• Title/Summary/Keyword: output power prediction

Search Result 150, Processing Time 0.023 seconds

The Improvement of Output Voltage of UPS Using a Parallel Control Method (병렬 제어기법을 이용한 UPS 출력 전압의 개선)

  • 成 炳 模;姜 弼 淳;朴 晟 濬;金 喆 禹
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Power Electronics
    • /
    • v.7 no.2
    • /
    • pp.158-164
    • /
    • 2002
  • This paper presents a proper parallel control method using a conventional control and a repetitive control for improving the output voltage waveform of uninterruptable power supply. Although first-order prediction control method shows a good characteristics to rectifier load, it is not sufficient to reduce steady state errors generated in nonlinear loads such as rectifier loads and phase controled loads. So we also employed a repetitive control method. A repetitive control method can eliminate steady state errors in the distorted output voltage caused by cyclic loads. The presented control scheme is verified through simulation and experiment. Experimental results Implemented on a single phase PWM inverter equipped with a LC output filter with 3 kVA, 60 Hz are shown.

Prediction Study of Solar Modules Considering the Shadow Effect (그림자 효과를 고려한 태양전지 모듈의 발전량 예측 연구)

  • Kim, Minsu;Ji, Sangmin;Oh, Soo Young;Jung, Jae Hak
    • Current Photovoltaic Research
    • /
    • v.4 no.2
    • /
    • pp.80-86
    • /
    • 2016
  • Since the last five years it has become a lot of solar power plants installed. However, by installing the large-scale solar power station it is not easy to predict the actual generation years. Because there are a variety of factors, such as changes daily solar radiation, temperature and humidity. If the power output can be measured accurately it predicts profits also we can measure efficiency for solar power plants precisely. Therefore, Prediction of power generation is forecast to be a useful research field. In this study, out discovering the factors that can improve the accuracy of the prediction of the photovoltaic power generation presents the means to apply them to the power generation amount prediction.

Study on Wind Power Prediction model based on Spatial Modeling (공간모델링 기반의 풍력발전출력 예측 모델에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Solyoung;Hur, Jin;Choy, Young-do
    • KEPCO Journal on Electric Power and Energy
    • /
    • v.1 no.1
    • /
    • pp.163-168
    • /
    • 2015
  • In order to integrate high wind generation resources into power grid, it is an essential to predict power outputs of wind generating resources. As wind farm outputs depend on natural wind resources that vary over space and time, spatial modeling based on geographic information such as latitude and longitude is needed to estimate power outputs of wind generation resources. In this paper, we introduce the basic concept of spatial modeling and present the spatial prediction model based on Kriging techniques. The empirical data, wind farm power output in Texas, is considered to verify the proposed prediction model.

Prediction of Output Power for PV Module with Tilted Angle and Structural Design (태양광 모듈의 구조디자인과 설치각도에 따른 출력예측)

  • Ko, Jae-Woo;Yun, Na-Ri;Min, Yong-Ki;Jung, Tae-Hee;Won, Chang-Sub;Ahn, Hyung-Keun
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
    • /
    • v.62 no.3
    • /
    • pp.371-375
    • /
    • 2013
  • A new model about output power prediction of PV module with various tilted angles and cell to cell distances has been proposed in this paper. Light intensity arrived on a solar cell could be changed by characteristics of PV module materials. Refractive indices, thickness and absorption coefficients of glass, EVA, solar cell and Backsheet are used to predict output. Also, the incident angle of light is changed 0 to 90[$^{\circ}$] and cell to cell distances are 5, 10 15[mm]. Two types of light incident on a solar cell are considered which are direct to a solar cell and reflected from Backsheet. The intensity of the incident light directly into the solar cell is reduced through glass and EVA about 17.5[%] in theoretical way. It has an error of 2.26[%] compared with experimental result. The results for compare theoretical with experimental data is validated within the error of 6.3[%]. This paper would be a research material to predict output power when the PV module is installed outdoor or a building.

Continuous Conditional Random Field Model for Predicting the Electrical Load of a Combined Cycle Power Plant

  • Ahn, Gilseung;Hur, Sun
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
    • /
    • v.15 no.2
    • /
    • pp.148-155
    • /
    • 2016
  • Existing power plants may consume significant amounts of fuel and require high operating costs, partly because of poor electrical power output estimates. This paper suggests a continuous conditional random field (C-CRF) model to predict more precisely the full-load electrical power output of a base load operated combined cycle power plant. We introduce three feature functions to model association potential and one feature function to model interaction potential. Together, these functions compose the C-CRF model, and the model is transformed into a multivariate Gaussian distribution with which the operation parameters can be modeled more efficiently. The performance of our model in estimating power output was evaluated by means of a real dataset and our model outperformed existing methods. Moreover, our model can be used to estimate confidence intervals of the predicted output and calculate several probabilities.

