

본 논문에서는 일변량 정규분포를 따르는 확률변수의 관측치열에 대한 변화점 문제(change point problem)를 고찰한다. 변화점의 존재유무, 그리고 만일 변화점이 존재한다면 어떠한 유형으로 발생했는지 즉, 변화점 발생 이후로 평균만 변화, 분산만 변화, 또는 평균과 분산 모두가 변화했는지를 밝힌다. 가능한 여러 유형의 변화모형들 가운데 최적의 모형을 선택하기 위해 베이지안 모형선택 기법을 이용하고, 선택된 모형에 내재된 모수를 추정 하기 위해 메트로폴리스-혜스팅스 알고리 즘을 포함한 깁스샘플링 을 이용한다. 이러한 방법론은 모의실험을 통해 검토되고, 또한 서울지역의 겨울철 평균기온 자료에 적용된다.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제16권2호
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• pp.265-275
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• 2009

지역적 공간의 특성을 고려한 공간선형회귀모형을 다루는 대부분의 연구들에서 사용되고 있는 자료는 완전한 상태임을 고려하고 있다. 하지만 공간선형회귀모형을 정확히 추론함에 있어서 완전한 자료가 사용 가능한 경우는 그다지 많지가 않은 것이 현실이다. 만약 이러한 상황을 고려하지 않고 통계적 추론을 할 경우 잘못된 결론이 도출될 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 오차항이 일차 공간자기상관을 따르는 공간선형회귀모형에서 자료가 불완전한 상태 일 경우 일반화 최대엔트로피 형식을 이용하여 미지의 모수를 추정하는 방법을 제안하였고 몬테카를로 모의실험을 통하여 여러 전통적인 추정량들과 효율성을 비교하였다. 그 결과, 자료가 불완전한 상태에서 일반화 최대엔트로피 추정량이 다른 추정방법들에 비해 효율적인 추정치를 제공하였다.

• 한국생산제조학회지
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• 제8권6호
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• pp.26-34
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• 1999

This study shows an alternative method for the determination of object's position, based on a computer vision method. This approach develops the vision system model to define the reciprocal relationship between the 3-D real space and 2-D image plane. The developed model involves the bilinear six-view parameters, which is estimated using the relationship between the camera space location and real coordinates of known position. Based on estimated parameters in independent cameras, the position of unknown object is accomplished using a sequential estimation scheme that permits data of unknown points in each of the 2-D image plane of cameras. This vision control methods the robust and reliable, which overcomes the difficulties of the conventional research such as precise calibration of the vision sensor, exact kinematic modeling of the robot, and correct knowledge of the relative positions and orientation of the robot and CCD camera. Finally, the developed vision control method is tested experimentally by performing determination of object position in the space using computer vision system. These results show the presented method is precise and compatible.

• Geomechanics and Engineering
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• 제20권5호
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• pp.411-420
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• 2020

Numbers fitting-curve equations have been proposed to predict soil-water retention curve (SWRC) whose parameters have no definitude physical meaning. And these methods with precondition of measuring SWRC data is time-consuming. A simplified directly method to estimate SWRC without parameters obtained by fitting-curve is proposed. Firstly, the total SWRC can be discretized into linear segments respectively. Every segment can be represented by linear formulation and every turning point can be determined by the pore-size distribution (PSD) of Mercury Intrusion Porosimetry (MIP) tests. The pore diameters governing the air-entry condition (AEC) and residual condition (RC) can be determined by the PSDs of MIP test. The PSD changes significantly during drying in SWR test, so the determination of AEC and RC should use the PSD under corresponding suction conditions. Every parameter in proposed equations can be determined directly by PSD without curve-fitting procedure and has definitude physical meaning. The proposed equations give a good estimation of both unimodal and bimodal SWRCs.

• Journal of Power Electronics
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• 제16권2호
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• pp.643-653
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• 2016

The conventional methods used to evaluate battery state-of-charge (SOC) cannot accommodate the chemistry nonlinearities, measurement inaccuracies and parameter perturbations involved in estimation systems. In this paper, an impedance-based equivalent circuit model has been constructed with respect to a LiFePO₄ battery by approximating the electrochemical impedance spectrum (EIS) with RC circuits. The efficiencies of approximating the EIS with RC networks in different series-parallel forms are first discussed. Additionally, the typical hysteresis characteristic is modeled through an empirical approach. Subsequently, a methodology incorporating an H-infinity observer designated for open-circuit voltage (OCV) observation and a hysteresis model developed for OCV-SOC mapping is proposed. Thereafter, evaluation experiments under FUDS and UDDS test cycles are undertaken with varying temperatures and different current-sense bias. Experimental comparisons, in comparison with the EKF based method, indicate that the proposed SOC estimator is more effective and robust. Moreover, test results on a group of Li-ion batteries, from different manufacturers and of different chemistries, show that the proposed method has high generalization capability for all the three types of Li-ion batteries.

• 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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• 제54권10호
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• pp.480-486
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• 2005

This paper proposes a method to consider an aging failure probability and survival probability of power system components, though only aging failure probability has been considered in existing mean life calculation. The estimates of the mean and its standard deviation is calculated by using Weibull distribution, and each estimated parameters is obtained from Data Analytic Method (Type H Censoring). The parameter estimation using Data Analytic Method is simpler and faster than the traditional calculation method using gradient descent algorithm. This paper shows calculation procedure of the mean life and its standard deviation by the proposed method and illustrates that the estimated results are close enough to real historical data of combustion turbine generating units in Korean systems. Also, this paper shows the calculation procedures of a probabilistic failure prediction through a stochastic data analysis. Consequently, the proposed methods would be likely to permit that the new deregulated environment forces utilities to reduce overall costs while maintaining an are-related reliability index.

• International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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• 제16권3호
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• pp.370-379
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• 2015

Handling constantly evolving configurations of aircraft can be inefficient and frustrating to design engineers, especially true in the early design phase when many design parameters are changeable throughout trade-off studies. In this paper, a physics-based design framework using parametric modeling is introduced, which is designated as DIAMOND/AIRCRAFT and developed for structural design of transport aircraft in the conceptual and preliminary design phase. DIAMOND/AIRCRAFT can relieve the burden of labor-intensive and time-consuming configuration changes with powerful parametric modeling techniques that can manipulate ever-changing geometric parameters for external layout of design alternatives. Furthermore, the design framework is capable of generating FE model in an automated fashion based on the internal structural layout, basically a set of design parameters describing the structural members in terms of their physical properties such as location, spacing and quantities. The design framework performs structural sizing using the FE model including both primary and secondary structural levels. This physics-based approach improves the accuracy of weight estimation significantly as compared with empirical methods. In this study, combining a physics-based model with parameter modeling techniques delivers a high-fidelity design framework, remarkably expediting otherwise slow and tedious design process of the early design phase.

• 한국정밀공학회지
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• 제27권9호
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• pp.58-66
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• 2010

This study examines thermal safety on three-way catalyst that dominates 70 % among whole exhaust gas purification device in 2003. Three-way catalyst durability in the Korea requires 5 years/80,000 km in 1988 but require 10 years/120,000 km after 2002. Three-way catalyst durability in the USA requires 7 years/120,000 km but require 10 years/160,000 km after 2004. Three-way catalyst maintains high temperature in interior domain but maintains low temperature on outside surface. Therefore this device shows tensile stress on outside surface. Temperature distribution of three-way catalyst was acquired by thermal flow analysis for predicted thermal flow parameter. Thermal stress analysis for three-way catalysis was performed based on this temperature distribution. Thermal safety of three-way catalyst was estimated by power law dynamic fatigue life estimation and strength reduction methods for thermal stress.

• International Journal of Precision Engineering and Manufacturing
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• 제5권4호
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• pp.5-13
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• 2004

This study explains the effects of lubricant and surface treatment on the life of hot forging dies. The thermal load and thermal softening, that occur when there is contact between the hotter billet and the cooler dies in hot forging, cause wear, thermal cracking and fatigue, and plastic deformation. Because the cooling effect and low friction are essential to the long life of dies, the proper selection of lubricant and surface treatment is very important in hot forging process. The two main factors that decide friction and heat transfer conditions are lubricant and surface treatment, which are directly related to friction factor and surface heat transfer coefficient. Experiments were performed for obtaining the friction factors and the surface heat transfer coefficients in different lubricants and surface treatments. For lubrication, oil-base and water-base graphite lubricants were used, and ion-nitride and carbon-nitride were used as surface treatment conditions. The methods for estimating die service life that are suggested in this study were applied to a finisher die during the hot forging of an automobile part. The new techniques developed in this study for estimating die service life can be used to develop more feasible ways to improve die service life in the hot forging process.