Building of Prediction Model of Wind Power Generationusing Power Ramp Rate (Power Ramp Rate를 이용한 풍력 발전량 예측모델 구축)

  • Hwang, Mi-Yeong;Kim, Sung-Ho;Yun, Un-Il;Kim, Kwang-Deuk;Ryu, Keun-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
    • /
    • v.17 no.1
    • /
    • pp.211-218
    • /
    • 2012
  • Fossil fuel is used all over the world and it produces greenhouse gases due to fossil fuel use. Therefore, it cause global warming and is serious environmental pollution. In order to decrease the environmental pollution, we should use renewable energy which is clean energy. Among several renewable energy, wind energy is the most promising one. Wind power generation is does not produce environmental pollution and could not be exhausted. However, due to wind power generation has irregular power output, it is important to predict generated electrical energy accurately for smoothing wind energy supply. There, we consider use ramp characteristic to forecast accurate wind power output. The ramp increase and decrease rapidly wind power generation during in a short time. Therefore, it can cause problem of unbalanced power supply and demand and get damaged wind turbine. In this paper, we make prediction models using power ramp rate as well as wind speed and wind direction to increase prediction accuracy. Prediction model construction algorithm used multilayer neural network. We built four prediction models with PRR, wind speed, and wind direction and then evaluated performance of prediction models. The predicted values, which is prediction model with all of attribute, is nearly to the observed values. Therefore, if we use PRR attribute, we can increase prediction accuracy of wind power generation.

Development of Photovoltaic Output Power Prediction System using OR-AND Structured Fuzzy Neural Networks (OR-AND 구조의 퍼지 뉴럴 네트워크를 이용한 태양광 발전 출력 예측 시스템 개발)

  • Kim, Haemaro;Han, Chang-Wook;Lee, Don-Kyu
    • Journal of IKEEE
    • /
    • v.23 no.1
    • /
    • pp.334-337
    • /
    • 2019
  • In response to the increasing demand for energy, research and development of next-generation energy is actively carried out around the world to replace fossil fuels. Among them, the specific gravity of solar power generation systems using infinity and pollution-free solar energy is increasing. However, solar power generation is so different from solar energy that it is difficult to provide stable power and the power production itself depends on the solar energy by region. To solve these problems in this paper, we have collected meteorological data such as actual regional solar irradiance, precipitation, temperature and humidity, and proposed a solar power output prediction system using logic-based fuzzy Neural Network.

Study on the Prediction of Wind Power Outputs using Curvilinear Regression (곡선회귀분석을 이용한 풍력발전 출력 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Choy, Youngdo;Jung, Solyoung;Park, Beomjun;Hur, Jin;Park, Sang ho;Yoon, Gi gab
    • KEPCO Journal on Electric Power and Energy
    • /
    • v.2 no.4
    • /
    • pp.627-630
    • /
    • 2016
  • Recently, the size of wind farms is becoming larger, and the integration of high wind generation resources into power gird is becoming more important. Due to intermittency of wind generating resources, it is an essential to predict power outputs. In this paper, we introduce the basic concept of curvilinear regression, which is one of the method of wind power prediction. The empirical data, wind farm power output in Jeju Island, is considered to verify the proposed prediction model.

A Novel Predictive Digital Controlled Sensorless PFC Converter under the Boundary Conduction Mode

  • Wang, Jizhe;Maruta, Hidenori;Matsunaga, Motoshi;Kurokawa, Fujio
    • Journal of Power Electronics
    • /
    • v.17 no.1
    • /
    • pp.1-10
    • /
    • 2017
  • This paper presents a novel predictive digital control method for boundary conduction mode PFC converters without the need for detecting the inductor current. In the proposed method, the inductor current is predicted by analytical equations instead of being detected by a sensing-resistor. The predicted zero-crossing point of the inductor current is determined by the values of the input voltage, output voltage and predicted inductor current. Importantly, the prediction of zero-crossing point is achieved in just a single switching cycle. Therefore, the errors in predictive calculation caused by parameter variations can be compensated. The prediction of the zero-crossing point with the proposed method has been shown to have good accuracy. The proposed method also shows high stability towards variations in both the inductance and output power. Experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed predictive digital control method for PFC converters.